Crakon
Crakon
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May 28th, 2013 at 12:06:44 AM permalink
HI Guys,

Couldn't find the answer. What's the % of shoes that do NOT have 4 consecutive players in a row NOT INCLUDING TIES.

Thanks!
chaunceyb3
chaunceyb3
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May 28th, 2013 at 7:20:37 AM permalink
Quote: Crakon

HI Guys,

Couldn't find the answer. What's the % of shoes that do NOT have 4 consecutive players in a row NOT INCLUDING TIES.

Thanks!



Assuming an 8 deck shoe with 70 decisions (ignoring ties), and prob(P Win) = 0.494, only ~1% of shoes do NOT have 4+ consecutive players in a row.

In fact, about 10% of the time, you will see 9+ players in a row (ignoring ties), and about 2 out of 3 shoes will have a run of 6+ players.

Wizard has a chart by Frank Martin that approximates 50-50 coin flip streaks in X number of flips, which you can reference here:

https://wizardofodds.com/image/ask-the-wizard/streaks.pdf

Just hope your next shoe is a Golden Nugget AC shoe!
Crakon
Crakon
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Joined: May 28, 2013
May 29th, 2013 at 12:32:55 PM permalink
THANK YOU! THAT WAS GREAT!
7craps
7craps
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May 29th, 2013 at 3:20:23 PM permalink
Quote: Crakon

HI Guys,

Couldn't find the answer. What's the % of shoes that do NOT have 4 consecutive players in a row NOT INCLUDING TIES.

Thanks!

About 8.2% of them 8 deckers shoes.
A little less for 6 decks
Here is a link to more info.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/tables/5928-baccarat-streaks-question/#post81902
Seems to match data I also have
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
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