Clownkeeper
Clownkeeper
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August 18th, 2011 at 8:11:42 AM permalink
I was reading a book about craps strategies when I came across one called the 5 count. This has one making don't come bets with come bets until 4 numbers plus the point is established then add the odds to the come bets. I was thinking why not make a don't come with a come bet with odds from the start. So the point is rolled, make a don't come along with a come bet with odds and establish 3 come bets with odds along with the point. If a number hits, I win money on just the odds, but isn't that the idea of come bets to get full odds with no house advantage? This way I get odds without as some people say "pay rent" to get the odds. Am I missing something in thinking this is a good idea??? I usually play pass line with odds and three come bets with odds. At a $5 table this would save me $15 per hand and $30 per hand at a $10 table if the dice go bad.
Fortune favors the bold
jc2286
jc2286
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August 18th, 2011 at 8:36:45 AM permalink
The house edge comes in when the bets are on the come/dc, before they get moved to the number. If a 12 rolls, you lose the come but push the don't. It's the same as betting the doey-don't on the comeout.
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
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August 18th, 2011 at 10:56:17 AM permalink
Quote: Clownkeeper

This has one making don't come bets with come bets until 4 numbers plus the point is established then add the odds to the come bets.


Thou shall not hedge thy bets! Thou shall keep my commandments at all times and in all respects. On a This Line or on a That Line, thou shalt keep my commandments. When your odds are on or when your odds are off, thou shall keep my commandments. Thou shall not hedge thy bets. If the table minimum is not to thine liking then passeth by that table and attempteth not to make a hedge.
dwheatley
dwheatley
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August 18th, 2011 at 12:31:57 PM permalink
Bad Idea. This has been discussed over an over again here. You are actually risking more money on bets with edges so you have a higher expected loss than by playing it straight.

Don't do it. Or Do it. Just don't do both.
Wisdom is the quality that keeps you out of situations where you would otherwise need it
wrongway
wrongway
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August 19th, 2011 at 1:59:24 PM permalink
The "5 count" was thought up by someone who believes that they and a select few others can set and influence the dice. I believe he calls them "rhythmic shooters" so if they make it past the "5 count" you then place your odds. Only problem is the 12 (house ALWAYS has the edge) and then the biggest problem if you believe like I do that dice can't be influenced to any meaningful degree... then you have a 1 in 6 chance of a 7 immediately after you have passed the count and put up all your odds. I often shoot 3,4, or more points, and if I were setting the dice you might say that I was "controlling the dice" but I also very often 7 out right after establishing a point. Go figure. I do enjoy playing new strategies and have a new way to play every time I go. (much to my wife's chagrin) Take strategies or winning schemes for what they are worth... NOTHING! If you found one that worked are you going to write a book and tell the whole world or quietly take the casinos for all you can before they figure it out.....
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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August 19th, 2011 at 2:26:27 PM permalink
If you can influence the dice, I'd think you'd want to get as much money down as soon as possible to maximize your action on your own rolls vs. the action on other shooters who presumably can't alter the odds...
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
FleaStiff
FleaStiff
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August 19th, 2011 at 3:57:29 PM permalink
>If you can influence the dice, I'd think you'd want to get as much money down as soon as possible ...
If
The plain and simple truth is that those who claim this power also have some very convoluted reasons for not doing the obvious things to take advantage of it.
MrV
MrV
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August 19th, 2011 at 8:04:35 PM permalink
Scoblete, the alleged father of the five count, is a hack of the lowest sort.

The five count is rubbish.
"What, me worry?"
clamchowder
clamchowder
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August 20th, 2011 at 7:37:08 AM permalink
The theory on the five-count is that, assuming non-random throwing, one can determine whether an unfamiliar shooter is likely practicing some form of dice control. It is similar to betting on someone pitching a baseball: if they throw four straight strikes, it may be worth betting on "strike".

It is a silly idea. At its base, it is just a short-hand, and logic would seem to dictate that if someone was a "chicken-feeder", that throwing any number of non-sevens would just be an expected random distribution as opposed to some indiscernible skill.

If you do believe in dice control, I think a better (but similar) strategy would be to watch how the shooter sets the dice and how they fly through the air and land, and bet accordingly.
benbakdoff
benbakdoff
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August 20th, 2011 at 2:43:35 PM permalink
Quote: MrV

Scoblete, the alleged father of the five count, is a hack of the lowest sort.

The five count is rubbish.



His Speed Count for blackjack isn't that great either, but Frank did coin the term "ploppy".
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