Baccarat Math Question
What are the odds of the following two baccarat scenarios...
1) The Banker is leading the Player after the fifth card, but must still draw a card according to the rules.
2) The Banker loses as a result of this draw.
Thanks!
Quote: DeucekiesOnce again beckoning to those who are more math-oriented than I am.
What are the odds of the following two baccarat scenarios...
1) The Banker is leading the Player after the fifth card, but must still draw a card according to the rules.
2) The Banker loses as a result of this draw.
Thanks!
link to original post
I ran a simulation on millions of 8-deck shoes, and I get that this happens about once every 292 hands
Quote: ThatDonGuyQuote: DeucekiesOnce again beckoning to those who are more math-oriented than I am.
What are the odds of the following two baccarat scenarios...
1) The Banker is leading the Player after the fifth card, but must still draw a card according to the rules.
2) The Banker loses as a result of this draw.
Thanks!
link to original post
I ran a simulation on millions of 8-deck shoes, and I get that this happens about once every 292 hands
link to original post
The first scenario or the second?
Quote: DeucekiesQuote: ThatDonGuyQuote: DeucekiesOnce again beckoning to those who are more math-oriented than I am.
What are the odds of the following two baccarat scenarios...
1) The Banker is leading the Player after the fifth card, but must still draw a card according to the rules.
2) The Banker loses as a result of this draw.
Thanks!
link to original post
I ran a simulation on millions of 8-deck shoes, and I get that this happens about once every 292 hands
link to original post
The first scenario or the second?
link to original post
The second.
Quote: ThatDonGuyQuote: DeucekiesQuote: ThatDonGuyQuote: DeucekiesOnce again beckoning to those who are more math-oriented than I am.
What are the odds of the following two baccarat scenarios...
1) The Banker is leading the Player after the fifth card, but must still draw a card according to the rules.
2) The Banker loses as a result of this draw.
Thanks!
link to original post
I ran a simulation on millions of 8-deck shoes, and I get that this happens about once every 292 hands
link to original post
The first scenario or the second?
link to original post
The second.
link to original post
Thanks! Does your simulation shed any light on the first one?
1) 282,836,187,017,472 / 4,998,398,275,503,360 = 0.0565853642363041
2) 17,093,578,788,864 / 4,998,398,275,503,360 = 0.0034198112768720
The exact value of the denominator should be 4,998,398,275,503,366
Quote: DeucekiesThanks! Does your simulation shed any light on the first one?
link to original post
Yes - the bank is ahead after a player draws but then must also draw about once in every 17.67 hands.
The main difference between my simulated numbers and ssho88's exact ones: ssho88 assumes the shoe is always full, while I run through each shoe.
Quote: ThatDonGuyQuote: DeucekiesThanks! Does your simulation shed any light on the first one?
link to original post
Yes - the bank is ahead after a player draws but then must also draw about once in every 17.67 hands.
The main difference between my simulated numbers and ssho88's exact ones: ssho88 assumes the shoe is always full, while I run through each shoe.
link to original post
Thanks! And thank you to ssho88 as well. Your numbers are very much in line with each other.
