House Edge in Blackjack - Is it a fiction?
May 13th, 2019 at 1:40:53 PM
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Hello. Using the House Edge Calculator. I've found that the odds at my Blackjack table with perfect Basic Strategy are 0.30%
6D, S17, Late Surrender, Resplit Ace's.
However, if I were to change the rule from player can hit split Ace's to Yes. The house edge becomes 0.12%
I've played 5 shoes so far all by myself. And have never had a situation where I've had to split Ace's. So does this mean that the house edge has been better than the simulations?
And how do the house edge calculators take into account these situations that a player might never encounter in the short term. (Or any term for that matter. Since the simulations take billions of hands into account. While real customers play hardly a tiny percentage of that over their lifetime).
6D, S17, Late Surrender, Resplit Ace's.
However, if I were to change the rule from player can hit split Ace's to Yes. The house edge becomes 0.12%
I've played 5 shoes so far all by myself. And have never had a situation where I've had to split Ace's. So does this mean that the house edge has been better than the simulations?
And how do the house edge calculators take into account these situations that a player might never encounter in the short term. (Or any term for that matter. Since the simulations take billions of hands into account. While real customers play hardly a tiny percentage of that over their lifetime).
May 13th, 2019 at 2:12:47 PM
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Quote: PinkJackI've played 5 shoes so far all by myself. And have never had a situation where I've had to split Ace's. So does this mean that the house edge has been better than the simulations?
The house edge was what the house edge was. It is a fixed number decided by the rules of the game. If the simulator was faithfully implemented and the calculated house edge is correct, then the simulator had the same house edge. That you never saw all eventualities in your short session is irrelevant.
No. The simulators and house edge calculators don't discard inconvenient, if unlikely eventualities.Quote:And how do the house edge calculators take into account these situations that a player might never encounter in the short term.
Would you like such a calculator to say "The house edge is 0.3% unless you only play a max of 4 shoes in which case you would have a player advantage of 1.2%"?
We could use a similar calculator with six chamber, single bullet russian roulette.
"Your probability of blowing your brains out is 1 in 6 or 0.167... unless you only play it once in which case you'll probably be fine"
Last edited by: OnceDear on May 14, 2019
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May 14th, 2019 at 7:14:31 AM
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Quote: OnceDear
"Your probability of blowing your brains out is 1 in 6 or 0.167%...
Since somebody considering playing Russian Roulette's life may be hanging in the balance, I feel I must draw attention to this math error.
Casinos are not your friends, they want your money. But so does Disneyland.
And there is no chance in hell that you will go to Disneyland and come back with more money than you went with.
- AxelWolf and Mickeycrimm
May 14th, 2019 at 7:32:12 AM
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Quote: DeucekiesSince somebody considering playing Russian Roulette's life may be hanging in the balance, I feel I must draw attention to this math error.
Using an automatic will reduce those odds.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
May 14th, 2019 at 10:42:53 AM
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Quote: DeucekiesSince somebody considering playing Russian Roulette's life may be hanging in the balance, I feel I must draw attention to this math error.
Come on, he was only off by a zero or two.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
