harris
harris
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January 24th, 2026 at 10:16:33 AM permalink
I have seen a game on YouTube called One Card Poker. I believe it is owned by Light & Wonder. It is basically the same as the game Casino War, except I think there is a different rule about tying.

When you go to war and tie, you go to war another time, and I guess you keep going to war as many times as is necessary.

The pay table looks a bit different for the Tie side bet, which I have attached. I have not analyzed it because I am not 100% sure of the rules. For example, would the "quad tie" bet still pay if you have 5 or more ties? What happens if you keep tying until you reach the cut card? (very unlikely, I know, but the chance of getting 8 or more ties is less than one in a billion so I assume this will come up eventually if people keep playing).

Has anyone played this game, and can anyone find a copy of the rules online? I haven't.

Mandatory note that this is not the same One Card Poker that the Wizard invented in 2012.

aceside
aceside
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January 24th, 2026 at 10:29:36 AM permalink
Recently I've been researching this game of Four Card Poker. To beat it, I read discount gambling collusion strategies but found them not helpful. How about you invest some time on this game? It's an easy game.
harris
harris
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January 24th, 2026 at 12:17:49 PM permalink
Even if the whole table is colluding, they cannot beat the house edge and published strategies are very close to the theoretical house edge - what left is there for me to explore?
aceside
aceside
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January 24th, 2026 at 12:26:57 PM permalink
I am allowed to play two hands a time and also am able to see at least one neighbor hand. Think about how to use the known information in all these three hands to make this game beatable.
harris
harris
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January 24th, 2026 at 1:46:20 PM permalink
Even six players (the maximum amount) cannot reduce the house edge below 1% even if playing optimally. So, with the knowledge of three hands, you would be playing with a maybe 2.5% house edge. If the game was beatable by collusion, someone would have figured it out long before I was old enough to gamble. Sorry
Hunterhill
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harris
January 24th, 2026 at 3:44:03 PM permalink
Quote: aceside

I am allowed to play two hands a time and also am able to see at least one neighbor hand. Think about how to use the known information in all these three hands to make this game beatable.
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Even if you know one of the dealers cards besides the exposed one you still don’t have an edge .
Happy days are here again
aceside
aceside
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January 25th, 2026 at 7:58:13 AM permalink
No, not that bad. Based on my experience, this game is the only chance for AP players. If I carefully arrange my card ranks from high to low and the suits from red to black in the current hand, I will more likely to get a better next hand, because these shufflers are just mechanical machines not capable of fully randomizing your cards. Does this make any sense?
avianrandy
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January 25th, 2026 at 8:35:15 AM permalink
You would have to do that every other hand a deck is shuudli6while you are playing the current hahd. So arrange the card won't have any a effect until the current deck is inserted in the machine and dealt. You are playing probably either a blue or red deck. Next round to be dealt out will be the other deck.
harris
harris
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January 25th, 2026 at 9:21:04 AM permalink
Quote: aceside

Based on my experience, this game is the only chance for AP players.


?????????
I have heard of people advantage playing so many other games, it's definitely not the only chance lol. Most games are more vulnerable to collusion and hole-carding than Four Card Poker

Additionally, I think that you are significantly under-estimating how good modern card shufflers are. Also, even if you were somehow able to put more high-ranking cards at the top of the deck, it would probably be equally likely for the dealer to receive those cards.
aceside
aceside
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January 25th, 2026 at 9:46:04 AM permalink
We can analogize to blackjack. Both the player and the dealer have the same chance of getting a blackjack hand, but more blackjack hands an hour is more beneficial toward the player because of this 3:2 pay asymmetry. The same concept is valid for four card poker, so I believe my AP play is valid mathematically.
harris
harris
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January 25th, 2026 at 9:55:28 AM permalink
Okay you’re right about that, sorry.

However I stand by my assertion that automatic shufflers aren’t bad enough to allow for plays that defeat the house edge. There would be many threads on this forum about the technique if it was a valid one
Dieter
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Dieter
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January 25th, 2026 at 9:58:01 AM permalink
Quote: aceside

No, not that bad. Based on my experience, this game is the only chance for AP players. If I carefully arrange my card ranks from high to low and the suits from red to black in the current hand, I will more likely to get a better next hand, because these shufflers are just mechanical machines not capable of fully randomizing your cards. Does this make any sense?
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Which shuffler machine is just mechanical?
May the cards fall in your favor.
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