But it's a moot point. There are no Crapless tables that offer the Fire Bet.
"Fire Bet" is a Trademark, owned by HopBet, Inc. www.hopbet.com
The first sentence on their website says it all:
Crapless is not standard.Quote:
A FIRE BET is a patented side wager that can be incorporated into any standard Dice game.
There's only one thing I'd like to know, which is not addressed anywhere on their website: With a company name like that, are they also the inventors of the Hop Bet?
How do you do this simulation? Would you say your info is accurate enough to determine a house edge on this?>
I used php. My method would not be accurate enough. Infact just looking at it I think it sucks. I'll work on an analysis in excel to get a more accurate result. Making 0 points is 0.63229437229437. Prelimanary results for 1 point is: 0.24599013126363 and 2: 0.081294932809727, but I need to check for typos and brainos :+)
I am sure this is easy enough to calculate...
Really? According to their web site, the inventor lives in Las Vegas. Maybe he moved.Quote: jdubvegas33
thank you. I actually know the guy who invented the fire bet here in Michigan..
But if you know him, maybe you know, or can get, the answer to my other question:
There's only one thing I'd like to know, which is not addressed anywhere on their website: With a company name like "Hopbet Inc.", are they also the inventors of the Hop Bet?
Edit on 7/13/14 to add:
Just in case someone stumbles upon this here is a correct table:
I did a quick sim 20 million round on this. All 10 points never was made
Points Made Probability 0 0.63213425 1 0.24602000 2 0.08627125 3 0.02667240 4 0.00706125 5 0.00153045 6 0.00027080 7 0.00003600 8 0.00000335 9 0.00000025
So a 24% chance of making one point? I thought I read in a blog here that there's only a 27% chance of making one point in a regular craps game. I guess those promises of making a point after you've already established it really bring down the chances from 40%+.
Anyone throwing the "all" twice in a row has, in effect, won the Fire Bet for all numbers in crapless craps.
(With the Fire Bet a winner-7 does not kill the Fire Bet.)
Of course there's the condition of setting each number as the point but it could happen.