For those who missed it, the game went to overtime tied 20-20. At that point the only way the over 42.5 loses is if the game ends in a tie (meaning the entire 15 minute overtime period goes by with no scoring by either team), or if the game ends on a safety.
Since 1989 a total of six nfl games have ended in a tie, and a total of two nfl games have ended with an overtime safety.
Final score Miami 22 Cincinnati 20
It's gotta go down as one of the worst beats or if you had the under, luckiest wins, ever.
Quote: michael99000and a total of two nfl games have ended with an overtime safety.
I know what it feels like to get burned by a safety all too well. They occurred in Super Bowls of 2009, 2012, and 2013.
Quote: WizardI know what it feels like to get burned by a safety all too well. They occurred in Super Bowls of 2009, 2012, and 2013.
So Mike maybe you should Martingale your no safety bet :) It's due to come in right?
Quote: WizardI know what it feels like to get burned by a safety all too well. They occurred in Super Bowls of 2009, 2012, and 2013.
Have you ever thought about switching to another high juice Super Bowl prop. How about this one:
WILL THE GAME GO TO OVERTIME ? and bet the NO.
You'd have won 47 in a row thus far without ever losing. The odds on NO are usually -1200, not bad at all for something that's on a 47 game success streak.
Perhaps someone better than me at math here can figure this out:
In 5761 NFL games, 340 have gone to overtime (5.9%), yet in 47 Super Bowls it's never happened.
What are the odds of something with a 6% chance of occurring , not occurring 47 times in a row?
Quote: michael99000Have you ever thought about switching to another high juice Super Bowl prop. How about this one:
WILL THE GAME GO TO OVERTIME ? and bet the NO.
You'd have won 47 in a row thus far without ever losing. The odds on NO are usually -1200, not bad at all for something that's on a 47 game success streak.
Perhaps someone better than me at math here can figure this out:
In 5761 NFL games, 340 have gone to overtime (5.9%), yet in 47 Super Bowls it's never happened.
What are the odds of something with a 6% chance of occurring , not occurring 47 times in a row?
Using the exact numbers: (5421/5761)^47 = 5.73%. Given Super Bowl history though, we've been close to overtime a few times.
I got one for you. Suppose you bet on the Super Bowl in February and took Baltimore to win by three and a half with a payoff of about 2 to 1 because the 49ers were favorites. You get to half-time thinking that you can't lose then there's this weird blackout and all of a sudden, Colin Kaepernick remembers how to throw the ball. You get to the 2 minute warning with a 5 point lead and all Baltimore has to do is punt with 12 seconds to go but instead intentionally scores a safety for the other team to try to run out the clock. They have to free-kick anyway with 4 seconds to go and your bet, instead of being worth $240 is now a worthless ball of bitterness and anger.Quote: michael99000It's gotta go down as one of the worst beats or if you had the under, luckiest wins, ever.
I'm one of those people you mention. Had the Dolphins ML and the over together. Went into OT thinking any Dolphins score was good.
Well, almost any Dolphins score...
Pic of the ticket upon request.
Quote: NcellI've lurked on this site for so long. Congrats on making me register, heh.
I'm one of those people you mention. Had the Dolphins ML and the over together. Went into OT thinking any Dolphins score was good.
Well, almost any Dolphins score...
Pic of the ticket upon request.
Welcome aboard, Ncell! Glad you decided to make it a two way street!
Quote: NcellI've lurked on this site for so long. Congrats on making me register, heh.
I'm one of those people you mention. Had the Dolphins ML and the over together. Went into OT thinking any Dolphins score was good.
Well, almost any Dolphins score...
Pic of the ticket upon request.
I would be amused to see that. </schadenfreude>