Need Help With Bankroll Calculations

Hello everyone!

Just to make this simple and to the point, I went to my local casino for the first time ever and had a pretty good time, but my interest here is more about AP play with my local casino's VP machines. I was scouting on the machines, and it seems the best machine is in the high limit room where it is 1$ minimum bet, NSUD Deuces Wild w/ 99.73% RTP (I also confirmed this looking at the casino on vpfree). Since I have never been to a casino before, I am stuck at the bottom of comp benefits, which is 3 points for every 10$ betted, 100 points is equal to 1$. IF I have thought about this right, that means I can technically make a 0.03 profit in the long run for every 100$ I put into this machine. Before anyone tells me this kind of profit is not worth playing, I am not aiming to make almost any money off of this, instead, I wanted something that I could practically break even in the long run with, and 3 cents profit practically is breaking even. However, my income is not that high and since this machine is only in the high limit room, I will have to bet 5$ a hand with this machine and I was curious about what bankroll size I would need.

I have been told long run VP bankrolls are around 3 - 4x the Royal Flush payout, which means my long term bankroll fund for this would need to be about 16,000$. Obviously I have some saving up to do, however I can at least calculate session bankrolls so that I do not run out of money really fast, I want to plan my sessions to be about 2-3 hours each, if the average speed is about 600 hands an hour (and I am a much slower player than this right now), that would mean I am putting about 3000$ an hour into this machine if I have the math right. At minimum this would be 6000$ for 2 hour sessions if I lost all my hands. After this however, my knowledge about calculating proper bankrolls stops, I do not know about the variance of Deuces Wild to really know how much I should bring to my sessions while I am trying to save up for a long term bankroll. What would be the proper way I should calculate this? I would really appreciate some tips, and I hope this question isn't to much of a newbie question, I do not completely understand all the nuances into bankroll management as I have only just now started to research this stuff.

Thank you in advance!

Can you replenish your bankroll? If you were to drop $2,000 today, can you replace it by your next visit? If you can replenish your BR after losses, you need a much smaller one.

I can not replenish my BR sadly, my budget is quite literally the 5 cent machines with horrible payouts (think they are like 94%), so I will need quite some time to build up and save up a decent amount. Unless of course variance is kind to me, but I will not rely on pure luck being on my side, especially with 5$ per hand. I can probably at the very least limit my sessions there to maybe an hour as this casino is not that long of a drive to get there, that would still leave me with 3k needed if I was playing 600 hands. As said though, I do not know what the variance in Deuces Wild is so I do not know what "highs" and "lows" to expect.

Quote: TheCapitalShip

I have been told long run VP bankrolls are around 3 - 4x the Royal Flush payout,

This advice has generally been retracted.

Expect that you will need much more.

Video poker software may be able to help you with the specific calculations.