ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
  • Threads: 78
  • Posts: 902
June 3rd, 2016 at 3:20:23 AM permalink
There may be some potential value in the 'series finishing in 4 games'

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Assumptions:

Warriors are: 6.5 pt favourites (or greater) for the 2nd game.

Cav's are: 2.0 pt favourites (or less) for the 3rd and 4th game

Warriors are ~ 72.06% to win @ home

Cav's are ~ 54.26% to win @ home, per game.

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Chance of the series finishing in

4 games: ~ 15.076%

Odds: $7.50

EV: ~13.07%
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Series odds***:

4 games, $7.50

5 games, $3.00

6 games, $3.15

7 games, $3.25

***: these odds are current as of this post, see link below

https://tatts.com/sports/basketball/nba/nba-finals

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SM777
SM777
Joined: Apr 8, 2016
  • Threads: 6
  • Posts: 762
June 3rd, 2016 at 7:07:17 AM permalink
How did your OKC four game sweep turn out?
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
Joined: Oct 20, 2013
  • Threads: 78
  • Posts: 902
June 5th, 2016 at 2:28:39 PM permalink
No good of course, great come back by GSW

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