I'm going to follow the CBS sportsline A graded simulations.
Here is the info on what the simulations are and how they are conducted:
https://help.sportsline.com/s/article/How-does-the-SportsLine-simulation-model-make-picks
https://help.sportsline.com/s/article/How-are-Over-Under-picks-simulated
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems.
I'm starting with a $150.00 bankroll real money and playing 1% of my bankroll per play.
Lets see where this goes.
If you want to ask me what the plays are just message me. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
Sports will be: MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL
I'm Bored and I don't think I have much else to add to this site so....ya why not.
Why not post them beforehand? That's the general protocol here and it's highly encouraged to do so. You'll get crap for posting results after the fact.Quote: GreenZero
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
t
How's your other system going?
Quote: AxelWolfWhy not post them beforehand? That's the general protocol here and it's highly encouraged to do so. You'll get crap for posting results after the fact.Quote: GreenZero
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
t
How's your other system going?
link to original post
I don't know if they will allow me to post them because sportsline is a paid service. it was only $29.99 for the entire year so it cheap and they probably suck but hey why not.
So far so good with the Baccarat testing.
That would be well worth finding out. I would look at their TOS. I haven't any clue what type of laws this would/could violate, if any. If it's a NO, NO. I suggest you send your picks via Private Message to one of the moderators prior to game time so they can confirm.Quote: GreenZeroQuote: AxelWolfWhy not post them beforehand? That's the general protocol here and it's highly encouraged to do so. You'll get crap for posting results after the fact.Quote: GreenZero
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
t
How's your other system going?
link to original post
I don't know if they will allow me to post them because sportsline is a paid service. it was only $29.99 for the entire year so it cheap and they probably suck but hey why not.
So far so good with the Baccarat testing.
link to original post
Is this service similar to unabated.com?
Quote: AxelWolfThat would be well worth finding out. I would look at their TOS. I haven't any clue what type of laws this would/could violate, if any. If it's a NO, NO. I suggest you send your picks via Private Message to one of the moderators prior to game time so they can confirm.Quote: GreenZeroQuote: AxelWolfWhy not post them beforehand? That's the general protocol here and it's highly encouraged to do so. You'll get crap for posting results after the fact.Quote: GreenZero
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
t
How's your other system going?
link to original post
I don't know if they will allow me to post them because sportsline is a paid service. it was only $29.99 for the entire year so it cheap and they probably suck but hey why not.
So far so good with the Baccarat testing.
link to original post
Is this service similar to unabated.com?
link to original post
Never heard of Unabated but I left some links for you to check out sportsline. i don't even know if this is good, I just like to chart things and keep track to know the truth. I will be updating my YT channel as well.
Unabated is a multifunction sports program that links to multiple sports books. It's best known for finding legitimate +EV bets including arbitrage situations. It basically tells you what you should bet. I know a few Advantage Players who use it and have been successful. From everything I know, it works if used correctly. I don't know if they are charging yet, but I assume so.Quote: GreenZeroQuote: AxelWolfThat would be well worth finding out. I would look at their TOS. I haven't any clue what type of laws this would/could violate, if any. If it's a NO, NO. I suggest you send your picks via Private Message to one of the moderators prior to game time so they can confirm.Quote: GreenZeroQuote: AxelWolfWhy not post them beforehand? That's the general protocol here and it's highly encouraged to do so. You'll get crap for posting results after the fact.Quote: GreenZero
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
t
How's your other system going?
link to original post
I don't know if they will allow me to post them because sportsline is a paid service. it was only $29.99 for the entire year so it cheap and they probably suck but hey why not.
So far so good with the Baccarat testing.
link to original post
Is this service similar to unabated.com?
link to original post
Never heard of Unabated but I left some links for you to check out sportsline. i don't even know if this is good, I just like to chart things and keep track to know the truth. I will be updating my YT channel as well.
link to original post
Quote: AxelWolfUnabated is a multifunction sports program that links to multiple sports books. It's best known for finding legitimate +EV bets including arbitrage situations. It basically tells you what you should bet. I know a few Advantage Players who use it and have been successful. From everything I know, it works if used correctly. I don't know if they are charging yet, but I assume so.Quote: GreenZeroQuote: AxelWolfThat would be well worth finding out. I would look at their TOS. I haven't any clue what type of laws this would/could violate, if any. If it's a NO, NO. I suggest you send your picks via Private Message to one of the moderators prior to game time so they can confirm.Quote: GreenZeroQuote: AxelWolfWhy not post them beforehand? That's the general protocol here and it's highly encouraged to do so. You'll get crap for posting results after the fact.Quote: GreenZero
I'm only taking the top "A" graded plays and I will post them AFTER the game is over so as not to cause any problems. I WILL NOT POST THEM ON THE FORUM.
t
How's your other system going?
link to original post
I don't know if they will allow me to post them because sportsline is a paid service. it was only $29.99 for the entire year so it cheap and they probably suck but hey why not.
So far so good with the Baccarat testing.
link to original post
Is this service similar to unabated.com?
link to original post
Never heard of Unabated but I left some links for you to check out sportsline. i don't even know if this is good, I just like to chart things and keep track to know the truth. I will be updating my YT channel as well.
link to original post
link to original post
Awesome! Thank you ill def check that out.
I need Sweden to win their next WC game. Third leg of a parlay….
Quote: SOOPOOJust tell us what YOU are betting BEFORE the game. You don’t have to tell us why or which service you may or may not be using. Good luck!
I need Sweden to win their next WC game. Third leg of a parlay….
link to original post
Yeah I guess I can do that and good luck I hope you hit!
Quote: heatmap^^^^ JUST AN FYI there are ways for owners (not just google) of google sheets to track YOU or who click on google stuff ^^^^
link to original post
Thanks for the info. The internet is a fun place lol.
Quote: GreenZeroDay 3
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
link to original post
Not an auspicious start! 2 up 6 down (assuming Yanks go down after Severino gave up 8 hits in inning 1). And that’s with picking 7 of 8 favorites!!!
Of course sample size way too small to come to any conclusion…. But not easy to lose 6 of 8 favorites…
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: GreenZeroDay 3
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
link to original post
Not an auspicious start! 2 up 6 down (assuming Yanks go down after Severino gave up 8 hits in inning 1). And that’s with picking 7 of 8 favorites!!!
Of course sample size way too small to come to any conclusion…. But not easy to lose 6 of 8 favorites…
link to original post
Yeah you can tell this is just another bull**** simulator designed to get you to fund the sportsbook machine. I will see how it plays out though. Losing $150 isnt going to kill me and will take a very long time to drain at 1% per play lol. If anything, it will show you how the juice is designed to just throw you overboard with cement blocks on your feet.
Quote: GreenZeroDay 4
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
link to original post
What Sportsbook are you using for the odds? I just checked the 4 most recent bets, and two of them I can’t get as good odds as you got. And the other two I got better odds than you! One was much better.
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: GreenZeroDay 4
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
link to original post
What Sportsbook are you using for the odds? I just checked the 4 most recent bets, and two of them I can’t get as good odds as you got. And the other two I got better odds than you! One was much better.
link to original post
Bovada. I'm only using 1 book and I also make these bets early like around 2am. Only using 1 book is a disadvantage but I don't want to throw a lot of money around.
Quote: GreenZeroWow! St.Louis Cardinals went from (-103) to (+111) on the moneyline. So much for getting the early line. SMH
link to original post
Was there a pitching change or an announcement of someone sitting out?
Quote: DRichQuote: GreenZeroWow! St.Louis Cardinals went from (-103) to (+111) on the moneyline. So much for getting the early line. SMH
link to original post
Was there a pitching change or an announcement of someone sitting out?
link to original post[/
Not sure, could be because Gorman is out until tomorrow. Donovan done for the year.
I tracked your 7 days - every single day the thing went 8-12 - that seems really unlikely - am I somehow not reading this thing right________?
overall I got 56-84 - and I believe most of the wins were for much less than even money
if that's correct - that's a worse losing streak than many will ever have betting odds on faves
it might be a great idea to start betting against its picks -
just a thought - thanks for posting this - it's quite interesting
.
Quote: lilredrooster.
I tracked your 7 days - every single day the thing went 8-12 - that seems really unlikely - am I somehow not reading this thing right________?
overall I got 56-84 - and I believe most of the wins were for much less than even money
if that's correct - that's a worse losing streak than many will ever have betting odds on faves
it might be a great idea to start betting against its picks -
just a thought - thanks for posting this - it's quite interesting
.
link to original post
Hey no problem and you're welcome. Yeah you can see that the simulation prioritizes that +1.5 runline a lot! It looks for odds of anything of -160 or better and jumps on it. So far it has been pretty bad but I'm only 20 games in. I'm going to need a data set for a good 90 to 180 days to see what's really going on.
Quote: GreenZero
So far it has been pretty bad but I'm only 20 games in.
just curious if you don't mind my asking
what do you mean you're only 20 games in______?
the spreadsheet shows 20 picks every day - every day so far 8 wins and 12 losses
are you just playing certain games for certain reasons________?_________thanks
.
Quote: lilredroosterQuote: GreenZero
So far it has been pretty bad but I'm only 20 games in.
just curious if you don't mind my asking
what do you mean you're only 20 games in______?
the spreadsheet shows 20 picks every day - every day so far 8 wins and 12 losses
are you just playing certain games for certain reasons________?_________thanks
.
link to original post
Are you sure you are reading that correctly? For today there are only 4 picks.
oh, okay - my bad - I didn't look at the detail
I thought each day you posted was one complete day - now I see it's several days in each posting - it's continuous
.
Quote: lilredrooster.
oh, okay - my bad - I didn't look at the detail
I thought each day you posted was one complete day - now I see it's several days in each posting - it's continuous
.
link to original post
Yes. It's updated throughout the day. I'm going to be tracking this for a long time or if my bankroll runs out lol.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
Quote: DieterThe link doesn't seem to be changing, day to day.
link to original post
It should be updated now.
So as you can see, this seems like just another simulation service that will get you no where. The amount of average vig I'm paying the books is ridiculous. which is around 20-25%. Even at 10%, you have to hit over 52.4% of your plays to profit at which I am no where near that lol. As you look at the line chart, it just continues to trend down. If I get below $100 I will pull the plug.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1F6jDMHh27Qnqn_PwT2W0PXmPppWB85tkNodJgdb4g20/edit?usp=sharing
Quote: GreenZeroQuote: DieterThe link doesn't seem to be changing, day to day.
link to original post
It should be updated now.
link to original post
Ahh... the data the link points to may be changing.
The link being posted seems identical for each day.
Quote: DieterQuote: GreenZeroQuote: DieterThe link doesn't seem to be changing, day to day.
link to original post
It should be updated now.
link to original post
Ahh... the data the link points to may be changing.
The link being posted seems identical for each day.
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Yeah I update the spreadsheet daily. You can see the 2 plays for today correct?
I'm going to close it down. I say why waste my time and others. I'm sure you all would agree anyway. Small sample size but I think we all know where this is heading...lol.
You gave it a shot and honestly reported. Cheers.Quote: GreenZeroUmmm...yeah I think I've proven that these plays are absolutely a waste of time. Just another bull**** simulator that just helps you donate to the sportsbook machine.
I'm going to close it down. I say why waste my time and others. I'm sure you all would agree anyway. Small sample size but I think we all know where this is heading...lol.
link to original post
is it possible you could post picks the opposite of what that thing (which I would guess is a computer) is picking________?
maybe because you're not actually posting its picks it wouldn't be against their rules
I'm predicting a nice profit from now until the end of the MLB season betting against it
just a thought - if it's too much trouble or you're not interested______ I can understand that
.
I suggest Unabated.Quote: GreenZeroUmmm...yeah I think I've proven that these plays are absolutely a waste of time. Just another bull**** simulator that just helps you donate to the sportsbook machine.
I'm going to close it down. I say why waste my time and others. I'm sure you all would agree anyway. Small sample size but I think we all know where this is heading...lol.
link to original post