Goethe
Goethe
  • Threads: 7
  • Posts: 33
Joined: Sep 17, 2011
April 19th, 2015 at 4:21:13 AM permalink
Help required please . . .

I'm endeavouring to calculate 3 StdDevs from the EV for 9/6 Job playing 20 hands simultaneously. I've picked up the HE at 0.0054, and am confident in doing the sums on a single hand, but am unclear as to how to factor in the impact of the 19 other different outcomes against the initial cards being held.

I've just completed two sessions of 145x20 hands, and 319x20 hands, and the results are -8.14% and -7.85% respectively. I appreciate that VP can be a high variance game, but am interested to know where these sit in the bell curve.

Thanks in advance.
Visit UK-21's Degenerate Gamblers Pages at www.uk-21.org.
surrender88s
surrender88s
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 291
Joined: Jun 23, 2013
April 19th, 2015 at 4:46:47 AM permalink
I'm also curious about this. How do 3 way, 5, 10, 50, 100 compare to playing that many hands of single line?
"Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1." -Warren Buffett on risk/return
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 86
  • Posts: 11721
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
April 19th, 2015 at 6:43:47 AM permalink
This may help. BTW, what ever happened to Jazbo? Haven't heard from him in a long time.

http://jazbo.com/

Go to the Video poker section and look at the "N-Play Bankroll"
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
Goethe
Goethe
  • Threads: 7
  • Posts: 33
Joined: Sep 17, 2011
April 28th, 2015 at 11:04:21 PM permalink
Thanks. I finally got around to that, but it didn't really fit the bill.
Visit UK-21's Degenerate Gamblers Pages at www.uk-21.org.
ajemeister
ajemeister
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 208
Joined: Mar 20, 2012
May 11th, 2015 at 8:31:18 AM permalink
Quote: surrender88s

I'm also curious about this. How do 3 way, 5, 10, 50, 100 compare to playing that many hands of single line?



I'm also curious about this, and rather than make a new topic I thought I'd post here.. Does playing a 9/6 JB singlehand machine have more/less/equal EV than playing a 3/5/25/50/100 machine? I understand that the variance is greater for the multihands as you are playing more hands/hr, but to me it would seem as though the multihand machines would be slightly worse as you have to replay the same hand X times. I know there are opportunities this can payoff big, but only if something is dealt to you in the first hand. Otherwise there are more times than not you will be holding high cards or discarding everything. which will compound the number of losing hands, right? or are my assumptions really off base?
mustangsally
mustangsally
  • Threads: 25
  • Posts: 2463
Joined: Mar 29, 2011
May 11th, 2015 at 9:35:41 AM permalink
Quote: Goethe

I've just completed two sessions of 145x20 hands, and 319x20 hands, and the results are -8.14% and -7.85% respectively.

not many hands played to use the bell curve
and 20 play even
Quote: Goethe

I appreciate that VP can be a high variance game,

appreciate
sounds funny but works

Quote: Goethe

but am interested to know where these sit in the bell curve.

i say
there is NO bell curve for 9280 hands played even with multi-hands played per round

the Wizard has pointed this out B4 2
example of NOT normal distribution
most normal distributions using the bell curve for simple examples have the mean and mode and median being equal
not at VP does his happen under 500k hands played i say


===================================
why do you think this produces a normal distribution (the famous bell curve)

many would like to know


PLUS
the bell curve (the concept) is an approximation, one should know, and sometimes a very good one, sometimes not

why not just calculate this and get an exact answer (or close to exact)
computers using a software program can calculate
but they may not have a 20 play version unless it is made first

interesting
i says
I Heart Vi Hart
JimRockford
JimRockford
  • Threads: 12
  • Posts: 651
Joined: Apr 17, 2012
May 11th, 2015 at 9:56:15 AM permalink
The Wizard has an Appendix on the topic. He doesn't show calculations, but it might show you what you are looking for.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." -- Isaac Newton
tringlomane
tringlomane
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 6281
Joined: Aug 25, 2012
May 11th, 2015 at 12:12:08 PM permalink
Quote: ajemeister

I'm also curious about this, and rather than make a new topic I thought I'd post here.. Does playing a 9/6 JB singlehand machine have more/less/equal EV than playing a 3/5/25/50/100 machine? I understand that the variance is greater for the multihands as you are playing more hands/hr, but to me it would seem as though the multihand machines would be slightly worse as you have to replay the same hand X times. I know there are opportunities this can payoff big, but only if something is dealt to you in the first hand. Otherwise there are more times than not you will be holding high cards or discarding everything. which will compound the number of losing hands, right? or are my assumptions really off base?



The dealt big wins and the dealt crap hands balance each other out perfectly in terms of return and the return is unchanged from a single line game.

Think of it this way. In a single line game of 9/6 JoB, one would expect a 99.54% return if one was dealt each of the 2,598,960 starting hands just once and played them all optimally. Correct?

Now if someone was playing 3 play they would also expect a 99.54% return (again assuming perfect play) if they got every starting hand just once to hold among all the three hands played.

Now generally speaking, I've hoped for years that Mike or JB would elaborate on the discussion of multiline variance in VP in much more detail than what is currently covered in the WOO site.

Hell I don't even know how you calculate "deal" and "draw" variance as currently described on the WOO page.
  • Jump to: