NFL value play
The Eagles could have won both games they lost and I think the Pack is a bit overrated but will be getting all the love. The game opened Packers -3.5 and the public drove it up to 4.5 at which point I took Eagles +4.5 and on the moneyline at +180. The market is sitting at 4 at most places but you can probably still find some 4.5's out there.
Not a lock by any means but I think +ev long term.
good luck!
RD
Cubs -112
White Sox +170
GL
Quote: RisingDoughTonight is the matchup between the 1-2 Eagles @ the 3-0 Packers. If you look at records against the spread (ATS) the Eagles are 0-3 whilst the Packers are 3-0. This resonates in Joe Public's mind. They remember who they won and lost on in past weeks.
The Eagles could have won both games they lost and I think the Pack is a bit overrated but will be getting all the love. The game opened Packers -3.5 and the public drove it up to 4.5 at which point I took Eagles +4.5 and on the moneyline at +180. The market is sitting at 4 at most places but you can probably still find some 4.5's out there.
Not a lock by any means but I think +ev long term.
good luck!
RD
I like the Eagles also, but I am kicking myself for not getting the +5.5 that was available earlier.
Quote: DRichI like the Eagles also, but I am kicking myself for not getting the +5.5 that was available earlier.
howd sunday night work out for you ;-)
We were both yelling at the TV on that last play for different reasons.
D. Rich I will give u eagles +5. I think you owe me $30. I will take up to $30. You still have 2 hours before kick off.Quote: DRichI like the Eagles also, but I am kicking myself for not getting the +5.5 that was available earlier.
Quote: speedycrapD. Rich I will give u eagles +5. I think you owe me $30. I will take up to $30. You still have 2 hours before kick off.
I will do that but only if you agree to take my money if I lose. Bet for $30 I have Eagles +5.
I accept you bet You have Eagles +5. I like to take your money but I need to figure out HOW. Put MY money in a shoe box. Give me the box when we meet one day please. I will buy you a beer and or lunch. (Cheap lunch though)Quote: DRichI will do that but only if you agree to take my money if I lose. Bet for $30 I have Eagles +5.
Quote: speedycrapI will buy you a beer and or lunch. (Cheap lunch though)
I only drink Krystal and eat caviar. For you I will settle for chicken McNuggets and a large fry.
Quote: GWAEhowd sunday night work out for you ;-)
We were both yelling at the TV on that last play for different reasons.
Surprisingly, I arm very unemotional about football games even when I have a bet on them. I don't bet enough to get that vested. Don't get me wrong, I am definitely rooting for my bet but rarely express more than a "Yes" or a "No" when something happens.
Quote: DRichSurprisingly, I arm very unemotional about football games even when I have a bet on them. I don't bet enough to get that vested. Don't get me wrong, I am definitely rooting for my bet but rarely express more than a "Yes" or a "No" when something happens.
Sounds like there is no point in betting them then. I only bet if I have enough vested where either outcome makes me feel it. Not talking life changing type money but not going to put 10 on a game where I couldn't care less
Quote: GWAESounds like there is no point in betting them then. I only bet if I have enough vested where either outcome makes me feel it. Not talking life changing type money but not going to put 10 on a game where I couldn't care less
I am happy if I think I have a 2% advantage so I still expect to lose 48% of the time. Hard to get excited when you know you will lose almost half of the time.
Quote: DRichI am happy if I think I have a 2% advantage so I still expect to lose 48% of the time. Hard to get excited when you know you will lose almost half of the time.
That’s why you should bet 10-leg parlays with long odds. You’ll lose more often thus be less excited.
