Poll

1 vote (7.14%)
5 votes (35.71%)
9 votes (64.28%)

14 members have voted

mustangsally
mustangsally
Joined: Mar 29, 2011
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September 27th, 2018 at 4:56:00 PM permalink
The Grand Slam Home Run is such a fun event when it happens.

I know I lost my voice screaming and cheering at least 2 times
when I watched it at the game. Mike Trout did it once
and I forget the other right now.

I now have 2 years of data on this (2018 and 2017 regular seasons)
and hope to have more (up to 10 years)

Question is for the poll:

about HALF (50%) of ALL MLB regular season 'Grand Slams'
are hit when there are how many out(s)?

one could add
why they think so

Sally

added: in season 2017
MLB had 179 days of scheduled games.
In 130 of those games at least 1 grand slam was hit.
There were 133 total grand slams hit.
3 games had exactly 2 hit during the same game
Last edited by: mustangsally on Sep 27, 2018
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smoothgrh
smoothgrh
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September 27th, 2018 at 5:11:02 PM permalink
Thanks for the research!

I voted for "1 out" because 1) I figure it's more likely that the bases become loaded after at least one out is made, and 2) with a runner on third, it behooves the hitter to at least hit a flyball in the hopes of scoring one run on a sacrifice fly—and possibly that also increases the chance the ball gets hit out of the park!

FYI, thanks to pesky editors, most announcers now know to say only "grand slam," because "grand slam home run" is redundant. More editing trivia: "a new record" is also redundant, but it's often ignored because it "feels" more exciting.
billryan
billryan
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September 27th, 2018 at 5:42:44 PM permalink
I'm going to go with 2 puts.
My personal choice for most exciting play in baseball is the inside the park grand slam. The rarest of rare offensive plays.
beachbumbabs
Administrator
beachbumbabs
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September 27th, 2018 at 7:03:01 PM permalink
I said 2 outs.

It takes time for 3 guys to get on base, and there could be some back and forth getting there.

If there's 1 out and a runner on first, or even 2 on first and second, the next guy is often expected to sacrifice hit to advance him to a scoring position. 2 outs, they swing away. But 1 out often becomes 2 just because it's best strategy.

Also, a lot of times with 2 out and the big hitter coming up they'll walk him if there's a much weaker guy up behind him (or better matchup withe their pitcher). They will do that even when it loads the bases, because it doesn't matter if they strand 1, 2, or 3 - it just matters that they get the last guy out.

So, solo Homers seem to happen a lot with no outs, but grand slams seems like 2 outs most often.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
TomG
TomG
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September 27th, 2018 at 7:23:22 PM permalink
i Would bet quite a lot on two outs being the most common. Why? Because it feels right
TomG
TomG
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September 27th, 2018 at 7:24:46 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

But 1 out often becomes 2 just because it's best strategy.



Very rarely is it the best strategy. Outs are far more valuable than extra bases.
michael99000
michael99000
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Thanks for this post from:
Rigondeaux
September 27th, 2018 at 11:16:58 PM permalink
Fernando Tatis hit 2 grand slams in one inning on April 23,1999

When people discuss mlb records that will never be broken , this should be on that list. Might be tied someday , but nobody will ever hit 3 in one inning
RS
RS
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September 28th, 2018 at 12:16:35 AM permalink
I'm gonna go with 2 outs, for same reasons babs listed, more or less -- it takes some time to get people on all 3 bases.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 28th, 2018 at 7:18:16 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

I said 2 outs.

It takes time for 3 guys to get on base, and there could be some back and forth getting there.

If there's 1 out and a runner on first, or even 2 on first and second, the next guy is often expected to sacrifice hit to advance him to a scoring position. 2 outs, they swing away. But 1 out often becomes 2 just because it's best strategy.

Also, a lot of times with 2 out and the big hitter coming up they'll walk him if there's a much weaker guy up behind him (or better matchup withe their pitcher). They will do that even when it loads the bases, because it doesn't matter if they strand 1, 2, or 3 - it just matters that they get the last guy out.

So, solo Homers seem to happen a lot with no outs, but grand slams seems like 2 outs most often.



I would be stunned if BBB is not correct.
mustangsally
mustangsally
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September 28th, 2018 at 8:37:04 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Also, a lot of times with 2 out and the big hitter coming up they'll walk him if there's a much weaker guy up behind him (or better matchup withe their pitcher).

so far, I was staying away from that data but now find it interesting as MLB.com (Yahoo and ESPN) shows play-by-play (pitch-by-pitch too) and starting with 2017 the 1st 2 grand slams hit both had walks.

1st season slam
2 outs
Dodgers - Bottom 3rd
CHACIN PITCHING FOR SD
Toles flied out to center.
Seager lined out to left.
Turner doubled to deep left center.
González intentionally walked.
Forsythe hit by pitch, Turner to third, González to second.
Pederson homered to right (367 feet), Turner, González and Forsythe scored.


2nd slam of season
1 out
Indians - Top 9th
DYSON PITCHING FOR TEX
Díaz singled to center.
Naquin singled to left, Díaz to second.
Gomes lined out to right.
Almonte walked, Díaz to third, Naquin to second.
Santana walked, Díaz scored, Naquin to third, Almonte to second.
Lindor homered to right (401 feet), Naquin, Almonte and Santana scored.

This would be interesting to follow, but time consuming

Sally
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