Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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November 23rd, 2014 at 6:30:21 PM permalink
I am so lame! Thanks
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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November 24th, 2014 at 8:14:32 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

...Note that Ayecarumba has two opposings pick. (Packers and Vikings) As I recall, that's graded as a loss for each. Mission, please confirm those picks, and the penalty.


My bad, the second entry was supposed to be the over, but I got distracted and didn't check it before sending.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
Mission146
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November 24th, 2014 at 5:47:24 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

John, they were posted last night. The link is in Mission's post immediately above yours.

Note that Ayecarumba has two opposings pick. (Packers and Vikings) As I recall, that's graded as a loss for each. Mission, please confirm those picks, and the penalty.



It would be graded as one loss, I believe.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
sodawater
sodawater
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November 24th, 2014 at 5:56:47 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

It would be graded as one loss, I believe.



Looks like the opposing picks are graded as two losses according to your post:

EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 24th, 2014 at 6:00:14 PM permalink
Quote: sodawater

Looks like the opposing picks are grades as two losses according to your post:



Thanks for finding that. (I was initially looking for it but then ran out of time.)

That's what I vaguely remember... a loss for both picks.
Mission146
Mission146
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November 24th, 2014 at 6:05:42 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins


Thanks for finding that. (I was initially looking for it but then ran out of time.)

That's what I vaguely remember... a loss for both picks.



The key there, though, is doey-don't record protection. I can't imagine why Ayecarumba would deliberately make off-setting picks to protect a losing record when he is not even halfway up the leader board. I would still suggest one loss.

EDIT: In fact, I'll have to make an official Rule for this next year. There are so many unforeseen complications with the Rules...lol
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 24th, 2014 at 6:08:19 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

The key there, though, is doey-don't record protection. I can't imagine why Ayecarumba would deliberately make off-setting picks to protect a losing record when he is not even halfway up the leader board. I would still suggest one loss.

EDIT: In fact, I'll have to make an official Rule for this next year. There are so many unforeseen complications with the Rules...lol


Acknowledged. One loss.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 24th, 2014 at 6:11:39 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Acknowledged. One loss.


Wait, just to be clear...

As it is, those picks went 1-1. (Naturally... one won and one lost. So it was already one loss.)

So is it 1-1... just leave the double-pick alone with no modification...

... or is it a record 0-1 for the two picks. (Meaning, the winning pick is thrown out.)
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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November 24th, 2014 at 6:20:51 PM permalink
It's much cleaner to spoil both picks. What if one was a confidence pick? Keep it simple and consistent. The responsibility is on each player to check their ticket before they walk away from the counter.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 24th, 2014 at 8:53:25 PM permalink
Week 12 Results:

6-0: Ten2Win
5-1: YouCanBetOnThat, MWalz9, JohnZimbo
4-1: Wizard
4-2: Miplet, Genwyzgy
3-2: Paradigm, Mission146, JW17
3-3: StrictlyAP, JML24
2-3: Terapined, Beardgoat
2-4: Wudged, SteeldCo, Sodawater, RDW4Potus, KMumf
1-5: Ayecarumba, Aluisio, 10Dollarbri

Regular Picks: 49-45
Confidence Picks: 8-8


Current Standings (correction noted and edited):
Name Wins Losses % Owes
Wizard 43 17 71.67%-
VCUSkyhawk (out - 3 byes) 16 8 66.67%$5.00
JohnZimbo 39 26 60.00%$11.67
Buzzard (out - withdrew) 14 10 58.33%$13.33
Steeldco 35 25 58.33%$13.33
Wudged 41 30 57.75%$13.92
MWalz9 37 28 56.92%$14.74
StrictlyAP 40 31 56.34%$15.33
Terapined 30 24 55.56%$16.11
EdCollins 33 27 55.00%$16.67
Paradigm 32 27 54.24%$17.43
YouCanBetOnThat 30 28 51.72%$19.94
Aluisio 36 34 51.43%$20.24
Genwyzgy 30 30 50.00%$21.67
SodaWater 33 33 50.00%$21.67
Ten2Win 33 33 50.00%$21.67
RDW4Potus 31 32 49.21%$22.46
JW17 29 31 48.33%$23.33
KMUMF 26 30 46.43%$25.24
Mission146 26 30 46.43%$25.00
TGarrettCPA 30 36 45.45%$26.21
AyeCarumba 31 38 44.93%$26.74
Beardgoat 28 36 43.75%$27.92
Malaru (out - 3 byes) 17 22 43.59%$25.00
Miplet 26 34 43.33%$28.33
10DollarBri 28 37 43.08%$28.59
JML24 25 36 40.98%$30.68
Vendman1 (out - 3 byes) 15 24 38.46%$25.00
BeachBumBabs (out - withdrew) 17 29 36.96%$25.00
GWAE (out - withdrew) 13 27 32.50%$25.00
Totals 864 853 50.32%$607.22
sodawater
sodawater
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November 24th, 2014 at 9:24:30 PM permalink
Imagine how much money you could have made the last two years simply betting the Wizard's picks...Hope he has been at least.
sodawater
sodawater
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November 24th, 2014 at 9:28:12 PM permalink
Shouldn’t VCUSkyhawk, Buzzard, Malaru, and Vendman1 all be listed as owing $25.00, since they forfeited or withdrew before week 10?

Quote: EdCollins

Week 12 Results:

Current Standings:

Name Wins Losses % Owes
Wizard 43 17 71.67%-
VCUSkyhawk (out - 3 byes) 16 8 66.67%$5.00
JohnZimbo 39 26 60.00%$11.67
Buzzard (out - withdrew) 14 10 58.33%$13.33
Steeldco 35 25 58.33%$13.33
Wudged 41 30 57.75%$13.92
MWalz9 37 28 56.92%$14.74
StrictlyAP 40 31 56.34%$15.33
Terapined 30 24 55.56%$16.11
EdCollins 33 27 55.00%$16.67
Paradigm 32 27 54.24%$17.43
YouCanBetOnThat 30 28 51.72%$19.94
Aluisio 36 34 51.43%$20.24
Genwyzgy 30 30 50.00%$21.67
SodaWater 33 33 50.00%$21.67
Ten2Win 33 33 50.00%$21.67
RDW4Potus 31 32 49.21%$22.46
JW17 29 31 48.33%$23.33
KMUMF 26 30 46.43%$25.24
Mission146 26 30 46.43%$25.00
TGarrettCPA 30 36 45.45%$26.21
AyeCarumba 31 39 44.29%$27.38
Beardgoat 28 36 43.75%$27.92
Malaru (out - 3 byes) 17 22 43.59%$28.08
Miplet 26 34 43.33%$28.33
10DollarBri 28 37 43.08%$28.59
JML24 25 36 40.98%$30.68
Vendman1 (out - 3 byes) 15 24 38.46%$33.21
BeachBumBabs (out - withdrew) 17 29 36.96%$25.00
GWAE (out - withdrew) 13 27 32.50%$25.00
Totals 864 854 50.29%$619.14

Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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November 24th, 2014 at 11:48:58 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Week 12 Results:

6-0: Ten2Win
5-1: YouCanBetOnThat, MWalz9, JohnZimbo
4-1: Wizard
4-2: Miplet, Genwyzgy
3-2: Paradigm, Mission146, JW17
3-3: StrictlyAP, JML24
2-3: Terapined, Beardgoat
2-4: Wudged, SteeldCo, Sodawater, RDW4Potus, KMumf
1-5: Aluisio, 10Dollarbri
1-6: Ayecarumba

Regular Picks: 49-44
Confidence Picks: 8-9


Current Standings:

Name Wins Losses % Owes
Wizard 43 17 71.67%-
VCUSkyhawk (out - 3 byes) 16 8 66.67%$5.00
JohnZimbo 39 26 60.00%$11.67
Buzzard (out - withdrew) 14 10 58.33%$13.33
Steeldco 35 25 58.33%$13.33
Wudged 41 30 57.75%$13.92
MWalz9 37 28 56.92%$14.74
StrictlyAP 40 31 56.34%$15.33
Terapined 30 24 55.56%$16.11
EdCollins 33 27 55.00%$16.67
Paradigm 32 27 54.24%$17.43
YouCanBetOnThat 30 28 51.72%$19.94
Aluisio 36 34 51.43%$20.24
Genwyzgy 30 30 50.00%$21.67
SodaWater 33 33 50.00%$21.67
Ten2Win 33 33 50.00%$21.67
RDW4Potus 31 32 49.21%$22.46
JW17 29 31 48.33%$23.33
KMUMF 26 30 46.43%$25.24
Mission146 26 30 46.43%$25.00
TGarrettCPA 30 36 45.45%$26.21
AyeCarumba 31 39 44.29%$27.38
Beardgoat 28 36 43.75%$27.92
Malaru (out - 3 byes) 17 22 43.59%$28.08
Miplet 26 34 43.33%$28.33
10DollarBri 28 37 43.08%$28.59
JML24 25 36 40.98%$30.68
Vendman1 (out - 3 byes) 15 24 38.46%$33.21
BeachBumBabs (out - withdrew) 17 29 36.96%$25.00
GWAE (out - withdrew) 13 27 32.50%$25.00
Totals 864 854 50.29%$619.14


Ed- I am willing to take a loss for both picks, but do I take a penalty for the week too? I have a total of seven decisions this week in the report. hehe
Sorry for gumming everything up.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 25th, 2014 at 7:28:13 AM permalink
Ah, my mistake. I'll fix it right away.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 25th, 2014 at 7:30:50 AM permalink
Quote: sodawater

Shouldn’t VCUSkyhawk, Buzzard, Malaru, and Vendman1 all be listed as owing $25.00, since they forfeited or withdrew before week 10?


I don't know. Maybe. Possibly. I don't know what the rule is in that.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 25th, 2014 at 10:22:35 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

2.) In the event that you forfeit the game, you will automatically owe the sum of $25 if you forfeit prior to Week 10. If you forfeit after Week 10, then you will owe the greater of $25 or $0.10 for every one-hundredth percentage point you are away from the winner.



Ah, there it is. Okay, I will update the chart again tonight, for the players that dropped out early, when I get home.
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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November 25th, 2014 at 12:33:36 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Quote: Mission146

2.) In the event that you forfeit the game, you will automatically owe the sum of $25 if you forfeit prior to Week 10. If you forfeit after Week 10, then you will owe the greater of $25 or $0.10 for every one-hundredth percentage point you are away from the winner.



Ah, there it is. Okay, I will update the chart again tonight, for the players that dropped out early, when I get home.



I recall that folks could still play, but can't win?? Is that different than officially forfeiting?

In any case, aren't these questions for Mission rather than Ed?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 25th, 2014 at 1:09:31 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

In any case, aren't these questions for Mission rather than Ed?


Yes!! Thank you.
sodawater
sodawater
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November 25th, 2014 at 1:47:51 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Quote: EdCollins

Quote: Mission146

2.) In the event that you forfeit the game, you will automatically owe the sum of $25 if you forfeit prior to Week 10. If you forfeit after Week 10, then you will owe the greater of $25 or $0.10 for every one-hundredth percentage point you are away from the winner.



Ah, there it is. Okay, I will update the chart again tonight, for the players that dropped out early, when I get home.



I recall that folks could still play, but can't win?? Is that different than officially forfeiting?

In any case, aren't these questions for Mission rather than Ed?



If that's the rule, it makes no sense.

If that were the case, it would have been right for me to stop making picks when I hit around 60% to minimize my losses.
vendman1
vendman1
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November 25th, 2014 at 1:54:33 PM permalink
Hey guys...allow me to throw myself on the mercy of the gaming court. I was very busy with some family stuff...then it was my birthday and I simply forgot to submit my official forfeit. I like to submit one late if it will be honored by our esteemed commissioner Mission.

Your humble lame ass handicapper.

Vendman1
steeldco
steeldco
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November 25th, 2014 at 2:12:15 PM permalink
Quote: sodawater

Imagine how much money you could have made the last two years simply betting the Wizard's picks...Hope he has been at least.



Yep......and I've been relying on his picks to go to the bank. The record when one of my picks matches his, this year, is 16-4. 80% I can live with :-)
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
Mission146
Mission146
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November 25th, 2014 at 3:51:25 PM permalink
As of this point, for those who withdrew or missed three weeks, such people will owe the LESSER of $25.00 or payment pursuant to their winning percentage. People who miss three weeks from this point forward will be based on winning percentage.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 25th, 2014 at 3:57:38 PM permalink
Acknowledged. Thanks. Current Standings on page 36 updated.
Mission146
Mission146
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November 27th, 2014 at 7:43:33 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 13 Lines have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/3/#post413119
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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November 29th, 2014 at 10:03:50 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 13 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/3/#post413610
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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November 30th, 2014 at 7:03:51 PM permalink
Will the Wizard EVER have a bad week? The guy is on fire and not slowing down!

Bastard!
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 1st, 2014 at 8:35:12 PM permalink
Week 13 Results:

5-0: Wizard
5-1: 10Dollarbri
4-2: YouCanBetOnThat, Paradigm, Johnzimbo
3-2: Terapined, JML24, EdCollins
3-3: Steeldco, Miplet, JW17
2-3: Beardgoat
2-4: StrictlyAP, Sodawater, MWalz9, KMumf, Aluisio
1-4: Mission146
1-5: Wudged, Ten2Win
0-5: Genwyzgy

Regular Picks: 43-48
Confidence Picks: 6-8


Current Standings

Name Wins Losses % Owes
Wizard 48 17 73.85%-
VCUSkyhawk (out - 3 byes) 16 8 66.67%$7.18
JohnZimbo 43 28 60.56%$13.28
Buzzard (out - withdrew) 14 10 58.33%$15.51
Steeldco 38 28 57.58%$16.27
Terapined 33 26 55.93%$17.91
EdCollins 36 29 55.38%$18.46
Paradigm 36 29 55.38%$18.46
MWalz9 39 32 54.93%$18.92
StrictlyAP 42 35 54.55%$19.30
Wudged 42 35 54.55%$19.30
YouCanBetOnThat 34 30 53.13%$20.72
Aluisio 38 38 50.00%$23.85
RDW4Potus 31 32 49.21%$24.64
SodaWater 35 37 48.61%$25.24
JW17 32 34 48.48%$25.36
Ten2Win 34 38 47.22%$26.62
10DollarBri 33 38 46.48%$27.37
Genwyzgy 30 35 46.15%$27.69
TGarrettCPA 30 36 45.45%$28.39
KMUMF 28 34 45.16%$28.68
AyeCarumba 31 38 44.93%$28.92
Mission146 27 34 44.26%$25.00
Miplet 29 37 43.94%$29.91
Malaru (out - 3 byes) 17 22 43.59%$25.00
Beardgoat 30 39 43.48%$30.37
JML24 28 38 42.42%$31.42
Vendman1 (out - 3 byes) 15 24 38.46%$25.00
BeachBumBabs (out - withdrew) 17 29 36.96%$25.00
GWAE (out - 3 byes) 13 27 32.50%$25.00
Totals 919 917 50.05%$668.78
jml24
jml24
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December 1st, 2014 at 9:37:54 PM permalink
I hope the Wizard has been getting down some real money bets on his picks. I sure wish I was betting on them.
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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December 1st, 2014 at 10:21:46 PM permalink
Quote: jml24

I hope the Wizard has been getting down some real money bets on his picks. I sure wish I was betting on them.



Nope. I don't have enough faith in myself.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Mission146
Mission146
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December 4th, 2014 at 8:25:38 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 14 Lines have been Posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/3/#post414726
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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December 6th, 2014 at 10:35:42 PM permalink
Greetings!

The official thread has been updated:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/4/#post415096

Quote:

Greetings!

I am leaving work shortly, so I am posting to regrettably inform everyone that the Picks will not be posted until between 8:00a-10:00a EST this morning, which is still well before kickoff.

As you are all aware, I extended the deadline for picks until 2:00a.m. today rather than the usual 23:59 on the Saturday before due to the fact that the reminder PM's were not sent out until shortly after 10:00a.m. this morning when they usually would have been sent out anywhere from 6-10 hours before that due to my not having Internet during the time I'd usually be sending those out.

I have scrolled through the PM's I have received and have determined that two active players have not yet made their Picks. I have further determined that, while it may be something of a long-shot, these two players are still mathematically in contention. Therefore, in the interest of competitive fairness, I cannot post the Picks prior to the deadline. If the players in question were not mathematically in contention, then I would obviously go ahead and post the Picks as it would not affect the final result with those players having access to the other Picks ahead of time.

I apologize for any inconvenience this may have caused.

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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December 7th, 2014 at 7:47:12 AM permalink
Greetings!

The WEEK 14 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/4/#post415146
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
terapined
terapined
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December 7th, 2014 at 9:36:07 AM permalink
I think I still have a long shot chance at this.
4th place among active players.
The sizzling Wizard and me have completely different picks this week :-)
Need 0-5 for the sizzling Wiz and 5-0 for me just to get closer to the Wiz.
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 8th, 2014 at 8:55:01 PM permalink
Week 14 Results:

5-0: Johnzimbo
5-1: Wudged
4-1: 10DollarBri
3-1: JML24
4-2: Ten2Win, JW17, AyeCarumba
3-2: YouCanBetonThat, Wizard, TGarrettCPA, Mission146, EdCollins, Beardgoat
3-3: Steeldco, MWalz9, Genwyzgy
2-2: Miplet
2-3: Terapined, KMUMF
2-4: Sodawater, Paradigm
1-5: StrictlyAP

Regular Picks: 53-39
Confidence Picks: 7-6



Current Standings

Name Wins Losses % Owes
Wizard 51 19 72.86%-
VCUSkyhawk (out - 3 byes) 16 8 66.67%$6.19
JohnZimbo 48 28 63.16%$9.70
Buzzard (out - withdrew) 14 10 58.33%$14.52
Steeldco 41 31 56.94%$15.91
Wudged 47 36 56.63%$16.23
EdCollins 39 31 55.71%$17.14
Terapined 35 29 54.69%$18.17
MWalz9 42 35 54.55%$18.31
YouCanBetOnThat 37 32 53.62%$19.23
Paradigm 38 33 53.52%$19.34
StrictlyAP 43 40 51.81%$21.05
Aluisio 38 38 50.00%$22.86
JW17 36 36 50.00%$22.86
RDW4Potus 31 32 49.21%$23.65
Ten2Win 38 40 48.72%$24.14
10DollarBri 37 39 48.68%$24.17
SodaWater 37 41 47.44%$25.42
AyeCarumba 35 40 46.67%$26.19
Genwyzgy 33 38 46.48%$26.38
TGarrettCPA 33 38 46.48%$26.38
Mission146 30 36 45.45%$25.00
KMUMF 30 37 44.78%$28.08
Beardgoat 33 41 44.59%$28.26
JML24 31 39 44.29%$28.57
Miplet 31 39 44.29%$28.57
Malaru (out - 3 byes) 17 22 43.59%$25.00
Vendman1 (out - 3 byes) 15 24 38.46%$25.00
BeachBumBabs (out - withdrew) 17 29 36.96%$25.00
GWAE (out - withdrew) 13 27 32.50%$25.00
Totals 986 968 50.46%$636.33
Mission146
Mission146
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December 11th, 2014 at 7:12:44 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 15 Lines have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/4/#post416094
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 13th, 2014 at 9:07:28 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 15 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/4/#post416508
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
terapined
terapined
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December 14th, 2014 at 2:37:02 AM permalink
No Wizard picks.
He forgot or taking the bye on purpose.
I have to admit, taking a bye is the smart move. If I was in his position, would do the same.
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
sodawater
sodawater
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December 14th, 2014 at 12:12:33 PM permalink
Wizard bye looks like correct strategic move
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 15th, 2014 at 8:14:33 PM permalink
Week 15 Results:

6-0: Miplet
5-0: Johnzimbo
5-1: Wudged
4-1: RDW4Potus, 10DollarBri
3-1: YouCanBetOnThat
3-2: Paradigm, Mission146, Kmumf, JW17, EdCollins, Aluisio
3-3: Steeldco, Genwyzgy
2-2: Beardgoat, AyeCarumba
2-3: TGarrettCPA, Terapined
2-4: StrictlyAP
1-4: JML24
1-5: Sodawater

Regular Picks: 53-39
Confidence Picks: 5-3


Congrats to JohnZimbo for his impressive 10-0 record over the past two weeks and 19-3 record over the past four weeks.


Current Standings:

Name Wins Losses % Owes
Wizard 51 19 72.86%-
VCUSkyhawk (out - 3 byes) 16 8 66.67%$6.19
JohnZimbo 53 28 65.43%$7.43
Wudged 52 37 58.43%$14.43
Buzzard (out - withdrew) 14 10 58.33%$14.52
Steeldco 44 34 56.41%$16.45
EdCollins 42 33 56.00%$16.86
YouCanBetOnThat 40 33 54.79%$18.06
MWalz9 42 35 54.55%$18.31
Paradigm 41 35 53.95%$18.91
Terapined 37 32 53.62%$19.23
RDW4Potus 35 33 51.47%$21.39
JW17 39 38 50.65%$22.21
10DollarBri 41 40 50.62%$22.24
Aluisio 41 40 50.62%$22.24
StrictlyAP 45 44 50.56%$22.30
Ten2Win 38 40 48.72%$24.14
Miplet 37 39 48.68%$24.17
AyeCarumba 37 42 46.84%$26.02
Genwyzgy 36 41 46.75%$26.10
Mission146 33 38 46.48%$25.00
TGarrettCPA 35 41 46.05%$26.80
KMUMF 33 39 45.83%$27.02
SodaWater 38 46 45.24%$27.62
Beardgoat 35 43 44.87%$27.99
Malaru (out - 3 byes) 17 22 43.59%$25.00
JML24 32 43 42.67%$30.19
Vendman1 (out - 3 byes) 15 24 38.46%$25.00
BeachBumBabs (out - withdrew) 17 29 36.96%$25.00
GWAE (out - withdrew) 13 27 32.50%$25.00
Totals 1,049 1,013 50.87%$625.82
Mission146
Mission146
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December 15th, 2014 at 9:16:43 PM permalink
This could be an interesting finish between Wizard and JohnZimbo as all other players are mathematically eliminated assuming Wizard continues not to make Confidence Picks.

I'm going to assume that Wizard will stick to his strategy of not making Confidence Picks, so at a worst possible 0-10 for the last two weeks, he'd be:

51-29 = .638

In the event JohnZimbo runs the table at a perfect 12-0, he would be:

65-28 = .698

Wizard at 5-5 would be:

56-24 = .700

Wizard at 4-6 would be:

55-25 = .6875

Wizard at 3-7 would be:

54-26 = .675

Wizard at 2-8 would be:

53-27 = .663

Wizard at 1-9 would be:

52-28 = .650

To get to .650, JohnZimbo would need to be at least 61-32 which means he'd be at .655 and would have to go 8-4 the rest of the way.

Therefore, the winning conditions are:

JohnZimbo: 7-5, Wizard: 0-10

JohnZimbo: 8-4, Wizard: 0-10 or 1-9

JohnZimbo: 9-3, Wizard: 0-10 or 1-9 or 2-8

JohnZimbo: 10-2, Wizard: 0-10 or 1-9 or 2-8 or 3-7

JohnZimbo: 11-1, Wizard 0-10, 1-9, 2-8, 3-7 or 4-6 (Wizard would actually round up to .688 at .6875 with JZ at .6881, so Wizard would owe nothing)

JohnZimbo: 12-0, Wizard 0-10 through 4-6 (Wizard would actually still win with .700 going 5-5 with JZ at .6989)

The ball is in Wizard's Court, on more appropriately, on his field. All he has to do is not have a losing record, but this could be a good setup to a Week 17 finale, let's hope they make it really interesting by not having any duplicate picks!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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December 16th, 2014 at 3:18:51 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Congrats to JohnZimbo for his impressive 10-0 record over the past two weeks and 19-3 record over the past four weeks.



Thanks! I have been trying to make it close but the Wiz is just too far in front. I just need to get into his noggin, figure out which way he will pick, and go opposite.
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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December 16th, 2014 at 6:01:30 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Week 15 Results:

5-0: Johnzimbo



Even better, Johnzimbo had a confidence pick on Dallas in Week 15. He should be 6-0 for the week.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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December 16th, 2014 at 6:03:59 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

This could be an interesting finish between Wizard and JohnZimbo as all other players are mathematically eliminated assuming Wizard continues not to make Confidence Picks.



What weeks did Wizard have byes?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 16th, 2014 at 6:09:07 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Even better, Johnzimbo had a confidence pick on Dallas in Week 15. He should be 6-0 for the week.


Johnzimbo (5-0)

Seahawks -10 (push)
Jets -2.5 (win)
Bills +4.5 (win)
Vikings +7.5 (win)
Cowboys +3.5 confidence (win)
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 16th, 2014 at 6:09:49 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

What weeks did Wizard have byes?


Week 1 and Week 15.
Mission146
Mission146
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December 16th, 2014 at 8:08:35 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Even better, Johnzimbo had a confidence pick on Dallas in Week 15. He should be 6-0 for the week.



He had a Push on Seattle.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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December 18th, 2014 at 8:54:27 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 16 Lines have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/4/#post417777
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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December 18th, 2014 at 10:26:30 PM permalink
Quote: terapined

No Wizard picks.
He forgot or taking the bye on purpose.
I have to admit, taking a bye is the smart move. If I was in his position, would do the same.



I had planned to save my second bye week for week 17, but I was deep in the mountains of New Zealand with no Internet connection, so took it early.

Congratulations to JohnZimbo for a strong showing in week 15. I'll be keeping my eye on you.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Mission146
Mission146
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December 20th, 2014 at 9:34:17 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 16 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/19451-wov-picks-game-2014-official-thread/4/#post418148
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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December 20th, 2014 at 10:26:10 PM permalink
As I wrote earlier, I'm keeping my eye on JohnZimbo. I see that he swung me on the Seattle/Arizona game. Not only are we on opposite sides but he has a confidence pick on Seattle -8. That will be a three-point swing one way or the other, and I think he needs about seven points to catch me. Fortunately for me, we're the same on the same side on a couple other games.

If Seattle -8 covers it will likely come down to the last week. If it doesn't, I'll be feeling very confident.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
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