Hypothetical Baccarat rules - would you rather

Curious to get some people's thoughts on a hypothetical Baccarat rule.

If you had a baccarat game a winning 6 pays half and you had a choice of when you could draw, would you rather:
A. Stand on a 6 (knowing you have a semi-strong hand and don't want to risk it)
B. Draw on a 6 (because you want a chance for a full paying win)

Assume you don't know the bankers hand value or their drawing rules although you can assume it is similar to Baccarat.

I am getting that you expected return is much higher by drawing then by not drawing

this could be extra interesting if you saw the banker's first card but not second card.

Quote: zbrownson

Curious to get some people's thoughts on a hypothetical Baccarat rule.

If you had a baccarat game a winning 6 pays half and you had a choice of when you could draw, would you rather:
A. Stand on a 6 (knowing you have a semi-strong hand and don't want to risk it)
B. Draw on a 6 (because you want a chance for a full paying win)

Assume you don't know the bankers hand value or their drawing rules although you can assume it is similar to Baccarat.
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Drawing on a 6 is better. I calculated this exactly over an 8-deck shoe, covering every possible card combination, so the figures below have no sampling error.

Expected value (EV) per unit bet when the Player’s first two cards total 6:

Option EV given a two-card 6
A. Stand on 6 −2.85%
B. Draw on 6 +1.48%

Overall Player-bet EV, across all hands:

Policy Overall Player EV
Always stand on 6 −4.36%
Always draw on 6 −4.03%

This assumes normal banker drawing rules.

Quote: GrahamThorp

Quote: zbrownson

Curious to get some people's thoughts on a hypothetical Baccarat rule.

If you had a baccarat game a winning 6 pays half and you had a choice of when you could draw, would you rather:
A. Stand on a 6 (knowing you have a semi-strong hand and don't want to risk it)
B. Draw on a 6 (because you want a chance for a full paying win)

Assume you don't know the bankers hand value or their drawing rules although you can assume it is similar to Baccarat.
link to original post

Drawing on a 6 is better. I calculated this exactly over an 8-deck shoe, covering every possible card combination, so the figures below have no sampling error.

Expected value (EV) per unit bet when the Player’s first two cards total 6:

Option EV given a two-card 6
A. Stand on 6 −2.85%
B. Draw on 6 +1.48%

Overall Player-bet EV, across all hands:

Policy Overall Player EV
Always stand on 6 −4.36%
Always draw on 6 −4.03%

This assumes normal banker drawing rules.
link to original post

Yes, mathematically you are absolutely right, I was curious if peoples perception matched that though?

Quote: zbrownson

Yes, mathematically you are absolutely right, I was curious if peoples perception matched that though?
link to original post

I would go as far as to say that you should only get information on what makes a good game from other game inventors here, because this forum's membership is so unrepresentative of the regular casino gamblers who do not care about mathematics.

If there was a 3:2 payout for a 3-card 9, I bet people would hit the 6 more.