odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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June 6th, 2026 at 8:53:59 AM permalink
I really have come to respect the poker game of Omaha for what it takes to play it well. I would also say it’s potentially lucrative since the corollary to that is the ploppy type is definitely going to play it poorly, creating a lot of fish… minding that if you don’t take playing it well seriously, the fish, well, that’s you. A player has to pay just as much attention to the community cards as his own cards, since though high hands like flushes and full houses are likely winners since you have 9 cards to choose from, very quickly certain such hands become unlikely or impossible. Though luck always can make bad play shine, this game is sure to punish loose play sooner due to the above. A bad player can easily think he has a hand he doesn’t actually have, and a good player checks to see if someone is trying to use 3 cards, or just one card, in his hand.

I was thinking about this since I only recently surmised something. I was introduced to this game years ago and have, I hope, been playing it better steadily. Yet only a few days ago I realized that when you have a pair in your hand, how quickly it can become garbage, especially when 3 of a kind is unlikely to win due the number of players. What can fool you is having one of your other cards pair up with something on the board. You first have to dismiss that you now have two pair. Since you can only use 2 cards, you have instead a choice between which you will use … you have *one* pair still! I’ll call this situation ‘the hole card pair with the alternate pair’ .

When getting this situation I then thought “something good can still come of this” without realizing that the odds were against it. A pair in your hand before the flop wins frequently when it becomes trips and something on the board pairs, giving you a boat. Or, maybe trips shows up on the board and you have the top pair for the smaller part of the boat [beware of someone's 4 oak]. But it does you little good to develop 3 oak with your existing pair or the alternative pair in this particular situation I’ve described, though you may become heartened and call some big bets. In the case of it being the pair in your hand that develops this on the river, clearly you have to be lucky to see a pair come next… one, btw, that helps no one else more than you. And it’s going to be the river when you see the alternate pair become trips…. with only one card to go to make something of it. A more likely development is a straight or flush winning the pot; do you have the cards to participate in that? And beware of the straight up against the possilbe flush, and the higher-than-you straight or flush. If your only out is that you develop into the boat, the nuts or not, probably best you fold against someone aggressively betting. I for one am changing my game on this.

It'll be interesting to me to see if this thread has longevity
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
smoothgrh
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odiousgambit
June 6th, 2026 at 10:01:38 AM permalink
Just yesterday I did a Google Gemini search on how often an Omaha board allows for a straight or a flush.

It’s like 75% for a straight and 30% for a flush. (AI percentages always seem to change)
harris
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June 6th, 2026 at 11:50:09 AM permalink
Which game would be the most lucrative in Vegas/AC in terms of making money off of bad players? Texas HoldEm, Omaha HoldEm, or 7-Card Stud?
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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June 6th, 2026 at 1:27:58 PM permalink
Quote: harris

Which game would be the most lucrative in Vegas/AC in terms of making money off of bad players? Texas HoldEm, Omaha HoldEm, or 7-Card Stud?
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I would think it was Omaha since so many players don't have the skills needed. However, maybe bad players shy away from it? My experience is with home games, and have not played in casinos.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
SOOPOO
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June 6th, 2026 at 6:23:21 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

Quote: harris

Which game would be the most lucrative in Vegas/AC in terms of making money off of bad players? Texas HoldEm, Omaha HoldEm, or 7-Card Stud?
link to original post

I would think it was Omaha since so many players don't have the skills needed. However, maybe bad players shy away from it? My experience is with home games, and have not played in casinos.
link to original post



You do know to frown and whine when dealt 4 aces? No straight. No flush. No 3 of a kind. Maybe top full house if 3 of a kind on board and wins if no one makes 4 of a kind.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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June 7th, 2026 at 2:22:40 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


You do know to frown and whine when dealt 4 aces? No straight. No flush. No 3 of a kind. Maybe top full house if 3 of a kind on board and wins if no one makes 4 of a kind.
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Yes, that's a fact, and trips is almost as bad. Immediate fold is usually the right move, especially if a lower rank involved
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
gordonm888
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June 7th, 2026 at 5:50:56 AM permalink
In Hold'em the best starting Hands (AA, KK, AKs, etc) are much stronger than the worst starting hands (72o, 32o, 73o, etc.) We say that starting hands have a wide range of equity. In Omaha, the starting hands have a more narrow range of equity and there are a significant majority of hands that are playable for at least one round -until you see the flop.

Historically players developed the strategy of going all-in (or 'jamming') on the opening round of Omaha betting to discourage other players from participating in the action (they instead folded.) The rules evolved to forbid this practice of jamming on the first round by making the game pot limit.

Omaha-8, or Omaha Hi-Lo significantly increases the fraction of pre-flop hands that are playable! Suddenly, opening hands with a 3 to 4 unpaired cards in the range A,2-8 become playable.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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June 7th, 2026 at 6:07:37 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888


Historically players developed the strategy of going all-in (or 'jamming') on the opening round of Omaha betting to discourage other players from participating in the action (they instead folded.) The rules evolved to forbid this practice of jamming on the first round by making the game pot limit.
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I think poker games that are no-limit are played in complete violation of the Kelly Criterion ... however, everyone violates it so it's an even-steven violation

for some reason, to be the only one who doesn't go all-in at times is not a strategy that works
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
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