strictlyAP
strictlyAP
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March 25th, 2013 at 6:39:44 PM permalink
25 cent denom playing deuces wild


got dealt a full house on the prior hand so mulitp;iers on every hand next draw


got dealt 22279 of hearts for straight flush


is the correct play to keep the st8 flush and get a 12x multiplier on each hand for the next draw or to go for the deuces?
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
strictlyAP
strictlyAP
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March 25th, 2013 at 7:20:33 PM permalink
anyone?
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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March 25th, 2013 at 7:59:37 PM permalink
The worst you can do is quads on each hand of you go for the deuces. So I think you go for it, but I'm hardly an expert.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
tringlomane
tringlomane
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March 25th, 2013 at 9:22:09 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

The worst you can do is quads on each hand of you go for the deuces. So I think you go for it, but I'm hardly an expert.



This is my thought, unless the straight flush payout is a lot higher than I expect it being (like a "Colorado Deuces" 25/16/13 paytable). And with the fact we got a 5X multiplier already, I think the paytable point is moot and you should go with 222 regardless of paytable. The higher your current multiplier is, the less you care about maximizing future multipliers.

We can probably do some quick math if we knew the paytable.

It's roughly the higher of the two following things (based on 10-play multipliers):

[5*(Straight Flush EV) + 12*(game EV)]/2

or

[5*(222 EV) + 7.021277*(game EV)]/2

7.021277 is the avg. multiplier you get if you break the straight flush

For the best paying Deuces version (25/15/9/4/4/3) the numbers would go as follows:

[5*9.000 + 12*0.994362]/2 = 28.466172

or

[5*14.293247 + 7.02127*0.994362]/2 = 39.224

but if there wasn't a multiplier already it would be a lot closer:

[9.000 + 12*0.994362]/2 = 10.466172

or

[14.293247 + 7.02127*0.994362]/2 = 10.6375

In "Colorado Deuces" (25/16/13/4/3/2), without a multiplier you definitely would hold the straight flush

[13.000 + 12*0.972477]/2 = 12.334862

or

[14.757632 + 7.02127*0.972477]/2 = 10.792828
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