Let me give you a quick history. I was infatuated with roulette and beating it, but to my dismay, and lots of patent research, ive learned of a process which allows them to "randomize" more than just the rotor or ball speed so to say.
Anyways. I have been playing blackjack with much more success than roulette.
Ive been playng it alot at my casino I go almost every day with usually a minimum bet anywhere from 5 (stadium blackjack) to 25 dollar minumums.
But i love learning about new concepts which allow the casino to succeed and retain a CONSTANT edge against the players.
To the crazy part - and my question for the WIZARD :
I have this slight feeling that the shufflers are using a techinque called the Iterated Prisoners Dilemma to set up hands.
I think that they are randomizing the games which are associated with the prisoners dilemma such as tit for tat and so on.
Is this possible in blackjack?
Take this scenario which happens a little bit less than frequently (at least i see them):
Everyone, except the dealer and one person has what seems to be a winning hand, such as 20s. The dealer gets a seemingly low card such as 2 though 5, and the one person who also didnt get a 20 gets something such as 11 or lower so they are required to hit by basic strategy and are gaurenteed not to bust. So that person is the only person who will take a card before the dealer no matter what. This is the DEFECT which leads to an impossible dealer win.
Quote:ive learned of a process which allows them to "randomize" more than just the rotor or ball speed so to say.
What is it that you believe they're doing to beat you?
Why?
It's easily proven mathematically that there's no system that can overcome the random game of roulette, so there would be no reason for them to try and cheat the player like that.
(Of course beating the wheel is something entirely different.)
Quote: KeyserIs there a particular event that triggered your line of thinking?
It's easily proven mathematically that there's no system that can overcome the random game of roulette, so there would be no reason for them to try and cheat the player like that.
(Of course beating the wheel is something entirely different.)
I was playing on a hybrid live dealer, stadium seating roulette, and the ball does what i call a violent settle from fret to fret into the number 17 pocket, stopped moving for a split second then popped all the way up to the track where the dealer starts spinning it at, and then went all the way to the other side of the wheel.
And Why? It has NOTHING To do with the casino, but the organization that allows the caisno to reside within its state. The state has a stake in the business and must get its payment no matter what. Its the gaming control board that picks the machines within its casinos doors.
Hello, and welcome into the daylight :)Quote: heatmapHello all! This is my very first post on this forum.
They don't need to: The house edge at roulette IS constant: It's a constant probability that is quite easily calculated. The 'takings' might go up or down a bit as random chance is in play, and the casino lives with that by taking a massive number of games. No amount of 'changing polarity' of a ball could change that. Remember that the balls are symmetrical spheres and even if they were steel and magnetised, the north pole would still be at one end of a sphere and the south pole at the other: As the ball rotates lots of times, nothing could keep track of that. The casino could use electromagnets in the slots of the wheel, but would be drummed out of business when caught. It's just not going to happen. If you want to make money from your concept, sell your story to a judge or the press. You'd get no-where and rightly so as there is no real world science to your explanation.Quote:Let me give you a quick history. I was infatuated with roulette and beating it, but to my dismay, and lots of patent research, ive learned of a process which allows them to "randomize" more than just the rotor or ball speed so to say.
. . .
But i love learning about new concepts which allow the casino to succeed and retain a CONSTANT edge against the players.
Well, Far be it from me to leap into your conversation, but for the dealer to set up cards in mid game would need incredible skill and deep knowledge of the order of cards in the shoe and ability to misdeal. They simply don't need to even if they could. These aren't impossible hands: They are hands that you perceive as unlikely. But as you watch lots of hands, you will see lots of individually unlikely or remarkable outcomes. That's perfectly normal random behaviour.Quote:To the crazy part - and my question for the WIZARD :
I have this slight feeling that the shufflers are using a techinque called the Iterated Prisoners Dilemma to set up hands.
NO defect: Just a bad round for the table: They happen.. . often.Quote:...This is the DEFECT which leads to an impossible dealer win.
Anyhow, I'm glad you've walked away from roulette: It's house edge is MASSIVE and unassailable. There is no skill in the game and little chance of overcoming it with luck. Blackjack, if played with just BS, has about as nice and low an edge as you could dream of.
google com /patents/US9114940
If you wrote that patent, then good luck monetising it. If you see how that proves anything about your crooked roulette wheel, encounter, then you understand physics far better than I do ( I only graduated B.Sc in physics with electronics).Quote: heatmapIm not looking for opinions to be honest. I have a pretty solid trail of proof to prove my point. The problem you have here is that I have been proving my point for the past 2 years over at my other forum and I dont feel like repeating myself. I don't mind some critisism but prove me wrong otherwise. Im not saying I found a system that works, Im telling you i have patent proof that tells you exactly how to attract and repel a ball by changing its polarity.
google com /patents/US9114940
I'm not criticising anything and I have no wish to prove anything. If you want to, do. If you don't want to, don't. I'm sure you didn't post to get argued with, so let's not. You possibly anticipated some replies. All good as I see it.
Anyhow, wasn't your question about Blackjack?
This is what I DONT know :
I dont know that there is any kind of apparatus that would go into a pocket of a roulette wheel because i havent found a reference anywhere to in on the internet, and its my own prediciton. although i wont admit that it isnt possible.
second the only proof i have is that patent, of which took me forever to find.
I dont have the videos of the ball bouncing violently out of a pocket after its settled. but i remember it like it was yesterday.
Quote:
I have this slight feeling that the shufflers are using a techinque called the Iterated Prisoners Dilemma to set up hands.
I'm assuming that you're counting card to try and get an edge. Do you feel this is taking place only when the count is favorable to the player?
Quote: heatmapi will label myself AP when it comes to roulette.
If I could summarize this entire thread in one sentence , there it is
You should get in touch with EvenBobs friend who had 137 straight winning roulette sessions. You roulette APs need to band together against the doubters .. and math
Quote: heatmapi will label myself AP when it comes to roulette.
What kind of an AP roulette player are you? VB? Wheel bias? How large is your edge over the casino?
In my 7 years dealing roulette, I notice the ball is made of plastic and its a game of physics (like craps). There is literally nothing the casino can do to make you lose worse than roulette already is. Also, no casino pays the dealers enough to be in on it.
If you really think they are after you personally, then you should probably call that 800 number about problem gambling.
Quote: heatmapIm not AP when it comes to blackjack, but i will label myself AP when it comes to roulette.
Hi again,
I'm really sorry, heatmap, but your posts here are going to get critical analysis. Don't take personal offence as your ideas get shredded and, dare I say, mocked.
How can you conceivably be an AP with roulette?
Ignoring your blackjack observations for a moment: You suggest that your casino uses dubious hardware to eject the ball from some pockets at times where it is to their advantage to do so. Surely you realise that such knowledge would give you a MASSIVE cash advantage? Don't write about it: Exploit it!
I don't for one millisecond believe that your casino does this ( oh, and that patent DOES NOT describe the process that you describe ). But if they did, consider this: They would only have an incentive to eject the ball from a number, if the amount staked on that number was a significantly bigger risk to them than the total staked on all the other numbers into which the ball would be directed. So, watch the table: watch all the numbers with significant wagers, and then make an equal modest wager on all the other numbers. Use combination bets to simplify your attack. The casino would be helping you to win at the expense of the high roller being cheated, because they don't want the other 'high roller' to win. With the casino cheating in your favour, what could go wrong?
There are a few card counting techniques, but this is not a meaningful description of any part of any viable system that I recognise. Maybe you could provide a link to a full description of this 'method'Quote: heatmapI use the add both cards up in one hand to get one score and then calculate the next hand with the last score method
Quote: OnceDearHow can you conceivably be an AP with roulette?
I don't think you can flatly say it is impossible, I don't care to look up cases but there have been wheels determined to not produce random results and so wheel trackers who had a slight edge. Perhaps we can entertain the possibility certain croupiers are either sloppy about procedure or, even, talented, allowing chance of prediction.
I won't count people who have tried to come up with special equipment to track velocity and all that, since that equipment of course has to be hidden.
On the other hand, if the OP was a tracker of biased wheels or desirable croupiers it seems he would simply come out and say so, making you right that he is no AP in roulette.
Indeed. There are Visual Balistics experts and biased wheel exploiters, and potentially bonus exploits that might make for an AP. Plus my newly invented technique of riding on the back of a cheating ball ejecting wheel. But the OP gives no description of which type of AP technique he adopts. My question goes to the heart of assessing the reliability of his judgement.Quote: odiousgambitI don't think you can flatly say it is impossible,...
Exactly.Quote:On the other hand, if the OP was a tracker of biased wheels or desirable croupiers it seems he would simply come out and say so, making you right that he is no AP in roulette.
Quote: OdiusgambitPerhaps we can entertain the possibility certain croupiers are either sloppy about procedure or, even, talented, allowing chance of prediction.
I don't know why a roulette AP would need to rely on a dealer. I also can't understand why someone jumps into conspiracy theories when the house edge is more than sufficient to wipe out someones bankroll over time. These days, gamblers are dumb enough that casinos can openly cheat by offering 6/5 games, rather than having to resort to some obscure cheat/shuffle move.
I think the most logical explanation is that the mind is very adept at recognizing patterns even where none exist and that you are actually playing a straight up game but losing at a rate of roughly 2% on account of your basic strategy errors and desperately trying to externalize the blame for this loss to someone else.
Quote: billryanI'd love to get a job at a casino that regularly cheated ,to the point that all the dealers were in on it. Best AP move ever.
Im going to be the first you ever hear that doesnt blame the casino. Its the gaming control board, at least around my area, who oredered all machines within the walls of the casino. The casino is a SHELL that houses employees.
The employees are not in on it, because they dont need to be when any kind of computer is involved.
Computers do so much more than you can imagine that it would probably take a lifetime for you to list the tasks that one computer does in 1 hour.
Its time to take into account WHAT ISNT ILLEGAL. Its time to say I dont believe humans are good at heart when everyone from stockholders to the states that house these casinos are EXPECTING, not GAMBLING for a chance at your money.
Edit : Plus are you sure not everyone who keeps saying "the casinos wouldnt do that they wouldnt risk their license" - isnt insane - repeatedly saying the same thing over and over - yet still lose more than occasionally - because with my theory the casino didnt risk their license as the state invites the casinos into their borders.
Quote: KeyserI believe you're mistaking the normal action of the bouncing ball for something nefarious. Other than seeing the ball bounce out oddly do you feel that your method just isn't winning as often as it should? Do you have any stats?
When you bounce anything it normally bounces up and the next time it bounces it's lower than its last bounce. I'm sorry but if you were me, had seen a ball settle into a pocket, aka stopped moving, then bounces back up to the height of the bowl and landed into another spot, you wouldn't believe anyone else either. There's nothing you can do to convince me that what I saw did not happen or that it's POSSIBLE for a ball to bounce on its own after it settled.
Quote: heatmapWhen you bounce anything it normally bounces up and the next time it bounces it's lower than its last bounce. I'm sorry but if you were me, had seen a ball settle into a pocket, aka stopped moving, then bounces back up to the height of the bowl and landed into another spot, you wouldn't believe anyone else either. There's nothing you can do to convince me that what I saw did not happen or that it's POSSIBLE for a ball to bounce on its own after it settled.
7 years dealing roulette, never seen that happen. I think your eyes are playing tricks on you..i mean you are trying to watch a ball spin in one direction, while a wheel spins in another direction..that probably will **** with your brain
[edit by mod: F word deleted]
Quote: heatmapWhen you bounce anything it normally bounces up and the next time it bounces it's lower than its last bounce. I'm sorry but if you were me, had seen a ball settle into a pocket, aka stopped moving, then bounces back up to the height of the bowl and landed into another spot, you wouldn't believe anyone else either. There's nothing you can do to convince me that what I saw did not happen or that it's POSSIBLE for a ball to bounce on its own after it settled.
Did you see this once as it sounds like or many times? It could have been an anomaly. When you have centrifugal force of multiple spinning objects plus struts you cant expect the ball to have successive smaller bounces every time.
Are you paid to spend as much time to get topics off topic or something? Your putting a lot of effort into trying to make me doubt myself. I don't need to doubt what I've seen because I never will. It's what made me stop playing at the stadium roulette. And was a big influence on stopping all together. This isn't a hallucination it's real and had real consequences to the casinos although small and irrelevant to them.
Quote: darkozDid you see this once as it sounds like or many times? It could have been an anomaly. When you have centrifugal force of multiple spinning objects plus struts you cant expect the ball to have successive smaller bounces every time.
Yes. Once.
I've also seen what I think is an exact same spin, exact same bounce, exact same result, except the first bounce created a floater, and the second time it did the same bounce into the same pockets except it landed into 5. I have to note there were 2 people better what would be considered relatively big to the table min. It missed there numbers the first time with a floater and then they both won after a no spin was announced,
So was the award-winning journalist who claims he saw 18 yo's in a row and didn't bet it.Quote: heatmapI'm not 99 percent convinced I'm 100 percent convinced I've seen what I have seen.
Quote: AxelWolfSo was the award-winning journalist who claims he saw 18 yo's in a row and didn't bet it.
Hes probably too new to the forum to get the reference
Still i have to ask heatmap. If nothing can change your mind then what guidance are you seeking here
This is not a site where people will blindly agree. Evidence irrefutable (and usually in múltiples of thousands not just seeing something once) is the norm for this sites members
Why? you couldnt ask for anything more exploitable. I'd be hoping they would try to get me on something with low variance, like betting on red or black. When I made my little bet on red, my confederate would make a much larger bet on black. The tough part would be pretending to be disappointed when I saw the ball go flying in the air.
Now it would be harder a bit if they just tried to get any big bettor. I think you would want to wait till you watched one who bet on sections, then bet on the other sections, making sure you had a smaller bet, if he wasn't betting on black or red
I keep going back to this: if anybody is so dumb he catches a casino cheating but can't benefit, isn't it really a bit much for us to accept that he isn't too stupid to be able to know whether his losing money is actually due to cheating or not? At the very least he should come here explaining how brilliant the cheating is, the casino being so smart they could do it and no one could exploit it.
Are you the friend Nathan was talking about?Quote: robertb6In this case, better try the slots. After my experience, there is a bigger chance of winning something than with roulette. Especially if you follow some instructions
The ATM after using whatever cockamamie betting system that's being touted.Quote: KeyserWhat spits out money?
Quote: AxelWolfThe ATM after using whatever cockamamie betting system that's being touted.
HAHA betting system. I wish. Who said anything about beating a randomized wheel in any way? Im just telling you what I've seen.
If you all want to know which "system" i used ill tell you.
Very basic system. Based on the american wheel layout. If anyone cares, the columns have what I deem to be a weakness in how they are laid out. Column 2 and 3 are on the opposite ends of the wheel of each other, aka half and half so to say. Although thats not the weakness, they do contain another weakness that adds to the larger "weakness" as i call it. Both columns have 4 numbers in a row on each side of the wheel, meaning, each quarter of the wheel is 4 numbers laid out in succession. Now to the bigger "weakness" . When you combine column 1 and column 2, OR, column 1 and column 3, you gain what I call the best possible coverage based on the stretch of numbers being covered.
This was the BASIS of which I combine with visual ballistics or watching where the ball started relative to which number and where it started to drop and which numbers it dropped on and then finally how many bounces i see.
Ive tried everything, except what people are saying is finding a biased wheel by collecting spin data and what not.
Quote: KeyserWhat you're doing isn't visual ballistics. What you're doing won't give you an edge.
BAHAHA now i know you have no clue as to what you are talking about.
Quote: KeyserWhat you're doing isn't visual ballistics. What you're doing won't give you an edge.
^^^ What he said ^^^