Wizard
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Wizard
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:49:26 PM permalink
Yesterday I noticed a new blackjack side bet at the Eureka casino in Mesquite. It pays based on the player's first two cards, except the top pay also includes the dealer's first two cards. The table it was on used two decks. The following table shows the pays, probability, and return.

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
AKQJ suited (player and dealer) 250 384 0.000014 0.003480
Ace-king suited (player only) 20 82,352 0.002985 0.059700
Queen-jack suited (player only) 15 82,352 0.002985 0.044775
Straight flush (player only) 4 906,320 0.032851 0.131404
Flush (player only) 2 5,624,892 0.203883 0.407767
Loser -1 20,892,456 0.757282 -0.757282
Total 27,588,756 1.000000 -0.110156


The lower right cell shows a house edge of 11.02%. If anyone else feels moved to do their own math, let me know if you agree.

Somehow I think I've seen this side bet somewhere. Was it at Raving?
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
sodawater
sodawater
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January 4th, 2014 at 7:57:08 PM permalink
well this looks extremely countable
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:06:44 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
AxiomOfChoice
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:07:40 PM permalink
Quote: sodawater

well this looks extremely countable



Yup.
AxiomOfChoice
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:23:16 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Yesterday I noticed a new blackjack side bet at the Eureka casino in Mesquite.



What was the max bet?
CrystalMath
CrystalMath
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:28:50 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Yesterday I noticed a new blackjack side bet at the Eureka casino in Mesquite. It pays based on the player's first two cards, except the top pay also includes the dealer's first two cards. The table it was on used two decks. The following table shows the pays, probability, and return.

Somehow I think I've seen this side bet somewhere. Was it at Raving?


Yes, I think it was the guys who raided Matthew Lesko's closet.
I heart Crystal Math.
Wizard
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Wizard
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:35:49 PM permalink
Quote: CrystalMath

Yes, I think it was the guys who raided Matthew Lesko's closet.



Ah yes! Here is the post you're referring to. One of the funniest posts of 2013.

It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:37:53 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
AxiomOfChoice
AxiomOfChoice
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January 4th, 2014 at 8:53:05 PM permalink
Quote: AxiomOfChoice

What was the max bet?



Bah. Never mind.

It's "countable" in the sense that there are profitable situations, but they are few and far between (unless my analysis is messed up).
Wizard
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Wizard
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January 4th, 2014 at 9:11:10 PM permalink
Quote: AxiomOfChoice

What was the max bet?



The game was closed at the time, so I don't know. Knowing the Eureka, not very high.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.

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