ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 13th, 2020 at 5:25:23 AM permalink
I want to know the odds on 'NOT HITTING' 5/8 tiers also known as tiers du cylindre which the numbers are 5-8, 10-11, 13-16, 23-24, 27-30, 33-36 in 17 times in a row or in 17 consecutive spins. This is on european roulette so only one zero. Thank you!
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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April 13th, 2020 at 6:00:09 AM permalink
Can't copy off the student next to you when class is virtual?
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
ThatDonGuy
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OnceDearameetace11
April 13th, 2020 at 1:31:24 PM permalink
Figure out the probability of hitting it on one spin. Let this be P.

The probability of not hitting it on that spin = 1 - P.

The probability of not hitting it on N consecutive spins = (1 - P)N.
ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 14th, 2020 at 6:13:02 AM permalink
Thank you but i dont understand
can you give an examples sir...
ThatDonGuy
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ameetace11
April 14th, 2020 at 8:16:58 AM permalink
Quote: ameetace11

Thank you but i dont understand
can you give an examples sir...


From what I understand, a Tiers du Cylinder is simply betting six pairs of adjacent (on the table, not on the wheel) numbers: 5-8, 10-11, 13-16, 23-24, 27-30, and 33-36.
For those of you wondering what these numbers have in common: they are all adjacent to each other on a single-zero wheel, located between the 1 and the 6.

The probability that any of these 12 numbers comes up on a single-zero wheel is 12/37; P = 12/37.
This means the probability that none of them do in a single spin is 1 - P = 25/37.
The probability that none of them do in 17 consecutive spins is (1 - P)17 = (25/37)17 = about 1 / 784.

Pardon me for asking, but what is the significance of 17 spins?
Please, please, please, pleasepleaseplease, did I mention "please," please tell me you are not doing the following:
Bet 6 on the first round; if that loses, bet 6 again, then 12, 18, 24, 36, 54, 84, 126, 186, 282, 420, 630, 948, 1422, 2130, 3198, and start over with 6 after you win.
The amount you lose when - and I do mean when - you lose 17 bets in a row is more than the total of all of your wins up to that point.
Last edited by: ThatDonGuy on Apr 14, 2020
ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 14th, 2020 at 12:09:52 PM permalink
WOWWW!!! Thank you so much. My friend and me got the same right so 784 to 1 but he said there could be different outcomes whereas one other friend said the odds is 10,000 to 1. I am not do doing the bet 6 12 18 24 no dont worry. original tactic can survive 14 spins. I can make £150 in hour and it is safer. I adjusted the routine to survive to 17 spins. So if you have £500. you can survive till 17 spins and the computer roulette called advanced roulette allows max 200 pound bet on the tiers du cylindre. I have done 40 sessions right and never failed meaning i only got to 13 losses in a row as in not hitting those 12 numbers in 13 spins so i was curious. If you dont understand let me know.

I thought it would be way higher you know like 5000 to 1 rather than 784 to 1. Like number landing back to back is around 1300 to 1 right. But not hitting those 12 numbers in 17 or 20 in a row seems more crazier...
ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 14th, 2020 at 12:14:14 PM permalink
Also to add on. I wager 0.60p to win 1.80 so profit is 1.20 per spin or lets say win. I can explain further if needed.
ThatDonGuy
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ameetace11
April 14th, 2020 at 12:59:45 PM permalink
Quote: ameetace11

I have done 40 sessions right and never failed


Not surprising; the probability of winning 40 sessions in a row is 95%.
For that matter, you have a 50% chance of winning 543 sessions in a row.

However, ask yourself: if you do lose 17 in a row, do you lose more than 784 times what you would have won in an average win?
(Hint: yes.)
ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 14th, 2020 at 1:52:31 PM permalink
oooooh i like what it is. I am not good at maths. Its been a while. Can you explain lol what you mean by 95% win rate if i do 40 wins a row. And 50% in 543 sessions....
[Link redacted by Mod:OD] check this out. I adjusted a bit.
Last edited by: OnceDear on Apr 14, 2020
ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 14th, 2020 at 1:53:19 PM permalink
put this behind youtube you know with /[Link redacted by Mod:OD]
Last edited by: OnceDear on Apr 14, 2020
ThatDonGuy
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ameetace11
April 14th, 2020 at 2:01:27 PM permalink
Quote: ameetace11

oooooh i like what it is. I am not good at maths. Its been a while. Can you explain lol what you mean by 95% win rate if i do 40 wins a row. And 50% in 543 sessions....


Each of your sessions has a 783/784 chance of winning.
The probability of 40 consecutive sessions winning is 783/784 x 783/784 x 783/784 x ... x 783/784 (40 times) = about 0.95, which is 95%.
Similarly, the probability of 543 consecutive sessions winning is (783/784)543 = about 0.5, which is 50%.
ameetace11
ameetace11
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April 14th, 2020 at 2:12:28 PM permalink
Make sense. Be on this if not i will msg you or let you know on. this thread how my thing goes and ask for your advice if i do end up winning. to be smart for future things
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