mrjjj
mrjjj
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June 21st, 2012 at 4:53:09 PM permalink
Question for the roulette trend guys. Lets say red has hit 9 times in a row. I guess we could call that a trend (future, past or present, whatever).

Question being......lets say red has hit 15 of the last 20 spins. We'll throw in one zero and four blacks, kind of scattered around.

Would you still say red is the current trend OR is the definition....it must be all back to back reds?

Ken
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:21:36 PM permalink
I think it depends on how long back you look. Like, with stocks, people look at 100 day, 50 day, and 20 day moving averages to try to find value in the current market.

If you look back all 20 spins, red would clearly be the trend. If you look back 10 spins and all 5 non-red spins are in those 10, it's less clear. If you look at the last 5 spins only, maybe 3 are black.

I guess stock prices are serially correlated, while roulette spins are not, but it's the same basic idea.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
midwestgb
midwestgb
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:23:28 PM permalink
Depends upon the TYPE of trend. Purely a mathematical trend...sure. A trend relative to the ball's behavior as relates to potential dealer signature or wheel bias...nope.
mrjjj
mrjjj
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:27:39 PM permalink
Lets say it looked like this >>

R
R
R
R
L
R
L
R
R
0
R
R
L
R
R
R
L
R
R
R

So RED is the trend, I guess?

Ken
rdw4potus
rdw4potus
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:32:10 PM permalink
Quote: mrjjj

Lets say it looked like this >>

R
R
R
R
L
R
L
R
R
0
R
R
L
R
R
R
L
R
R
R

So RED is the trend, I guess?

Ken



Yessir. But you know that most people here would tell you that it doesn't mean anything.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:32:45 PM permalink
If you bet one unit on red and 2 on black, that will instantly become a positive trend.
mrjjj
mrjjj
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:34:28 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

Yessir. But you know that most people here would tell you that it doesn't mean anything.




Well aware of that.

Ken
EvenBob
EvenBob
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June 21st, 2012 at 5:41:25 PM permalink
Quote: rdw4potus

Yessir. But you know that most people here would tell you that it doesn't mean anything.



It doesn't mean much. By the time you notice its a
trend its usually almost over.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
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