Poll
2 votes (13.33%) | |||
3 votes (20%) | |||
10 votes (66.66%) |
15 members have voted
My money is on Ken Jennings. Ken and Brad know about Holzhauer's strategy so they can adapt their play accordingly.
Rutter, because of the rules, was forced to leave after 5 wins. He never proved if he could mount a prolonged winning streak and won almost all of his money from tournament play.
Maybe some casino will put it up in their sports book, if they haven't already.
2. I doubt any Vegas bookies will take bets on this. It was filmed a month ago, and the results are known by at least a couple hundred people.
3. If someone in Vegas wants to get involved in this for a good cause, James is having a watch party at a charity event the night of Jan 7th across from the Rio (generic name, like The Place or something). Tickets are $100, but he's appearing for free. Local charity benefiting is a program for high school kids at risk.
Quote: beachbumbabs1. There's another thread on this with several bets offered and placed.
2. I doubt any Vegas bookies will take bets on this. It was filmed a month ago, and the results are known by at least a couple hundred people.
3. If someone in Vegas wants to get involved in this for a good cause, James is having a watch party at a charity event the night of Jan 7th across from the Rio (generic name, like The Place or something). Tickets are $100, but he's appearing for free. Local charity benefiting is a program for high school kids at risk.
I think that puts the odds on him winning even more. I dont think he makes this effort for people to watch him lose.
Quote: GWAEI think that puts the odds on him winning even more. I dont think he makes this effort for people to watch him lose.
He booked the event before they taped the games. And it won't be resolved that night no matter who won. It's going to go at least 3 evenings in a row.
Show starts tomorrow night on ABC, 8 pm.
https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/28429258/did-jeopardy-goat-champ-get-leaked-offshore-books-say-yes
Quote: beachbumbabsArticle on the betting being pulled due to possible leak of the results.
Show starts tomorrow night on ABC, 8 pm.
https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/28429258/did-jeopardy-goat-champ-get-leaked-offshore-books-say-yes
I don't know how there can be betting on it when the entire studio audience already knows who won. Producers know, cameramen know, studio people, judges, lighting people, etc, etc.
Quote: TDVegasI don't know how there can be betting on it when the entire studio audience already knows who won. Producers know, cameramen know, studio people, judges, lighting people, etc, etc.
The article gets into that some, which books were taking bets, why some cut off. Others are still going.
The bets on Contestant X could be winners or losers, sharp (pro) or square (public); we don't know either way. All we know for sure is that in mid-December, savvy bettors, armed with what they believed was the inside scoop, unleashed enough bets on Contestant X that multiple sportsbooks decided to take the odds off the board.Quote: beachbumbabsThe article gets into that some, which books were taking bets, why some cut off. Others are still going.
Meanwhile there was probably only a few thousand dollars in action put down on that bet.
Looks like some idiot kept hammering it from his account.
Quote: AxelWolf...Looks like some idiot kept hammering it from his account.
Hehe... Uh oh... The article is pretty clear that the action shifted away from Holtzhaur...
It’s a bummer because my local affiliate only scheduled the tournament for three nights out of a possible 7 max, so it looks like a sweep.
https://www.dailymotion.com/President_Eisenhower
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x7q5rb2
I also would prefer not to know the result of this evening's game, so would be grateful for a link and any results put in spoilers. Cheers
Quote: charliepatrickOn Monday I used this link to watch the normal program (2020-01-06). I was slightly confused as towards the end he said see everyone tomorrow. So perhaps there's the normal 1/2 hour show as well as the hour-long special.
https://www.dailymotion.com/President_Eisenhower
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x7q5rb2
I also would prefer not to know the result of this evening's game, so would be grateful for a link and any results put in spoilers. Cheers
This is a special show, separate from the daily 1/2 hour.
Quote: AyecarumbaHehe... Uh oh... The article is pretty clear that the action shifted away from Holtzhaur...
It’s a bummer because my local affiliate only scheduled the tournament for three nights out of a possible 7 max, so it looks like a sweep.
Hee hee indeed. I was enjoying the part where it said (paraphrase) away from Y and heavy onto X myself... Rutter is looking better all the time.
Still could be wrong about that. Odds on him initially were ridiculous, given his record. He's beaten the best of the best in about 5 Uber tournaments already, not just his year's ToC. And he's made a living off trivia for 20 years since. So the sharps may have been seeing his odds as the best bet before, given him a lot of action, then had a sure thing after. Should be really interesting no matter which way it goes.
Quote: charliepatrickOn Monday I used this link to watch the normal program (2020-01-06). I was slightly confused as towards the end he said see everyone tomorrow. So perhaps there's the normal 1/2 hour show as well as the hour-long special.
https://www.dailymotion.com/President_Eisenhower
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x7q5rb2
I also would prefer not to know the result of this evening's game, so would be grateful for a link and any results put in spoilers. Cheers
This was answered above, but the regular program is still airing via syndication tonight, and the GOAT tournament is a completely separate event. It's network, and should be available within a day or so on ABC.com, if you can access that overseas, and also on Hulu (with a few days delay).
For those overseas, syndication means a program is packaged for scheduling and showing on a local television system, not a nationwide (network) broadcast. So it might be on one of several network channels and is usually shown in non-prime time hours here - everyone has to figure out which local station bought that package for their viewing area.
A few sharps would watch the earlier show and then impress us with their "knowledge" when the same episode played on my bars tv's.
Quote: AussieAny chance someone could message me a link to watch when it becomes available? Prefer to avoid this and other threads and go in not knowing the episodes result. Thanks.
Well I forgot I follow Jeopardy! on instagram so inadvertently saw the result. Will unfollow them temporarily till this is over. Nevertheless, does anyone have a link to watch yet?
Not unlike some people do on the Forum with access to Google.Quote: billryanA few years ago, you could catch Jeopardy on a non-local cable station at 4pm, or watch it on the local channel at 7pm.
A few sharps would watch the earlier show and then impress us with their "knowledge" when the same episode played on my bars tv's.
Each day will be 2 shows. The cumulative money total of the 2 shows will determine a winner. He gets 1 point. 2nd and 3rd get nothing.
The first to reach 3 points wins.
So the max this could go is 7 days.
Quote: standbymymanA true determination of champion should be played WITHOUT daily doubles. Otherwise, too much depends on luck.
I disagree. If you take out the daily doubles, it isn't JEOPARDY!
As for the GOAT tournament, rather than making the total of two games a single match, I would have structured it as the first to win five individual games regardless of dollar amount. In the regular game, not wagering is sometimes a wise tactic, but in this format, in the first game, you must always bet it all if you are behind (and sometimes even if you are ahead).
https://www3.abc.go.com/shows/jeopardy-the-greatest-of-all-time
his whole 22k any thoughts on this?
Quote: HunterhillOn tonight's episode at end of 1st game James only bet 11,914 I would have thought he would have bet
his whole 22k any thoughts on this?
The way he wrote the “11 9 14” wager you could tell it was clearly an important date to him.
And, IMO, they are using unusually difficult questions for this competition. I felt like a dummy.
Quote: GWAEBabs, hope you dont have too much on rutter. He is completely out matched. Doubt he wins a game.
Yeah, it's not going well for him so far. I'm pulling for Ken at the moment. That would make our bet a draw.
Maybe it’s just me but there’s something with James that has always struck me as a bit strange. I can’t tell if it’s social awkwardness or what....but he just doesn’t give you that comfortable social interaction. Seems forced.
In any event....as strong as Ken has been, I don’t see him winning. I’d like to see Ken win....but if I was a betting man, it goes on James.
Quote: gordonm888And, IMO, they are using unusually difficult questions for this competition. I felt like a dummy.
Yeah the questions definitely seem harder than usual.
Quote: ams288Yeah the questions definitely seem harder than usual.
I like it that way. Sort of like how the obstacle course on American Ninja Warrior gets really crazy for the championship, it should be a challenge to all of them. Even so, the three seem to be able to produce the correct questions for almost every answer.
Quote: AyecarumbaI like it that way. Sort of like how the obstacle course on American Ninja Warrior gets really crazy for the championship, it should be a challenge to all of them. Even so, the three seem to be able to produce the correct questions for almost every answer.
I used to think the questions were harder.
But maybe that was when I was 13. ; )
If you’re watching the program at home with a friend who can consistently reel off the correct answers faster than you, even if you also know many of the answers you can still feel kind of dumb.
Edit - questions gee.
I wonder how the taping worked in real time? Do they usually do five regular shows in a taping day? Since these are "double length" matches consisting of two games each, did they tape three "matches" (6 regular games) in one day?
At this point, I'm hoping Ken wins it all, so our bet pushes.
Ratings for the show are thru the roof. 14 mill for Tue, 14.4 for Wed, 15.3 for Thur. Hopefully tonight will be even bigger. First in the time slot all 3 nights, they were 2-3-4 best ratings of 2020, after the Grammys. Last night CFBC might have beat them, haven't heard.
ABC is looking at other Jeopardy! show formatd to broadcast prime time. They can't believe how big this has gotten. And totally not expected. Fun!
Jeopardy test is Jan 28-30. Do it, people!
A) To extend the game,
B) He thought he would miss it.
C) He thought James would miss it.
Quote: AyecarumbaI was surprised Ken left himself open to be caught by not betting anything on the second Final Jeopardy. Do you think he did it:
A) To extend the game,
B) He thought he would miss it.
C) He thought James would miss it.
But if James got it wrong, Ken would win if he wagered nothing. Basically, he could not improve his chances of winning by wagering anything.
Quote: AyecarumbaI was surprised Ken left himself open to be caught by not betting anything on the second Final Jeopardy. Do you think he did it:
A) To extend the game.
B) He thought he would miss it.
C) He thought James would miss it.
D) None of the above. :)
Ken knew if James bet properly, which he most certainly would do, and if James was correct, he couldn't catch James. So he bet zero. This way if James missed that final question, he would win, whether he answered correctly or not.
I'm sure he didn't expect James would miss it, so your option of C is not correct.
The only way Ken could win would be if James missed it, and Ken was most certainly hoping for that outcome, but I doubt as if he expected it. But betting zero was fine in that situation.
Suggest any other forum bets on this event be acknowledged /settled here, since this thread is current and on-point. I think there were one or two others.
Quote: beachbumbabsThe bet was made in another thread, but I would like to note that I had Brad, Ayecarumba had James, and Ken was a push. So that bet has been retired afaic.
Suggest any other forum bets on this event be acknowledged /settled here, since this thread is current and on-point. I think there were one or two others.
Push acknowledged. It was a fun run. Thank you for the wager.
I like the double game idea. In the UK some quiz shows have four quarters (or similar idea), where each round loses a contestant(s). So perhaps four in the first half, so those trailing still have something to go for; and three go forward into the second half. On Friday the four winners of the week play for a big prize. End of season could bring back all the weekly winners. The only downside is you lose the winners who just stay on, but Friday should be a good show.Quote: beachbumbabs...ABC is looking at other Jeopardy! show formatd to broadcast prime time....
Quote: EdCollinsQuote: AyecarumbaI was surprised Ken left himself open to be caught by not betting anything on the second Final Jeopardy. Do you think he did it:
A) To extend the game.
B) He thought he would miss it.
C) He thought James would miss it.
D) None of the above. :)
Ken knew if James bet properly, which he most certainly would do, and if James was correct, he couldn't catch James. So he bet zero. This way if James missed that final question, he would win, whether he answered correctly or not.
I'm sure he didn't expect James would miss it, so your option of C is not correct.
The only way Ken could win would be if James missed it, and Ken was most certainly hoping for that outcome, but I doubt as if he expected it. But betting zero was fine in that situation.
I don't think this is accurate. Combined with the total from his dominating first match win, Ken could have wagered enough in the second final jeopardy to put his combined total out of reach, even if James bet everything and had a correct response.
No. James had enough that he would win if he bet nearly all. No matter what Ken did.Quote: AyecarumbaQuote: EdCollinsQuote: AyecarumbaI was surprised Ken left himself open to be caught by not betting anything on the second Final Jeopardy. Do you think he did it:
A) To extend the game.
B) He thought he would miss it.
C) He thought James would miss it.
D) None of the above. :)
Ken knew if James bet properly, which he most certainly would do, and if James was correct, he couldn't catch James. So he bet zero. This way if James missed that final question, he would win, whether he answered correctly or not.
I'm sure he didn't expect James would miss it, so your option of C is not correct.
The only way Ken could win would be if James missed it, and Ken was most certainly hoping for that outcome, but I doubt as if he expected it. But betting zero was fine in that situation.
I don't think this is accurate. Combined with the total from his dominating first match win, Ken could have wagered enough in the second final jeopardy to put his combined total out of reach, even if James bet everything and had a correct response.
Quote: AyecarumbaQuote: EdCollinsQuote: AyecarumbaI was surprised Ken left himself open to be caught by not betting anything on the second Final Jeopardy. Do you think he did it:
A) To extend the game.
B) He thought he would miss it.
C) He thought James would miss it.
D) None of the above. :)
Ken knew if James bet properly, which he most certainly would do, and if James was correct, he couldn't catch James. So he bet zero. This way if James missed that final question, he would win, whether he answered correctly or not.
I'm sure he didn't expect James would miss it, so your option of C is not correct.
The only way Ken could win would be if James missed it, and Ken was most certainly hoping for that outcome, but I doubt as if he expected it. But betting zero was fine in that situation.
I don't think this is accurate. Combined with the total from his dominating first match win, Ken could have wagered enough in the second final jeopardy to put his combined total out of reach, even if James bet everything and had a correct response.
I don't have the numbers in front of me, but the J! pros I hang with say that was, in fact, the situation. If James got it right and bet it all, Ken's wager would not be enough, even if he bet it all, too. James had over 32k banked, and his 44k or whatever doubled was more than Ken's bank +2x his game 2 total.
After the first half, Ken had 65,600; James had 34,181.
Going into the 2nd Final, Ken had 23,000; James had 44,000. So, doubling these values and adding to the Round 1 totals, you would get the max possible for Ken of 111,600. James' max possible would have been 122,181.