2019 WoV Picks game (discussion thread)
But he is in the future, how will we ever contact him? Can we send PMs to the future? He is probably wishing he could come back and bet on the Trump fauxhawk.Quote: michael99000I think in the future mission should have at least a 1 hour window after lines are posted to make any corrections.
Quote: onenickelmiracleIs there really skill in this game? There is some skill, but winning is dependent on luck. I don't think there is one person who ever played that can will themselves consistently to success. Unfortunately, my skill and effort level is being materialized.
There can be skill. Since we are allowed to use lines that do not exist at the time we make our selections, there are some selections that exceed the expected 50% success rate, at least as far as EV. I always get my picks in pretty early, so my success this year is nothing more than luck, with the exception of taking advantage of the glaring error on the SF/CLE game.
Quote: SOOPOOThere can be skill. Since we are allowed to use lines that do not exist at the time we make our selections, there are some selections that exceed the expected 50% success rate, at least as far as EV. I always get my picks in pretty early, so my success this year is nothing more than luck, with the exception of taking advantage of the glaring error on the SF/CLE game.
One way to tell if skill is involved is to compare the year to year final standings and see if the same people continue to finish in the upper tier. Over a 5 or 6 year period a pattern would indicate skill. Sporadic results would indicate otherwise.
The Week 6 Lines are as follows:
Panthers (-2.5) @ Buccaneers (+2.5) O/U 47.5
Bengals (+11) @ Ravens (-11) O/U 48
Seahawks (-1.5) @ Browns (+1.5) O/U 46
Texans (+4.5) @ Chiefs (-4.5) O/U 55
Saints (+1) @ Jaguars (-1) O/U 43.5
Eagles (+3) @ Vikings (-3) O/U 44
Redskins (-3.5) @ Dolphins (+3.5) O/U 41
49ers (+3) @ Rams (-3) O/U 50.5
Falcons (-2.5) @ Cardinals (+2.5) O/U 51.5
Cowboys (-7) @ Jets (+7) O/U 44.5
Titans (+2) @ Broncos (-2) O/U 40.5
Steelers (+7) @ Chargers (-7) O/U 41.5
Lions (+4) @ Packers (-4) O/U 47
Quote: Mission146Greetings!
The Week 6 Lines are as follows:
Panthers (-2.5) @ Buccaneers (+2.5) O/U 47.5
Bengals (+11) @ Ravens (-11) O/U 48
Seahawks (-1.5) @ Browns (+1.5) O/U 46
Texans (+4.5) @ Chiefs (-4.5) O/U 55
Saints (+1) @ Jaguars (-1) O/U 43.5
Eagles (+3) @ Vikings (-3) O/U 44
Redskins (-3.5) @ Dolphins (+3.5) O/U 41
49ers (+3) @ Rams (-3) O/U 50.5
Falcons (-2.5) @ Cardinals (+2.5) O/U 51.5
Cowboys (-7) @ Jets (+7) O/U 44.5
Titans (+2) @ Broncos (-2) O/U 40.5
Steelers (+7) @ Chargers (-7) O/U 41.5
Lions (+4) @ Packers (-4) O/U 47
It's official, picks in. Damn I better start getting lucky. Can't even joke this year, though last year the dark side arc was fun. Just can't top it, can't just do it again.
Quote: onenickelmiracleIt's official, picks in. Damn I better start getting lucky. Can't even joke this year, though last year the dark side arc was fun. Just can't top it, can't just do it again.
I drink your milkshake.
Sorry for a late response, but the answer from me is no. Simply because it's not the first pick which counts, but the last pick which counts. Anyone could have submitted a set of picks, then if there was a problem, still get them in for the late portion of the contest.Quote: beachbumbabsQuote: SOOPOO. I hope Mission fixes this. It is not in the spirit of the game to take advantage of sleepy typos. At the end of the season I like to see how the group has done overall. Giving an extra 8 points crossing both 3's makes the stats at the end of the year rubbish.Quote: IndyJeffreyQuote: JoemanIs the point spread reversed on the Browns/49ers game? Las Vegas Insider is showing the 49ers as 4 point favorites.Quote: Mission146
Browns (-4) @ 49ers (+4) O/U 46
I agree. This should be SF -4 . That said...
Since this is a competition I will be forced to take SF +4 if it stays that way. 70% it wins.
Ed has said before, he doesn't care what the + or - value is. He plugs in the line for all teams for that week, then when our picks are posted, he just inputs the teams, not the spread. Same with over/under.
That said, I'm waiting for Mission to fix these lines before I put in a set of picks. I would appreciate the right to stay in the ONM Friday pick pool if the picks don't get fixed fast enough, and I would hope that's universal, but I guess ONM would have a say in that, too.
There is some yes, but I look at past winners and contenders who had really good track records and have been slumping in mediocrity. Maybe I should try harder, but the 1 minute making my picks is saving time for other things worth more. I'm not watching games nor coverage, so I'm hurting I think and so be it.Quote: SOOPOOThere can be skill. Since we are allowed to use lines that do not exist at the time we make our selections, there are some selections that exceed the expected 50% success rate, at least as far as EV. I always get my picks in pretty early, so my success this year is nothing more than luck, with the exception of taking advantage of the glaring error on the SF/CLE game.
That game's being played in London and kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 am EST.
As I recall, a pick on that game submitted after the kickoff would result in an automatic loss AND would make you ineligible for the You Suck and Most Average prizes.
How does that interact with the ONM prize for timing of submission? :-/Quote: EdCollinsPlease note that if you plan on making a pick on the Panthers/Buccaneers game, you will need to get your picks in a tad earlier than the normal Sunday 10:00 am EST deadline.
That game's being played in London and kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 am EST.
As I recall, a pick on that game submitted after the kickoff would result in an automatic loss AND would make you ineligible for the You Suck and Most Average prizes.
