Craps - Come odds working on come out roll?
More often on a come out roll?Quote: mustangsally<snip>
so
that fact still remains (and many craps players do know) that when a 7 does roll,
and it always will,
it does more often on a come out roll
compared to any other roll not being the come out roll.
it is because how the game is set up to play
the event is a come out roll
this is easily seen in actual roll data (and simulation data too)
1 million rolls
You're teasing me aren't you?
Quote: mustangsallyand over 60 such bets in one session (happens a lot)
that gives you a 52.334% chance to show a net loss for that session (all thanks to the shooters of course where one might be you)
compared to only a 49.245% chance when taking no odds
That makes sense that the chance of a session loss increases, given that the odds have exactly zero house edge but you win any given odds bet under half the time.
My odds bets depend on how much variance I feel like having at that moment. There's no algorithm behind it. I don't mind a lower-variance game, so I often play a craps style that would be pretty boring for some people, but it's exciting for me. Playing $5 on the line allows me to profit $30 on my odds bets, which is an amount with which I'm happy.
noQuote: TwoFeathersATLMore often on a come out roll?
You're teasing me aren't you?
"when a 7 does roll, and it always will,
it does more often on a come out roll
compared to any other roll not being the come out roll."
It is a simple concept because the probability of a 7 rolling on any roll is constant.
It is by far the reason come odds are off on that come out roll
I guess I could do the math on it too, later
<<< >>>
same concept as "wait time" for an event
(simple ones like in craps)
'SEE A HORN, BET A HORN'
comes to mind
and craps experts all over laugh at the saying
but that saying IS true. 100% as it goes
given the last roll was a Horn #
the wait time starts
the 1st roll has a 1 in 6 probability of being another Horn # (16.7%)
when the 1st roll is not a Horn (prob = 5/6)
but it is on the 2nd roll after a Horn
we have the sequence of 5/6 * 1/6 = 5/36 *100 = 13.9%
less chance it happens on the 2nd roll than the first
this is the distribution beginning and it continues
both NBA and MLB is starting up
dinner party time
Sally
so in closing
players that have their come odds off on the come out roll
are missing the roll that the 7 rolls on the most (the distribution starting on the come out roll)
it is that simple
Quote: rushdlI think, that, 100% of the rolls end on 7.
What if you hit your point and quit?
Quote: bodyforlifeWhat if you hit your point and quit?
your session may be over but the roll keeps going.
What happens if you are the only one at the table and you just quit? Do they clear the table and start over when the next person comes or does the next person continue the roll?
Quote: GWAESecond session in a row where my working come bets got murdered. I had 3 come bets with $20 odds lose on a 7 come out 8 times. I did win a few 4s and 10's though on come out. I was down a bunch from the working come bets but overall only lost $60 in 90 minutes because of 1 shooter repeating a 10 7 times in 1 roll. Would have had a huge win if I wasn't working my odds.
The really frustrating part is I would have a 5,6,9 working. They would throw a 7 and then a 9. That happened all but 1 time.
The box man must have felt bad for me and rated me really high. For next month I have 5 $100 match play coupons. Have never been given match play for more than $25 at this casino. Now gotta figure out what to do with them since my line bets are always $5.
I guess doey don't and a few on 12. What would thst even be, I guess 100+match/150 don't and 8 on 12. Or maybe since I have 5 just risk the 100 on the line.
