Quote: Mission146That's just cold.
Worse yet, it's an accurate line.
Quote: SlackJawYokelHey Steeldco,
I have been following your threads for a while now and would like to make a suggestion, add another set of picks using a coin flip ATS. We have this argument all the time at work that it is not possible to beat random picks vs. educated picks because the lines for pro-sports are far to accurate. I think that since you carefully track your play already; it would be an interesting experiment to see if you can outperform random picks.
Yo Slack, I'll try to remember to flip the coin starting tomorrow.......or maybe I'll use Excel to randomize a pick for me.....but in any case, maybe tomorrow.
Total 5-4
Favorites 4-1
Dogs 1-3
Home 2-1
Away 3-3
Road Fav 2-1
Streak Breaker 0-0
YTD Total 58-67
Favorites 27-27
Dogs 28-36
Home 29-31
Away 29-35
Road Fav 10-8
Streak Breaker 4-3
YTD Total 46.40%
Favorites 50.00%
Dogs 43.75%
Home 48.33%
Away 45.31%
Road Fav 55.56%
Streak Breaker 57.14%
Today's Picks:
Toronto Raptors +11 W
Milwaukee Bucks +6 W
Indiana Pacers +10 L
Orlando Magic +4 L
Los Angeles Lakers -6½ L
You'll notice the W or L after each of my picks. This designates, thru use of Excel's random function, whether the team was randomly picked to win or lose. Per Slack's request, we'll track how my picks do against Excel's randomly picked winners or losers.
(starting at 11/25)
up
down
up
down
up
down
up
down
up
down
up (actually down -0.09 / Enron-US Fed Gov accounting method)
down
up
down???
Total flat betting investment
23.82 units
Net Return
-14.27 units
Got to love trends...
Good Luck!
Total 2-3
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 2-2
Home 0-1
Away 2-2
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 3-2
Note that the ramdomized picks' record has been added. They beat me yesterday. Interestingly, today there are just 3 picks and the randomized picks went against them all.
YTD Total 60-70
Favorites 27-28
Dogs 30-38
Home 29-32
Away 31-37
Road Fav 10-8
Streak Breaker 4-3
Randomized Picks 3-2
YTD Total 46.15%
Favorites 49.09%
Dogs 44.12%
Home 47.54%
Away 45.59%
Road Fav 55.56%
Streak Breaker 57.14%
Randomized Picks 60.00%
Philadelphia 76ers -6 L
Miami Heat -7 L
Dallas Mavericks -6 L
Total 3-0
Favorites 3-0
Dogs 0-0
Home 3-0
Away 0-0
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 0-3
YTD Total 63-70
Favorites 30-28
Dogs 30-38
Home 32-32
Away 31-37
Road Fav 10-8
Streak Breaker 4-3
Randomized Picks 3-5
YTD Total 47.37%
Favorites 51.72%
Dogs 44.12%
Home 50.00%
Away 45.59%
Road Fav 55.56%
Streak Breaker 57.14%
Randomized Picks 37.50%
Today's Picks:
Denver Nuggets -4½ W
Chicago Bulls +3 L
The randomized picks are calling for a split of my 2 picks....
Thanks for adding the random. I will be watching even though I do not post much. Good Luck in your picks.
Total 1-1
Favorites 1-0
Dogs 0-1
Home 0-1
Away 1-0
Road Fav 1-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 2-0
YTD Total 64-71
Favorites 31-28
Dogs 30-39
Home 32-33
Away 32-37
Road Fav 11-8
Streak Breaker 4-3
Randomized Picks 5-5
YTD Total 47.41%
Favorites 52.54%
Dogs 43.48%
Home 49.23%
Away 46.38%
Road Fav 57.89%
Streak Breaker 57.14%
Randomized Picks 50.00%
Today's Picks:
Orlando Magic +5 W
Indiana Pacers -8 L
Charlotte Bobcats +8½ W
Golden State Warriors +8 W
Minnesota Timberwolves -3½ W
New Orleans Hornets +14 L
Dallas Mavericks +5½ L
Phoenix Suns +6 L
San Antonio Spurs -3½ W
You're welcome. It was easy to do and I think it's interesting.
Thanks.
Total 6-3
Favorites 1-2
Dogs 6-0
Home 3-2
Away 3-1
Road Fav 0-1
Streak Breaker 1-0
Randomized Picks 2-7
YTD Total 70-74
Favorites 32-30
Dogs 36-39
Home 35-35
Away 35-38
Road Fav 11-9
Streak Breaker 5-3
Randomized Picks 7-12
YTD Total 48.61%
Favorites 51.61%
Dogs 48.00%
Home 50.00%
Away 47.95%
Road Fav 55.00%
Streak Breaker 62.50%
Randomized Picks 36.84%
Wow, the randomized picks took it on the chin yesterday.....
Today's Picks:
Charlotte Bobcats +10 L
Los Angeles Lakers +6½ W
San Antonio Spurs -5.5 W
Yesterday's Results:
Total 0-3
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 0-2
Home 0-0
Away 0-3
Road Fav 0-1
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 1-2
YTD Total 70-77
Favorites 32-31
Dogs 36-41
Home 35-35
Away 35-41
Road Fav 11-10
Streak Breaker 5-3
Randomized Picks 8-14
YTD Total 47.62%
Favorites 50.79%
Dogs 46.75%
Home 50.00%
Away 46.05%
Road Fav 55.00%
Streak Breaker 62.50%
Randomized Picks 36.36%
Today's Picks:
Indiana Pacers -5 L
Golden State Warriors -4½ L
Milwaukee Bucks -3 W
Brooklyn Nets -8. W
Minnesota Timberwolves -4 ( W
Sacramento Kings +13 W
Utah Jazz -1½ L
Denver Nuggets -1½ L
Favorites 4-3
Dogs 1-0
Home 2-1
Away 3-2
Road Fav 2-2
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 5-3
YTD Total 75-80
Favorites 36-34
Dogs 37-41
Home 37-36
Away 38-43
Road Fav 13-12
Streak Breaker 5-3
Randomized Picks 13-17
YTD Total 48.39%
Favorites 51.43%
Dogs 47.44%
Home 50.68%
Away 46.91%
Road Fav 52.00%
Streak Breaker 62.50%
Randomized Picks 43.33%
Today's Picks:
Golden State Warriors +6 W
Charlotte Bobcats +1½ W
New York Knicks -10 L
Dallas Mavericks +4½ W
Milwaukee Bucks +4½ L
It seems that I now have a new competitor. Mission146 is going to join in. He claims that he won’t do well at this…..which is why I agreed to include his picks. Now, however, I wonder. I wonder whether he is just plain old lyin’ to me. But I’ve committed (and been committed, btw). So Mission146 enters the fray to try and best both me and Mr. Excel Random. In all honesty, I think I fear Mission146 more than Mr. Random....for the time being.
Here’s Mission’s picks (his picks are submitted based upon lines from Justbet):
Atlanta -6 L
Detroit +1 L
Washington +15 L
Orlando -1 L
Brooklyn +3.5 L
Wow, Mr. Random has picked against every single one of Mission’s picks!
Good Luck Mission146!
(11/14 being day #1)
Flat betting +13.55 units
Even Days -25.36 units
The Beat Goes On... Up and Down Days continues
Quote: 7crapsBut, what is your explanation for your success on ODD days?
I'm an odd kinda guy? Seriously, I don't know.......
Quote: steeldco
It seems that I now have a new competitor. Mission146 is going to join in. He claims that he won’t do well at this…..which is why I agreed to include his picks. Now, however, I wonder. I wonder whether he is just plain old lyin’ to me. But I’ve committed (and been committed, btw). So Mission146 enters the fray to try and best both me and Mr. Excel Random. In all honesty, I think I fear Mission146 more than Mr. Random....for the time being.
Here’s Mission’s picks (his picks are submitted based upon lines from Justbet):
Atlanta -6 L
Detroit +1 L
Washington +15 L
Orlando -1 L
Brooklyn +3.5 L
Wow, Mr. Random has picked against every single one of Mission’s picks!
Good Luck Mission146!
Thank you very much, SteelDCo! This should be fun.
I will say that I admit that my Picks should end up being little better than completely random. I wouldn't lie about that. If I do well, I'll disclose my picks metric, and I will say that same metric worked horribly for NFL Picks when I used it years ago. I think there's not really enough of a sample size of NFL Games for my metric to work. I'm using the plain Jane version of the metric right now, and if my record falls below .400 after a few days, I'll use the advanced version which should be even worse!
Total 1-4
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 1-3
Home 0-3
Away 1-1
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 3-2
Mission146 2-3
YTD Total 76-84
Favorites 36-35
Dogs 38-44
Home 37-39
Away 39-45
Road Fav 13-12
Streak Breaker 5-3
Randomized Picks 16-19
Mission146 2-3
YTD Total 47.50%
Favorites 50.70%
Dogs 46.34%
Home 48.68%
Away 46.43%
Road Fav 52.00%
Streak Breaker 62.50%
Randomized Picks 45.71%
Mission146 40.00%
My luke warm and then cold days apparently continue. Mission146 is off to a mediocre start and Mr. Excel Random is no better than us humans.
Today's Picks:
Sacramento Kings +4½ L
Los Angeles Lakers -1 W
Mission's Picks, along with his commentary:
Toronto +3.5 W
Sacramento +4.5 (According to my metric, this line is nearly perfect) L
Portland -5.5 W
Sacramento Kings +4½ L Streak Breaker
Los Angeles Lakers -1 W
Portland Trail Blazers -5½ W
Total 1-2
Favorites 1-1
Dogs 0-1
Home 0-2
Away 1-0
Road Fav 1-0
Streak Breaker 0-1
Randomized Picks 2-1
Mission146 1-2
YTD Total 77-86
Favorites 37-36
Dogs 38-45
Home 37-41
Away 40-45
Road Fav 14-12
Streak Breaker 5-4
Randomized Picks 18-20
Mission146 3-5
YTD Total 47.24%
Favorites 50.68%
Dogs 45.78%
Home 47.44%
Away 47.06%
Road Fav 53.85%
Streak Breaker 55.56%
Randomized Picks 47.37%
Mission146 37.50%
Today's Picks (just me and Mr. Random, Mission is unable to send his picks in for Mondays):
Houston Rockets +9 L
Chicago Bulls +6 L
Hmmm......seems like Mr. Random thinks both of my picks will lose....
Total 1-1
Favorites 0-0
Dogs 1-1
Home 0-0
Away 1-1
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 1-1
Mission146 0-0
YTD Total 78-87
Favorites 37-36
Dogs 39-46
Home 37-41
Away 41-46
Road Fav 14-12
Streak Breaker 5-4
Randomized Picks 19-21
Mission146 3-5
YTD Total 47.27%
Favorites 50.68%
Dogs 45.88%
Home 47.44%
Away 47.13%
Road Fav 53.85%
Streak Breaker 55.56%
Randomized Picks 47.50%
Mission146 37.50%
Today's Picks:
Toronto Raptors +4½ L
Minnesota Timberwolves +9 W
Boston Celtics 1.5 W Steak Breaker
Dallas Mavericks -4.5 L
San Antonio Spurs 2.5 W Streak Breaker
Golden State Warriors -7½ W
Charlotte Bobcats +12 W
Mission146's Picks (must be making up for yesterday by picking the entire board today.....):
Toronto +4.5 L
Atlanta -6 W
Miami -9 L
Utah +4.5 W
Boston +1.5 W
Milwaukee -3 W
Denver -2.5 L
Golden State -7.5 W
Charlotte +12 W
Mr. Random.....not so much.....
Yesterday's Results:
Total 3-4
Favorites 1-1
Dogs 2-3
Home 1-1
Away 2-3
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-2
Randomized Picks 3-7
Mission146 6-3
YTD Total 81-91
Favorites 38-37
Dogs 41-49
Home 38-42
Away 43-49
Road Fav 14-12
Streak Breaker 5-6
Randomized Picks 22-28
Mission146 9-8
YTD Total 47.09%
Favorites 50.67%
Dogs 45.56%
Home 47.50%
Away 46.74%
Road Fav 53.85%
Streak Breaker 45.45%
Randomized Picks 44.00%
Mission146 52.94%
Today's Picks:
Indiana Pacers -3½ L
Brooklyn Nets 7.5 L
Boston Celtics -8 ( W
Charlotte Bobcats +9 ( L
Milwaukee Bucks +9 ( L
Golden State Warriors -2. L
New Orleans Hornets +13 W
Mission146's Picks:
Brooklyn +5 W
Toronto -2.5 W
Atlanta +6.5 W
Total 2-5
Favorites 2-1
Dogs 0-4
Home 2-0
Away 0-5
Road Fav 0-1
Streak Breaker 1-1
Randomized Picks 5-2
Mission146 1-2
YTD Total 83-96
Favorites 40-38
Dogs 41-53
Home 40-42
Away 43-54
Road Fav 14-13
Streak Breaker 6-7
Randomized Picks 27-30
Mission146 10-10
YTD Total 46.37%
Favorites 51.28%
Dogs 43.62%
Home 48.78%
Away 44.33%
Road Fav 51.85%
Streak Breaker 46.15%
Randomized Picks 47.37%
Mission146 50.00%
Today's pick:
Dallas Mavericks +5 W
Mission146 has no picks today. Just me and Mr. Random, who is not doing all too well......not like I am either though...
Total 0-1
Favorites 0-0
Dogs 0-1
Home 0-1
Away 0-0
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 0-1
Mission146 0-0
YTD Total 83-97
Favorites 40-38
Dogs 41-54
Home 40-43
Away 43-54
Road Fav 14-13
Streak Breaker 6-7
Randomized Picks 27-31
Mission146 10-10
YTD Total 46.11%
Favorites 51.28%
Dogs 43.16%
Home 48.19%
Away 44.33%
Road Fav 51.85%
Streak Breaker 46.15%
Randomized Picks 46.55%
Mission146 50.00%
Today's Picks:
Orlando Magic +4 L
Milwaukee Bucks +5½ W
Washington Wizards +6 W
Dallas Mavericks +10 L
Sacramento Kings +13 W
Mission146's Picks:
Orlando +4 L
Detroit +6 L
Boston -5.5 L
Just as a reminder, the "W" or "L" at the end of each pick represents Mr. Random's choice. For example, Mr. Random says that of my 5 picks, 3 will win and 2 will lose. Mr. Random says all of Mission's picks will lose.
Total 3-1-1
Favorites 0-0
Dogs 3-1
Home 0-0
Away 3-1
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 2-2
Mission146 2-1
YTD Total 86-98
Favorites 40-38
Dogs 44-55
Home 40-43
Away 46-55
Road Fav 14-13
Streak Breaker 6-7
Randomized Picks 29-33
Mission146 12-11
YTD Total 46.74%
Favorites 51.28%
Dogs 44.44%
Home 48.19%
Away 45.54%
Road Fav 51.85%
Streak Breaker 46.15%
Randomized Picks 46.77%
Mission146 52.17%
Today's Picks:
Atlanta Hawks -3½ L Streak Breaker
Washington Wizards PK W
Houston Rockets PK L
Indiana Pacers -3½ W
Milwaukee Bucks -8. W
Golden State Warriors +1 W
Mission146's Picks:
CHI +3 W
IND -3.5 W
Total 3-3
Favorites 2-1
Dogs 0-1
Home 2-3
Away 1-0
Road Fav 1-0
Streak Breaker 1-0
Randomized Picks 1-5
Mission146 1-1
YTD Total 89-101
Favorites 42-39
Dogs 44-56
Home 42-46
Away 47-55
Road Fav 15-13
Streak Breaker 7-7
Randomized Picks 30-38
Mission146 13-12
YTD Total 46.84%
Favorites 51.85%
Dogs 44.00%
Home 47.73%
Away 46.08%
Road Fav 53.57%
Streak Breaker 50.00%
Randomized Picks 44.12%
Mission146 52.00%
Today's Picks:
Phoenix Suns +6½ L
Portland Trail Blazers -1½ W
Mission146 wrote that he didn't see anything that he liked today and so therefore has no picks.
Wow, Mr. Random had his worst day yesterday and has fallen into my rear view mirror.
Mission146 is the only one who is currently in the black.
Yesterday's Results:
Total 0-2
Favorites 0-1
Dogs 0-1
Home 0-1
Away 0-1
Road Fav 0-1
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 1-1
Mission146 0-0
YTD Total 89-103
Favorites 42-40
Dogs 44-57
Home 42-47
Away 47-56
Road Fav 15-14
Streak Breaker 7-7
Randomized Picks 31-39
Mission146 13-12
YTD Total 46.35%
Favorites 51.22%
Dogs 43.56%
Home 47.19%
Away 45.63%
Road Fav 51.72%
Streak Breaker 50.00%
Randomized Picks 44.29%
Mission146 52.00%
Los Angeles Lakers -4 L
Oklahoma City Thunder +2½ W Streak Breaker
Houston Rockets +4½ W
Mission146 had no picks for today.
Yesterday's Results:
Total 2-1
Favorites 1-0
Dogs 1-1
Home 1-0
Away 1-1
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-1
Randomized Picks 1-2
Mission146 0-0
YTD Total 91-104
Favorites 43-40
Dogs 45-58
Home 43-47
Away 48-57
Road Fav 15-14
Streak Breaker 7-8
Randomized Picks 32-41
Mission146 13-12
YTD Total 46.67%
Favorites 51.81%
Dogs 43.69%
Home 47.78%
Away 45.71%
Road Fav 51.72%
Streak Breaker 46.67%
Randomized Picks 43.84%
Mission146 52.00%
Today's Picks:
Orlando Magic -2 L
Indiana Pacers -4 W
Washington Wizards -1 L
Charlotte Bobcats +10 W
Atlanta Hawks -7½ L
Philadelphia 76ers +9 W
Milwaukee Bucks -2½ W
New York Knicks -4 W
Golden State Warriors +4 W
Portland Trail Blazers -6 L
Mission146's Picks:
Chicago +4 L
Washington PK L
Utah -4 L
I see where Mr. Random has chosen to go against all 3 of Mission's picks........is Mission going to go 3 and 0 today?
Total 4-5
Favorites 2-4
Dogs 2-1
Home 2-4
Away 2-1
Road Fav 0-1
Streak Breaker 0-2
Randomized Picks 6-3
Mission146 0-2
YTD Total 95-109
Favorites 45-44
Dogs 47-59
Home 45-51
Away 50-58
Road Fav 15-15
Streak Breaker 7-10
Randomized Picks 38-44
Mission146 13-14
YTD Total 46.57%
Favorites 50.56%
Dogs 44.34%
Home 46.88%
Away 46.30%
Road Fav 50.00%
Streak Breaker 41.18%
Randomized Picks 46.34%
Mission146 48.15%
Mission, sorry if I put the hex on you there.....
I have no picks today.
Mission146's Picks:
Boston +8.5 L
Once again, Mr. Random is taking the opposite side of Mission's pick.
Quote: Mission146It's cool, at least that one was postponed so I didn't go 0-3!
Mister Random has a cruel sense of humor. Let's the chumps thinking they might actually win.
Total 0-0
Favorites 0-0
Dogs 0-0
Home 0-0
Away 0-0
Road Fav 0-0
Streak Breaker 0-0
Randomized Picks 1-0
Mission146 0-1
YTD Total 95-109
Favorites 45-44
Dogs 47-59
Home 45-51
Away 50-58
Road Fav 15-15
Streak Breaker 7-10
Randomized Picks 39-44
Mission146 13-15
YTD Total 46.57%
Favorites 50.56%
Dogs 44.34%
Home 46.88%
Away 46.30%
Road Fav 50.00%
Streak Breaker 41.18%
Randomized Picks 46.99%
Mission146 46.43%
It seems that Mr. Random has taken the lead on both Mission146 and myself. Temporarily..........we hope.
Today's Picks:
Atlanta Hawks -5 L
New Orleans Hornets -2½ W
Dallas Mavericks +2½ ( W
Utah Jazz +3 L Streak Breaker
New York Knicks -3½ W Streak Breaker
Golden State Warriors -5½ W
Portland Trail Blazers +9 L
Mission 146's Picks:
Orlando -1 L
Detroit +8 W
Houston +8 L
Golden State -5.5 W
Not true. Mr. Random gave gives the illusion that you might win, before busting your bubble once gain.
He has an evil sense of humor !
Quote: steeldcoHe who laughs last...........
Did not bet against Mr. Random
3-1, back up to Even Par. Or would that be down to Even Par? No matter! 16-16.
I'll be PMing you my picks in the early a.m., SteelDCo!
Total 3-4
Favorites 2-2
Dogs 1-2
Home 2-2
Away 1-2
Road Fav 1-1
Streak Breaker 1-1
Randomized Picks 4-6
Mission146 3-1
YTD Total 98-113
Favorites 47-46
Dogs 48-61
Home 47-53
Away 51-60
Road Fav 16-16
Streak Breaker 8-11
Randomized Picks 43-50
Mission146 16-16
YTD Total 46.45%
Favorites 50.54%
Dogs 44.04%
Home 47.00%
Away 45.95%
Road Fav 50.00%
Streak Breaker 41.18%
Randomized Picks 46.24%
Mission146 50.00%
......and we have a new leader in Mission146 with the odds on favorite, Mr. Random, bringin' up the rear.
Today's Picks:
Minnesota Timberwolves #VALUE! W
Portland Trail Blazers -3½ L
Golden State Warriors -3½ W
There is no current line on Minnesota, however, I'm showing it as a pick since it should be taken at the best line available, if one becomes available.
Mission146's picks:
Oklahoma City -4.5 L
Milwaukee +4.5 L