Thread Rating:

gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
  • Threads: 60
  • Posts: 5043
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 2:44:40 PM permalink
Mission, your arguments are pretty reasonable re: Pats and Browns and we are not that far apart.

However, Ravens Defensive Coordinator just compared Baker Mayfield to Brett Favre and John Elway in a press conference today. He knows more about football than either you or I do and that is his expert opinion. And Mayfield's team-mates seem to have a very high opinion of him and respond to his leadership. I think you make the mistake of automatically assuming that every newly-emerged star must be vastly overrated - that the public's opinion must certainly be an over-reaction to one or two games. But some times exceptional individuals do enter the league and really are the real thing. We may disagree, but I watched Mayfield in college for years and I do believe he is a major talent.

Browns ascending. Pats on the long slippery slope downward. You need to find some different pinatas to beat every week.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
prozema
prozema
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 1194
Joined: Oct 24, 2016
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 7:42:09 PM permalink
I wonder if mission is holding on posting lines to see if anyone else will actually do it.
VCUSkyhawk
VCUSkyhawk
  • Threads: 21
  • Posts: 644
Joined: Sep 22, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 7:44:48 PM permalink
Perhaps he is just screwing with the complainers.
I got a plan, we take all your picks we reverse them like one of those twilight zone episodes where everything is the opposite. You say "black" we go white.
prozema
prozema
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 1194
Joined: Oct 24, 2016
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 7:46:37 PM permalink
We know he's in a thanking mood.

Well played mission... Well played indeed.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
Thanked by
prozema
October 4th, 2018 at 7:56:05 PM permalink
Time Test
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 14
  • Posts: 4592
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 7:59:39 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Time Test

Last post before the lines!
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
prozema
prozema
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 1194
Joined: Oct 24, 2016
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 8:02:52 PM permalink
I'm going to sound totally dumb... But does (pk) mean the line is 0 points?
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 4th, 2018 at 8:03:58 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Lines, which were originally posted at exactly 23:00:00 EST:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/31481-official-wov-nfl-picks-game-2018-thread/2/#post677336

Are as follows:

Ravens (-3) @ Browns (+3) O/U 45.5
Jaguars (+3) @ Chiefs (-3) O/U 49
Titans (-5) @ Bills (+5) O/U 39.5
Giants (+6) @ Panthers (-6) O/U 43.5
Broncos (PK) @ Jets (PK) O/U 42.5
Falcons (+3) @ Steelers (-3) O/U 58
Packers (PK) @ Lions (PK) O/U 51
Dolphins (+6) @ Bengals (-6) O/U 48.5
Raiders (+5) @ Chargers (-5) O/U 52.5
Cardinals (+4) @ 49ers (-4) O/U 40
Vikings (+3) @ Eagles (-3) O/U 46
Rams (-7) @ Seahawks (+7) O/U 50.5
Cowboys (+3) @ Texans (-3) O/U 45.5
Redskins (+6.5) @ Saints (-6.5) O/U 52.5

Interestingly enough, the thing that updates the time when you refresh the page on VegasInsider is actually slightly faster than world time, so I actually have a picture on my phone that says the lines are from VegasInsider at "11:00 PM EDT," even though they are actually from a little after 22:58, but before 22:59. That's convenient, however, since it gave me the ability to post the picks at 23:00:00 EST, to the second.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 14
  • Posts: 4592
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
Thanked by
prozemaMission146
October 4th, 2018 at 8:04:20 PM permalink
Quote: prozema

I'm going to sound totally dumb... But does (pk) mean the line is 0 points?



Dammit. Fooled by Mission posting in official thread first.

Yes, pk means “pick ‘em” means 0 pts.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
Thanked by
prozema
October 4th, 2018 at 8:07:48 PM permalink
Quote: prozema

I'm going to sound totally dumb... But does (pk) mean the line is 0 points?



Yes, not a dumb question. It just means, "Pick 'Em."

Bonus Answer: Since you have to lay 110 to win 100, it means that the two teams are considered completely equal as far as the Line is concerned. On rare occasions, you'll get a Pick 'Em where you have to lay slightly more on one team and slightly less on another.

In fact, BetOnline has Denver at -112 and the Jets at -110, which actually technically makes Denver a slight favorite, even though it is a Pick 'Em.
Last edited by: Mission146 on Oct 4, 2018
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 4th, 2018 at 9:31:10 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Mission, your arguments are pretty reasonable re: Pats and Browns and we are not that far apart.



Thanks!

Quote:

However, Ravens Defensive Coordinator just compared Baker Mayfield to Brett Favre and John Elway in a press conference today. He knows more about football than either you or I do and that is his expert opinion. And Mayfield's team-mates seem to have a very high opinion of him and respond to his leadership. I think you make the mistake of automatically assuming that every newly-emerged star must be vastly overrated - that the public's opinion must certainly be an over-reaction to one or two games. But some times exceptional individuals do enter the league and really are the real thing. We may disagree, but I watched Mayfield in college for years and I do believe he is a major talent.

Browns ascending. Pats on the long slippery slope downward. You need to find some different pinatas to beat every week.



Favre and Elway are 1st and 16th, respectively, in career interceptions with the former well over one pick per game and the latter at just under one pick per game. Mayfield has appeared in two NFL games and has two interceptions, so he's right there in that regard.

My cheap dig aside, the Ravens coach was just talking about poise, drive and confidence and all of those things seem pretty true. You can also look at Favre, he threw a ton of picks, but he had a short memory and you need to have that kind of confidence...although certain things (such as the last throw of Favre's career) can come as a result of too much confidence.

I don't know that I assume that they are ALL overrated, but I have to admit that I generally do that. I just want to see at least a few games before we start heaping praise, but Patrick Mahomes has certainly shut my mouth for me so far! I really wanted the Chiefs to be wrong about Mahomes because I felt like they kind of gave the ever reliable Alex Smith the bum rush with a solid three-five years left in the tank.

Yeah, unless the Browns absolutely get killed, I'll find a different angle for them this week. Let's get the Patriots/Colts out of the way now, sorry I don't have anything original for you here:

Colts 24 @ Patriots 38: Head Coach Josh McDaniels and the Colts suffered their fourth defeat of the season in tonight's trip to Foxboro, making Belichick 1-1 against his former protege. Brady does Brady things, the Pats dominate throughout and the more-or-less expected result comes to fruition for a second consecutive week.
Last edited by: Mission146 on Oct 4, 2018
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
  • Threads: 265
  • Posts: 14484
Joined: Oct 19, 2009
Thanked by
Mission146
October 4th, 2018 at 10:03:00 PM permalink
What does PK mean?
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 5th, 2018 at 12:22:04 AM permalink
Quote: FleaStiff

What does PK mean?



+/-0, You’re just picking a team to win straight up.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
  • Threads: 212
  • Posts: 8277
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
Thanked by
Mission146
October 5th, 2018 at 10:50:22 AM permalink
I have zero confidence this week.
I am a robot.
djatc
djatc
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146gordonm888mipletonenickelmiracle
October 5th, 2018 at 1:26:08 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

I have zero confidence this week.



Mission putting out the lines this late affects my picks too. Damn shame.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
miplet
miplet
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 2111
Joined: Dec 1, 2009
Thanked by
Mission146
October 5th, 2018 at 8:42:30 PM permalink
Not much line movements yet, but there is still time.
Current lines in parentheses.
Titans -5 (-5.5)
Panthers -6 (-6.5)
Broncos PK (-1)
Eagles OVER 46 (46.5)
Rams -7 (-7.5)
Seahawks UNDER 50.5 (50)
Saints OVER 52.5 (53)
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
  • Threads: 212
  • Posts: 8277
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
Thanked by
Mission146
October 6th, 2018 at 12:37:39 AM permalink
Quote: djatc

Mission putting out the lines this late affects my picks too. Damn shame.

That's good for me, but you're probably lying.
I am a robot.
djatc
djatc
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146
October 6th, 2018 at 2:14:50 AM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

That's good for me, but you're probably lying.



theres a shotton of money at stake here i aint lion
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
  • Threads: 262
  • Posts: 4029
Joined: Nov 3, 2009
Thanked by
Mission146
October 6th, 2018 at 4:59:41 AM permalink
In that case, I better find a coin soon to make my picks.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
  • Threads: 212
  • Posts: 8277
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
Thanked by
Mission146
October 6th, 2018 at 3:43:52 PM permalink
Changed 2 of 5. God help us.
I am a robot.
Vegasrider
Vegasrider
  • Threads: 88
  • Posts: 963
Joined: Dec 23, 2017
Thanked by
Mission146IndyJeffrey
October 6th, 2018 at 7:50:25 PM permalink
You realize the member who has a 20-3 record is better than the 4000 plus entries in the Westgate Super Contest that pays 1.3 million? It's a pick 'em game where you select 5 games with the spread, cost $5000 to enter. The leader in that contest after the first four weeks receives a $15k bonus. He has a 17-3 record.
prozema
prozema
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 1194
Joined: Oct 24, 2016
Thanked by
Mission146
October 6th, 2018 at 8:21:40 PM permalink
If an even money bet was available that the winner of this game and the Westgate game was below 85% at the end of the season, I think you'd have takers.
djatc
djatc
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146prozema
October 7th, 2018 at 12:02:20 AM permalink
Quote: Vegasrider

You realize the member who has a 20-3 record is better than the 4000 plus entries in the Westgate Super Contest that pays 1.3 million? It's a pick 'em game where you select 5 games with the spread, cost $5000 to enter. The leader in that contest after the first four weeks receives a $15k bonus. He has a 17-3 record.



You guys can buy me out for $1.2 million
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
  • Threads: 262
  • Posts: 4029
Joined: Nov 3, 2009
Thanked by
prozemaMission146
October 7th, 2018 at 5:17:30 AM permalink
Quote: prozema

If an even money bet was available that the winner of this game and the Westgate game was below 85% at the end of the season, I think you'd have takers.

Yeah, but 4000 entries is a lot of entries to fill out both extremes of a bell shaped curve, so I don't know about the Westgate game. For our little game, winner won't be in the 80's unless there a whole lotta "collusion" going on, bigly.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
prozema
prozema
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 1194
Joined: Oct 24, 2016
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 5:45:39 AM permalink
I feel like this is getting more difficult.

Maybe we could go back to having mission put up the lines whenever he gets around to it instead of a specific time?

Trying to blame someone that's not me.

:-)
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
  • Threads: 60
  • Posts: 5043
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 8:22:33 AM permalink
As long as we all pick against the same line, it doesn't make any difference to me how late or early the line is. In the ESPN contest, everyone picks against the early NFL line as it exists on Tuesday morning of each week - and it's still harder than hell.

I admit I do wish that Mission would promptly post on Sunday morning the picks that each contestant has picked - that makes following the NFL games a lot more fun.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 7th, 2018 at 8:53:09 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888



I admit I do wish that Mission would promptly post on Sunday morning the picks that each contestant has picked - that makes following the NFL games a lot more fun.



You're right. Week 3 I didn't get them up until about fifty minutes after kickoff of the first game. I apologize for that. Every other week they've been before kickoff and will be up before kickoff today.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 7th, 2018 at 9:33:47 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 5 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Ravens -3
Browns UNDER 45.5
Vikings +3
Vikings OVER 46
Raiders +5

Rigondeaux:
Dolphins +6
Browns +3
Jets PK
Bills +5
Cardinals +4

Joeman:
Jaguars +3
Panthers -6-Confidence
Falcons OVER 58
Rams UNDER 50.5
Packers PK

Fleastiff:
Jaguars +3
Eagles -3
Redskins OVER 52.5
Cardinals UNDER 40
Cowboys UNDER 45.5

Terapined:
Ravens -3
Saints -6.5
Seahawks +7
Giants +6
Dolphins +6

PlayYourCardsRight:
Browns +3
Chiefs -3
Packers PK
Chargers -5
Texans -3

Michael99000:
Jets Pk
Vikings +3
Redskins Under 52.5
Lions Pk Confidence
Chiefs -3

SOOPOO:
Titans - 5 (confidence)
Packers PK
Chiefs -3
Browns +3
Falcons U 58

GenWyzgy:
Panthers -6 Confidence
Browns UNDER 45.5
Bengals UNDER 48.5
Raiders UNDER 52.5
Vikings OVER 46

Ayecarumba:
Panthers -6
Packers PK
Raiders +5
Rams -7 -Confidence
Saints -6.5

Wizard:
Jaguars (+3)
Cardinals (+4) confidence
Redskins (+6.5)
Giants (+6)
Packers (PK)

IndyJeffrey:
Chiefs -3
Raiders +5
49ers -4
Vikings +3
Texans -3-Confidence

JohnnyQ:
Ravens (-3) CONFIDENCDE
Bills (+5)
Jets (PK)
Lions (PK)
Seahawks (+7)

Romes:
Steelers -3
Chargers -5
Eagles -3
Saints -6.5
Panthers -6 CONFIDENCE

BeachBumBabs:
Ravens -3
Chiefs -3 - confidence
Texans -3
49ers -4
Steelers -3

Gordonm888:
Browns +3
Chiefs -3
Cardinals +4
Eagles -3
Texans -3

Scolist:
Titans -5
Rams -7
Panthers -6
Packers PK
Eagles -3

FourFiveFace:
Chiefs -3
Giants +6
Lions PK
Dolphins +6-Confidence
Seahawks +7

GWAE:
Giants (+6)
Steelers (-3)
Bengals (-6) confidence
Cardinals (+4)
Vikings (+3)

onenickelmiracle:
Dolphins +6
Seahawks +7
Falcons +3
Raiders +5 confidence
Browns +3

VCUSkyhawk:
Broncos PK -Confidence
Falcons Under 58
Redskins +6.5
Chiefs -3
Cowboys Over 45.5

JW17:
Broncos PK confidence
Chiefs -3
Cardinals +4
Falcons +3
Rams -7

Vegasrider:
Ravens -3 - Confidence
Redskins +6.5
Raiders +5
Bengals (-6)
Texans UNDER 45.5

EdCollins:
Packers PK
Chiefs -3
Ravens -3
Steelers -3
Vikings +3

Sparty10k:
Jaguars +3
Falcons +3
Packers pick—confidence
Cardinals +4
Redskins +6.5

JohnZimbo:
Eagles -3
Ravens -3
Dolphins +6
Texans -3
Texans under 45.5

kuma:
Jaguars +3
Steelers -3
Cardinals +4 -- Confidence
Eagles -3
Texans -3

TroopScott:
Titans (-5)
Titans @ Bills OVER 39.5
Rams (-7)
Packers (PK)
Cardinals @ 49ers Under 40

MaxPen:
Panthers -6
49ers -4 Confidence
Rams -7
Steelers -3
Browns +3

Bruce1:
Ravens OVER 45.5
Chiefs (-3)
Broncos (PK)
Packers (PK)
Cardinals (+4)

RisingDough:
Lions pk
Bills+5 *CONFIDENCE
Panthers -6
Cardinals +4
Seahawks +7

DJATC:
Skips Week 5

miplet:
Titans -5
Panthers -6
Broncos PK
Cardinals +4
Redskins +6.5-confidence

Odiousgambit:
Lions (PK)
Browns +3
Raiders +5
Dolphins +6
Seahawks +7

unJon:
Jaguars +3
Broncos PK
Rams -7
Bengals OVER 48.5
Packers PK-confidence

MidwestAP:
Panthers -6
Cardinals +4
Eagles OVER 46
Rams -7
Texans -3

Prozema:
Panthers (-6)
Broncos (PK)
Cardinals (+4)
Rams (-7)
Texans (-3)

Rainman:
Skips Week 5
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
Thanked by
onenickelmiracle
October 7th, 2018 at 9:35:41 AM permalink
I'm glad everyone is enjoying the 23:00 posting of the Lines!

I was actually having some uncharacteristic trouble staying awake until 23:00 a few days ago and was going to switch the time for lines to 22:00 henceforward, but this has been so much fun that I'm just going to keep it at 23:00.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 9:42:10 AM permalink
There is a lot of love this week for the Cardinals, Panthers, Packers, and Chiefs.
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
  • Threads: 60
  • Posts: 5043
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 10:09:20 AM permalink
Here are the number of units picked for each of the possible bets, subject to my counting errors.

Most picked team: Packers, Panthers, Jags and Cards.
Not picked: Cowboys (unusual for no one to pick a team)

Game
Away
Home
Under
Over
Ravens (-3) @ Browns (+3) O/U 45.5
9
7
2
1
Jaguars (+3) @ Chiefs (-3) O/U 49
6
12
Titans (-5) @ Bills (+5) O/U 39.5
5
2
1
Giants (+6) @ Panthers (-6) O/U 43.5
4
13*
Broncos (PK) @ Jets (PK) O/U 42.5
7
3
Falcons (+3) @ Steelers (-3) O/U 58
4
5
2
1
Packers (PK) @ Lions (PK) O/U 51
13
5
Dolphins (+6) @ Bengals (-6) O/U 48.5
7
3
1
1
Raiders (+5) @ Chargers (-5) O/U 52.5
7
2
1
Cardinals (+4) @ 49ers (-4) O/U 40
12
4
2
Vikings (+3) @ Eagles (-3) O/U 46
5
6
3
Rams (-7) @ Seahawks (+7) O/U 50.5
11
6
1
Cowboys (+3) @ Texans (-3) O/U 45.5
7
3
1
Redskins (+6.5) @ Saints (-6.5) O/U 52.5
6
3
1
1

* edited
Last edited by: gordonm888 on Oct 7, 2018
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 10:27:25 AM permalink
Thank you for this. However, it doesn't take into account Confidence Picks, which it probably should. For example, including Confidence Picks, there are 13 units on the Panthers, not 11.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 7th, 2018 at 10:54:50 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Here are the number of units picked for each of the possible bets, subject to my counting errors.

Most picked team: Packers, Jags and Cards.
Not picked: Cowboys (unusual for no one to pick a team)



That's odd. My picks are Default, but were I actually picking, I'm almost positive I'd take the Cowboys +3 against the Texans. I always liked Win/No Decision Picks, which are Picks that I thought would win, but which also had a great line for a reasonable ND possibility.

Here are what my picks probably would have been (I promise I haven't seen any scores yet):

Ravens -3
Broncos PK
Vikings +3
Cowboys +3
Redskins +6.5

EDIT: Only two are in progress. I'd currently be pushing one and my Broncos pick looks to be in slight trouble early.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
  • Threads: 212
  • Posts: 8277
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 12:05:37 PM permalink
Dolphins +6
Dolphins under 48.5
Falcons +3
Raiders +5 confidence
Titans over 39.5

My original picks, wonder how I would have done. Trouble is eventually I would have picked one for confidence, have not resisted it yet.

Versus what I chose:
Dolphins +6
Seahawks +7
Falcons +3
Raiders +5 confidence
Browns +3

Thought I took dolphins off completely, at least that so far. Didn't realize I chose a confidence pick before, that I wound up sending to myself.
Last edited by: onenickelmiracle on Oct 7, 2018
I am a robot.
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
  • Threads: 60
  • Posts: 5043
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 3:01:18 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Thank you for this. However, it doesn't take into account Confidence Picks, which it probably should. For example, including Confidence Picks, there are 13 units on the Panthers, not 11.



It did take into account confidence picks. I must have miscounted the Panthers, I will go back and fix that.

For the first 8 games, the forum went 2-6 in picking the right team. Yuck.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
Thanked by
Ayecarumba
October 7th, 2018 at 3:37:49 PM permalink
Who overcooked my humble pie? It tastes awful.

I’d like to return to when I was writing the Browns article and say to myself, “Mission, while it’s true that you’re winning against the spread, on record, over a six year period...and that you’re undeniably sexy...don’t write this, because you’re not a terribly intelligent human being.”

Past me would say, “Sorry, stopped listening. Be more concise next time.”

Future me would call past me a hypocrite and there would be a fist fight.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
GWAE
GWAE
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 4:50:55 PM permalink
lol I went 6-0 by copying and pasting 5 random games and randomly picking one of them to win. Easy game.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
GWAE
GWAE
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 4:54:14 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Who overcooked my humble pie? It tastes awful.

I’d like to return to when I was writing the Browns article and say to myself, “Mission, while it’s true that you’re winning against the spread, on record, over a six year period...and that you’re undeniably sexy...don’t write this, because you’re not a terribly intelligent human being.”

Past me would say, “Sorry, stopped listening. Be more concise next time.”

Future me would call past me a hypocrite and there would be a fist fight.



today may be the first time ever that I was rooting for the Browns.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
  • Threads: 212
  • Posts: 8277
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 9:28:09 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

lol I went 6-0 by copying and pasting 5 random games and randomly picking one of them to win. Easy game.

I have no choice but to believe you. Random or using a skip week would have been good for me. I am out of date, didn't watch any games last week, this week, or any kind of coverage. In a way I probably was random, because I had very little gut feeling and did no research. Oh well.
I am a robot.
djatc
djatc
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146onenickelmiracle
October 7th, 2018 at 10:10:09 PM permalink
yup this week was bad for picks. I did bet Seahawks ML on my own, and it was a pretty close one.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Mission146
October 7th, 2018 at 10:38:03 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

It did take into account confidence picks. I must have miscounted the Panthers, I will go back and fix that.

For the first 8 games, the forum went 2-6 in picking the right team. Yuck.

Sorry. I found so many other mistakes I assumed you weren't taking into account a Confidence Pick as worth 2.

There are a total 4 picks for the Bills, not 2.
There are a total of 8 picks on the Broncos, not 7.
There are only three picks for the Falcons, not 4.
There are 6 picks for the Steelers, not 5.
There are 6 picks on the Lions, not 5.
There are 13 picks for the Cardinals, not 12.
There are 9 picks on the Rams, not 11.
There are 9 picks for the Texans, not 7.

(These are just the straight picks. I didn't bother looking for any Over/Under discrepancies.)
GWAE
GWAE
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146
October 8th, 2018 at 1:49:25 AM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

I have no choice but to believe you. Random or using a skip week would have been good for me. I am out of date, didn't watch any games last week, this week, or any kind of coverage. In a way I probably was random, because I had very little gut feeling and did no research. Oh well.



I have been so busy that I haven't watched more than 20 minutes of any games. I dont even know who is good. I just saw tha Kc is undefeated. I was surprised.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
scolist
scolist
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 74
Joined: Mar 16, 2018
Thanked by
Mission146
October 8th, 2018 at 7:08:54 AM permalink
I got me a big O'fer.

I suck at this.
There's no way out of here When you come in You're in for good There was no promise made The part you played The chance...........you took
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
  • Threads: 100
  • Posts: 14265
Joined: May 21, 2013
Thanked by
Mission146
October 8th, 2018 at 7:28:35 AM permalink
My first winning percentage of the year at 3-2-1, with the 1 not counting. Look out Djatc, here I come. ... lol.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 8th, 2018 at 10:00:23 AM permalink
Mission's Monday Vitriol Takes:

All Games 50 Words or Fewer:

Colts 24 @ Patriots 38: Head Coach Josh McDaniels and the Colts suffered their fourth defeat of the season in tonight's trip to Foxboro, making Belichick 1-1 against his former protege. Brady does Brady things, the Pats dominate throughout and the more-or-less expected result comes to fruition for a second consecutive week.

Broncos 16 @ Jets 34: Appropriately enough since the other was a one-time Jet, Sam Darnold had a Tim Tebow day to the extreme. (Link Below)*

1.) 45.5% Completion (10/22)
2.) One Interception
3.) Only 198 Yards
4.) ???
5.) 98.11 QB RATE

https://www.businessinsider.com/tim-tebow-denver-broncos-strange-game-nfl-2011-11.

Packers 23 @ Lions 31: What else could Aaron Rodgers have done? Kick, maybe? Mason Crosby in a bizarrely uncharacteristic effort missed four field goals (though one was a 56 yarder) and an extra point, as tornadoes ravaged the Midwe...what? Ford Field is indoors!? Sometimes you just don't have it, I guess.

Giants 31 @ Panthers 33: When looking for wins on the Browns schedule, I gave them .6 of a win against Carolina, and this is why. The Giants have cutouts of tackling dummies for an offensive line, converted ZERO third downs and almost won. The Browns D can stop Cam air and ground...perhaps easily.

Titans 12 @ Bills 13: Meanwhile, in the Wonder Bread Nobody Cares Bowl, the Bills would emerge as slightly less offensively incompetent as hybrid back Josh Allen averages more yards per attempt rushing than throwing.

Falcons 17 @ Steelers 41: The Steelers finally decided it would be appropriate to meet their offensive potential, though they remain tied with the Browns for the fifth week in a row! Watt put the, "Blitz," back in, "Blitzburgh," as Matt Ryan would be disrupted all day. Bell's presence would have been superfluous, go Conner!

Ravens 9 @ Browns 12: The Browns defense is completely smothering. They are really damn good. Classic, "Bend but don't break," as they held Flacco to ineffective dump offs and forced tons of throwaways. Mayfield was competent, but really had one good throw at the end. Another QB would have already won by then.

Dolphins 17 @ Bengals 27: The Bengals win handily in the Shop & Save Mediocrity Bowl. In this AFC competition featuring two likely playoff teams, neither of whom will advance to the AFC Championship....blah, blah, who cares?

Jaguars 14 @ Chiefs 30: This is really simple: You don't want Blake Bortles throwing the ball 61 times. Jacksonville inexplicably abandoned the running game way early in this one, despite strong YPC. Mahomes comes down to Earth and KC not only wins, but dominates? That's scary.

Raiders 10 @ Chargers 26: F Dean Spanos. Apparently the Jon Gruden, "Brand," of football has something to do with getting dominated in time of possession and abandoning the run early. That's not smashmouth, that's getting your mouth smashed. Gruden's salary still 10M/win.

Vikings 23 @ Eagles 21: And, Lo, Sinners! When thou hath the audacity to spit in the face of the only true Lord and Savior, Tom Brady, a losing record shalt be thine punishment!

Rams 33 @ Seahawks 31: In an unexpected act of defiance, the Legion of Boom is resurrected and at least disrupts the nearly-perfect Jared Goff for a good part of this game. Interestingly, the Seahawks conceivably have three wins in a row coming up, then the Rams again. Weak division otherwise. Playoff Re-Rematch?

Cardinals 28 @ 49ers 18: Because somebody had to win, or it could have been a tie, I guess. Josh Rosen is just so bad. I know a guy with an artificial hip is his second-best target, but still. Can't, "Flex schedule," make this a 4:00a.m. game?

Cowboys 16 @ Texans 19: The Cowboys need their previous quarterback to come out of retirement. No, not Tony Romo. Drew Bledsoe. Troy Aikman also an improvement, but I think Bledsoe is more mobile at this point. Are you still, "America's Team," if the newest car sporting a Star bumper sticker is an '06?

Redskins @ Saints (Tonight): Believe in Alex Smith and he will pick apart the team that lets fans play cornerback for the lulz.
Last edited by: Mission146 on Oct 8, 2018
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Mission146
October 8th, 2018 at 7:31:53 PM permalink
6 minutes and 43 seconds left to go in the 3rd quarter and I'm tempted to just post the results now. We're already over the total and I can't see the Redskins coming back from this.
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Mission146
October 8th, 2018 at 7:44:17 PM permalink
Week 5 Results and Current Standings

Mission146 (2-3)
Ravens -3 (loss)
Browns UNDER 45.5 (win)
Vikings +3 (win)
Vikings OVER 46 (loss)
Raiders +5 (loss)

Rigondeaux (4-1)
Dolphins +6 (loss)
Browns +3 (win)
Jets PK (win)
Bills +5 (win)
Cardinals +4 (win)

Joeman (0-5)
Jaguars +3 (loss)
Panthers -6 Confidence (loss)
Falcons OVER 58 (push)
Rams UNDER 50.5 (loss)
Packers PK (loss)

Fleastiff (2-3)
Jaguars +3 (loss)
Eagles -3 (loss)
Redskins OVER 52.5 (win)
Cardinals UNDER 40 (loss)
Cowboys UNDER 45.5 (win)

Terapined (3-2)
Ravens -3 (loss)
Saints -6.5 (win)
Seahawks +7 (win)
Giants +6 (win)
Dolphins +6 (loss)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-1)
Browns +3 (win)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Packers PK (loss)
Chargers -5 (win)
Texans -3 (push)

Michael99000 (5-1)
Jets Pk (win)
Vikings +3 (win)
Redskins UNDER 52.5 (loss)
Lions Pk Confidence (win)
Chiefs -3 (win)

SOOPOO (2-3)
Titans - 5 (Confidence) (loss)
Packers PK (loss)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Browns +3 (win)
Falcons UNDER 58 (push)

GenWyzgy (3-3)
Panthers -6 Confidence (loss)
Browns UNDER 45.5 (win)
Bengals UNDER 48.5 (win)
Raiders UNDER 52.5 (win)
Vikings OVER 46 (loss)

Ayecarumba (1-5)
Panthers -6 (loss)
Packers PK (loss)
Raiders +5 (loss)
Rams -7 Confidence (loss)
Saints -6.5 (win)

Wizard (3-3)
Jaguars (+3) (loss)
Cardinals (+4) Confidence (win)
Redskins (+6.5) (loss)
Giants (+6) (win)
Packers (PK) (loss)

IndyJeffrey (2-2)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Raiders +5 (loss)
49ers -4 (loss)
Vikings +3 (win)
Texans -3 Confidence (push)

JohnnyQ (4-2)
Ravens (-3) CONFIDENCDE (loss)
Bills (win)
Jets (PK) (win)
Lions (PK) (win)
Seahawks (+7) (win)

Romes (3-3)
Steelers -3 (win)
Chargers -5 (win)
Eagles -3 (loss)
Saints -6.5 (win)
Panthers -6 Confidence (loss)

BeachBumBabs (3-2)
Ravens -3 (loss)
Chiefs -3 Confidence (win)
Texans -3 (push)
49ers -4 (loss)
Steelers -3 (win)

Gordonm888 (3-1)
Browns +3 (win)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Cardinals +4 (win)
Eagles -3 (loss)
Texans -3 (push)

Scolist (0-5)
Titans -5 (loss)
Rams -7 (loss)
Panthers -6 (loss)
Packers PK (loss)
Eagles -3 (loss)

FourFiveFace (4-2)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Giants +6 (win)
Lions PK (win)
Dolphins +6 Confidence (loss)
Seahawks +7 (win)

GWAE (6-0)
Giants (+6) (win)
Steelers (win)
Bengals (-6) Confidence (win)
Cardinals (+4) (win)
Vikings (+3) (win)

onenickelmiracle (2-4)
Dolphins +6 (loss)
Seahawks +7 (win)
Falcons +3 (loss)
Raiders +5 Confidence (loss)
Browns +3 (win)

VCUSkyhawk (1-4)
Broncos PK Confidence (loss)
Falcons UNDER 58 (push)
Redskins +6.5 (loss)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Cowboys OVER 45.5 (loss)

JW17 (2-4)
Broncos PK Confidence (loss)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Cardinals +4 (win)
Falcons +3 (loss)
Rams -7 (loss)

Vegasrider (2-4)
Ravens -3 Confidence (loss)
Redskins +6.5 (loss)
Raiders +5 (loss)
Bengals (-6) (win)
Texans UNDER 45.5 (win)

EdCollins (3-2)
Packers PK (loss)
Chiefs -3 (win)
Ravens -3 (loss)
Steelers -3 (win)
Vikings +3 (win)

Sparty10k (1-5)
Jaguars +3 (loss)
Falcons +3 (loss)
Packers pick—Confidence (loss)
Cardinals +4 (win)
Redskins +6.5 (loss)

JohnZimbo (1-3)
Eagles -3 (loss)
Ravens -3 (loss)
Dolphins +6 (loss)
Texans -3 (push)
Texans UNDER 45.5 (win)

kuma (3-2)
Jaguars +3 (loss)
Steelers -3 (win)
Cardinals +4 Confidence (win)
Eagles -3 (loss)
Texans -3 (push)

TroopScott (0-5)
Titans (-5) (loss)
Titans @ Bills OVER 39.5 (loss)
Rams (-7) (loss)
Packers (PK) (loss)
Cardinals @ 49ers UNDER 40 (loss)

MaxPen (2-4)
Panthers -6 (loss)
49ers -4 Confidence (loss)
Rams -7 (loss)
Steelers -3 (win)
Browns +3 (win)

Bruce1 (2-3)
Ravens OVER 45.5 (loss)
Chiefs (-3) (win)
Broncos (PK) (loss)
Packers (PK) (loss)
Cardinals (+4) (win)

RisingDough (5-1)
Lions pk (win)
Bills+5 *Confidence (win)
Panthers -6 (loss)
Cardinals +4 (win)
Seahawks +7 (win)

miplet (1-5)
Titans -5 (loss)
Panthers -6 (loss)
Broncos PK (loss)
Cardinals +4 (win)
Redskins +6.5 Confidence (loss)

Odiousgambit (3-2)
Lions (PK) (win)
Browns +3 (win)
Raiders +5 (loss)
Dolphins +6 (loss)
Seahawks +7 (win)

unJon (0-6)
Jaguars +3 (loss)
Broncos PK (loss)
Rams -7 (loss)
Bengals OVER 48.5 (loss)
Packers PK Confidence (loss)

MidwestAP (1-3)
Panthers -6 (loss)
Cardinals +4 (win)
Eagles OVER 46 (loss)
Rams -7 (loss)
Texans -3 (push)

Prozema (1-3)
Panthers (-6) (loss)
Broncos (PK) (loss)
Cardinals (+4) (win)
Rams (-7) (loss)
Texans (-3) (push)


Name Wins Losses %
DJatc 20 3 86.96%
JohnZimbo 19 7 73.08%
GWAE 19 9 67.86%
RisingDough 19 10 65.52%
kuma 18 11 62.07%
GenWyzgy 16 10 61.54%
onenickelmiracle 17 13 56.67%
Rigondeaux 14 11 56.00%
JohnnyQ 16 13 55.17%
Gordonm888 14 12 53.85%
Romes 16 14 53.33%
Wizard 16 14 53.33%
Fleastiff 13 12 52.00%
OdiousGambit 13 12 52.00%
Prozema 13 12 52.00%
Terapined 13 12 52.00%
Bruce1 13 13 50.00%
MaxPen 13 15 46.43%
MidwestAP 11 13 45.83%
Miplet 13 16 44.83%
EdCollins 12 15 44.44%
Mission146 11 14 44.00%
UnJon 13 17 43.33%
Michael99000 9 13 40.91%
IndyJeffrey 11 16 40.74%
FourFiveFace 12 18 40.00%
PlayYourCardsRight 10 16 38.46%
Vegasrider 11 19 36.67%
Troopscott 8 14 36.36%
Joeman 9 17 34.62%
BeachBumBabs 10 19 34.48%
VCUSkyhawk 7 15 31.82%
Sparty10k 9 20 31.03%
Rainman 6 15 28.57%
SOOPOO 8 21 27.59%
Scolist 5 14 26.32%
JW17 7 21 25.00%
Ayecarumba 7 22 24.14%
Totals 471 538 46.68%


Record of Skip Weeks:

DJatc - Week 5
Michael99000 - Week 1
Rainman - Week 5
scolist - Week 1
TroopScott - Week 3
VCUSkyhawk - Week 4
Last edited by: EdCollins on Oct 8, 2018
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
Thanked by
Mission146
October 8th, 2018 at 7:47:17 PM permalink
Babs and I both posted our first winning week. Considering this is Week 5, that's pretty sad.

Confidence Picks this week were 5-15. For the season they are 45-68.
Mission146
Mission146
  • Threads: 142
  • Posts: 16832
Joined: May 15, 2012
October 8th, 2018 at 8:33:37 PM permalink
Greetings!

Wizard should be a Confidence on the Cardinals both in the Official Thread and this thread on Page 78, making his record. 3-3. I had him as such.

I encourage all other players to check their own records as Wizard pointed this out to me.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 1739
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
October 8th, 2018 at 8:54:05 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Greetings!

Wizard should be a Confidence on the Cardinals both in the Official Thread and this thread on Page 78, making his record. 3-3. I had him as such.

I encourage all other players to check their own records as Wizard pointed this out to me.

Mission, did you edit it after you initially posted it early Sunday morning? I cut and paste directly from your post. My paste cut shows no Confidence.
  • Jump to: