teddys
teddys
Joined: Nov 14, 2009
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June 8th, 2012 at 1:59:41 PM permalink
I was playing blackjack with some friends at Bally's, flat betting $10, just dicking around and keeping the count but losing it quite often.

It was nearing the end of the shoe and the count was slightly positive. Suddenly, dealer pulls out an extra card when she has hard 17. "Oops," she says, and tucks the card while paying both of us. (We had pat hands). She does not consult the floor. She then very clearly shows me the card she tucked and gets ready to deal it to me on the next hand. I say, "Is that a Jack?" and she jokingly says, "Yes, it is, so bet big!"

I push in my whole stack, about $150 (I was up from my $100 buy-in), and she deals me the jack for my first card. Second card is another face for 20. YES! Finally, I'm getting on the positive end of an advantage play. (When the player's first card is a 10 they have a 13% advantage). Dealer has ten up, but I'm already counting my money. Suddenly, I hear her mutter "Oh my God," and I know what's next. She has a frickin' 10-up BJ!

Why me? This is why I can't card count professionally. If I can't win with a 13% advantage, how can I make it with a 1-2% edge in counting? Must be payback for my nigh back-to-back royals...
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
RogerKint
RogerKint
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June 8th, 2012 at 2:12:50 PM permalink
Quote: teddys

Must be payback for my nigh back-to-back royals...



hmm... Ya, I'm having a hard time mustering up any sympathy ;)

The gambling gods may have been upset at your lack of bet for the dealer.
100% risk of ruin
teddys
teddys
Joined: Nov 14, 2009
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June 8th, 2012 at 2:14:54 PM permalink
Quote: RogerKint

hmm... Ya, I'm having a hard time mustering up any sympathy ;)

The gambling gods may have been upset at your lack of bet for the dealer.

I hope the gods in their munificent wisdom know I certainly would have taken care of her if she had dealt me a winner :0
"Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe." -Rig Veda 10.34.4
Nareed
Nareed
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June 8th, 2012 at 2:23:54 PM permalink
Quote: teddys

I hope the gods in their munificent wisdom know I certainly would have taken care of her if she had dealt me a winner :0



Perhaps the Gambling gods (who would they be, BTW? ) have been trying to tell you for some time to stop playing BJ? ;)
Donald Trump is a fucking criminal
Flynn
Flynn
Joined: Aug 18, 2011
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June 8th, 2012 at 2:46:22 PM permalink
I know that feeling. When the chances are small and are in your favor (for example hitting a jackpot) it won't happen but when its at your disadvantage (like the dealer beating you with two suited bj's in row, what happened to me today) it will happen. Go on and lick your wounds and keep in mind that every second a fortune is lost. Next time I would bet $50 or so, but not my entire bankroll.
My favorite bet: Double Down!
Tiltpoul
Tiltpoul
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June 8th, 2012 at 3:37:50 PM permalink
Quote: teddys

Why me? This is why I can't card count professionally. If I can't win with a 13% advantage, how can I make it with a 1-2% edge in counting? Must be payback for my nigh back-to-back royals...



I have the same reason too. I know IN THE LONG RUN that it balances out and I get the BJ with more money up. However, it never fails when I put that big bet up there when the count is high, I either get a 14,15 or 16 OR the dealer pulls the BJ (sometimes both).
"One out of every four people are [morons]"- Kyle, South Park
winmonkeyspit3
winmonkeyspit3
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
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June 8th, 2012 at 4:50:54 PM permalink
Quote: Tiltpoul

I have the same reason too. I know IN THE LONG RUN that it balances out and I get the BJ with more money up. However, it never fails when I put that big bet up there when the count is high, I either get a 14,15 or 16 OR the dealer pulls the BJ (sometimes both).



And that is why counting has to be a long term thing. Short term variance has killed many.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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June 8th, 2012 at 6:34:10 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Mission146
Mission146 
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June 8th, 2012 at 6:39:37 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

If this had been me, I would have bought more chips and bet table max.



You'd tip surveillance off as to the dealer's mistake and what she was trying to do for you, though. If you Push in and walk away either way, surveillance would probably just think that you got tired of playing and decided to take a shot.
Vultures can't be choosers.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
Joined: Jan 12, 2010
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June 8th, 2012 at 6:55:08 PM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!

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