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AutomaticMonkey
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December 8th, 2025 at 1:48:42 AM permalink
Quote: rainman

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rainman

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X6DR_bR_qIU
link to original post



Watched it. Weird, and especially so because the victims in this seemed like their own worst enemies, while the attackers were also unfathomably stupid, and the whole lot of them are lucky to be alive. Even the dogs seemed to have no idea what to do. But I guess Colion Noir was unwilling to give them the dressing down that they deserved.

Here's the follow-up: it was a gang of teenagers in Houston who apparently saw Ann-Margret's granddaughter there showing off a Bitcoin wallet to her social media fans and they went there thinking stealing the device would get them the coins. In reality stealing a Bitcoin hardware wallet or a full node or anything else won't get you anything unless you have the password to unlock the wallet and these kids didn't know that. Again, that's why these robberies involve torture. They got caught: https://www.fox26houston.com/news/houston-crime-four-teens-charged-home-invasion-online-streamer
link to original post




I'm confused, Ann Margret's grand daughter? The victim goes by the name Amouranth and is a big time
multi platform streamer.

https://www.hindustantimes.com/trending/us/who-is-amouranth-viral-streamer-returns-to-twitch-after-profiting-38-million-off-kick-101750420825870.html
link to original post



I see the resemblance. Depends a lot on which picture though.

Like Pink and Marie Fredriksson of Roxette. Pink doesn't have the same sound but for sure she's got the look.

billryan
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December 8th, 2025 at 5:16:37 AM permalink
Influencers boasting about their bitcoins have about as much street sense as people who brag about carrying a concealed weapon. I find both mildly entertaining.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AxelWolf
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December 8th, 2025 at 8:38:21 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Influencers boasting about their bitcoins have about as much street sense as people who brag about carrying a concealed weapon. I find both mildly entertaining.
link to original post



They might be looking to generate crypto endorsements.

I think they have a connection with a crypto gambling site, so it would make sense to mention crypto.

Supposedly, she makes upwards of 20 million a month. Screenshots of her 20 million in Crypto was a calculated risk for views, I'm sure.

Looks like the risk paid off big time because I had never even heard of this person till now, and I'm sure the same goes for many others. They seem to have done a bunch of interviews regarding this incident.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DougGander
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December 12th, 2025 at 4:08:09 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Influencers boasting about their bitcoins have about as much street sense as people who brag about carrying a concealed weapon. I find both mildly entertaining.
link to original post



Yeah...even though people have been sent to jail, any one who knows anything about Amouranth or streamers in general is still a little suspicious the whole thing wasn't staged. This is a horrible example to use for gun advocacy for so many reasons even if it wasn't.

.
billryan
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December 12th, 2025 at 9:35:10 AM permalink
I thought it looked staged, or at least orchestrated.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AxelWolf
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December 12th, 2025 at 2:53:12 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I thought it looked staged, or at least orchestrated.
link to original post

Really?????? After watching that, you thought it was staged/scripted?

I'm not sure how you stage 2 dogs' reactions.

Someone was shot, and police found a blood stream leading to their car.

4 people have been arrested and charged with aggravated robbery with a deadly weapon and kidnapping.

The police tracked them down because of a stolen MacBook and a bloodstained to their vehicle.


I assumed conspiracy theorists were the only ones thinking/calling it staged.

I suggest watching and investigating it again, and then asking yourself if you still think it was staged/scripted.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
billryan
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December 12th, 2025 at 3:18:45 PM permalink
I wasted five minutes watching it once. While watching it, it struck me as staged. I really don't care if it was staged and got out of hand or was real.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AutomaticMonkey
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December 12th, 2025 at 5:11:19 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: billryan

I thought it looked staged, or at least orchestrated.
link to original post

Really?????? After watching that, you thought it was staged/scripted?

I'm not sure how you stage 2 dogs' reactions.

Someone was shot, and police found a blood stream leading to their car.

4 people have been arrested and charged with aggravated robbery with a deadly weapon and kidnapping.

The police tracked them down because of a stolen MacBook and a bloodstained to their vehicle.


I assumed conspiracy theorists were the only ones thinking/calling it staged.

I suggest watching and investigating it again, and then asking yourself if you still think it was staged/scripted.
link to original post



To be fair, I was open to the idea of it being fake until I read that the police arrested the criminals. Police are really sensitive about being jerked around and used in pranks, and if they thought that was what was going on it would have been the couple in the home who got arrested.

You never see the invaders hit the girl, you hear the sounds of gunshots but you never see a gun being fired, and the blood you saw was some stock footage from the Colion Noir video, not actual crime scene photography. The dogs reacted the way they would to a visitor, not an invader. Everything you saw could have been faked, but the cops would not have been fooled by it.
rainman
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December 12th, 2025 at 6:55:06 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: billryan

I thought it looked staged, or at least orchestrated.
link to original post

Really?????? After watching that, you thought it was staged/scripted?

I'm not sure how you stage 2 dogs' reactions.

Someone was shot, and police found a blood stream leading to their car.

4 people have been arrested and charged with aggravated robbery with a deadly weapon and kidnapping.

The police tracked them down because of a stolen MacBook and a bloodstained to their vehicle.


I assumed conspiracy theorists were the only ones thinking/calling it staged.

I suggest watching and investigating it again, and then asking yourself if you still think it was staged/scripted.
link to original post



To be fair, I was open to the idea of it being fake until I read that the police arrested the criminals. Police are really sensitive about being jerked around and used in pranks, and if they thought that was what was going on it would have been the couple in the home who got arrested.

You never see the invaders hit the girl, you hear the sounds of gunshots but you never see a gun being fired, and the blood you saw was some stock footage from the Colion Noir video, not actual crime scene photography. The dogs reacted the way they would to a visitor, not an invader. Everything you saw could have been faked, but the cops would not have been fooled by it.
link to original post




The video is real it was a big story when it happened and was covered by the mainstream, the victim has done
several interviews. I can see how the video can have a synthetic look.
AutomaticMonkey
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December 12th, 2025 at 7:14:48 PM permalink
Quote: rainman

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: billryan

I thought it looked staged, or at least orchestrated.
link to original post

Really?????? After watching that, you thought it was staged/scripted?

I'm not sure how you stage 2 dogs' reactions.

Someone was shot, and police found a blood stream leading to their car.

4 people have been arrested and charged with aggravated robbery with a deadly weapon and kidnapping.

The police tracked them down because of a stolen MacBook and a bloodstained to their vehicle.


I assumed conspiracy theorists were the only ones thinking/calling it staged.

I suggest watching and investigating it again, and then asking yourself if you still think it was staged/scripted.
link to original post



To be fair, I was open to the idea of it being fake until I read that the police arrested the criminals. Police are really sensitive about being jerked around and used in pranks, and if they thought that was what was going on it would have been the couple in the home who got arrested.

You never see the invaders hit the girl, you hear the sounds of gunshots but you never see a gun being fired, and the blood you saw was some stock footage from the Colion Noir video, not actual crime scene photography. The dogs reacted the way they would to a visitor, not an invader. Everything you saw could have been faked, but the cops would not have been fooled by it.
link to original post




The video is real it was a big story when it happened and was covered by the mainstream, the victim has done
several interviews. I can see how the video can have a synthetic look.
link to original post



Oh I totally believe it. But the video alone was not enough to convince me. Remember Jussie Smollett was a big story too, wall-to-wall news coverage, everyone in media was at least pretending to believe it as were the police, and it turned out to be total BS once people started looking at it critically.

When the police think you've fired a gun in a crime, the way you get arrested and handled isn't fun, and those kids would have been terrified and explained themselves right away if they were just actors in a prank.
DougGander
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December 13th, 2025 at 3:42:29 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf


4 people have been arrested and charged with aggravated robbery with a deadly weapon and kidnapping.

The police tracked them down because of a stolen MacBook and a bloodstained to their vehicle.




LOL. The going rate for bribing a police officer is a 20th of what Amouranth earns in a bad month. That's easily accomplished.

A bigger barrier would be getting the teenagers to accept jail time. But not insurmountable given they may have been influenced by being part of Amouranth's highly parasocial audience. They are her exact target demographic. I imagine she could find a clueless kid who will volunteer for $250K or even less.Hell she could probably get someone to do it for free if she really wanted, streamer culture is warped.

The publicity from the case is worth multi-millions so it likely would pay off.
AxelWolf
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December 14th, 2025 at 12:14:43 AM permalink
Quote: DougGander

Quote: AxelWolf


4 people have been arrested and charged with aggravated robbery with a deadly weapon and kidnapping.

The police tracked them down because of a stolen MacBook and a bloodstained to their vehicle.




LOL. The going rate for bribing a police officer is a 20th of what Amouranth earns in a bad month. That's easily accomplished.

A bigger barrier would be getting the teenagers to accept jail time. But not insurmountable given they may have been influenced by being part of Amouranth's highly parasocial audience. They are her exact target demographic. I imagine she could find a clueless kid who will volunteer for $250K or even less.Hell she could probably get someone to do it for free if she really wanted, streamer culture is warped.

The publicity from the case is worth multi-millions so it likely would pay off.
link to original post

Yes, anything possable is possable, including but not limited to...

18 YOs in a row.
Winning 60-some hands in a row at BJ.
5 single line Royals in a day. (Proven BS)
Beating online and casino roulette daily for many years.
Winning millions for years on baccarat while getting high fives and full-time RFB.

We are graced with all these anomalies on this very forum, plus many more. Imagine that. The odds of that must be astronomical if all those things are true.
I prefer to use some common sense and logic.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
She is already making multi-millions of dollars, according to independent reports, but they both think it's a good idea to fake this.

Perhaps you think she had a dry run to see how her dogs would react in that situation.

Perhaps you think she idiotically hired underage teens to help stage this.

Perhaps you think she thought it was a good idea for them to be armed with guns.

Perhaps you think she thought it was a good idea for her BF to shoot someone who was coming around a corner while ducking just in time.

Perhaps you think they risked everything with the possibility of someone being killed.

Perhaps you think she was confident she could pay off the cops.

Perhaps you think they thought EVERYONE would keep their mouths shut no matter what happened.

Perhaps you think she would risk people finding out this was all fake, losing everything, and going to prison, for a moderate boost in profits?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DougGander
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December 14th, 2025 at 3:04:54 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf




Perhaps you think they thought EVERYONE would keep their mouths shut no matter what happened.

Perhaps you think she would risk people finding out this was all fake, losing everything, and going to prison, for a moderate boost in profits?
link to original post




Like an awful lot of posts on this forum you seem to be rather out of touch with the modern world and unwilling to look up the numbers on this stuff. Hence you think it is difficult to bribe some star-struck dumb kids, and a few police officers-when in one recent case that was accomplished with some bottles of water and swedish cheese.

Also, you seem to think that everyone is governed by some kind of rationalist thinking which has never been the case anywhere. You seem unaware of the very large amount of criminal activity going in the celebrity/political world which has become extremely commonplace and public.

There are literally millions of streamers. The ones that are successful do horrible things no normal human would contemplate to get there. Amouranth is an emotionally cold, intelligent sociopath quite capable of organizing something like this.

I do love the "she would risk people finding out this was all fake" comment, as if she were some kind of paragon of civic virtue that depended upon the approval of society. In reality she probably doesn't care that much if she does get caught because that means even more publicity and money for an extended period.Hell they'd probably make a movie out of it.
SOOPOO
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February 2nd, 2026 at 8:12:06 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Why Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/04/05/why-bitcoin-is-doomed-to-fail/

It has to fail and it will fail, wait and see.
link to original post



I’ve waited 13 years from this post. How much longer do I have to wait?

AHigh bought two at $130 each. I hope he sold when they hit $125K. EACH.

I actually enjoyed reading the posts from 2013.

The reason I re-looked at this thread has been due to the precipitous fall in BTC over the past 4 months. $125k to $80k is a drop, if applied to the stock market, that would be called a ‘crash’.

Even though I chide EB, I never got on board either. It still doesn’t make sense to me.
Danbury
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February 3rd, 2026 at 9:10:16 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

It still doesn’t make sense to me.
link to original post


All you get is a serial number... sounds fiat to me.I would NEVER buy BC with AU/AG... FIAT CURRENCIES ONLY.
The Red Sox won 8-in-a-row to win a World Series. Thats an Octopus, too. No Octopus seen in Fenway, however...
Wizard
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February 26th, 2026 at 9:08:50 AM permalink
Bitcoin values:

10/4/25 = $122,261
2/26/26 = $66,728

That is a 45% drop.

I've been saying for years Bitcoin is a fad, a tulip, a Ponzi scheme. Could this be the pop or another "halving" (is that the correct spelling?) as it tends to get called, before a 4x run-up? I'm selling my 0.06 Bitcoin, which shows the direction I think it's going.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
AutomaticMonkey
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February 26th, 2026 at 9:50:26 AM permalink
The halving, when speaking of Bitcoin, is the part of the algorithm where the block reward for miners is cut in half (plus all transaction fees for all transactions in that last block) , requiring everyone's strategy to change to remain profitable. It happens approximately every 4 years.

I mined throughout the 25 BTC era. Now the block reward is down to 3.125 BTC.
billryan
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February 26th, 2026 at 10:40:38 AM permalink
I won't call it a fad, but I believe it will sell for less in the near future.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
EvenBob
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February 26th, 2026 at 11:56:13 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Bitcoin values:

10/4/25 = $122,261
2/26/26 = $66,728

That is a 45% drop.

I've been saying for years Bitcoin is a fad, a tulip, a Ponzi scheme. Could this be the pop or another "halving" (is that the correct spelling?) as it tends to get called, before a 4x run-up? I'm selling my 0.06 Bitcoin, which shows the direction I think it's going.
link to original post



There are a few Beanie Babies that are still worth a lot of money but most of them are landfill material. Like Bitcoin will be someday.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
DRich
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February 26th, 2026 at 1:49:12 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob


There are a few Beanie Babies that are still worth a lot of money but most of them are landfill material. Like Bitcoin will be someday.



How can Bitcoin be landfill material as they are virtual?
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
DougGander
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February 26th, 2026 at 1:53:16 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: EvenBob


There are a few Beanie Babies that are still worth a lot of money but most of them are landfill material. Like Bitcoin will be someday.



How can Bitcoin be landfill material as they are virtual?
link to original post



This joke is just coming across as cruelty now.
DougGander
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February 26th, 2026 at 1:57:14 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Bitcoin values:

10/4/25 = $122,261
2/26/26 = $66,728

That is a 45% drop.



It also increased 66773% from 2010 to 2026.

Now you want to sell because it went down to 66728%. Tough crowd....
billryan
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February 26th, 2026 at 2:05:36 PM permalink
I heard the price of bitcoin is going to drop 200%, maybe 300%possibly even 600%.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
odiousgambit
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February 26th, 2026 at 2:44:01 PM permalink
I heard it was going into a virtual landfill!
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
odiousgambit
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February 26th, 2026 at 2:44:03 PM permalink
I heard it was going into a virtual landfill!
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
billryan
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February 26th, 2026 at 3:51:57 PM permalink
The guy who bought my baseball cards made his bones with bitcoin. I don't know the details, but he turned a few thousand into a million or more. I get the impression he took the win and cashed out, but who knows.
My nephew is a Bitcoin bug. He doesn't make a lot of money but he was buying $50 slices while I was still in NY. He's borrowed against them but has never sold any. It doesn't bother him in the least that it has lost 40% or more and produced no dividends for the last year plus.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
EvenBob
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February 26th, 2026 at 4:27:42 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: EvenBob


There are a few Beanie Babies that are still worth a lot of money but most of them are landfill material. Like Bitcoin will be someday.



How can Bitcoin be landfill material as they are virtual?
link to original post



I was speaking metaphorically, look it up if you're confused.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
Wizard
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February 26th, 2026 at 7:05:12 PM permalink
Quote: DougGander

Now you want to sell because it went down to 66728%. Tough crowd....
link to original post



I'll keep my eye on you.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
vegas
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February 27th, 2026 at 5:23:43 AM permalink
This drop is the normal cycle for Bitcoin. I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms. I have long hold Bitcoin but also I have an account that I buy when down and sell when it goes up. The volatility is a swing traders dream.

Every time bitcoin goes through this cycle people say it is doomed. Bitcoin is going nowhere.
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
DougGander
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February 27th, 2026 at 8:36:47 AM permalink
Quote: vegas

This drop is the normal cycle for Bitcoin. I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms. I have long hold Bitcoin but also I have an account that I buy when down and sell when it goes up. The volatility is a swing traders dream.

Every time bitcoin goes through this cycle people say it is doomed. Bitcoin is going nowhere.
link to original post



For this to be the case the random fluctuation has to be intrinsically random and not geared towards the fundamentals.

That is probably, largely, the case, But not entirely. On the one hand it does look like it is becoming a viable currency in the developing world. On the other hand stablecoins seem to be doing that better. And, the day when bitcoin becomes accepted in countries with stable domestic currencies looks increasingly to be...never.

You do run a risk with your trading strategy that one day btc hype fades and one day it settles near its actual value which is a tiny fraction of its current value-the incremental gains you made before that happened might not compensate you for a big loss from which is will never recover. But good luck.
Calder
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February 27th, 2026 at 5:24:21 PM permalink
Quote:

...I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms...


Well, if you know where the bottom is, why don't you wait until then to buy?
billryan
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February 27th, 2026 at 8:01:43 PM permalink
Quote: Calder

Quote:

...I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms...


Well, if you know where the bottom is, why don't you wait until then to buy?
link to original post



One reason is keeping the habit of investing regularly. Once you get used to spending the money, it can be hard to go back to investing it.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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February 28th, 2026 at 4:22:23 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: Calder

Quote:

...I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms...


Well, if you know where the bottom is, why don't you wait until then to buy?
link to original post



One reason is keeping the habit of investing regularly. Once you get used to spending the money, it can be hard to go back to investing it.
link to original post



This!
A few decades ago (actually 35 years!)I bought a whole life policy. In theory they are not the best way to invest money, and if you really want ‘insurance’ you should by term life. But I got a yearly ‘bill’, which forced me to invest that money. I sometimes forget to consider that $$ is now in my ‘portfolio’. The cash out value if I needed the money is around 5x what I paid in premiums. So 80+% would be subject to tax. But zero if my heirs get it upon my kicking the bucket.
vegas
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February 28th, 2026 at 8:31:48 AM permalink
Quote: Calder

Quote:

...I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms...


Well, if you know where the bottom is, why don't you wait until then to buy?
link to original post




I don’t know the bottom of course. So say I buy at 65000. The next day it goes to 64000. I only buy at 5% drops from my last buy so wait until it drops another 3250. So my buy order is in at 61,750. If it hits this number my order is automatically triggered. If it goes up I sit back and watch Rinse and repeat. My swing trades are bought the same way only I sell on 5% gains
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
DougGander
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February 28th, 2026 at 8:59:55 AM permalink
Quote: vegas

Quote: Calder

Quote:

...I just bought some and will keep buying until it bottoms...


Well, if you know where the bottom is, why don't you wait until then to buy?
link to original post




I don’t know the bottom of course. So say I buy at 65000. The next day it goes to 64000. I only buy at 5% drops from my last buy so wait until it drops another 3250. So my buy order is in at 61,750. If it hits this number my order is automatically triggered. If it goes up I sit back and watch Rinse and repeat. My swing trades are bought the same way only I sell on 5% gains
link to original post



AKA "picking up pennies in front of a steamroller" Similar to a martingale structurally.

This actually works pretty well when the government is coming out with seemingly contradictory economic statements regularly. How much are you up out of curiosity? Express it as a % if the absolute number is not something you want to reveal.
billryan
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February 28th, 2026 at 10:10:55 AM permalink
SSK is an ETF that is tied to Solana. It's a $10 ETF that pays out .50 cents per month. It launched in July at $25 a share. If you believe that Solerna will rebound to last summer's level, it might be a good buy.
I recently opened an account that will be split by my grand nephews and nieces. With a $4500 budget, I bought $500 worth of a BC ETF that is currently worth about $490. Yesterday, I bought $250 worth of SSK and will reinvest the payouts. Either Solerna goes to zero, and I lose $250, or my family inherits twenty years of growth in what is said to be a superior cryptocurrency.
While I wouldn't recommend this to anyone as an investment, I look at it differently. I see it as pre-paying for their 25th birthday presents. Right now, it would be a three-way split, and the youngest has 23 years to compound his share, although I expect there are more in the pipeline.
Currently, the portfolio has six holdings, roughly in equal amounts, with a monthly $100 contribution that is split equally, and all dividends are reinvested. I'm literally using this as my spare change bottle. Any credit card transaction on my internet accounts is rounded up to the next dollar, and when the total reaches $10, it is transferred to this account.
It would be nice to hand them the checks.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
vegas
vegas
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Joined: Apr 27, 2012
February 28th, 2026 at 11:53:38 AM permalink
My long term hold is up a good chunk as I started buying in April 2019. My first price was just under 4200 dollars. I have been buying ever since. Yes I could have sold when Bitcoin hit really high price as I was sure we would go down in crypto winters or cycles. However that is what I use my swing trade for. I have made good money swing trading even though you called it picking up Pennies in front of a steamroller. Some months I have many trades and sometimes it is slower. How much you make is relative to how much you buy.

I am long retired so this has turned into a very enjoyable and profitable hobby for me. Sure it is frustrating when Bitcoin goes down like it is now but if you understand it then you know what to expect. If I live long enough I fully expect Bitcoin to hit a million dollars a coin. Yes many will laugh at that number but I remember when it was 4200 people said you just threw away your money. Most negativity comes from those who never invest.

When I die my kids will reap the benefits and that was my main reason for starting this quest.

Those who believe I am wrong I understand your reasoning and you have to do what you believe in.
50-50-90 Rule: Anytime you have a 50-50 chance of getting something right, there is a 90% probability you'll get it wrong
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