Atlanta at Tampa Bay

I figured since we aren't using Thursday night games, I'll go ahead and put out a Thursday prediction each week, starting now.

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay
-180 / 160
-3.5 / 3.5

Atlanta is the oddsmaker favorite.

Atlanta is 4-0 ATS playing away this season while Tampa Bay is 0-3 ATS at home.
Atlanta has a scoring diff advantage of 3.9 to -5.3 or a difference of 9.2. Historically, over a 5 year period this equates to a score of 30.0 to 24.5 (-5.5 advantage in favor of Atlanta).
Atlanta has a 89.1% chance to win the game straight up and a 72.97% chance to cover the ATS forecast.
Atlanta has a +2 to -2 turnover margin advantage over Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay has won the last two games by 4 and 7 respectively.

Both teams have faced Carolina, Denver and Oakland.
Atlanta was 3-0 winning by 15, 7 and 7.
Tampa Bay was 1-2 winning by 3, losing by 20 and losing by 6 in OT.

Tampa Bay has improved slightly on defense over the last 4 weeks while Atlanta has not shown any spikes positively or negatively.
Atlanta reached a high ceiling peak offensively by week 4 and has maintained over the last few weeks while Tampa Bay has oscillated practically every week, showing huge inconsistencies.

Recommendation: Take the ATS in favor of the Falcons as they should win by 10+.

Thanks for the write up!

Quote: Pinit2winit

Thanks for the write up!

Tampa sucks
The Raiders were practically giving the game to the Bucs through penalty after penalty last Sunday in the 4th quarter and OT.
The Bucs offense was pitiful.
No TD needed, just a decent 30 to 40 yard drive for the FG
Nope and the Raiders gave the Bucs many chances
just a pitiful Bucs 3 and out offense when it counts.

Yeah i watched it, Was just thanking him for his time.

Quote: JoelDeze

I figured since we aren't using Thursday night games, I'll go ahead and put out a Thursday prediction each week, starting now.

What happened to your idea of a prediction/write up for each Thursday's game? Decide against it?