DDJoB progressive at $9,000- is it in a must hit stage?

So I'm currently at a casino on the east coast and they have a $1 9/5 Double Double Jacks or Better progressive with the following payouts right now:
Royal $9,010
Straight Flush 250
4 Aces with any 2,3,4 $2,608
4 2s, 3s, 4s w Ace/2/3/4 $1,309
4 Aces $926.26

Am I crazy but this high of a progressive on a bank of 8 machines seems like it's primed to hit soon? Have about $2k that I can throw at it(playing at 99% near perfect strategy... I tend to push for royals on certain hands over a pair which is technically the wrong play, but I prefer the royal or straight flush draws for the 'fun' aspect.) Have about 24 hours to decide if it's worth taking a huge stab at it.

Quote: ChallengedMilly

So I'm currently at a casino on the east coast and they have a $1 9/5 Double Double Jacks or Better progressive with the following payouts right now:
Royal $9,010
Straight Flush 250
4 Aces with any 2,3,4 $2,608
4 2s, 3s, 4s w Ace/2/3/4 $1,309
4 Aces $926.26

Am I crazy but this high of a progressive on a bank of 8 machines seems like it's primed to hit soon? Have about $2k that I can throw at it(playing at 99% near perfect strategy... I tend to push for royals on certain hands over a pair which is technically the wrong play, but I prefer the royal or straight flush draws for the 'fun' aspect.) Have about 24 hours to decide if it's worth taking a huge stab at it.

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Is it crowded as if a team is playing?

I’m now a VP player but believe there is an Internet calculator on WOV where you can input this pay table and get the RTP.

Quote: ChallengedMilly

So I'm currently at a casino on the east coast and they have a $1 9/5 Double Double Jacks or Better progressive with the following payouts right now:
Royal $9,010
Straight Flush 250
4 Aces with any 2,3,4 $2,608
4 2s, 3s, 4s w Ace/2/3/4 $1,309
4 Aces $926.26

Am I crazy but this high of a progressive on a bank of 8 machines seems like it's primed to hit soon? Have about $2k that I can throw at it(playing at 99% near perfect strategy... I tend to push for royals on certain hands over a pair which is technically the wrong play, but I prefer the royal or straight flush draws for the 'fun' aspect.) Have about 24 hours to decide if it's worth taking a huge stab at it.

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Of course, it is not "primed to hit soon," but its return is over 100%.

Put in the payouts to the Wizard's calculator to check to see if you get 103.4773%. https://wizardofodds.com/games/video-poker/analyzer/

Ok so went down stairs with $400, hit a couple flushes, couple full houses, like two straights and... 4 Aces + kicker for a payday of $3,042! Incredible rush and my second only handpay for video poker. Reset was $2,000 or so. Ended up cashing out for $300 as well, so about 20-30 minutes total playtime. Hit on one of the end cap bank of machines, which I was hesitant to sit at since those tend to be heavier played machines.

If anyone wants to know what casino please PM me and I'll gladly shout it out.

For the rest of the thread, does anyone have good information on how to analyze progressives? Is there such a thing as 'must hit' video poker progressive? I remember the red rock thread was extremely informative but maybe I missed the answer there.

Perhaps you know this, but I didn't and it is well worth knowing.
Sometimes, a casino takes out a game or several and if they were progressives, they need to move the money for the progressive to another machine. If they add it to a machine or a bank of machines, it gives the impression the progressive hasn't been hit in a long long time but the reality is they could have added it right after the old progressive got hit just before you arrived.
I've never heard of a must hit VP but I'm far from an expert.

Most likely, the meter will stop going up once it hits 10K, for example.

The odds will be in favor of the jackpot since the meter is going up, and the likelihood of hitting is getting higher due to the strategy change until the meter hits the limit.

Other than that, hitting is NEVER due.

Quote: HopHoofer

Other than that, hitting is NEVER due.

But...but...Lion's Share has to pay out any minute now! It just has to!