Streak odds

I believe I made myself clear, nothing more to add.

Speculate all you like.

The winning sums speak for themselves if I'm playing badly then more power to bad playing players like me! As far as I know, I am playing better than perfectly. I still lost pretty big one session but the wins have more than eclipsed the loss. As you know, no matter how you play you might still lose. Or win.

Quote: MDawg

I As far as I know, I am playing better than perfectly.

perfect play could be accomplished by a computer - and there are players who have used a hidden computer - tracking every single card and computing the probabilities based on dozens of pieces of information

so that's what you believe? - that your play is equal or better than what a computer could do?


I'll be frank with you MDawg - I know a great deal about blackjack

and from what I've read from you - I don't believe you do


.

Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: MDawg

I As far as I know, I am playing better than perfectly.

perfect play could be accomplished by a computer - and there are players who have used a hidden computer - tracking every single card and computing the probabilities based on dozens of pieces of information

so that's what you believe? - that your play is equal or better than what a computer could do?


I'll be frank with you MDawg - I know a great deal about blackjack

and from what I've read from you - I don't believe you do


.
link to original post

And even that won't create a situation where you are winning all the time

The difference in the odds of winning 6 Pass Line bets in a row and winning 6 Player Baccarat bets in a row, is that there's an average of 8.5 rolls per shooter in craps. So you'll be waiting 8.5 times longer for that 1 in 70 chance to come along in craps (unless you're at the slowest baccarat table ever).
8.5 x 70 = 595 rolls of the dice

Quote: ChumpChange

The difference in the odds of winning 6 Pass Line bets in a row and winning 6 Player Baccarat bets in a row, is that there's an average of 8.5 rolls per shooter in craps. So you'll be waiting 8.5 times longer for that 1 in 70 chance to come along in craps (unless you're at the slowest baccarat table ever).
8.5 x 70 = 595 rolls of the dice
link to original post

It takes an average of 557/165 =~ 3.38 rolls to reach a pass line decision. So about 236 rolls to get 70 decisions. But 70 decisions is irrelevant to this calculation

Assuming a 0.493176 (p) probability of winning a baccarat player bet (excluding ties), it will take an average of (1/p) + (1/p)^2 + (1/p)^3 + (1/p)^4 + (1/p)^5 + (1/p)^6 = 135.2 decisions (excluding ties) to get six consecutive wins

For a passline bet in craps, the probability (p) of winning is 244/495. Using the same formula, it will take an average of 135.5 decisions to get six consecutive wins. That times 557/165 is about 457 rolls to get six consecutive wins

8.53 is the average number of rolls to seven out. Also irrelevant to this calculation

All of this math applies to hot, cold, choppy and even neutral tables. However, if tuttigym is shooting, then math is temporarily suspended