Betting college football -- New page
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As always, I welcome all questions, comments, and especially corrections.
Quote: WizardI've been working hard on my new page on betting college football. Please have a look.
As always, I welcome all questions, comments, and especially corrections.
Nothing short of spectacular.
Quote: SOOPOONothing short of spectacular.
That's what I like to hear!
Quote: WizardI must say, I was hoping to get more comments. That page took two weeks to do, off and on.
I just spotted it. Fine work! Thank you for that.
Now to bet the ML on ten point dogs for the rest of the year and become rich.
Do you like 3 in college more for half point parlay cards now? It seems to be as common as 7 in the NFL. As I mentioned in the other thread, I'd imagine that it is even more common when you filter out all of the games that are not competitive. Not all blow outs, but the massive mismatches in non-conference games.
Quote: WizardI must say, I was hoping to get more comments. That page took two weeks to do, off and on.
Really good reference material in the write up, thank you very much!
I am not sure if I understand the margin of victory table.
Margin of victory - 1 number games - 413 percent - 3.35
Is this a count of only when favorites win by 1 or is this all games with a 1 point margin, regardless of whether the fav or dog won?
Quote: WizardI must say, I was hoping to get more comments. That page took two weeks to do, off and on.
it's awesome, but I just don't bet the college football, so isn't useful to me... if I did, it would be, like the NFL version was.
Quote: RigondeauxDo you like 3 in college more for half point parlay cards now? It seems to be as common as 7 in the NFL. As I mentioned in the other thread, I'd imagine that it is even more common when you filter out all of the games that are not competitive. Not all blow outs, but the massive mismatches in non-conference games.
Yes, I think that getting a half point off of 3 or 7 in a college game is definitely half-point parlay card worthy.
Quote: cyberbabbleI am not sure if I understand the margin of victory table.
Margin of victory - 1 number games - 413 percent - 3.35
Is this a count of only when favorites win by 1 or is this all games with a 1 point margin, regardless of whether the fav or dog won?
That is saying that 3.35% of games end in a margin of victory of one point, regardless of whether the favorite or dog won.
Quote: Betting College Football PageThe data used in this analysis is 12,231 college football games from 1996 to 2013.
Were the games just division 1 teams? Were bowl games included?
Quote: WizardI must say, I was hoping to get more comments. That page took two weeks to do, off and on.
great page. This also shows why I am horrible at betting.
Some of the bets that have the best EV
Under -0.025836
Home underdog -0.015335
are the ones that I make the least. I love an OVER but obviously I should be betting the under
Quote: GWAEgreat page. This also shows why I am horrible at betting.
Some of the bets that have the best EV
Under -0.025836
Home underdog -0.015335
are the ones that I make the least. I love an OVER but obviously I should be betting the under
Thanks. Interestingly, in the NFL home underdogs do about equally as away underdogs. Betting under is better than over in every sport.
I just added more material about teasers in college football. Please have another look. There is an advantage play in there.
Quote: WizardThanks. Interestingly, in the NFL home underdogs do about equally as away underdogs. Betting under is better than over in every sport.
I just added more material about teasers in college football. Please have another look. There is an advantage play in there.
I think in your Teaser section the column labeled "points" should be "teams" or "games".
