There's only so much money in the world
Is he kidding? I mean Economics 101 says there is no fixed amount of money in the world. Does all this money we are spending on digital information (movies, television, software, etc.) mean that there is less money for automobiles. Car manufacturers have only made a profit on financing their cars for more than a decade.
I'm not sure why he decided to put it in a blog rather than the forum, but, whatever.
There are several replies.
Wizard's Andy Rooney blog entry
I have never been able to totally shake this kind of thinking and I do see it pop up other places sometimes, as in the Rooney comments. I can believe "there is no fixed amount of money in the world" and I certainly recognize there is no need to sit around worrying about the whole business as Rooney is doing [comments in the Wizard's blog agreeing]. Nonetheless he is not coming up with this kind of thinking out of whole cloth. My 2 cents.
That doesn't mean service-based industry doesn't create wealth. A lot of services allow producers to increase productivity, so they thereby create wealth. Doc made this point better than I in the blog.
Regarding the point at hand, there is no shame in providing a service that is enjoyed by the public. Those in service-based jobs should not be shamed because they are not contributing to the growth of the economy, but rather grinding it down. I don't think society should be judged by the size of its economy, but rather by how happy its members are. A good economy will bring happiness, but that is not the only thing that can. If I mow your lawn, and you cut my hair in exchange, that may be an economically neutral transaction, but not happiness neutral. Hopefully both parties performed a service they enjoyed doing, and received a service they enjoyed receiving.
In my opinion there is some optimal balance between jobs in products and services. A product-heavy economy will be wasteful of natural resources, and a service-heavy economy will find itself shut out of the benefits of global free trade. The only jobs I think are wasteful are those that perform a service that does not benefit the public. I think the IRS and the billions of hours that go into preparing tax forms are such an example, when taxes could more efficiently be collected on the consumption end. However, that is a topic for another day. To be fair, I think professional gamblers fall under that category too, for consuming goods and services only, and creating none.
To conclude, I applaud those who are gainfully employed creating some kind of service the public enjoys.
First, the actual buildings, tables, chips, hotel rooms, restaurants, and physical assets all require manual labor and construction jobs to create. Without the casinos, there would be no construction jobs to build them. Without the casinos, all of the construction jobs to build the homes to house the casino workers, roads, sewers, water, and other services would not be there.
Secondly, all of the jobs that the casino industry creates creates direct wealth for the workers there. Those dollars translate into groceries, houses, cars, cell phones, and so on and so forth, all of which require American know-how and capital.
Not everyone who goes to Vegas are losers. Certainly, most are. But is 5 hours in a casino any worse than 5 hours at a golf course, or 2 hours in a bowling alley, or 3 hours in a theater watching a lousy movie? They are all the same... entertainment.
I'd love to see Rooney come on next week and complain about what a waste of land and resources (water, trees) and time that golf courses are. Personally, I think the 3 minutes he is on each week is a complete waste of time, and just like we have the choice to gamble, we have the choice to watch.
Quote: Wizard
In my opinion there is some optimal balance between jobs in products and services.
That balance also changes, and changes very quickly. Look at how much the real estate and home improvement was driving the economy just a few years ago. People couldn't add enough decks, or improve rooms, or buy furniture for properties that just improved in value at unbelievable rate.
Tourism is one of the biggest drivers of the world economy.
If you ever have any doubt about what is the worst that can happen if the government tries to drive the economy from what it "is" to what they want it "to be" then read about China around 1960. The end result was possibly as bad or worse than WWII in death and destruction.
It's ironic, too, as a respectable chunk of gambling in America is done through State lotteries.
It creates far more.Quote: boymimboFirst, the actual buildings, tables, chips, hotel rooms, restaurants, and physical assets all require manual labor and construction jobs to create. Without the casinos, there would be no construction jobs to build them. Without the casinos, all of the construction jobs to build the homes to house the casino workers, roads, sewers, water, and other services would not be there.
There's a kid flipping burgers at McDonalds in Henderson. He has no interest in gambling. But if it weren't for the opportinities created by gambling, would his parents have even moved to Nevada a few years ago? Would that McDonalds even exist?
Gambling has turned a dry wasteland into an oasis that extends far beyond the city borders.
Quote: DJTeddyBearIt creates far more.
There's a kid flipping burgers at McDonalds in Henderson. He has no interest in gambling. But if it weren't for the opportinities created by gambling, would his parents have even moved to Nevada a few years ago? Would that McDonalds even exist?
Gambling has turned a dry wasteland into an oasis that extends far beyond the city borders.
Of course the argument is that if Las Vegas did not exist, the capital that flowed there over the last 50 years would have been invested elsewhere. Its reasonable to say that the capital directed towards LV development in the last 10 years or so could have been more efficiently allocated towards other areas of the economy, rather than construction.
Of course, its not only LV, its the massive amounts of capital that the real estate boom sucked up all over the country in the last decade. If the country is left with an oversupply of real estate - commercial, residential, whatever - its easy to look back and say the capital was not allocated appropriately. Investors lose out obviously, but society as a whole also looses out.
What good does a LV with 70% occupency rates do? Just like the gov't paying people to dig holes and fill them back in, it created temporary employment booms, but was it the most efficient allocation of capital? I'd say probably not.
There are several comments above that I agree with and several that I disagree with. Some of the disagreement may be due to the way I have used the term “wealth.”
Let it be clear that in my previous comments, I have not meant at all to disparage those who provide desired services, money-earning services, to others. Many services are necessary for our society to function, and those who perform them should be compensated properly and respected for their efforts. As I note below, I do not feel that they necessarily are actually creating wealth for society, but they deserve to receive a share of that wealth from whomever they are providing services to.
Earning a good salary or wage by doing a good job may result in a much larger bank account for you, something you may view as creating your own wealth. But that does not “create wealth” in my terminology; it just moved that wealth from someone else to you, probably deservedly so. Actually creating wealth requires that something of lasting, intrinsic value come into existence, without consuming resources that represented greater value than what was created. Each time wealth is created in this way, it is possible that there was another way that a different wealth (perhaps even more wealth) could have been created, perhaps later, using those same resources.
There is the example that boymimbo presented (and DJTeddyBear added to) about the gaming industry having created wealth through all of the tables, chips, hotel rooms and other physical assets that are now in place. No, the gaming industry did not create wealth there. If wealth was created, it was created by the individuals and companies that manufactured the chips and tables and built the hotel rooms, etc. The gaming industry provided a market demand through which different forms of wealth (cash reserves, inventory of physical goods) were exchanged. That exchange did not create wealth, no matter how much someone got paid in the process. Society as a whole still had everything it had before; it just changed hands. The thing of importance that the gaming industry did was to provide the demand that encouraged others to create wealth.
Wealth can be created, destroyed, shared, exchanged, etc. Normal inefficiencies destroy wealth. If we do not create wealth somewhere along the line, we just reallocate pieces of an ever-shrinking pie, likely among an ever-increasing number of sharers. All of the exchanges that take place, transferring wealth from one to another, do not make the pie any bigger.
My other point related to a national economy. If one nation or society tends to create wealth while another does not, the society that does the creating of wealth is likely to become the stronger and more stable. In my opinion, it is very worrisome that the U.S. economy has moved so heavily away from those practices that actually create wealth (agriculture being a notable exception), depending upon other societies to do the creating while we go deeper into debt trying to cut and rearrange the pie pieces as fast as we can.
And I disagree with Andy Rooney’s position on gambling.
Quote: dictionary.com1. a great quantity or store of money, valuable possessions, property, or other riches: the wealth of a city.
2. an abundance or profusion of anything; plentiful amount: a wealth of imagery.
3. Economics.
a. all things that have a monetary or exchange value.
b. anything that has utility and is capable of being appropriated or exchanged.
4. rich or valuable contents or produce: the wealth of the soil.
5. the state of being rich; prosperity; affluence: persons of wealth and standing.
By your definition, isn't wealth simply "profit"? Society does have more wealth when a company pays money (which he/she exchanges for goods and services for the value of his/her work. Wealth is grown through the conversion of human work to a tangible good. Yes, that good has to come from somewhere and the service has to be paid for, but the somewhere is the earth and the service is the cost paid to convert those natural resources to something usable.
I got lost in your parenthetical phrase that didn't close, and I don't want my misunderstanding to distort your meaning. I am not sure how society has more wealth by paying money for a service. On the other hand, I completely agree that wealth is grown through conversion of human work (a resource) to a tangible good. I'm not sure I follow completely "the service is the cost paid to convert those natural resources to something usable." What I think you are describing is the production of a physical product, which (if done efficiently) can generate new "wealth". Typically, in a discussion such as this, the term "service" is used to describe those society functions that might be very important but which do not create products, such as banking, health care, insurance, transportation, communication, etc. That is, service industries as opposed to manufacturing industries.
My point has been that as important as these service functions are, it is dangerous to have a national economy based too heavily on them and let some other national economy generate the new wealth. I haven't studied the specific case, but this might be related to the fact that Chinese industry is manufacturing a lot of products (creating wealth), selling them to us, and investing their new wealth in U.S. national debt. I think this pattern will have a tendency to make their economy much stronger and more stable than ours. This is also, perhaps, why the Chinese government was so concerned recently when they thought there was a risk that the U.S. might default on or downgrade some of the debt.
Quote: DocI am not sure how society has more wealth by paying money for a service.
Easy. Let's say you're a cattle rancher and want to sell 1,000 heads of cattle (that's 1,000 cows). How do you go about it?
In most modern countries, you'd pay truckers and/or a freight railroad to take the cows to a slaughterhouse. These businesses produce "nothing" but they move your cattle from ranch to slaughterhouse. Of course any production is worthless if it cannot reach market, yes?
Next the slaughterhouse will ship sides of beef to a meat-packing plant, where various cuts are made and packaged.
Next they make their way to wholesale distributors who have the capital to buy large quantities of meat, and the facilities (capital goods) to safely store it and deliver it. The distributor will sell the meat to retail distributors like supermarkets and butcher shops, or to large consumers such as hotels, restaurants or commissary departments of large businesses.
You can argue the shipping companies involved and the wholesaler don't produce anything, but they do provide a service that is valuable to all involved.
As to casinos, why do you go to a casino? Do you think you get value for your money? If so, then what is the question?
Nareed's example shows a good relationship between the "production/manufacturing" side and the "services" side. The rancher produces 1,000 new head of cattle with his 1,000 cows and some bulls. That product is sent along the chain and many "services" are used.
I think there needs to be a balance between the two. We can't just have someone else produce everything. What if they decide they don't need to use their money from production to buy our services? I know that is overly simplistic, but I think we need both. We can't just let all production go offshore.
I guess I didn’t actually say it in this thread, but I believe I did in the comments section of the Wizard’s blog. Service industries can contribute to the generation of new wealth to the extent that they enable or improve the efficiency of the manufacturing/production sector. The examples that I gave were communications and information services.
I have already noted that I consider agriculture a production industry, and the cattle ranching and meat processing industries are included. Nareed’s example of transportation to enable and improve the efficiency of this industry is indeed another example of a service industry contributing to the increase of society wealth. On the other hand, I don’t know that trading of cattle futures actually generates society wealth, although one could potentially make a personal fortune at it (while perhaps destroying someone else’s).
There are other examples where the issue becomes quite fuzzy. Consider the generation of electrical power. Converting the chemical energy of coal to electrical energy is an inefficient process, but it converts this resource to a much more usable form, not unlike the refining of ores. The issue becomes fuzzy for electrical power because the “product” is rather transient – we don’t store it very well for future utility the way a physical product lasts. Did the generation of electricity by this service industry generate wealth or not? I think it at least has a potential for that.
If the electricity is used to power machinery at a manufacturing plant, I would expect it to aid in generating wealth (though it doesn’t always.) On the other hand, if the electricity is used to power the recording, transmission, and viewing of my favorite television shows, I don’t really consider it as generating society wealth in the same manner; it just makes my life (and perhaps yours) a little more enjoyable. I don’t fault this second application at all, but I wouldn’t want our nation’s economy to be based too heavily on this type of venture. That is what I have been trying to say.
Gambling, when it is a form of entertainment, may make our lives more enjoyable (or more frustrating), and I don’t think at all that it warrants legal prohibition the way Mr. Rooney suggests. But I do not have any delusions that it is generating new net wealth for our society. Since it consumes resources without generating wealth, it has those inefficiencies that make it a drag on the overall, long-term economy, no matter how much we may enjoy it and no matter how many dollars change hands many times. That doesn’t necessarily mean it is a bad thing, but I wouldn’t want our national economy based on it.
Let's say it's just Doc and I in the entire world -- me, Doc, and natural resources. Doc's a carpenter and I'm an iron worker. Doc cuts down trees and makes some lumber. I dig up some ore and make iron ingots. Our economy has grown -- our total wealth is lumber and iron ingots. Now I take some of that iron and make some nails. Doc and I agree to make two houses with his lumber and my nails. Again our economy has grown. We now have ore, lumber, nails, and two houses. Wealth has increased -- there's more things in our economy.
Let's go back to the beginning again where it's just Doc and I. This time I'm an accountant and Doc is a lawyer. I can do Doc's books and Doc can make up some laws to govern accountants sensibly. We provided services to each other, but if I look at the economy as a whole all I see is just Doc and myself. We haven't created any wealth -- from an economist's perspective.
Quote: helpmespockThe traditional economist's version of the term "wealth" means that there are more things in the economy after some economic activity.
That would be a very traditional view which most economists wouldn't use anymore. All of the wealthiest men in this country before WWI built there fortunes in production or transportation. Almost all of the wealthiest men now built their money in organizations or organizing principles. By which I include media, retailing and distribution of goods WALMART, or software (MICROSOFT), chips (INTEL), or computers (DELL). I would also include finance in that list.
But there is a dichotomy sometimes expressed as money makes you poor. It's pretty obvious from classical times that the easiest way to make money is to make money. From the issuance of silver coins which could be shaved a little for the seignor, to the times of the Spanish Empire when they controlled all of the gold in the world. If you go to Seville, you see what an amazing city they built in a few decades after Colombus. Nearly all the gold would arrive via Seville.
Nowdays, of course with fiat money you just have to print it. The $100 bill is by far the most valuable export of the US economy, far exceeding airplanes (the most often cited super export of the USA). But the reality that we learned from Spain in the 15th and 16th century, that the presence of most of the money in the world meant that the society completely changed. The acquisition of money became the central occupation, and most people lost their ability to work trades. As the world broadened the country of Spain quickly went from the wealthiest nation ever known to civilization to one of the poorest ones.
Of course, I am not really an economist. You did, however, remind me about the old comment that if you ask two economists about any situation, you will get three opinions. At least.
Edit: pacomartin, I liked very much the example in your final paragraph. I did not see your post until after I initially submitted this one. As for your first paragraph, I think I would place Dell, Intel, and even Microsoft in a different category than I would finance. My terminology -- perhaps a bit dated -- would consider the first three production or manufacturing industries but would classify finance as a service industry. As I have already argued into the ground, I believe that finance generates new "wealth" when helping the manufacturing/production industries perform better and otherwise mostly is involved in the transfer of wealth. I don't feel I am maligning the finance industry. Finance was my first minor in my terminal studies.
Quote: pacomartinThat would be a very traditional view which most economists wouldn't use anymore. All of the wealthiest men in this country before WWI built there fortunes in production or transportation. Almost all of the wealthiest men now built their money in organizations or organizing principles. By which I include media, retailing and distribution of goods WALMART, or software (MICROSOFT), chips (INTEL), or computers (DELL). I would also include finance in that list.
When you say "wealthiest men" and "fortunes" you're talking about indviduals who have a lot of money -- Michael Dell, Bill Gates. That's different beast from macroeconomic wealth.
That said it's funny you mention those areas because my job is a software programmer -- I program the software that shows your radiologist your digital x-rays. I believe most macroeconomic people classify software as a service. I'm not sure I'd agree with that, but software is not strictly a good either.
Quote: pacomartinNowdays, of course with fiat money you just have to print it. The $100 bill is by far the most valuable export of the US economy, far exceeding airplanes (the most often cited super export of the USA). But the reality that we learned from Spain in the 15th and 16th century, that the presence of most of the money in the world meant that the society completely changed. The acquisition of money became the central occupation, and most people lost their ability to work trades. As the world broadened the country of Spain quickly went from the wealthiest nation ever known to civilization to one of the poorest ones.
There's a great series of articles at one of our national newspapers about money supply and how it affects things:
How the money in the economy is managed
Ultimately, Rooney looks at the gambling revenue in the U.S. and fears "...that people fritter away money so they don't get to spend it on things that someone else has been paid to produce....who's best for this country - a machinist at an automobile plant in Detroit or a blackjack dealer in Las Vegas?"
Ol' Andy thinks we're a bunch of idiots who can't be trusted to act in our own self-interest. While he might not be so bold as to suggest that he has a better way to spend that 30-odd billion dollars, I suspect he might be more than happy to have all those smart people in Washington take it and do what's best for us. They can plan out the best way to spend it, determine how many people we need in each job, set their pay, and decide what we need to produce.
To Rooney, the problem in Detroit isn't the cost of labor, it's that we're frittering away our money at the tables instead of buying Chevrolets.