Preseason NFL

Anyone have a strategy for betting preseason NFL games?

Ive had success just betting underdog moneylines. I only have a small sample size and no statistics to back it up. Just personal experience.

I feel the oddsmakers are playing same guessing game we are and the valie has to be in the + money as opposed to the - money.

Thoughts?

Quote: mwalz9

Anyone have a strategy for betting preseason NFL games?

Ive had success just betting underdog moneylines. I only have a small sample size and no statistics to back it up. Just personal experience.

I feel the oddsmakers are playing same guessing game we are and the valie has to be in the + money as opposed to the - money.

Thoughts?

Pre season games are so hard to figure out. Unless you know what the coach’s plan is, it’s not like the Chiefs are the Chiefs without Mahomes. I think the Ram’s coach is not playing his Top 35 players! I surmise there are some scoundrels with inside info that can identify terrible lines and hammer them. I don’t think you (or I) are one of them!

Quote: mwalz9

Anyone have a strategy for betting preseason NFL games?

Ive had success just betting underdog moneylines. I only have a small sample size and no statistics to back it up. Just personal experience.

I feel the oddsmakers are playing same guessing game we are and the valie has to be in the + money as opposed to the - money.

Thoughts?

I have to think you are not going to find any legit ways here. If you are trying to get down some +EV action on the games, your best bet is to line shop, Identify Inefficiencies, and use promotions.

Similar to any other bets that are on the board. Get the best available number, get closing line value, etc.

Numbers are a little slower to move, which is good. On the low totals, points are generally worth more, which is also good. I don't like because numbers usually don't move at the times that work best for me. Mostly because it is just only side, total, moneyline, maybe 1h, and no soft derivative

Quote: SOOPOO

I surmise there are some scoundrels with inside info that can identify terrible lines and hammer them. I don’t think you (or I) are one of them!

Not true. There is information available to everyone that can be used. A couple examples from this year that I can cite.

Panthers announce they will start all their rookies. No one knows how to react to that information, so all the books are all over the place. When I can find both +3 and -3 at +100 at multiple places, there must be good bets out there.

Lines on Hall-of-Fame game went up early July on FanDuel and one place in Las Vegas that follows the Kambi style bookmaking. No where else in the world had it on the board until the week of the game. It was just some guy in Europe following whatever proprietary algorithm they had. And it was wrong. Whoever found it and bet it got great value. I won't say if I did it or not.

I’ve made three preseason bets this year. I lost the first by 38 points. The second by like 30. And the third by .5 because the coach decided to go for 2.

I’m going to wait until the real games start…