DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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Joined: May 24, 2014
March 1st, 2016 at 8:20:05 PM permalink
I am a somewhat infrequent poster on this forum but am widely known in crap circles as Barney a key member of Lone Irish Digit’s (LID) Midwest craps crew. Although LID only posts on craps forums, I am soliciting your help because this forum seems to be intellectually superior to the other forums which he use to frequent. The problem is after a recent road trip, LID has seemingly vanished.
After Lou (the Strategy) recently established a world’s record of 178 straight crap session wins, LID had become obsessed with establishing a new world’s record by tracking crap rolls and exploiting that advantage with his research and development of a functional time machine device. He had recently made significant progress but now both LID and his device are missing. Although his wife Sally and LID had major fights over his poor grooming and excessive smoking habits she never left him because of his reportedly big unit. Notwithstanding, Sally is not considered a suspect.
I greatly appreciate the math and statistics advice offered from this forum and solicit your help in determining what is the most probable outcome for my friend LID. I have provided below a probability estimate for some craps and video poker events to be used as standards to contrast with potential events surrounding the disappearance of LID. You may not be familiar with all of the events presented below but here is my ranking from least to most probable outcome. Please provide an educated probability estimate if you are able.

1. Alan witnessing 18 yoes in a row coupled with the more unbelievable fact of nobody betting on a yoe.
Est. Probability is greater than 1 in 39,346,408,075,296,500,000,000.
2. Rob Singer owns a house by a golf course.
Est. 1 in 19,999,999,999,999.
3. Lou (the Strategy) just set a world’s record of 178 straight crap session's wins.
Est. 1 in 19,999,999,999,998.
4. Sally did LID in. Est. 1 in 4.
5. Because of his success in winning at joints that may have unbalanced dice he was kidnapped by a group of unbalanced dice researchers trying to extract information. Est. 1 in 3.
6. LID left PA for LA to become a porn star. Est 1 in 2.
7. LID developing a functioning time machine device but has become lost in time. Est. 1 in 2.
rsactuary
rsactuary
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March 1st, 2016 at 8:39:10 PM permalink
Please send me my two minutes wasted on this post back, please. Thanks.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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March 1st, 2016 at 8:41:32 PM permalink
I second that
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
PokerGrinder
PokerGrinder
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March 1st, 2016 at 8:59:14 PM permalink
Third... What the heck did I just read? Who let the crazies out?
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. — Amarillo Slim Preston
djatc
djatc
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March 1st, 2016 at 9:13:40 PM permalink
Quote: rsactuary

Please send me my two minutes wasted on this post back, please. Thanks.

"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
Zcore13
Zcore13
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March 1st, 2016 at 9:37:32 PM permalink
Quote: DanMahoney

I am a somewhat infrequent poster on this forum but am widely known in crap circles as Barney a key member of Lone Irish Digit’s (LID) Midwest craps crew. Although LID only posts on craps forums, I am soliciting your help because this forum seems to be intellectually superior to the other forums which he use to frequent. The problem is after a recent road trip, LID has seemingly vanished.
After Lou (the Strategy) recently established a world’s record of 178 straight crap session wins, LID had become obsessed with establishing a new world’s record by tracking crap rolls and exploiting that advantage with his research and development of a functional time machine device. He had recently made significant progress but now both LID and his device are missing. Although his wife Sally and LID had major fights over his poor grooming and excessive smoking habits she never left him because of his reportedly big unit. Notwithstanding, Sally is not considered a suspect.
I greatly appreciate the math and statistics advice offered from this forum and solicit your help in determining what is the most probable outcome for my friend LID. I have provided below a probability estimate for some craps and video poker events to be used as standards to contrast with potential events surrounding the disappearance of LID. You may not be familiar with all of the events presented below but here is my ranking from least to most probable outcome. Please provide an educated probability estimate if you are able.

1. Alan witnessing 18 yoes in a row coupled with the more unbelievable fact of nobody betting on a yoe.
Est. Probability is greater than 1 in 39,346,408,075,296,500,000,000.
2. Rob Singer owns a house by a golf course.
Est. 1 in 19,999,999,999,999.
3. Lou (the Strategy) just set a world’s record of 178 straight crap session's wins.
Est. 1 in 19,999,999,999,998.
4. Sally did LID in. Est. 1 in 4.
5. Because of his success in winning at joints that may have unbalanced dice he was kidnapped by a group of unbalanced dice researchers trying to extract information. Est. 1 in 3.
6. LID left PA for LA to become a porn star. Est 1 in 2.
7. LID developing a functioning time machine device but has become lost in time. Est. 1 in 2.



Remember that time last year when you were suspended for 30 days for making up a story that you saw "an unbalanced dice researcher" get arrested when you were at the Paris Casino? I do.

And all your recent threads, including this one are just about as good as that one.

You just pop in once in a while to troll whatever the hot topic is. Dice influening, 18 yo's in a row and now whatever this mumbo jumbo is. Funny guy you are.


ZCore13
Last edited by: Zcore13 on Mar 1, 2016
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
RS
RS
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March 1st, 2016 at 10:19:04 PM permalink
I am supported the OP in the claims he witness, verified to truth. When issue has resolve, inform my email by forum message. Thanx Don Mahoney.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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March 2nd, 2016 at 5:58:45 AM permalink
Suspension please
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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March 2nd, 2016 at 6:52:23 AM permalink
Quote: Wizardofnothing

Suspension please

What did RS do now?...;-)
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
HowMany
HowMany
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March 2nd, 2016 at 11:27:34 AM permalink
Your last name is spelled wrong.

It's Mahowny. As in Owning Mahowny.
Hittem
Hittem
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March 2nd, 2016 at 1:07:52 PM permalink
I lol'ed.
DeMango
DeMango
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March 2nd, 2016 at 3:32:21 PM permalink
Always appreciated LID's posts on Craps Forum. Trying to spoof/imitate THE Irish Setter, with an avatar (featuring a single digit). Great Sock puppets on that site, never a dull moment.
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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Joined: May 24, 2014
March 3rd, 2016 at 7:08:55 AM permalink
Quote: HowMany

Your last name is spelled wrong.

It's Mahowny. As in Owning Mahowny.



I wanted to use Mahowny since it is my favorite gambling movie but some other butthead has that name. LID likes Let it Ride and sometimes calls me trotter.
DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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Joined: May 24, 2014
March 3rd, 2016 at 7:35:41 AM permalink
Regarding Rob Singer: My primary duty for the craps crew is as the driver. For craps I block for LID and match his bets. Other than that I just ate, drank, and went back to the room to watch porn. On the other hand, LID played VP while waiting for his position to open up at the craps table or between sessions. His VP play was slightly negative but since he started using Rob's strategies and special plays VP was a big winner. LID would often say that Singer seemed like a real big ass hole but he sure liked his ARRT. Now this may be hard to believe but during our last road trip before he disappeared, LID hit 3 royals in less than 10 hours of slow to moderate rate of play. Two of the royals were at a much higher denomination using ARRT than he would have normally used. In fact we did much better at VP than craps on LID's last trip.
DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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March 3rd, 2016 at 6:31:22 PM permalink
Quote: DeMango

Always appreciated LID's posts on Craps Forum. Trying to spoof/imitate THE Irish Setter, with an avatar (featuring a single digit). Great Sock puppets on that site, never a dull moment.



Still no sign of LID or his time machine device. Regarding DeMango: I believe he said he never met him because he played craps in Mississippi where LID has some outstanding warrants but said he thought DeMango may have good negative influence over the dice based on his bonetracker work. Also said DeMango lived in a house or houseboat constructed from oranges. I'm not sure what that means but LID says some wierd stuff.
DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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March 4th, 2016 at 4:02:29 PM permalink
LID has still failed to show up. Looks like I might have to look for work. However, Sally just emailed a photo that LID may have sent her an hour ago. Currently, looks like "lost in time" alternative may be the most probable. Here is Sally's photo showing LID hustling a craps game.

Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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March 4th, 2016 at 7:07:34 PM permalink
Please lock this thread it's he worst one on the entire site
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
DeMango
DeMango
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March 5th, 2016 at 1:51:05 AM permalink
Quote: Wizardofnothing

Please lock this thread it's he worst one on the entire site


Tru dat.

So who is the OP? Maybe a chubby car dealer from East Texas? If you need information, the PM is the way to go.
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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March 5th, 2016 at 12:21:01 PM permalink
I don't understand all the hate. This event is a real life example of probability and outcome. Although alternative 7 seems most likely right now, I am continuing monitoring u-tube videos for any signs of LID in case alternative 6 is correct. After seeing pictures of Rob's house I might have to change my probability estimate for alternative 2 by a factor of 10.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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March 5th, 2016 at 12:33:19 PM permalink
It's all just the same stuff you got suspended for
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
DanMahoney
DanMahoney
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March 6th, 2016 at 12:10:14 PM permalink
Good news. LID just got back from an African Hunting Safari with another Craps Legend "Mister AK 47." He didn't tell us and got everybody worried. Here's a pic with LID and one of his trophy animals.

Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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March 6th, 2016 at 1:41:30 PM permalink
Why are you posting Such stupid stupid threads.... And how do I make sure you both get lost again
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
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