Greenwarrior
Greenwarrior
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May 11th, 2012 at 7:32:57 AM permalink
If I just played the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd, column on the European wheel, what would the odds be if I waited to bet till there were 10 spins without one of these columns hitting. I bet the 11th, what are my odds of winning by the 20th spin. Thanks
DJTeddyBear
DJTeddyBear
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May 11th, 2012 at 7:39:43 AM permalink
Waiting is irrelevant. Past performance does not predict future random events.


The odds of something "not" happening is merely 1 minus the odds of the other thing happening.

The odds of the other 2 columns or zero hitting is 25 / 37. The odds of that happening 10 times in a row is ( 25 / 37 ) ^ 10

Therefore, the odds of not losing all 10 spins is:

1 - ( 25 / 37 ) ^ 10 = 0.980167
I invented a few casino games. Info: http://www.DaveMillerGaming.com/ ————————————————————————————————————— Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁
guido111
guido111
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May 11th, 2012 at 7:58:52 AM permalink
Quote: Greenwarrior

If I just played the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd, column on the European wheel, what would the odds be if I waited to bet till there were 10 spins without one of these columns hitting.
I bet the 11th, what are my odds of winning by the 20th spin. Thanks

All this waiting. Just to bust a losing streak.
Probability of seeing a losing streak of 10 on a column
49spins 25.059047%
108spins 50.170269%
Half the time one would have to wait over 108 spins and no column losing 10 in a row.
152 spins is the average

341 spins 90.055623% and still waiting 1 out of 10 times.

DJ is right, it means nothing to wait.
Also if you did see 10 losses in a row then started to bet that the losing column will win in the next 10 spins,
looks like you will need to do some sort of a losing progression,
and those progressions lose more less often the more you play them than the small wins that happen most of the time.
Greenwarrior
Greenwarrior
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May 11th, 2012 at 2:54:02 PM permalink
Thank you both for your response.
charliepatrick
charliepatrick
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May 12th, 2012 at 3:25:01 PM permalink
Quote: guido111

All this waiting...it means nothing to wait...

Absolutely - it makes no difference (unless there's a biased wheel) to wait; except it saves you money as you're not betting so get better value by time for your eventual bet.
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