$5 8/6 JoB single line
$5 dw44 single line
$5 8/6 JoB multi-line (3,5,10) progressive.
$5 dw44 multi-line (3,5,10) NON-progressive.
since its freeplay, max out the variance and play 10-play dw44?
at $250 per spin, i'm going to have just 2 spins.
or stick with dw44 single line?
or?
What is your goal?Quote: 100xOddsbest machines at this casino:
$5 8/6 JoB single line
$5 dw44 single line
$5 8/6 JoB multi-line (3,5,10) progressive.
$5 dw44 multi-line (3,5,10) NON-progressive.
since its freeplay, max out the variance and play 10-play dw44?
at $250 per spin, i'm going to have just 2 spins.
or stick with dw44 single line?
or?
Quote: AxelWolfWhat is your goal?
as strange as it sounds, I don't know.
last week I used my $800 of comps on $5 dw44 and only got 74% return. :(
don't know what I want out of this $500.
what are my options?
Quote: 100xOddsas strange as it sounds, I don't know.
last week I used my $800 of comps on $5 dw44 and only got 74% return. :(
don't know what I want out of this $500.
what are my options?
If you're disappointed at a 74% return at dw44, move down to 8/5 JoB at the 50c level. Or even 6/5 Bonus if it's at a cheaper denomination like multi-line nickels. If you want to lower variance, you need to play more hands on your freeplay stake. Sorry you didn't run very well.
turned it into $425 for 85% :(
$770 comps + 500 freeplay = $1270
got 570+425
78% return overall :(
Quote: 100xOddsso I played the $500 freeplay at $5 dueces wild (98.9%).
turned it into $425 for 85% :(
$770 comps + 500 freeplay = $1270
got 570+425
78% return overall :(
Remember that the expected return is an average, not a median.
Most times you will be well below the average. Occasionally (when you hit a big hand like a royal) you will be very far above. So, the median result is going to be quite a bit lower than the average.
Quote: 100xOddsso I played the $500 freeplay at $5 dueces wild (98.9%).
turned it into $425 for 85% :(
That's hardly a poor result at $25/hand.
I've ran $1000 on 25c and it wasn't that bad. Only takes 800 hands at $1.25 a pop which should be a bit over an hour. I've ran extremely bad and hit no quads in that cycle, but came out at least 80% of the freeplay amount.
Quote: AxiomOfChoiceRemember that the expected return is an average, not a median.
Most times you will be well below the average. Occasionally (when you hit a big hand like a royal) you will be very far above. So, the median result is going to be quite a bit lower than the average.
ahh.. so feast or famine.
98.9% avg but in reality it's going to be either a lot below if u don't hit the royal/quad 2's or waaaaaaaay above if u do hit it
so based on my play, it's 20% below. :(
but based on other people's play, it could be only 10% below if I played at lower denominations (ie: $1 instead of $5) even if the return ion the machine is lower.
$1 8/5 JoB vs $5 8/6 JoB
Quote: 100xOddsahh.. so feast or famine.
98.9% avg but in reality it's going to be either a lot below if u don't hit the royal/quad 2's or waaaaaaaay above if u do hit it
so based on my play, it's 20% below. :(
but based on other people's play, it could be only 10% below if I played at lower denominations (ie: $1 instead of $5) even if the return ion the machine is lower.
$1 8/5 JoB vs $5 8/6 JoB
Yes, for a small number of spins, it's feast or famine. You need to play a LOT of hands before your results start looking like a normal distribution. At the very least, you have to play enough hands that one more or one less royal would not make that big of a difference to your results.
Think about it this way. You hit a royal once every 40,000 hands or so in most games. That royal pays you 800 bets, so your wins from royals are worth 800/40,000 = 2%. So if you are playing a game that returns 99.5%, it returns only 97.5% in between royals (since 2% of your return is form royals... if you don't get any, you don't get that 2%). Similarly (using JoB as an example), straight flushes make up about 1% of your return and 4OAKs make up almost 6%. So you are basically losing at a 9.5% clip in between "big hands" (defined as 4OAK or more). If you play for a very short amount of time, you can't possibly get your "fair share" of those big hands (you can't get 1/4 of a 4OAK -- you either get it or you don't). So if you get your big hand, you will up a lot, and if you don't you will be down a lot.
In a higher variance game, you get even more of your return from big hands. 4OAKs make up about 18.5% of your return in DDB! If you are playing DDB and don't get any 4OAK's, SFs, or RFs, your expected return is below 80%. Because those hands are relatively rare, the swings are very big. If you "run well" and hit a lot of them, you will win a lot. If you don't, and don't hit any, you will lose a lot. If you play for long enough, sometimes you will run well and sometimes you will run bad and it will all even out, but over a few hundred hands you will either get lucky or you won't.
In the long term it will all even out, but the long term is a very long time.