Different strategy
June 29th, 2015 at 2:15:31 AM
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In 9/6 VP, I would like to know, how much I lose in long term if I chose 3 to royal instead high pair.
As we all know high pair has higher return.
High pair (1.5365)
3 to a royal flush (1.2868) A
So If I have KKQJ2 with KsQsJs how much I lose if I hold 3 suited over holding KK.
PS. Is there any free program that can simulate this?
As we all know high pair has higher return.
High pair (1.5365)
3 to a royal flush (1.2868) A
So If I have KKQJ2 with KsQsJs how much I lose if I hold 3 suited over holding KK.
PS. Is there any free program that can simulate this?
June 29th, 2015 at 6:15:23 AM
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you seem to have provided the info yourself? difference of 0.2497? 24.97% of a unit in cost ?
you would be trading edge for variance ... might be worth it but personally I would hesitate at that cost
you would be trading edge for variance ... might be worth it but personally I would hesitate at that cost
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
June 29th, 2015 at 10:03:13 AM
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Just multiply that loss^ by the frequency of that hand(hogh pair and 3 to RF) for your total decrease in EV.
"Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1." -Warren Buffett on risk/return
June 29th, 2015 at 2:17:14 PM
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This is sort of what min cost royal (MCR) strategy is. There are other strategy changes, such as holding ATs instead of just the ace (of course AKo and such are still ahead of it), but one of the big ones is that you take 3 to a royal over any high pair with the exception of AXTs. The overall change in EV for MCR gives up about 0.03%, but you drop the royal cycle by 10%.
Frugal VP will let you do this sort of analysis, and if you want to just find the MCR strategy (in general for any game) you can set the return on the royal such that the game pays back 100%.
Frugal VP will let you do this sort of analysis, and if you want to just find the MCR strategy (in general for any game) you can set the return on the royal such that the game pays back 100%.
