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strictlyAP
strictlyAP
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December 23rd, 2013 at 10:54:34 PM permalink
2-3 if anyone cares
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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December 23rd, 2013 at 11:28:02 PM permalink
I care.

I went 3-3.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Mission146
Mission146
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December 24th, 2013 at 10:22:36 AM permalink
Ugh!!!!

Exactly, Internet access blew, and I got home this morning rather than last night. I almost ended up stuck in Chicago until mid-afternoon Christmas day because UNITED AIRLINES DID NOT HAVE A CREW FOR MY FLIGHT, managed to scramble a rent-a-car from Hertz, who absolutely collectively raped us pursuant to the sudden increase in demand, and just got back from a nine hour marathon drive a few hours ago.

I haven't seen the pillow since Monday morning, and go to work in two-and-a-half hours...ugh!!!

I'll have the Picks posted sometime tonight, I'm sorry I couldn't get to it this weekend. I had it half done at one point, got booted off Internet, and said, "Fuck it." Not a violation of Forum Rules, an exact quote!
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
boymimbo
boymimbo
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December 24th, 2013 at 10:23:58 AM permalink
According to the results of the top four, their standings are:

AyeCarumba 51-36 58.62%
Boymimbo 48-34 58.54%
Edgelooker 54-39 58.06%
StrictlyAP 51-37 57.95%

Since we don't know any of the finals for week 16, with perfect 6-0s or 5-0s, JW17, TheCessPit, Miplet, Wizard, Beachbumbabs, and ZoomZoom8 may also be in the top 4 mix.

Mission will get the results posted tonight!!!! (yeah)

Sorry that you had a brutal drive. I fly back via United from SFO on Boxing day via OHare, but it's calling for cold and sunny skies that day.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
Mission146
Mission146
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December 24th, 2013 at 10:33:14 AM permalink
There will be more on that in my trip report, which I shall post tonight. My review of The D will also be done tonight, or tomorrow, and please look forward to at least one more chapter of, "The Ultimate System," before year's end.

The Trip Report shall be in the form of a thread, the Review will be PM'ed to Wizard first, and probably BeachBumBabs for proofreading, so though it will be done tomorrow, can't say exactly when it will go up.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
thecesspit
thecesspit
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December 24th, 2013 at 11:17:14 AM permalink
Quote: boymimbo

According to the results of the top four, their standings are:

AyeCarumba 51-36 58.62%
Boymimbo 48-34 58.54%
Edgelooker 54-39 58.06%
StrictlyAP 51-37 57.95%

Since we don't know any of the finals for week 16, with perfect 6-0s or 5-0s, JW17, TheCessPit, Miplet, Wizard, Beachbumbabs, and ZoomZoom8 may also be in the top 4 mix.



TheCesspit went 2-4 this week.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
JW17
JW17
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December 24th, 2013 at 3:48:40 PM permalink
I went 2-3 last week. I almost took my bye again. Should have.
Mission146
Mission146
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December 24th, 2013 at 4:53:50 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Picks have finally been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/7/#post302711
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
boymimbo
boymimbo
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December 24th, 2013 at 5:46:12 PM permalink
Here is the unofficial (my count) week 16 results for those who are "still in the money". These are the people who still have a mathematical chance of winning with a 6-0 week (with the leader going 0-6).

AyeCarumba 51 - 36 -- 58.62%
BoyMimbo 48 - 34 -- 58.54%
EdgeLooker 54 - 39 -- 58.06%
StrictlyAP 51 - 37 -- 57.95%
JW17 44 - 34 -- 56.41%
Wizard 49 - 40 -- 55.06%
TheCessPit 44 - 36 -- 55%
ZoomZoom8 41 - 34 -- 54.67%
KeyserSoze 40 - 34 -- 54.05%
Buzzard 37 - 32 -- 53.62%
Miplet 42 - 37 -- 53.16%
Malaru 42 - 37 -- 53.16%
Ten2Win 46 - 41 -- 52.87%
Boz 39 - 35 -- 52.7%
BeachBumBabs 45 - 41 -- 52.33%
RDW4POTUS 48 - 44 -- 52.17%

The rest of the supposed standings:

Mission146 37 - 36 -- 50.68%
TGarrettCPA 45 - 44 -- 50.56%
Paradigm 41 - 41 -- 50%
BeardGoat 42 - 43 -- 49.41%
KMUMF 38 - 40 -- 48.72%
DeeDubbs 42 - 45 -- 48.28%
JML24 41 - 44 -- 48.24%
Vendman1 36 - 39 -- 48%
Knuckleball3 41 - 45 -- 47.67%
Terapined 37 - 42 -- 46.84%
Aluisio 41 - 47 -- 46.59%
SteelDCo 40 - 47 -- 45.98%
OdiousGambit 32 - 38 -- 45.71%
MidWestAP 24 - 30 -- 44.44%
10DollarBri 36 - 45 -- 44.44%
FRGamble 31 - 39 -- 44.29%
DuckManKilla 38 - 49 -- 43.68%
Rstrata 20 - 30 -- 40%
Johnzimbo 34 - 51 -- 40%
SOOPOO 37 - 58 -- 38.95%
YouCanBetOnThat 29 - 46 -- 38.67%
FourFiveFace 35 - 56 -- 38.46%
EdCollins 32 - 54 -- 37.21%
Jon 25 - 43 -- 36.76%
AssWhooperMcDaddy 30 - 59 -- 33.71%
NCFatCat 6 - 20 -- 23.08%
MinnesotaJoe 0 - 5 -- 0%

There are four people within a percentage point of the lead and the top four are within ONE game of each other (that is a 5-0 week will topple the front-runner if they have a 4-1 week).

The Wizard can still win it with a perfect 6-0 week if all of the top 4 have losing records.

The realistic win right now is $434.83 (assuming that the bottom two won't pay). I'm wondering if anyone is interested in a win sharing proposition. I would be.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 24th, 2013 at 9:27:28 PM permalink
boymimbo,

Good work. Please note that Knuckleball3 went 2-4 this week and should be 41-46 for the year. (His picks this week have to be edited by hand, since the grading program doesn't recognize an "O" by itself for Over and a "U" by itself for Under... it needs the full word.)

Also, I was 3-2 this week and I'm now 33-53 for the year.

Other than that I agree with all of your other final standings.


Mission: fyi... four more observations:

ZoomZoom8 (currently in 8th Place) didn't play this week, the second such week. (No picks in Week 13 for him.)
Malaru (currently tied for 11th place) also didn't play again this week. (No picks in Week 10 for him.)
Buzzard (currently in 10th place) didn't play again this week. (No picks in Week 15 for him.)
Finally, Vendman1 (currently in 24th place) also didn't play again this week. (No picks last week for him.)

Here are the results. Congrats to Alusio who did the best this week, with a 5-1 record:

TGarrettCPA (3-3)

Bills +3 (win)
Saints UNDER 46.5 Confidence (win)
Cowboys -3 (loss)
Browns OVER 40.5 (loss)
Raiders +10 (loss)

RDW4POTUS (2-4)

Eagles -3 (win)
Vikings +7.5 (loss)
Saints over (loss)
Vikings over (win)
Seahawks over (confidence) (loss)

BeachBumBabs (1-5)

Vikings +7.5 Confidence (loss)
Bears +3 (loss)
Cowboys -3 (loss)
Chiefs - 6.5 (loss)
Denver -10.5 (win)

Terapined (3-2)

Cards +10.5 (win)
Falcons +13 (win)
Oakland +10 (loss)
Buffalo +2.5 (win)
Bucs +4 (loss)

StrictlyAP (2-3)

Miami (loss)
Cincinnati (win)
Eagles (win)
Detroit (loss)
Seattle OVER (loss)

Knuckleball3 (2-4)

Miami -2.5 Confidence (loss)
Dallas Wash Over 53.5 (loss)
Jets -2.5 (win)
Oakland +10 (loss)
San Diego Oakland Under 50.5 (win)

Aluisio (5-1)

Arizona + 10.5 (Confidence) (win)
Jacksonville +5 (win)
Philadelphia -3 (win)
New England +2.5 (win)
Denver @ Houston OVER (loss)

EdgeLooker (3-3)

St. Louis -4 (win)
Denver -10.5 (win)
Seattle -10.5 (loss)
San Diego -10 (win)
San Francisco -13 Confidence (loss)

10DollarBri (3-3)

Saints +3 (loss)
Cowboys -3 confidence (loss)
Broncos -10.5 (win)
Jags +5 (win)
Patriots +2.5 (win)

Paradigm (2-3)

Atlanta +13 (win)
Oakland +10 (loss)
Indianapolis +6.5 (win)
New Orleans +3 (loss)
Miami -2.5 (loss)

TheCessPit (2-4)

Dolphins -2.5 (loss)
Saints +3 (loss)
Eagles -3 (confidence) (win)
Chiefs -6.5 (loss)
Broncos/Texans - Over (loss)

JW17 (2-3)

Carolina -3 (win)
KC -6.5 (loss)
Denver Over (loss)
Mia -2.5 (loss)
STL -4 (win)

JML24 (2-4)

Cincinnati -7.5 (win)
Houston +10.5 (loss)
New England +2.5 (win)
San Francisco -13 (loss)
Kansas City -6.5 Confidence (loss)

FourFiveFace (2-4)

Vikings +7.5 (loss)
Texans +10.5 (loss)
Jaguars +5 (win)
Cardinals +10.5 (win)
Raiders +10-Confidence (loss)

AssWhooperMcDaddy (2-4)

Miami -2.5 Confidence (loss)
Philadelphia -3 (win)
Kansas City -6.5 (loss)
Denver -10.5 (win)
Seattle -10.5 O/U 43 (loss)

EdCollins (3-2)

New York Giants (win)
Arizona Cardinals (win)
Minnesota Vikings (loss)
Philadelphia Eagles (win)
Oakland Raiders (loss)

JohnZimbo (3-2)

Cowboys -3 (loss)
49ers over 45 (win)
Browns over 40.5 (loss)
Saints under 46.5 (win)
Jets -2.5 (win)

Wizard (3-3)

Carolina -3 (win)
Washington +3 (win)
Cleveland +2.5 (loss)
Houston +10.5 (confidence) (loss)
New England +2.5 (win)

Steeldco (2-4)

Cleveland Browns +2.5 Confidence (loss)
San Diego Chargers -10 (win)
Chicago Bears +3 (loss)
Detroit Lions -9 (loss)
Arizona Cardinals +10.5 (win)

Beardgoat (4-2)

Rams -4 Confidence (win)
eagles -3 (win)
Patriots +2.5 (win)
Chiefs over 45 (loss)
Chargers over 50.5 (loss)

Ten2Win (2-4)

Broncos -10.5 (win)
Chargers -10 (win)
Chiefs -6.5 Confidence (loss)
Chiefs OVER 45 (loss)
Seahawks OVER 43 (loss)

OdiousGambit (0-5)

Seattle -10.5 (loss)
Detroit -9 (loss)
Cleveland /Jets OVER 40.5 (loss)
Indianapolis/ Kansas City OVER 45 (loss)
New Orleans/Carolina OVER 46.5 (loss)

BoyMimbo (4-2)

Bills UNDER (win)
Cincinnati -7.5 (win)
Titans -5 (loss)
Rams -4 [Confidence] (win)
Cowboys -3 (loss)

KMumf (2-3)

Minnesota +7.5 (loss)
Atlanta +13 (win)
Dallas -3 (loss)
Miami -2.5 (loss)
Indianapolis +6.5 (win)

FRGamble (4-1)

Atlanta +10 (win)
Giants +9 (win)
Houston +10.5 (loss)
Baltimore OVER 45 (win)
San Fran OVER 45 (win)

AyeCarumba (3-3)

Saints OVER 46.5 (loss)
Chiefs -6.5 (Confidence) (loss)
Jaguars +5 (win)
Patriots +2.5 (win)
Bengals -7.5 (win)

Boz (3-3)

Phil-Chi UNDER 56 (Confidence) (loss)
St Louis -4 (win)
Houston +10.5 (loss)
Arizona +10.5 (win)
NY Giants +9 (win)

Duckmankilla (4-2)

Eagles OVER - confidence (win)
Redskins OVER (loss)
Jets UNDER (win)
Seahawks UNDER (win)
Jaguars OVER (loss)

Miplet (1-5)

Texans +10.5 (loss)
Patriots +2.5 (win)
Chiefs -6.5 (loss)
Browns +2.5 confidence (loss)
Browns Over 40.5 (loss)

Jon (1-4)

Dallas (loss)
Tampa Bay (loss)
Chicago (loss)
Cleveland (loss)
New York Gants (win)

SOOPOO (4-2)

Bills (win)
Jets (win)
Vikings (confidence) (loss)
Eagles (win)
Chargers (win)
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 24th, 2013 at 9:28:23 PM permalink
Current Standings: (Official?)

Name Wins Losses % Owes
AyeCarumba 51 36 58.62%-
BoyMimbo 48 34 58.54%$0.08
EdgeLooker 54 39 58.06%$0.56
StrictlyAP 51 37 57.95%$0.67
JW17 44 34 56.41%$2.21
Wizard 49 40 55.06%$3.56
TheCessPit 44 36 55.00%$3.62
ZoomZoom8 41 34 54.67%$3.95
KeyserSoze 40 34 54.05%$4.57
Buzzard 37 32 53.62%$5.00
Malaru 42 37 53.16%$5.46
Miplet 42 37 53.16%$5.46
Ten2Win 46 41 52.87%$5.75
Boz 39 35 52.70%$5.92
BeachBumBabs 45 41 52.33%$6.30
RDW4POTUS 48 44 52.17%$6.45
Mission146 37 36 50.68%$25.00
TGarrettCPA 45 44 50.56%$8.06
Paradigm 41 41 50.00%$8.62
BeardGoat 42 43 49.41%$9.21
KMUMF 38 40 48.72%$9.90
DeeDubbs 42 45 48.28%$10.34
JML24 41 44 48.24%$10.39
Vendman1 36 39 48.00%$10.62
Knuckleball3 41 46 47.13%$11.49
Terapined 37 42 46.84%$11.79
Aluisio 41 47 46.59%$12.03
SteelDCo 40 47 45.98%$12.64
OdiousGambit 32 38 45.71%$12.91
10DollarBri 36 45 44.44%$14.18
MidWestAP 24 30 44.44%$14.18
DuckManKilla 38 49 43.68%$14.94
FRGamble 31 44 41.33%$17.29
Johnzimbo 34 51 40.00%$18.62
Rstrata 20 30 40.00%$18.62
SOOPOO 37 58 38.95%$19.67
YouCanBetOnThat 29 46 38.67%$19.95
FourFiveFace 35 56 38.46%$20.16
EdCollins 33 53 38.37%$20.25
Jon 25 48 34.25%$24.37
AssWhooperMcDaddy 30 59 33.71%$24.91
NCFatCat 6 20 23.08%$35.54
MinnesotaJoe 0 5 0.00%$58.62
Totals 1,612 1,737 48.13%$533.85

The above table was edited today, on 12/27. Reason: It was pointed out to me by another member that...

(1) FRGamble skipped Week 6 and 15 and played in Week 16. Since we gave Babs an 0-5 forfeit penalty earlier in the year for a skipped week (Week 7), to be fair I think we have to do the same for FRGamble. The above standings reflect that.

(2) Jon skipped Week 1, and Mission said that would be his one skipped week. But he also missed Week 15, so the above standings reflect an 0-5 record for Week 15.

Note that if ZoomZoom8 plays in Week 17, then we also have to give him an 0-5 forfeit for Week 16, since he skipped that week.
aluisio
aluisio
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December 25th, 2013 at 4:31:24 PM permalink
Thanks for the complimment, Ed. Likewise the steelers (my team) I had a bad start and was the last contender by week 10. Now I am struggling to make it to 0.50! Way to go!
No bounce, no play.
Paradigm
Paradigm
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December 26th, 2013 at 6:11:11 PM permalink
Wish I hadn't missed picks earlier in the season so I could take this week off and lock in the 0.500 record. That way I could enter next season as "NoBetterThanCoin" for signature line.......I am sure I will screw up the 0.500 in week 17 and undoubtedly need to sign off as "WorseThanCoin"!!
strictlyAP
strictlyAP
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December 26th, 2013 at 6:26:08 PM permalink
anyone here from mission lately? lines for tonight? I'm off to vegas in the am - anyone else want to catch the last week in the sports book with me?
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
Mission146
Mission146
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December 26th, 2013 at 6:27:58 PM permalink
Quote: strictlyAP

anyone here from mission lately? lines for tonight? I'm off to vegas in the am - anyone else want to catch the last week in the sports book with me?



On it like Blue Bonnet!

Three minutes.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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December 26th, 2013 at 6:36:22 PM permalink
And...here they are:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/7/#post303524
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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December 27th, 2013 at 2:33:51 AM permalink
If I am figuring correctly, if I take a skip this week, only one player can tie or beat me with a 3-2 or better week, one more can beat me with four wins or better, one more with five or six wins, and a fourth would need a perfect 6-0 week to best my current position.

Hmm, what is the best course of action? Play five or six, or skip?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
EdgeLooker
EdgeLooker
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December 28th, 2013 at 9:23:52 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

If I am figuring correctly, if I take a skip this week, only one player can tie or beat me with a 3-2 or better week, one more can beat me with four wins or better, one more with five or six wins, and a fourth would need a perfect 6-0 week to best my current position.

Hmm, what is the best course of action? Play five or six, or skip?



You should put picks in so the Wizard can have a shot at beating you. :)
Beardgoat
Beardgoat
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December 28th, 2013 at 9:40:08 AM permalink
Play. Sitting out now is like in the nfl when you have a 7 point lead in the nfl and you start playing the prevent defense. It ends badly a lot of times
boymimbo
boymimbo
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December 28th, 2013 at 9:40:24 AM permalink
I'd like you to play, honestly, but the Wizard will tell you that your best EV would be to sit.

Edgelooker is right though. Wizard, at best, can only hit 57.89%. And if you don't play, Edgelooker and StrictlyAP would have to go 4-1 or better to win, while JW would have to 5-0 to beat you.

I can tie you with 3-2 and beat you with 4-1. Therefore, I am going to change one of my bets to a confidence, and I would have to go 4-2 or better to beat you should you choose to wimp out and not play. ;)

The question is, given the field this weekend, how likely am I go to 3-2 or better? I think it's just about 50-50. How likely is Edge and Strictly likely to go 4-1 or better.

If you use a binomial distirbution, the odds that Edge, Strictly, or I go 4-1 or better is about 30.3% given a 58% success rate. The odds therefore of one of us going 4-1 is about 66.2%. Keep that in mind when making your decision.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
Mission146
Mission146
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December 29th, 2013 at 12:35:25 AM permalink
Greetings!

The final picks of the season have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/14893-wov-picks-game-2013-official-thread/7/#post304315

The end-of-season voting thread should be up tomorrow.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
strictlyAP
strictlyAP
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December 29th, 2013 at 2:17:38 AM permalink
For disclosure purposes ayecarumba and I have a 50-50 split agreement should one of us win
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
boymimbo
boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 3:00:48 AM permalink
Booh. I wanted in on that action, as shown earlier in the thread!

My picks are wrong. The first pick that Mission shows is from Week 16. My second set of picks should show Bills UNDER Confidence.

Quote: private email


From: Mission146
To: boymimbo
Date Sent: December 28, 2013 8:57 pm

Got them!

---------- ORIGINAL MESSAGE ----------

Lions +3
Denver -12
Saints -12.5
Ravens UNDER
Change Bills UNDER to Bills UNDER Confidence.


---------- ORIGINAL MESSAGE ----------

Final week picks:

Lions +3
Denver -12
Saints -12.5
Ravens UNDER
Bills UNDER

----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
Mission146
Mission146
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December 29th, 2013 at 8:55:35 AM permalink
Fixed.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
boymimbo
boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 9:33:55 AM permalink
Thanks.

Please note that Edgelooker and I are also negotiating a 50/50 split. Four of his six picks are exactly the same as StrictlyAP and given that Edge is slightly ahead in the standings, Edgelooker will win over StrictlyAP on 11 of 16 possible outcomes. Therefore, I saw the play as slightly EV for me.

I am waiting until 10am PT for a confirmation and will let the forum know if he agrees to the split by then. All bets are off at 10am PT and I will take no prisoners then!!!
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
thecesspit
thecesspit
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December 29th, 2013 at 9:39:56 AM permalink
I'd like AyeCarumba to go 6-0... I think that just gives him high enough win percentage for me to win a be with the Buzzard... without losing too much on the other side of the extra I'll have to pay in losses.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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December 29th, 2013 at 9:47:42 AM permalink
Quote: thecesspit

I'd like AyeCarumba to go 6-0... I think that just gives him high enough win percentage for me to win a be with the Buzzard... without losing too much on the other side of the extra I'll have to pay in losses.



FWIW, cess, Aye didn't make a confidence pick, so he can only go 5-0 at best.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdgeLooker
EdgeLooker
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December 29th, 2013 at 9:54:48 AM permalink
Quote: boymimbo

Thanks.

Please note that Edgelooker and I are also negotiating a 50/50 split. Four of his six picks are exactly the same as StrictlyAP and given that Edge is slightly ahead in the standings, Edgelooker will win over StrictlyAP on 11 of 16 possible outcomes. Therefore, I saw the play as slightly EV for me.

I am waiting until 10am PT for a confirmation and will let the forum know if he agrees to the split by then. All bets are off at 10am PT and I will take no prisoners then!!!



Confirmed! Lets kick some butt today! :)
boymimbo
boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 10:00:21 AM permalink
Good luck to everyone today!

I made my final pick on the Bills Under as a confidence pick. I figured first it's my "home" team, I hate the Patriots, and that games favor the unders in adverse weather conditions. Put all of that together and it appeared to be a no brainer, but time will only tell.

Go D!
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beachbumbabs
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December 29th, 2013 at 12:58:52 PM permalink
My Vikings go out with Styyyyyyyyyle....yeah~
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Boz
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December 29th, 2013 at 1:50:28 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

My Vikings go out with Styyyyyyyyyle....yeah~



Down goes Frazier...Down goes Frazier!
EdCollins
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December 29th, 2013 at 3:57:36 PM permalink
it's late in the 3rd quarter or early in the 4th quarter for the afternoon games, as I type this.

Five minutes ago, if the NFL season had ended and no more scoring by any team, EdgeLooker wins the contest.

However, a moment ago after I updated a couple of the scores, BoyMimbo is edging him out, and wins.

That's how close it is.

I think it will come down to the final, Sunday night game, before a winner is determined. Note that EdgeLooker has Philly -6.5 (confidence) on that game.

Fun stuff.
boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 4:12:22 PM permalink
StrictlyAP cannot win as they have the same picks as Edgelooker. JW17 cannot win as if Chicago wins, Edgelooker edges JW out with the Denver win.

And if Buffalo can keep New England from scoring a TD and doesn't score on their own, well, you never know. Hopefully they just fart the ball around midfield a few times and turnover the ball a couple of times to end the game. At this point a field goal for Buffalo only results in a tie for that game for the Over / Under (so much for my bad weather theory).

So even if Philly goes south for Edge, it won't for JW and StrictlyAP.

We'll know alot more in about 10 minutes.
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boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 4:16:14 PM permalink
Fu**ing Patriots!
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boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 4:56:51 PM permalink
Unofficial results for the top players, factoring in Phildelphia later tonight.

If Philadelphia covers ATS:

Edgelooker 5-1, 59-40 -- 59.596%
Boymimbo 3-3, 51-37 -- 57.955%
Ayecarumba 2-3, 53-39 -- 57.609%
StrictlyAP 3-3 54-40 -- 57.447%
JW17 3-3, 47-37 -- 55.952%
TheCessPit 4-2, 48-38 -- 55.814%

If Dallas wins ATS:

Boymimbo 3-3, 51-37 -- 57.955%
Ayecarumba 2-3 53-39 -- 57.609%
Edgelooker 3-3 57.42 -- 57.576%
JW17 3-3, 47-37 -- 55.952%
StrictlyAP 1-5, 52-42 -- 55.319%
Boz 5-1, 44-36 -- 55.000%

Boymimbo or Edgelooker wins the pool. The right partner picked me!
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
EdgeLooker
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December 29th, 2013 at 5:04:11 PM permalink
Quote: boymimbo

Boymimbo or Edgelooker wins the pool. The right partner picked me!



As I love to say at the final poker table...... CHOP THE POT!!! lol
EdCollins
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December 29th, 2013 at 5:11:53 PM permalink
If Philly covers...

StrictlyAP will be 54-40 (I can see that 54-50 is just a typo. Your % is correct.)


If Dallas covers...

I have Boymimbo in 1st place at 51-37 with that same % you do.

With a record of 1-5 this week, StrictlyAP should be 52-42, and 55.32%


Other than that it looks good. Congrats!
boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 5:15:52 PM permalink
Edited for my typos.
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beachbumbabs
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December 29th, 2013 at 5:32:14 PM permalink
Where did all the standings charts for the last 3 weeks go? I really wanted to see where things are over the last few weeks, but all of that got deleted. Could you put them back up, please?
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
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December 29th, 2013 at 5:43:40 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Where did all the standings charts for the last 3 weeks go? I really wanted to see where things are over the last few weeks, but all of that got deleted. Could you put them back up, please?


For the past couple of weeks, the standings are here in this thread, and not the "official" thread. (Mission asked me to update and post them.)

I don't think anything's been deleted.
beachbumbabs
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December 29th, 2013 at 5:58:25 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

For the past couple of weeks, the standings are here in this thread, and not the "official" thread. (Mission asked me to update and post them.)

I don't think anything's been deleted.



Ok, thanks, Ed; I didn't go far enough back in this thread to find the week 16 standings; was looking for them in the official thread.

Edit: I picked a hell of a week to go 5-0, now that it doesn't matter (with Dallas still to go). Ah, well, at least I made a respectable showing.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
kmumf
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December 29th, 2013 at 6:04:50 PM permalink
Well Im happy with ending the season with a 6-0 today...... I bet there is a lot of big numbers this week.
Mission146
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December 29th, 2013 at 6:38:22 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

For the past couple of weeks, the standings are here in this thread, and not the "official" thread. (Mission asked me to update and post them.)

I don't think anything's been deleted.



Right, I got a new computer at work a few weeks ago that does not have Excel, sorry about that.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
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December 29th, 2013 at 6:39:07 PM permalink
Quote: kmumf

Well Im happy with ending the season with a 6-0 today...... I bet there is a lot of big numbers this week.



Not for me, 4-2 or 3-3, still finish safely above .500 after a great comeback, but I always have picked better towards the end of the season.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
kmumf
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December 29th, 2013 at 7:41:17 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Not for me, 4-2 or 3-3, still finish safely above .500 after a great comeback, but I always have picked better towards the end of the season.


Yeah my goal was to get above .500 too. I'm as good as a blind monkey picking these games.
beachbumbabs
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December 29th, 2013 at 8:27:39 PM permalink
6-0. Yea me!!! Woohoo...meaningless, but by golly, it makes a bad day better. 55.43% for the season, I think.

P.S. Sorry Jerry Jones. Must've been very disappointing to lose it twice in the last couple of minutes.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
boymimbo
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December 29th, 2013 at 8:32:44 PM permalink
No, you went 5-1. It was the Vikings -3, not Vikings +3.
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EdCollins
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December 29th, 2013 at 8:34:08 PM permalink
Week 17 Results:

Congrats to KMUMF who did the best this week, with a 6-0 record.

SOOPOO (1-5)

Bills (loss)
Jets (win)
Vikings (cnfidence) (loss)
Eagles (loss)
Chargers (loss)

StrictlyAP (1-5)

carolina (loss)
eagles - confidence (loss)
Denver OVER (loss)
cincinatti (win)
Chicago (loss)

BeardGoat (3-3)

Packers -2.5 conf (win)
Ravens +6 (loss)
Miami -6 (loss)
Eagles -6.5 (loss)
Denver -12 (win)

EdgeLooker (3-3)

Chicago +2.5 (loss)
N.Y. Giants -3.5 (win)
Cincinnati -6 (win)
Denver -12 (win)
Philadelphia -6.5 Confidence (loss)

10DollarBri (4-2)

Bears Under 52.5 (loss)
Vikings Under 52 (win)
Cowboys Under 52.5 (win)
Cardinals 0 (loss)
Chiefs +9.5 confidence (win)

TGarrettCPA (4-2)

Browns OVER 44 (loss)
Cowboys +6.5 (win)
Buccaneers UNDER 47 (loss)
49ers to win (win)
Chiefs +9.5 Confidence (win)

BeachBumBabs (5-1)

Packers -2.5 Confidence (win)
Vikings +3 (loss)
49ers 0 (win)
Dallas +6.5 (win)
Bengals -6 (win)

FRGamble (2-3)

Baltimore +6 (loss)
Pittsburg -7 (win)
Philly -6.5 (loss)
Detroit +3 (win)
Seattle OVER 43 (loss)

JML24 (4-2)

Oakland +12 (loss)
New England -9 Confidence (win)
Green Bay -2.5 (win)
Carolina -6.5 (loss)
New Orleans -12.5 (win)

Boz (5-1)

Dallas +6.5 (Confidence) (win)
Atlanta +6.5 (win)
Houston +7 (win)
Buffalo +9 (loss)
Jets +6 (win)

EdCollins (3-3)

Eagles Confidence (loss)
Ravens (loss)
Giants (win)
Lions (win)
Packers (win)

Aluisio (3-3)

Buffalo +9 (loss)
NY Jets +6 (win)
Kansas City Chiefs +9.5 (confidence) (win)
Baltimore Ravens +6 (loss)
St. Louis Rams +11 (loss)

JohnZimbo (4-2)

Cowboys under 52.5- Confidence pick (win)
Bears under 52.5 (loss)
Chiefs +9.5 (win)
Saints over 47 (win)
Cardinals +0 (loss)

Steeldco (2-4)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +12.5 Confidence (loss)
San Francisco 49ers 0 (win)
Dallas Cowboys +6.5 (win)
Oakland Raiders +12 (loss)
Chicago Bears +2.5 (loss)

Deedubbs (4-2)

Pittsburgh -7 (win)
N.Y. Giants -3.5 (win)
Cincinnati -6 (win)
Philadelphia -6.5 confidence (loss)
Seattle -11 (win)

JW17 (3-3)

Chicago CONFIDENCE (loss)
Mia (loss)
ATL (win)
NYG (win)
Pitt (win)

Ten2Win (5-1)

Patriots -9 (win)
Chiefs +9.5 Confidence (win)
Broncos -12 (win)
Cardinals (loss)
Steelers -7 (win)

BoyMimbo (3-3)

Lions +3 (win)
Denver -12 (win)
Saints -12.5 (win)
Ravens UNDER (loss)
Bills UNDER-CONFIDENCE (loss)

Wizard (2-3)

Atlanta + 6.5 (win)
Green Bay -2.5 (win)
Tennessee -7 (loss)
Cleveland +7 (loss)
Washington +3.5 (loss)

TheCessPit (2-4)

Eagles -6.5 (Confidence) (loss)
Cardinals Pick (loss)
Panthers -6.5 (loss)
Packers -2.5 (win)
Lions +3 (win)

KMumf (6-0)

Denver -12 CONFIDENCE (win)
Pittsburgh -7 (win)
Green Bay -2.5 (win)
New England -9 (win)
Seattle -11 (win)

KeyserSoze (3-3)

Falcons +6.5 (confidence) (win)
Redskins +3.5 (loss)
Lions +3 (win)
Buccaneers +12.5 (loss)
Raiders +12 (loss)

YouCanBetOnThat (1-5)

Bills +9-Confidence (loss)
Buccaneers +12.5 (loss)
Raiders +12 (loss)
Lions UNDER 52 (win)
Eagles -6.5 (loss)

Terapined (2-3)

St. Louis +11 (loss)
Tampa Bay +12.5 (loss)
Buffalo +9 (loss)
N.Y. Jets +6 (win)
N.Y. Giants -3.5 (win)

FourFiveFace (2-4)

Falcons +6.5 (win)
Texans +7 (win)
Browns +7 (loss)
Jaguars +11-Confidence (loss)
Raiders +12.5 (loss)

AssWhooperMcDaddy (2-3)

Pittsburgh -7 (win)
Philadelphia -6.5 (loss)
San Francisco 0 (win)
Tampa Bay +12.5 (loss)
St. Louis +11 (loss)

RDW4POTUS (2-4)

Cowboys (win)
Falcons (win)
Raiders (loss)
Cardinals (loss)
Packers under (confidence) (loss)

Jon (3-2)

Atlanta (win)
Houston (win)
Jacksonville (loss)
Philadelphia (loss)
N.Y. Jets (win)

AyeCarumba (2-3)

Titans -7 (loss)
Steelers -7 (win)
Browns OVER 44 (loss)
Broncos -12 (win)
Raiders OVER 53.5 (loss)

DuckManKilla (3-3)

Eagles OVER (loss)
Saints OVER (win)
Broncos OVER - Confidence (loss)
Carolina UNDER (win)
Packers OVER (win)

Paradigm (5-1)

San Francisco (confidence) (win)
Dallas +6 (win)
Kansas City +9 (win)
Denver Over 53.5 (loss)
San Francisco Over 42.5 (win)

Miplet (2-4)

Chiefs +9.5 (win)
Redskins +3.5 (loss)
Jets +6 (win)
Bills +9 confidence (loss)
Raiders +12 (loss)

Mission146 (4-2)

Dallas +6.5 (win)
Detroit +3 (win)
Tampa Bay +12.5-Confidence (loss)
San Francisco (win)
Kansas City +9.5 (win)
EdCollins
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December 29th, 2013 at 8:42:58 PM permalink
Here's what I believe are the final standings. Obviously, my apologies if I made a mistake. These standings reflect...

... an 0-5 forfeit week For FRGamble in Week 15, who skipped that week but continued to play in Week's 16 and 17. (His earlier skipped week was Week #6.)

... an 0-5 forfeit week for Jon in Week 15, who also skipped that week, but also continued to play in Week's 16 and 17. (Jon's earlier skipped week was Week #1.)

(Note that no players who dropped out for good were ever given an 0-5 forfeit.)

Congrats to BoyMimbo who won with a 57.95% record, just edging out AyeCarumba, who finished at 57.61%.

Thanks to Mission for hosting.

See everyone next year.

Name Wins Losses % Owes
BoyMimbo 51 37 57.95%-
AyeCarumba 53 39 57.61%$0.35
EdgeLooker 57 42 57.58%$0.38
JW17 47 37 55.95%$2.00
StrictlyAP 52 42 55.32%$2.64
Boz 44 36 55.00%$2.95
Ten2Win 51 42 54.84%$3.12
ZoomZoom8 41 34 54.67%$3.29
BeachBumBabs 50 42 54.35%$3.61
Wizard 51 43 54.26%$3.70
KeyserSoze 43 37 53.75%$4.20
Buzzard 37 32 53.62%$4.33
TheCessPit 46 40 53.49%$4.47
Malaru 42 37 53.16%$4.79
KMUMF 44 40 52.38%$5.57
Paradigm 46 42 52.27%$5.68
Mission146 41 38 51.90%$25.00
Miplet 44 41 51.76%$6.19
TGarrettCPA 49 46 51.58%$6.38
RDW4POTUS 50 48 51.02%$6.93
DeeDubbs 46 47 49.46%$8.49
BeardGoat 45 46 49.45%$8.50
JML24 45 46 49.45%$8.50
Vendman1 36 39 48.00%$9.95
Knuckleball3 41 46 47.13%$10.83
Aluisio 44 50 46.81%$11.15
Terapined 39 45 46.43%$11.53
10DollarBri 40 47 45.98%$11.98
OdiousGambit 32 38 45.71%$12.24
SteelDCo 42 51 45.16%$12.79
MidWestAP 24 30 44.44%$13.51
DuckManKilla 41 52 44.09%$13.87
Johnzimbo 38 53 41.76%$16.20
FRGamble 33 47 41.25%$16.70
Rstrata 20 30 40.00%$17.95
EdCollins 36 56 39.13%$18.82
FourFiveFace 37 60 38.14%$19.81
SOOPOO 38 63 37.62%$20.33
YouCanBetOnThat 30 51 37.04%$20.92
Jon 28 50 35.90%$22.06
AssWhooperMcDaddy 32 62 34.04%$23.91
NCFatCat 6 20 23.08%$34.88
MinnesotaJoe 0 5 0.00%$57.95
Totals 1,712 1,829 48.35%$498.46
beachbumbabs
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December 29th, 2013 at 8:46:48 PM permalink
Quote: boymimbo

No, you went 5-1. It was the Vikings -3, not Vikings +3.



Well, crud! I had it listed wrong in my picks. Thanks for the correction (pout). :)

edit: Ok, I'm done pouting. Time-out does wonders.

Congrats to you, boymimbo! It was fun, guys; I liked being mathematically in it to the end. Thanks, Mission, and thanks, Ed!
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
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