boymimbo
boymimbo
Joined: Nov 12, 2009
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January 18th, 2013 at 11:36:23 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

That means about the same as someone who gets 500 blackjacks out of 10,000 hands. Still means nothing.



Naw. The odds of getting 500 or more blackjacks in 10K hands is about 20%. Doesn't mean anything. The odds of getting 600 or more blackjacks in 10000 hands on the other hand is about .0000000542, very signficant.
----- You want the truth! You can't handle the truth!
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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January 18th, 2013 at 12:42:22 PM permalink
Quote: tupp

Nope.

We are not betting on whether or not we can find a DI -- we have a bet IF we can find a DI.

Also, no more than 100 or 200 rolls in a single session, and it might not be easy getting a DI to shoot for more than one session (if we can find one at all).

In addition, I don't have $1000 to bet, but I'll wager $100.


No. Let's stick to the original "coherent" statement.



Sure tupp... But I can't find a DI, you will have to. I know there is no such person, but if you find someone who you will say is one..... I'll go $100 that you can't find a guy who can do less than 30 in 200 spins. Probably 30% chance a random shooter can do that, but I'll take the chance.........
Ahigh
Ahigh
Joined: May 19, 2010
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January 18th, 2013 at 1:45:34 PM permalink
One of the missing links for these challenges is my being able to do a live broadcast from my house.

I have the equipment to do this. But it would be a piece of cake for me to roll 200 rolls with fewer than 30 sevens in there if I could make as many attempts as I want.

That's why you would need some way to do these online challenges. I'm willing to donate my setup and gear to perform live for online for people willing to take these bets.

I've got an Avermedia Gamer Live HD that is designed to take 1080P video and broadcast it live for video game performances online.

It can be used for this kind of thing.

Being able to do a live broadcast where interactivity is possible between the performance by the people placing the bets I think is critical to placing a fair bet on this kind of thing.

That would also take care of the travelling and other problems to do this sort of thing for people who don't live in Vegas.

Of course if you want to be a test-rat for demonstrating your throwing abilities, you have to show up here to put on a show.

http://www.xsplit.com/
nickolay411
nickolay411
Joined: Sep 7, 2011
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January 18th, 2013 at 1:53:25 PM permalink
Howdy,

I'd like to volunteer to shoot.

I don't post much...But I do enjoy reading everything you guys write. Anyway here's my story... I'm a Animator/VFX artist I live and work in LA. I don't have a big bankroll what so ever... I go to Vegas maybe once every 2 months. I do well enough to continue to play the game and usually come out ahead. Craps is a hobby to me not a full time job! (Animation/VFX > Craps) I don't think I could play craps everyday in the casino to make a living off of it because it's not really my true passion. But I do influence the dice. I am willing to wager 250 and pay you 2 to 1 if I can't achieve 30 or less Sevens in 200 rolls. I don't know if that amount of wager is worth it to you SOOPOO. But I'm game to show up to Ahigh's place and do this live broadcast.

Btw I was just at Caesers this past Monday night and as I was rolling someone said the name Alan Mendelson that sounded familiar but I didn't pay any mind to it. Were you there Alan?
Ahigh
Ahigh
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January 18th, 2013 at 1:58:00 PM permalink
I like the idea of not being the subject of controlling the dice. So this works for me. Also having an Animation/GFX guy can relate to all the technical aspects.

Let's put this in motion if everyone is agreement. Only the shooter needs to be here.

I have all the equipment ready to go for a live challenge/broadcast and to get the whole thing on tape.
sodawater
sodawater
Joined: May 14, 2012
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:09:16 PM permalink
Quote: Ahigh

I like the idea of not being the subject of controlling the dice. So this works for me. Also having an Animation/GFX guy can relate to all the technical aspects.

Let's put this in motion if everyone is agreement. Only the shooter needs to be here.

I have all the equipment ready to go for a live challenge/broadcast and to get the whole thing on tape.



but ahigh, if you've never met this animation guy, why do you believe he can control the dice?

you might find it beneficial to up your level of skepticism in all areas.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:11:52 PM permalink
Quote: nickolay411

Howdy,

I'd like to volunteer to shoot.

I don't post much...But I do enjoy reading everything you guys write. Anyway here's my story... I'm a Animator/VFX artist I live and work in LA. I don't have a big bankroll what so ever... I go to Vegas maybe once every 2 months. I do well enough to continue to play the game and usually come out ahead. Craps is a hobby to me not a full time job! (Animation/VFX > Craps) I don't think I could play craps everyday in the casino to make a living off of it because it's not really my true passion. But I do influence the dice. I am willing to wager 250 and pay you 2 to 1 if I can't achieve 30 or less Sevens in 200 rolls. I don't know if that amount of wager is worth it to you SOOPOO. But I'm game to show up to Ahigh's place and do this live broadcast.

Btw I was just at Caesers this past Monday night and as I was rolling someone said the name Alan Mendelson that sounded familiar but I didn't pay any mind to it. Were you there Alan?



You are on! I am available any time on March 11, 12, or 13. So just to be clear.....

You will roll 200 times. All rolls will be tossed in the air, and will hit the back wall. Any roll that does not will be called a no roll.
I will put up $125. You will put up $250. If you roll 30 or fewer 7's you win. Any amount of wager is worth it to me.
As the expected number of 7's is 33.3, I am surmising a random roller would succeed around a third of the time.
I will be rooting for you to beat me! Then we can go and take down Vegas after!

Aaron, will you provide the make-up artist or will I have to bring my own for the shoot?
nickolay411
nickolay411
Joined: Sep 7, 2011
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:12:56 PM permalink
Thats true. Maybe next time im Vegas Ahigh and I can meet up before he takes up the offer. He should be very skeptical! :P
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:15:08 PM permalink
Quote: nickolay411

Thats true. Maybe next time im Vegas Ahigh and I can meet up before he takes up the offer. He should be very skeptical! :P



Ahigh is not putting up the money..... He is just kindly letting us use his pre-existing craps palace!
nickolay411
nickolay411
Joined: Sep 7, 2011
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:15:39 PM permalink
Ok SOOPOO. It's agreed. 125 for me and 250 for you if can't roll 30 or under in 200. Sweet! Still willing to meet Ahigh before this happens too.

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