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steeldco
steeldco
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January 5th, 2015 at 12:43:24 PM permalink
Well, this is the start of MY NBA season. The first day of picks against the spread are:

Cleveland Cavaliers -4½
Dallas Mavericks -6
Boston Celtics -4½
Denver Nuggets -4
Houston Rockets +3
New Orleans Pelicans -2½
Memphis Grizzlies -14
Utah Jazz -2½
Portland Trail Blazers -12½
Atlanta Hawks +5½
Oklahoma City Thunder +2½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 6th, 2015 at 6:53:01 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:

Cleveland Cavaliers L
Dallas Mavericks W
Boston Celtics L
Denver Nuggets W
Houston Rockets L
New Orleans Pelicans L
Memphis Grizzlies W
Utah Jazz L
Portland Trail Blazers L
Atlanta Hawks W
Oklahoma City Thunder L


Total 4-7
Favorites 3-5
Dogs 1-2
Home 1-4
Away 3-3
Road Fav 2-1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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January 6th, 2015 at 11:32:39 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Milwaukee Bucks +4
San Antonio Spurs -7½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 7th, 2015 at 2:42:29 PM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Milwaukee Bucks L
San Antonio Spurs L

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 0-2
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 0-1
Home 0-2
Away 0-0
Road Fav -

YTD Total of Picks Made: 4-9
Favorites 3-6
Dogs 1-3
Home 1-6
Away 3-3
Road Fav 2-1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 7th, 2015 at 2:50:21 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
Cleveland Cavaliers +6
New Orleans Pelicans -4½
Milwaukee Bucks -7
New York Knicks +14½
Brooklyn Nets -4½
Memphis Grizzlies +4½
Utah Jazz +10½
Detroit Pistons +9
Denver Nuggets -7
Phoenix Suns -8½
Oklahoma City Thunder -7½
Golden State Warriors -11½
Los Angeles Clippers -10½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 8th, 2015 at 6:01:25 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Cleveland Cavaliers L
New Orleans Pelicans L
Milwaukee Bucks W
New York Knicks W
Brooklyn Nets L
Memphis Grizzlies L
Utah Jazz W
Detroit Pistons W
Denver Nuggets L
Phoenix Suns L
Oklahoma City Thunder L
Golden State Warriors W
Los Angeles Clippers W


Total 6-7
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 0-1
Home 2-3
Away 4-4
Road Fav 1-3


YTD Total of Picks Made: 10-16
Favorites 3-7
Dogs 1-4
Home 3-9
Away 7-7
Road Fav 3-4
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 8th, 2015 at 8:59:29 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Charlotte Hornets +12
Houston Rockets -11½
Portland Trail Blazers -8½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 9th, 2015 at 5:29:31 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Charlotte Hornets W
Houston Rockets W
Portland Trail Blazers W


Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-0
Favorites 2-0
Dogs 1-0
Home 1-0
Away 2-0
Road Fav 1-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 13-16
Favorites 5-7
Dogs 2-4
Home 4-9
Away 9-7
Road Fav 4-4

YTD Total of Picks Made: 44.83%
Favorites 41.67%
Dogs 33.33%
Home 30.77%
Away 56.25%
Road Fav 50.00%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 9th, 2015 at 10:48:48 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Indiana Pacers -4
Brooklyn Nets -10½
Atlanta Hawks -3
Chicago Bulls +1
Oklahoma City Thunder -11½
New Orleans Pelicans -1
Milwaukee Bucks -8½
San Antonio Spurs -5
Sacramento Kings -4½
Cleveland Cavaliers +12½
Orlando Magic +3
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 10th, 2015 at 6:29:28 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results ( I don't ever remember a day where I had 3 games push...but it happened yesterday):

Indiana Pacers P
Brooklyn Nets L
Atlanta Hawks P
Chicago Bulls L
Oklahoma City Thunder L
New Orleans Pelicans W
Milwaukee Bucks W
San Antonio Spurs P
Sacramento Kings L
Cleveland Cavaliers L
Orlando Magic L

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-6
Favorites 3-2
Dogs 0-3
Home 2-3
Away 0-3
Road Fav 0-0


YTD Total of Picks Made: 15-22
Favorites 8-9
Dogs 2-7
Home 6-12
Away 9-10
Road Fav 4-4


YTD Total of Picks Made: 40.54%
Favorites 47.06%
Dogs 22.22%
Home 33.33%
Away 47.37%
Road Fav 50.00%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 10th, 2015 at 9:18:20 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Charlotte Hornets -8
Dallas Mavericks +3
Indiana Pacers -6
Boston Celtics +11½
Brooklyn Nets +5
Milwaukee Bucks +7½
Houston Rockets -11½
San Antonio Spurs -10
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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Joined: Nov 30, 2011
January 11th, 2015 at 8:33:05 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Charlotte Hornets W
Dallas Mavericks L
Indiana Pacers L
Boston Celtics L
Brooklyn Nets P
Milwaukee Bucks L
Houston Rockets W
San Antonio Spurs W

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-4
Favorites 3-1
Dogs 0-3
Home 1-0
Away 2-4
Road Fav 2-1

YTD Total of Picks Made: 18-26
Favorites 11-10
Dogs 2-10
Home 7-12
Away 11-4
Road Fav 6-5

YTD Total of Picks Made: 40.91%
Favorites 52.38%
Dogs 16.67%
Home 36.84%
Away 73.33%
Road Fav 54.55%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 11th, 2015 at 9:26:28 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Washington Wizards +4½
Los Angeles Clippers -10
Phoenix Suns +4½
Sacramento Kings -3
Portland Trail Blazers -6
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 12th, 2015 at 7:15:26 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Washington Wizards L
Los Angeles Clippers L
Phoenix Suns L
Sacramento Kings W
Portland Trail Blazers W

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-3
Favorites 2-1
Dogs 0-2
Home 1-1
Away 1-2
Road Fav 1-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 20-29
Favorites 13-11
Dogs 2-12
Home 8-13
Away 12-6
Road Fav 7-5

YTD Total of Picks Made: 40.82%
Favorites 54.17%
Dogs 14.29%
Home 38.10%
Away 66.67%
Road Fav 58.33%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 12th, 2015 at 7:17:30 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Houston Rockets -6½
Boston Celtics +4½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 13th, 2015 at 6:23:13 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-0
Favorites 1-0
Dogs 1-0
Home 1-0
Away 1-0
Road Fav 1-0


YTD Total of Picks Made: 22-29
Favorites 14-11
Dogs 3-12
Home 9-13
Away 13-6
Road Fav 8-5


YTD Total of Picks Made: 43.14%
Favorites 56.00%
Dogs 20.00%
Home 40.91%
Away 68.42%
Road Fav 61.54%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 13th, 2015 at 10:43:56 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Minnesota Timberwolves +10½
Cleveland Cavaliers +4
Dallas Mavericks -4½
Los Angeles Lakers +1
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:06:22 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Minnesota Timberwolves W
Cleveland Cavaliers L
Dallas Mavericks L
Los Angeles Lakers L

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 1-3
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 0-0
Home 0-1
Away 1-2
Road Fav 0-1

YTD Total of Picks Made: 23-32
Favorites 14-12
Dogs 3-12
Home 9-14
Away 14-8
Road Fav 8-6

YTD Total of Picks Made: 41.82%
Favorites 53.85%
Dogs 20.00%
Home 39.13%
Away 63.64%
Road Fav 57.14%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 14th, 2015 at 9:56:21 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
San Antonio Spurs -4½
New Orleans Pelicans +4½
Toronto Raptors -16½
Boston Celtics +7½
Chicago Bulls -6
Dallas Mavericks +2
Miami Heat +14½
Portland Trail Blazers -4
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
  • Threads: 52
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January 15th, 2015 at 7:24:29 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
San Antonio Spurs W
New Orleans Pelicans W
Toronto Raptors L
Boston Celtics L
Chicago Bulls L
Dallas Mavericks L
Miami Heat L
Portland Trail Blazers L

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-6
Favorites 1-3
Dogs 1-3
Home 0-4
Away 2-2
Road Fav 1-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 25-38
Favorites 15-15
Dogs 4-15
Home 9-18
Away 16-20
Road Fav 9-6

YTD Total of Picks Made: 39.68%
Favorites 50.00%
Dogs 21.05%
Home 33.33%
Away 44.44%
Road Fav 60.00%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 15th, 2015 at 12:39:34 PM permalink
Today's Picks:
Milwaukee Bucks -7½
Cleveland Cavaliers -6

Edited for the following comment:
Since road favorites, so far, are the only category doing well I am going to go 2X's my ordinary investment on the Cavaliers tonight.

So it becomes Milwaukee -7 1/2 for 100 and Cleveland -6 for 200.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 16th, 2015 at 6:23:12 AM permalink
Well, the increase on Cleveland worked out.

Milwaukee Bucks -7½ X1 100
Cleveland Cavaliers -6 X2 200
Total +300

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 2-0
Favorites 2-0
Dogs 0-0
Home 1-0
Away 1-0
Road Fav 1-0

Daily Winnings (Losses) +300

YTD Total of Picks Made: 27-38
Favorites 17-15
Dogs 4-15
Home 10-18
Away 17-20
Road Fav 10-6

YTD Total of Picks Made: 41.54%
Favorites 53.13%
Dogs 21.05%
Home 35.71%
Away 45.95%
Road Fav 62.50%

YTD Winnings (Losses) -1,380
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 16th, 2015 at 12:07:13 PM permalink
Today's Picks:

New Orleans Pelicans -7 2X
Brooklyn Nets +10
Indiana Pacers PK
Memphis Grizzlies -6 2X
Toronto Raptors +1
Chicago Bulls -5 2X
Golden State Warriors -1½ 2X
Dallas Mavericks -8½
San Antonio Spurs -4½
Phoenix Suns -14
Los Angeles Lakers +7½
Sacramento Kings -3
Cleveland Cavaliers +8

Note that I am again focusing on the visiting favorites that were picked and making them 2Xs wagers. They are New Orleans, Memphis, Chicago, and Golden State.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 17th, 2015 at 8:06:20 AM permalink
New Orleans Pelicans -220 L
Brooklyn Nets 100 W
Indiana Pacers -110 L
Memphis Grizzlies 200 W
Toronto Raptors -110 L
Chicago Bulls 200 W
Golden State Warriors -220 L
Dallas Mavericks -110 L
San Antonio Spurs 100 W
Phoenix Suns -110 L
Los Angeles Lakers -110 L
Sacramento Kings -110 L
Cleveland Cavaliers 100 W
Total -400

Total 5-8
Favorites 3-5
Dogs 2-2
Home 1-5
Away 4-3
Road Fav 2-2

YTD Total of Picks Made: 32-46
Favorites 20-20
Dogs 6-17
Home 11-23
Away 21-23
Road Fav 12-8

YTD Total of Picks Made: 41.03%
Favorites 50.00%
Dogs 26.09%
Home 32.35%
Away 47.73%
Road Fav 60.00%

YTD Winnings (Losses) -1,780
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 17th, 2015 at 8:19:38 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Indiana Pacers +2
Philadelphia 76ers +13
Chicago Bulls +2½
Washington Wizards -5 2X
Golden State Warriors +2½
Denver Nuggets -12
Los Angeles Clippers -6½ 2X

There are 2 visiting favorites that I will be taking at 2X's normal wager and they are Washington and the Clippers.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 18th, 2015 at 8:19:56 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Indiana Pacers +2 -110 L
Philadelphia 76ers +13 -110 L
Chicago Bulls +2½ -110 L
Washington Wizards -5 2X 200 W
Golden State Warriors +2½ 100 W
Denver Nuggets -12 -110 L
Los Angeles Clippers -6½ 2X 200 W

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-4
Favorites 2-1
Dogs 1-3
Home 0-2
Away 3-2
Road Fav 2-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 35-50
Favorites 22-21
Dogs 7-20
Home 11-25
Away 24-25
Road Fav 14-8

YTD Total of Picks Made: 41.18%
Favorites 51.16%
Dogs 25.93%
Home 30.56%
Away 48.98%
Road Fav 63.64%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 18th, 2015 at 8:21:40 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
New Orleans Pelicans +8 1/2
Oklahoma City Thunder -9 2X
San Antonio Spurs -11½

Oklahoma City is being picked and is a visiting favorite, therefore doubling up the wager.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 19th, 2015 at 5:55:59 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
New Orleans Pelicans +8 1/2 100 W
Oklahoma City Thunder -9 2X 200 W
San Antonio Spurs -11½ 100 W


Daily Winnings (Losses) 400
YTD Winnings (Losses) -1,320

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-0
Favorites 2-0
Dogs 1-0
Home 1-0
Away 2-0
Road Fav 1-0

YTD Total of Picks Made: 38-50
Favorites 24-21
Dogs 8-20
Home 12-25
Away 26-25
Road Fav 15-8

YTD Total of Picks Made: 43.18%
Favorites 53.33%
Dogs 28.57%
Home 32.43%
Away 50.98%
Road Fav 65.22%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 19th, 2015 at 8:13:47 AM permalink
Today's Picks:
Charlotte Hornets -5
Detroit Pistons +8
Los Angeles Clippers -12½
Denver Nuggets +13
Dallas Mavericks +3
Indiana Pacers +10
Toronto Raptors -1½ 2X
Los Angeles Lakers +10


Toronto is a visiting favorite that was picked so I will be going 2X's the usual wager on that one.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 20th, 2015 at 5:46:33 AM permalink
AS an FYI, the lone visiting favorite yesterday won. Visiting favorites have hit at a high percentage this year, although this year is a small sample size. Last year, the visiting favorite, out of 255 picks had a winning percentage of 53.73%. So far this year it is 66.67%. Recently I arbitrarily raised the amount wagered on visiting favorites to be double that of the others. I'm going to calculate a wager amount using the Kelly criterion and start using whatever it is today.

Yesterday's Results:
Charlotte Hornets 100 W
Detroit Pistons -110 L
Los Angeles Clippers -110 L
Denver Nuggets -110 L
Dallas Mavericks 100 W
Indiana Pacers -110 L
Toronto Raptors 2X 200 W
Los Angeles Lakers 100 W
Total 60

YTD Total of Picks Made: 42-54
Favorites 26-22
Dogs 10-23
Home 13-26
Away 29-28
Road Fav 16-8

YTD Winnings (Losses) -1,260

YTD Total of Picks Made: 43.75%
Favorites 54.17%
Dogs 30.30%
Home 33.33%
Away 50.88%
Road Fav 66.67%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 20th, 2015 at 7:27:44 AM permalink
Just 2 games today and there wasn't a pick in either. No picks today.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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January 20th, 2015 at 8:28:09 AM permalink
I picked up on the road fav selection and actually bet it last night based on this thread. We'll see how it works going forward.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 20th, 2015 at 8:30:32 AM permalink
Quote: MidwestAP

I picked up on the road fav selection and actually bet it last night based on this thread. We'll see how it works going forward.



Cool. Thru 260 or so picks, it's a winner. Not a large enough sample size yet, but getting there. Hopefully it doesn't disappoint......either of us. Good Luck!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 20th, 2015 at 9:37:10 AM permalink
Well, I applied the Kelly criterion to ascertain the amount to wager on the Visiting Favorites.......and I just can't bring myself to do it. It comes out to 1,500 per day (rounded down). Need to mull this over.....at least I have until tomorrow to do so.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 21st, 2015 at 8:51:24 AM permalink
There were no picks yesterday.
Insofar as using the Kelly criterion is concerned, I have decided to hold off a bit before increasing the wager size once again. I think that we are due for a bit of regression on the winning %.

Today's Picks:
Cleveland Cavaliers -10
Charlotte Hornets -5½
Detroit Pistons -8½
Indiana Pacers +11½
Toronto Raptors +5½
Dallas Mavericks -8 2x
Los Angeles Lakers +7½
Washington Wizards -1½
Portland Trail Blazers +6½
Sacramento Kings -5½
Houston Rockets +8

Dallas is the lone visiting favorite and they are being taken for 2Xs normal amount.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
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January 22nd, 2015 at 5:22:47 AM permalink
Yesterday's results were mediocre, except for the visiting favorite pick which once again won:

Cleveland Cavaliers 100 W
Charlotte Hornets -110 L
Detroit Pistons 100 W
Indiana Pacers -110 L
Toronto Raptors -110 L
Dallas Mavericks 2x 200 W
Los Angeles Lakers -110 L
Washington Wizards -110 L
Portland Trail Blazers 100 W
Sacramento Kings -110 L
Houston Rockets -110 L
Total -270

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 4-7
Favorites 3-3
Dogs 1-4
Home 2-3
Away 2-4
Road Fav 1-0
Near Lock

Daily Winnings (Losses) -270

YTD Total of Picks Made: 46-61
Favorites 29-25
Dogs 11-27
Home 15-29
Away 31-32
Road Fav 17-8

YTD Winnings (Losses) -1,530

YTD Total of Picks Made: 42.99%
Favorites 53.70%
Dogs 28.95%
Home 34.09%
Away 49.21%
Road Fav 68.00%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
MidwestAP
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January 22nd, 2015 at 9:36:31 AM permalink
I jumped on Dallas last night, although I had to give 9.5 not 8. Even though I won, I was wondering if the extra 1.5 would have made a difference in you selection process?

What do you have for tonight?
steeldco
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January 22nd, 2015 at 9:42:04 AM permalink
In the Dallas case, the 1.5 wouldn't have mattered. In fact, in most cases a line move would not matter since the selection process includes being sure that the team picked shows to be several points better.

I just got back in and will update the data and post today's picks in a bit.
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steeldco
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January 22nd, 2015 at 9:54:13 AM permalink
Today's Picks and it has a visiting favorite as a pick in San Antonio:

Utah Jazz +7½
San Antonio Spurs -6 2x
Boston Celtics +8
Los Angeles Clippers -11½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
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January 22nd, 2015 at 12:08:13 PM permalink
Not going to take the visiting fav tonight. Popovich is known to sit key players in road games during the season and you never know when. I'll check again tomorrow.
steeldco
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January 23rd, 2015 at 4:47:19 AM permalink
Quote: MidwestAP

Not going to take the visiting fav tonight. Popovich is known to sit key players in road games during the season and you never know when. I'll check again tomorrow.



Excellent call MidwestAP. Well done!
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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January 23rd, 2015 at 5:09:11 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:
Utah Jazz 100 W
San Antonio Spurs 2x -220 L
Boston Celtics 100 W
Los Angeles Clippers 100 W

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-1
Favorites 1-1
Dogs 2-0
Home 1-0
Away 2-1
Road Fav 0-1

Daily Winnings (Losses) 80

YTD Total of Picks Made: 49-62
Favorites 30-26
Dogs 13-27
Home 16-29
Away 33-33
Road Fav 17-9

YTD Winnings (Losses) -1,450

YTD Total of Picks Made: 44.14%
Favorites 53.57%
Dogs 32.50%
Home 35.56%
Away 50.00%
Road Fav 65.38%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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January 23rd, 2015 at 9:40:02 AM permalink
So the Kelly Criterion indicated the wager size on Visiting Favorite picks should be 1,500 (rounded down). Being the conservative that I am, I find it difficult to take it all the way up to that immediately. I will bump it from 2X's to 5X's starting today. There is 1 Visiting Favorite picked today and it is Toronto.

Today's Picks:
Toronto Raptors -11½ 5x
New York Knicks +2
Indiana Pacers +4
Oklahoma City Thunder +4
Charlotte Hornets +9½
Dallas Mavericks -7
Minnesota Timberwolves +7
Los Angeles Lakers +13½
Houston Rockets +2
Boston Celtics +9
Sacramento Kings +15½
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
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January 23rd, 2015 at 10:52:14 AM permalink
This is dicey. Toronto is only 3-8 straight up in their last 11 games although one of the wins was a 16 point victory against the Sixers in Toronto earlier this month. So, I'll bite, and play a little on Toronto (although I have to give up 13) since the Sixers are awful.
steeldco
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January 23rd, 2015 at 11:11:15 AM permalink
Quote: MidwestAP

This is dicey. Toronto is only 3-8 straight up in their last 11 games although one of the wins was a 16 point victory against the Sixers in Toronto earlier this month. So, I'll bite, and play a little on Toronto (although I have to give up 13) since the Sixers are awful.



I wish us both Good Luck!
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MidwestAP
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January 23rd, 2015 at 1:56:57 PM permalink
Thanks, you too!

By the way, if I had to pick another game tonight it would be to agree with you on Dallas -7 vs Chicago. Chicago is coming off a huge emotional win vs San Antonio, and having to turn around and travel to play on back to back nights against a very talented Mavericks team, won 4 of the last 5, and who had an extra day of rest.

I just really don't have any business betting NBA, I seldom watch except for the playoffs. I'll pick my spots based on what I read and on the success others have demonstrated.
steeldco
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January 24th, 2015 at 6:55:26 AM permalink
Yesterday's results:

Toronto Raptors -550 L
New York Knicks 100 W
Indiana Pacers 100 W
Oklahoma City Thunder -110 L
Charlotte Hornets -110 L
Dallas Mavericks -110 L
Minnesota Timberwolves -110 L
Los Angeles Lakers -110 L
Houston Rockets 100 W
Boston Celtics 100 W
Sacramento Kings -110 L

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 4-7
Favorites 0-2
Dogs 4-5
Home 1-2
Away 3-5
Road Fav 0-1

Daily Winnings (Losses) -810

YTD Total of Picks Made: 53-69
Favorites 30-28
Dogs 17-32
Home 17-31
Away 36-38
Road Fav 17-10

YTD Winnings (Losses) -2,260

YTD Total of Picks Made: 43.44%
Favorites 51.72%
Dogs 34.69%
Home 35.42%
Away 48.65%
Road Fav 62.96%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
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January 24th, 2015 at 7:49:33 AM permalink
With yesterday's loss, and using the Kelly Criterion, my wager size should be 1,300 (rounded down). I will not go that far. I will take it up to 800 today.
There is 1 visiting favorite pick and it is Detroit.

Today's Picks:
New York Knicks +9½
Detroit Pistons -2 8x
Memphis Grizzlies -17
Utah Jazz -4
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
MidwestAP
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January 24th, 2015 at 9:28:41 AM permalink
I'm on Detroit -2.5 also
steeldco
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January 25th, 2015 at 6:47:16 AM permalink
Yesterday's Results:

New York Knicks 100 W
Detroit Pistons 8x -880 L
Memphis Grizzlies 100 W
Utah Jazz 100 W
Total -580

Yesterday's Results of Picks Made::
Total 3-1
Favorites 2-1
Dogs 1-0
Home 2-0
Away 1-1
Road Fav 0-1

YTD Total of Picks Made: 56-70
Favorites 32-29
Dogs 18-32
Home 19-31
Away 37-39
Road Fav 17-11

YTD Winnings (Losses) -2,840

YTD Total of Picks Made: 44.44%
Favorites 52.46%
Dogs 36.00%
Home 38.00%
Away 48.68%
Road Fav 60.71%
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
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