100xOdds
100xOdds
  • Threads: 644
  • Posts: 4329
Joined: Feb 5, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 5:59:13 PM permalink
1) Person plays $1 on every number of single Zero roulette except for 1 number.
the ball lands on the number he didnt choose.

wait for it.. wait for it...

2) e-craps: $100 Passline bet on 3/4/5x. Point is a 5. max odds ($400).
He wins $700 + $500 original bet = $1200 = W2G form. (e-craps is considered a slot machine.)
he has a stack of them in front of him, proudly displaying them.

if he only bet $1 less on odds...

3) e-craps: past history showed the point being hit 5 times in a row.
Since i play Dark and my bankroll = 5x my bet, it would have been game over QUICK.

Good thing I didnt arrive at the casino 1/2hr early!


How about you?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
sodawater
sodawater
  • Threads: 64
  • Posts: 3321
Joined: May 14, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 6:03:54 PM permalink
deleted
Last edited by: sodawater on Oct 1, 2018
sodawater
sodawater
  • Threads: 64
  • Posts: 3321
Joined: May 14, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 6:08:39 PM permalink
deleted
Last edited by: sodawater on Oct 1, 2018
s2dbaker
s2dbaker
  • Threads: 51
  • Posts: 3259
Joined: Jun 10, 2010
October 2nd, 2012 at 7:50:30 PM permalink
The Casino: The Four Queens
The Date: Saturday before the Super Bowl 2010
The Table: Texas Hold'm Bonus w/ $1 Progressive

A lady was playing smart, not betting the bonus or the progressive; just playing the ante and raises. She gets two suited high cards and on the flop, the rest of her royal appears. If she had been playing the progressive, she would have won over $80,000. The dealer called over the pit boss to show him what happened and the drunk at the far end of the table was being a real tool about it to the poor lady.

I just re-read the title of the thread and about three weeks ago, I hit my own royal at Texas Hold'em Bonus but there is no progressive bet in Atlantic City. I have experienced a Royal, just not a regretful one.
Someday, joor goin' to see the name of Googie Gomez in lights and joor goin' to say to joorself, "Was that her?" and then joor goin' to answer to joorself, "That was her!" But you know somethin' mister? I was always her yuss nobody knows it! - Googie Gomez
vegas
vegas
  • Threads: 31
  • Posts: 705
Joined: Apr 27, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 7:59:11 PM permalink
A few years ago I saw an old guy playing double double video poker. He gets dealt a hand of garbage but keeps the 4 of diamonds and the 2 of clubs. He looks at it for a few seconds before drawing cards. I just shake my head. He gets dealt the 2 of diamonds, 2 of spades and the 2 of hearts......four 2s with a kicker for 800 credits.
What the hell do I know
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
TIMSPEED
TIMSPEED
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 1246
Joined: Aug 11, 2010
October 2nd, 2012 at 9:12:32 PM permalink
In Vegas in May for WovCon...I saw 00 hit THREE TIMES IN A ROW at the Flamingo...I only know that because I heard people going FUCKING CRAZY! and me and my cousin were like WTF...until I looked up and saw the memory board.
This past weekend..I saw 4 "Yo's" roll IN A ROW (LUCKILY after the third, I bet $5 on the YO and it hit!)
I once fucked up at Shoot-To-Win and bet $25 on the hopping hard 4 & 10 (meaning only to bet $5 on each!) and it literally ran out of time JUST then, so I was like "Shit, I'm losing $50!" wouldn't ya know...HARD 10! for a $750 payday
Gambling calls to me...like this ~> http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Nap37mNSmQ
24Bingo
24Bingo
  • Threads: 23
  • Posts: 1348
Joined: Jul 4, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 10:26:02 PM permalink
Quote: sodawater

Have to say I wouldn't want to give the bathroom-goer anything...otherwise on a raked game it's a +EV to spend as much time in the bathroom as possible.



...no, it isn't, it's a waste of blinds.
The trick to poker is learning not to beat yourself up for your mistakes too much, and certainly not too little, but just the right amount.
AxiomOfChoice
AxiomOfChoice
  • Threads: 32
  • Posts: 5761
Joined: Sep 12, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 10:30:21 PM permalink
No, just leave right before your BB and come back in on your next BB.
Pokeraddict
Pokeraddict
  • Threads: 36
  • Posts: 786
Joined: Feb 21, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 11:12:58 PM permalink
A lot of poker rooms will consider you to be a part of the table for the BBJ table share as long as you have not missed the big blind.
24Bingo
24Bingo
  • Threads: 23
  • Posts: 1348
Joined: Jul 4, 2012
October 2nd, 2012 at 11:21:23 PM permalink
It's still not +EV in either case. If staying at the table for a free hand is -EV to you, rake or no rake, you're a losing player.
The trick to poker is learning not to beat yourself up for your mistakes too much, and certainly not too little, but just the right amount.
sodawater
sodawater
  • Threads: 64
  • Posts: 3321
Joined: May 14, 2012
October 3rd, 2012 at 12:35:14 AM permalink
deleted
Last edited by: sodawater on Oct 1, 2018
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
  • Threads: 326
  • Posts: 9591
Joined: Nov 9, 2009
October 3rd, 2012 at 1:03:40 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

e-craps: past history showed the point being hit 5 times in a row.
Since i play Dark and my bankroll = 5x my bet, it would have been game over QUICK.



Being a frequent dark side player, I'd say nothing particularly stunning about this one IMO. Odds are against it, I mean it would be nice to lay even 40 to one against it happening, I think.

At a 10x odds table darkside, my stop loss condition is 4 points won for the right bettors in a row, but 3 points in a row that are the 4 or 10. Even though you roughly need to win 2/3 times when a point is set, darkside, the chances of the above happening instead are pretty good per my experience at the casino and also in simulations [for a set of 20 or so trials]
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
24Bingo
24Bingo
  • Threads: 23
  • Posts: 1348
Joined: Jul 4, 2012
October 3rd, 2012 at 1:10:24 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Being a frequent dark side player, I'd say nothing particularly stunning about this one IMO. Odds are against it, I mean it would be nice to lay even 40 to one against it happening, I think.



Protip: 2^5 = 32.

(More relevantly, (495/244)^5 ~= 34.4)

Quote: sodawater

the point is the table is taking a dollar for the bad beat drop every hand -- if there are 8 players at the table, that's 12.5 cents that's coming out of my EV every hand I get dealt in. However these 12.5 cents are exactly returned to my EV since the BB jackpot returns 100% to players. But in the bathroom, if the players cut me in, I get the benefit without the cost. So every hand I am in the bathroom I make 12.5 cents.



You know what else helps? Not playing every hand. Then not only do you contribute less, but you don't have to count on the other players' pity, and I think you'll find the game you've allegedly come to play will be kinder to you as well.
The trick to poker is learning not to beat yourself up for your mistakes too much, and certainly not too little, but just the right amount.
sodawater
sodawater
  • Threads: 64
  • Posts: 3321
Joined: May 14, 2012
October 3rd, 2012 at 1:33:12 AM permalink
deleted
Last edited by: sodawater on Oct 1, 2018
midwestgb
midwestgb
  • Threads: 12
  • Posts: 465
Joined: Dec 8, 2009
October 3rd, 2012 at 10:56:36 AM permalink
I just saw the 4 rolled five consecutive times, with the last three being hardways. Yep, after the second hard 4 I finally got the dealers and myself on it, and it hit the final time...
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
  • Threads: 326
  • Posts: 9591
Joined: Nov 9, 2009
October 4th, 2012 at 12:41:58 AM permalink
Quote: 24Bingo

Protip: 2^5 = 32.

(More relevantly, (495/244)^5 ~= 34.4)



no, not that bet, the bet I'm talking about ignores outcomes that are resolved with one roll on the come-out.

Playing 10x odds turns you into the kind of player that no longer pays much attention to bets that are limited to what you placed on the line.

[5/11]^5 = 0.0194037913456 [if all points are worst case, the 6 or 8, darkside, assuming I got 5/11 right]

1/0.0194037913456 = 51.53631999999627949

doublecheck: 1/51.53631999999627949 = 0.0194037913456

not sure, but I think this means is that 50 or so to one is a fair bet in a worst case scenario

out of embarrassment, quietly changing my mind [g]

the odds of losing on the darkside are the odds of winning rightside, 6:5, or 6/11 chances.


Wrong again. The odds are against you when you are a right bettor trying to make a point. That's why it pays better than even. Perhaps I was right in the first place.

[6/11]^5 = 0.04828284208108

1/0.04828284208108 = 20.71129115226333432018

double-check, 1/20.71129115226333432018 = 0.04828284208108000000000292

so fair bet might be roughly 20:1 and I would get killed with original prop if the shooter kept getting 6s and 8s to make.

the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
  • Jump to: