Royal flush question

If hitting a royal flush happens once every 40,000+ hands does that mean per machine if you continue playing the same machine?
Or if I jump from machine to machine could I still expect a royal every 40,000+ hands I play? Let's say I play 30,000 hands at home practicing and then go to Vegas would I be wrong to expect to hit a royal after 10,000 hands or so?

Thanks
Michal

Well if that were true you should play 39,999 hands at home and then go hit your royal.It doesn`t work that way.40,000 is just a long term average,you could play 200,000 hands at home or in the casino but it doesn`t mean you are any more likely to hit a royal on your next hand.

Changing machines makes no difference.

As I have said hundreds of times, the machines don't have a memory. You could go four million hands without a royal and you would still be no closer to hitting one than the guy next to you who hit one his last play.

it took me an estimated 250k hands before i finally hit a royal. i got 3 under my belt now.

Quote: Xciceroguy

If hitting a royal flush happens once every 40,000+ hands does that mean per machine if you continue playing the same machine?
Or if I jump from machine to machine could I still expect a royal every 40,000+ hands I play? Let's say I play 30,000 hands at home practicing and then go to Vegas would I be wrong to expect to hit a royal after 10,000 hands or so?

Thanks
Michal

I actually played 39,999 hands at home without a royal.

Went to a casino and hit a royal on a 25 cent machine on first hand. I am now up to 20, 614 hands at home without a royal.

I intend to play a Dollar machine next time. Trick is to keep very accurate record and stop at exactly 39,999. My cousin lost count and hit his royal at home. SIGH

"Hitting a royal flush happens once every 40,000+ hands" really means, "every time you play a hand, you have 1 chance in 40,000+ of hitting a royal flush." Of course, that assumes you are using proper strategy - obviously, it's zero if you keep cards that make it impossible to get a royal flush (for example, "If I get any cards 2-9, keep at least one; otherwise, if I am not dealt a royal, then I have cards from at least two different suits, so keep one card of two different suits"). You can also improve your chances significantly by playing a "royal or nothing" strategy (keep only the cards you need to draw to a royal - for example, if you have a seven-high straight flush, discard all five cards); a monte carlo simulation shows an average of one royal in every 24,000 hands or so, but you take a significant hit in your overall return.