Thread Rating:

DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 2nd, 2023 at 10:14:32 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

She's still your wife, or is this referring to a past relationship?
link to original post



Former wife
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 2nd, 2023 at 11:05:17 AM permalink
Well that's what you get for randomizing a relationship! On the other hand, two royal flushes in one session might've implied that it was meant to be as much as anything else.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 2nd, 2023 at 7:38:31 PM permalink
Couple things Cosmopolitan has been doing, actually starting 1 - 2 years ago, but hadn't really thought about it so much until recently.

(1) If your outgoing luggage is deemed to be other than traditional luggage, and includes items they deem not to be luggage such as bags, boxes, coolers, and such, some of the bellmen try to impose a fee which ends up on your hotel bill. My wife first ran into this when she came back from a day's shopping and the bellman carried her things up. One time a bellman said something about this when we brought some boxes from the car to the suite, and a couple of times as we were departing a bellman brought this up.

No bellman has actually collected this fee from us - I have always managed to silence the request with a "I'll take care of YOU" - meaning that I'll give you ten or twenty or even more, but I won't give a nickel to the hotel for carrying my things.

(2) Cosmopolitan no longer delivers ice to the rooms gratuit - is an $11.50 charge.

Both of these charges seem like nickel and diming. I'm a firm believer in tipping, but not one cent for tribute to a greedy establishment.


Wynn would never stoop so low, at least not in the Tower Suites, and as far as I know, not anywhere in the hotel.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 2nd, 2023 at 7:58:08 PM permalink
Okay so this happened to me the other evening in Vegas. I parked the car, went inside a restaurant, ordered some take out food, came back to the car to wait. This establishment is in a strip mall, and parking is directly in front of the restaurant's all glass front.

Next to me, on the right, was this beat up old white truck with Utah plates. A guy had been inside it sitting in the driver's seat, and while I was inside my car, he suddenly got out and slammed his door into my passenger side. He noticed that I was sitting inside, said "Sorry" and went into the restaurant. He was probably waiting for his take out same as I was.

I got out of the car and examined the right side of the car. The guy noticed this, came back out from the restaurant and asked me, "Is everything okay?" I actually didn't see anything that I was sure resulted from his door, so I just said, "It's okay" and he went back inside. It was dark though and I hadn't looked the car over overly carefully.

Well today I noticed the ding, with white paint in the ding no less, obviously from the guy's white truck. He really had opened the door fiercely it was not just a casual collision but some serious metal on metal at a high impact. My wife was around when I saw it, and I told her what had happened. She said I should have demanded $300. from the guy for the damage.

At the risk of sounding like one of those guys Holden Caulfield would have hated (always talking about how many miles they get to a gallon in their goddam cars, or how someone just door dinged their cars)...

Now, it is a very expensive vehicle, and it is almost new, but - besides the fact that I doubt this guy had $300. on him (not too many people do these days anyway, it's not as much of a cash society as it was, but this guy in particular looked like he would not have exactly been able to come up with that sum with ease no matter what) what do you do in those type of situations? Yes obviously the guy who dings your door is liable but I think that the general consensus in society is that unless it's an absurdly expensive classic car, or something along the lines of a Rolls or Lamborghini, in which case you're in a tight spot as to how exactly to push the issue anyway, and in such cases $300. isn't even going to begin to cover the damage or devaluation, you just - let it go. Obviously if the guy had dinged it while I was not in the car, I would not have even known about it until today. Which, I didn't know about the damage until today, but I did know about what happened when it happened.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
Ace2
Ace2
  • Threads: 32
  • Posts: 2706
Joined: Oct 2, 2017
Thanked by
MDawg
May 2nd, 2023 at 8:15:37 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Okay so this happened to me the other evening in Vegas. I parked the car, went inside a restaurant, ordered some take out food, came back to the car to wait. This establishment is in a strip mall, and parking is directly in front of the restaurant's all glass front.

Next to me, on the right, was this beat up old white truck with Utah plates. A guy had been inside it sitting in the driver's seat, and while I was inside my car, he suddenly got out and slammed his door into my passenger side. He noticed that I was sitting inside, said "Sorry" and went into the restaurant. He was probably waiting for his take out same as I was.

I got out of the car and examined the right side of the car. The guy noticed this, came back out from the restaurant and asked me, "Is everything okay?" I actually didn't see anything that I was sure resulted from his door, so I just said, "It's okay" and he went back inside. It was dark though and I hadn't looked the car over overly carefully.

Well today I noticed the ding, with white paint in the ding no less, obviously from the guy's white truck. He really had opened the door fiercely it was not just a casual collision but some serious metal on metal at a high impact. My wife was around when I saw it, and I told her what had happened. She said I should have demanded $300. from the guy for the damage.

At the risk of sounding like one of those guys Holden Caulfield would have hated (always talking about how many miles they get to a gallon in their goddam cars, or how someone just door dinged their cars)...

Now, it is a very expensive vehicle, and it is almost new, but - besides the fact that I doubt this guy had $300. on him (not too many people do these days anyway, it's not as much of a cash society as it was, but this guy in particular looked like he would not have exactly been able to come up with that sum with ease no matter what) what do you do in those type of situations? Yes obviously the guy who dings your door is liable but I think that the general consensus in society is that unless it's an absurdly expensive classic car, or something along the lines of a Rolls or Lamborghini, in which case you're in a tight spot as to how exactly to push the issue anyway, and in such cases $300. isn't even going to begin to cover the damage or devaluation, you just - let it go. Obviously if the guy had dinged it while I was not in the car, I would not have even known about it until today. Which, I didn't know about the damage until today, but I did know about what happened when it happened.
link to original post

Get some turtle wax rubbing / polishing compound. You’d be amazed what can be buffed out
It’s all about making that GTA
rainman
rainman
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 1901
Joined: Mar 28, 2012
Thanked by
MDawg
May 2nd, 2023 at 8:42:15 PM permalink
Call a paintless dent repair guy couple hundred will get multiple dings done.
See it on youtube if you are unfamiliar.
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 3rd, 2023 at 7:01:55 AM permalink
The car is absolutely worthless now.

I will give you $300 for it.

Wink wink nudge nudge.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 3rd, 2023 at 8:42:35 AM permalink
DarkOz you don't need a car you don't drive do you? 😅

Thanks, yes, I have both polishing and rubbing compound Turtle Wax that will remove the white paint. As far as the ding, yes one of those mobile Just Dings places should be able to do it but the ding is right on the crease of the door, not on a completely flat spot, which I don't know if that will make it easier or harder to get back to alignment. Both good suggestions.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 3rd, 2023 at 8:44:39 AM permalink
Day 3 play.

DD Blackjack.

Light action, but ended up losing.

-1500

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
Thanked by
DRich
May 3rd, 2023 at 12:02:59 PM permalink
I wasn't going to drive it.

I was going to keep it in case I ever go homeless again I have a place to sleep
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 3rd, 2023 at 8:16:20 PM permalink
Are you saying that you've changed your ways and are now planning for the unexpected?
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
billryan
billryan
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 3rd, 2023 at 8:51:38 PM permalink
You should always plan for the unknowns. There are some unknowns that are known, but then there are the unknown unknowns.
Those are harder to plan for.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
billryan
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 3rd, 2023 at 8:53:32 PM permalink
You should always plan for the unknowns. There are some unknowns that are known, but then there are the unknown unknowns.
Those are harder to plan for.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 3rd, 2023 at 9:52:23 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Are you saying that you've changed your ways and are now planning for the unexpected?
link to original post



If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 4th, 2023 at 4:49:05 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz


If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.



Make contingencies for every possible outcome.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 5:53:54 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz


If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.



Make contingencies for every possible outcome.
link to original post



But those would only be for every possible EXPECTED outcome.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
billryan
billryan
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 6:16:24 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: MDawg

Are you saying that you've changed your ways and are now planning for the unexpected?
link to original post



If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.
link to original post



It's called leadership and for most people,it must be learned.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 4th, 2023 at 6:52:41 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz


If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.



Make contingencies for every possible outcome.
link to original post



But those would only be for every possible EXPECTED outcome.
link to original post



Absolutely not. Expected means likely or anticipated. One should try to plan for every possible outcome no matter how unlikely.

I was recently postulating what would I do if I lost my right arm. I think it is highly unlikely, but I identified a problem with the toilet paper dispenser in the bathroom which is on my right side. I will need to install a telescoping arm for it so that I can locate it on the left side so I will not have to reach completely across my body when wiping. I think the odds of that actually happening are 999,999,999 to 1 but it is always good to have a plan in place.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 8:28:05 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz

Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz


If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.



Make contingencies for every possible outcome.
link to original post



But those would only be for every possible EXPECTED outcome.
link to original post



Absolutely not. Expected means likely or anticipated. One should try to plan for every possible outcome no matter how unlikely.

I was recently postulating what would I do if I lost my right arm. I think it is highly unlikely, but I identified a problem with the toilet paper dispenser in the bathroom which is on my right side. I will need to install a telescoping arm for it so that I can locate it on the left side so I will not have to reach completely across my body when wiping. I think the odds of that actually happening are 999,999,999 to 1 but it is always good to have a plan in place.
link to original post



You have to be joking right?

In the unexpected chance you aren't not only did you waste valuable time figuring out a solution for something most likely not to happen (nice leadership according to Bill) but IF you did lose your right arm you think the ONLY preparation for such an event is to adjust how the toilet dispenser works???

Ok you have a good sense of humor I hope.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 4th, 2023 at 9:16:42 AM permalink
Unexpected doesn’t mean unknown.

In your situation, for example, I assume that your ending up homeless might have had something to do with living paycheck to paycheck and not saving. Now, as you and I have discussed, that is the movie business, whether you are a big star or an assistant gaffer, just that the size of the paychecks varies, but some stars end up broke and some stars end up real estate magnates even after they are all washed up in Hollywood.

So if this time around you start saving more and not assuming that your income from this enterprise will continue indefinitely, that would be an example of planning for the unexpected. You don't expect to have all the casinos figure out ways to stop what you are doing, but you may plan for this unexpected possibility.

I think the way you look at words isn't always the same as the way others look at the same words. For example your clinging to the "I make $20000 a week" line. Here too I don't think you accept the common meaning or implication of the word "unexpected."
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 4th, 2023 at 10:06:37 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz

Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz


If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.



Make contingencies for every possible outcome.
link to original post



But those would only be for every possible EXPECTED outcome.
link to original post



Absolutely not. Expected means likely or anticipated. One should try to plan for every possible outcome no matter how unlikely.

I was recently postulating what would I do if I lost my right arm. I think it is highly unlikely, but I identified a problem with the toilet paper dispenser in the bathroom which is on my right side. I will need to install a telescoping arm for it so that I can locate it on the left side so I will not have to reach completely across my body when wiping. I think the odds of that actually happening are 999,999,999 to 1 but it is always good to have a plan in place.
link to original post



You have to be joking right?

In the unexpected chance you aren't not only did you waste valuable time figuring out a solution for something most likely not to happen (nice leadership according to Bill) but IF you did lose your right arm you think the ONLY preparation for such an event is to adjust how the toilet dispenser works???

Ok you have a good sense of humor I hope.
link to original post



Sadly, I am not joking. I run through scenarios like that every single day. I just try to be prepared for just about every scenario that I can think of.

My wife is currently out of town so today I am thinking about how I will communicate to the wife if one of the dogs die while she is gone. As far as I know both are completely healthy but I want to have a plan in case that scenario plays out today.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 10:06:58 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Unexpected doesn’t mean unknown.

In your situation, for example, I assume that your ending up homeless might have had something to do with living paycheck to paycheck and not saving. Now, as you and I have discussed, that is the movie business, whether you are a big star or an assistant gaffer, just that the size of the paychecks varies, but some stars end up broke and some stars end up real estate magnates even after they are all washed up in Hollywood.

So if this time around you start saving more and not assuming that your income from this enterprise will continue indefinitely, that would be an example of planning for the unexpected. You don't expect to have all the casinos figure out ways to stop what you are doing, but you may plan for this unexpected possibility.

I think the way you look at words isn't always the same as the way others look at the same words. For example your clinging to the "I make $20000 a week" line. Here too I don't think you accept the common meaning or implication of the word "unexpected."
link to original post



And if you plan for the unexpected and the unexpected happens what is your comment to people?

You are going to say "I planned for this possibility and we are okay because it's happening wasn't unexpected."

***You simply can't PREPARE for an event and then claim you DIDN'T expect it.***

You can claim you didn't think it would happen but clearly you thought it was a possibility if you prepared for it. Therefore it wasn't UNEXPECTED

Sorry but it's not my fault most of the world doesn't get proper meaning of words and terms.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 4th, 2023 at 10:11:15 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz


***You simply can't PREPARE for an event and then claim you DIDN'T expect it.***

You can claim you didn't think it would happen but clearly you thought it was a possibility if you prepared for it. Therefore it wasn't UNEXPECTED



Wow, we must live on different planets. Many times I have thought about winning the lottery and have planned out a course of action in case that happens, but in no way do I expect that to happen.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 4th, 2023 at 10:15:36 AM permalink
Let's cut right to the chase DarkOz. Are you saving lots of cash in the bank or in solid blue chip stocks or is your contingency plan for going broke - as you spend most every nickel each month as it comes in - putting up pinball machines for sale.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 10:57:34 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Let's cut right to the chase DarkOz. Are you saving lots of cash in the bank or in solid blue chip stocks or is your contingency plan for going broke - as you spend most every nickel each month as it comes in - putting up pinball machines for sale.
link to original post



I'm planning for the crash of the stock market and the fall of the banks.

Something that actually isn't unexpected
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 10:59:17 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz


***You simply can't PREPARE for an event and then claim you DIDN'T expect it.***

You can claim you didn't think it would happen but clearly you thought it was a possibility if you prepared for it. Therefore it wasn't UNEXPECTED



Wow, we must live on different planets. Many times I have thought about winning the lottery and have planned out a course of action in case that happens, but in no way do I expect that to happen.
link to original post



You are confusing planning for the unexpected with fantasizing.

I fantasize about my Grammy winning music career and it's repercussions.

I don't plan for it.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 4th, 2023 at 11:09:22 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz



You are confusing planning for the unexpected with fantasizing.

I fantasize about my Grammy winning music career and it's repercussions.



I wouldn't call making lists of attorneys and financial advisors with their phone numbers and email addresses as fantasizing. It is just planning just in case.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 4th, 2023 at 11:14:55 AM permalink
He had renter's insurance? If so, this contradicts his claim that he doesn't plan for the unexpected. He didn't expect a flood but he planned for the possibility of one. His landlord certainly planned for the unexpected, the landlord had homeowner's insurance.

However, I do believe that the DarkOz contingency plan for survival if his income is severed consists of something like pinball machines, if he's even thought about it that far at all.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 12:04:45 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

He had renter's insurance? If so, this contradicts his claim that he doesn't plan for the unexpected. He didn't expect a flood but he planned for the possibility of one. His landlord certainly planned for the unexpected, the landlord had homeowner's insurance.

However, I do believe that the DarkOz contingency plan for survival if his income is severed consists of something like pinball machines, if he's even thought about it that far at all.
link to original post



I live in the same area hit hard by hurricane Sandy. I'm two blocks from the beach on one side and the bay on the other (I live on a peninsula.)

Flooding is not exactly unexpected.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
  • Threads: 123
  • Posts: 11518
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
May 4th, 2023 at 2:28:11 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz

Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz

Quote: DRich

Quote: darkoz


If it's unexpected how can I plan for it.



Make contingencies for every possible outcome.
link to original post



But those would only be for every possible EXPECTED outcome.
link to original post



Absolutely not. Expected means likely or anticipated. One should try to plan for every possible outcome no matter how unlikely.

I was recently postulating what would I do if I lost my right arm. I think it is highly unlikely, but I identified a problem with the toilet paper dispenser in the bathroom which is on my right side. I will need to install a telescoping arm for it so that I can locate it on the left side so I will not have to reach completely across my body when wiping. I think the odds of that actually happening are 999,999,999 to 1 but it is always good to have a plan in place.
link to original post



You have to be joking right?

In the unexpected chance you aren't not only did you waste valuable time figuring out a solution for something most likely not to happen (nice leadership according to Bill) but IF you did lose your right arm you think the ONLY preparation for such an event is to adjust how the toilet dispenser works???

Ok you have a good sense of humor I hope.
link to original post



Sadly, I am not joking. I run through scenarios like that every single day. I just try to be prepared for just about every scenario that I can think of.

My wife is currently out of town so today I am thinking about how I will communicate to the wife if one of the dogs die while she is gone. As far as I know both are completely healthy but I want to have a plan in case that scenario plays out today.
link to original post



There’s a psychiatric diagnosis associated with your type of thoughts……. Events like you describe don’t require a plan…. your intellect and experience will guide you on what to do once the inciting event occurs.
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 4th, 2023 at 5:40:08 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

[
There’s a psychiatric diagnosis associated with your type of thoughts……. Events like you describe don’t require a plan…. your intellect and experience will guide you on what to do once the inciting event occurs.



I am sure you are correct but for me it is a mental thing. My father passed away about 9 months ago unexpectedly (or as unexpected as an 87 year old can). I handled it pretty well I think because I had played out scenarios like that hundreds of times. I thought I might be a complete wreck as noone close to me has ever passed away before (I know I a very fortunate to be 56 years old and to never had experienced death to someone close to me). At my age, I am pretty sure i will never change.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
billryan
billryan
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 5:59:56 PM permalink
To quote a favorite fountain of misinformation

We also know there are unknown unknowns; that is to say, there are some things that we know we do not know.
but there are also unknown unknowns-the ones we don't know we don't know.

I firmly believe that knowing what you don't know is as vital as knowing what you know.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 6:00:01 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

[
There’s a psychiatric diagnosis associated with your type of thoughts……. Events like you describe don’t require a plan…. your intellect and experience will guide you on what to do once the inciting event occurs.



I am sure you are correct but for me it is a mental thing. My father passed away about 9 months ago unexpectedly (or as unexpected as an 87 year old can). I handled it pretty well I think because I had played out scenarios like that hundreds of times. I thought I might be a complete wreck as noone close to me has ever passed away before (I know I a very fortunate to be 56 years old and to never had experienced death to someone close to me). At my age, I am pretty sure i will never change.
link to original post



I feel we are talking about two different things.

Playing out scenarios is not the same as preparing for the unexpected.

If you are saying you had your father's funeral costs and burial plot already paid in advance that's preparing for the unexpected (although I would argue at age 87 you were just preparing for the EXPECTED!)

If you just played out what steps you had to effectuate upon the passing of your father then that's different. People do that all the time even with the silliest of nonsense.

Like imagining what fight moves I will do if I am attacked by the serial killer I am watching on the latest episode of forensic files.

Condolences on your loss btw.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
billryan
billryan
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 6:15:26 PM permalink
An example of preparing for the unknown.

It's 27 steps to the rear fire staircase from my current hotel room, and sixty-three from the elevator. I'll almost definitely not need either piece of information, but if I wake up to a fire alarm and a smoke filled hallway, I'll be more prepared than 98% of my fellow guest.
I'm on the third floor, so if I need to jump, my odds of survival are much greater than if I took a room on a higher floor. In the event of the only elevator being down for any reason, I have a short walk to the third floor, where they originally had me on the seventh floor,

I'm on an extended vacation and obtained a 90-day supply of my scripts, which are split into three bags in case a bag or two get stolen or misplaced.
Simple little things become second nature after a while. Failure to plan is planning to fail.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 6:25:23 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

An example of preparing for the unknown.

It's 27 steps to the rear fire staircase from my current hotel room, and sixty-three from the elevator. I'll almost definitely not need either piece of information, but if I wake up to a fire alarm and a smoke filled hallway, I'll be more prepared than 98% of my fellow guest.
I'm on the third floor, so if I need to jump, my odds of survival are much greater than if I took a room on a higher floor. In the event of the only elevator being down for any reason, I have a short walk to the third floor, where they originally had me on the seventh floor,

I'm on an extended vacation and obtained a 90-day supply of my scripts, which are split into three bags in case a bag or two get stolen or misplaced.
Simple little things become second nature after a while. Failure to plan is planning to fail.
link to original post



But you haven't prepared for the unknown. You have prepared for what you think is a remote possiblity.

Why haven't you brought along a bullet proof vest for the sniper from the roof of the hotel opposite you?

The people at the Mandalay Bay concert faced the unexpected and the unknown.

It's just not something you can plan for.

You can plan all you want for what might happen and then BAM, the unknown and unexpected happens.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
billryan
billryan
  • Threads: 253
  • Posts: 17203
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 7:43:40 PM permalink
There are none so blind, as those who choose not to see.

Mandalay Bay is actually a great example if you read the survivor's stories. Thousands of people were in a field when all hell broke loose.
Some people ran around in panic, others sought concealment, and others sought cover.

Your trip to Tejas to buy pinball machines told me all I need to know about your planning skills—just avoidable mistake after mistake. Luckily, you make so much money every week, or is it some weeks, that you do not need to learn from your unforced errors.
Most of us aren't so lucky.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 4th, 2023 at 8:01:48 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

There are none so blind, as those who choose not to see.

Mandalay Bay is actually a great example if you read the survivor's stories. Thousands of people were in a field when all hell broke loose.
Some people ran around in panic, others sought concealment, and others sought cover.

Your trip to Tejas to buy pinball machines told me all I need to know about your planning skills—just avoidable mistake after mistake. Luckily, you make so much money every week, or is it some weeks, that you do not need to learn from your unforced errors.
Most of us aren't so lucky.
link to original post



Please discuss these multiple avoidable mistakes on my pinball trip?

You seem so well versed on my trip.

Lol, I make so much money I don't have to plan ahead.

Maybe the plan was to make so much money I don't have to worry!

Here's a hint! Plan to make so much money like I do. If you can't plan that then you haven't planned for the unexpected.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
Ace2
Ace2
  • Threads: 32
  • Posts: 2706
Joined: Oct 2, 2017
May 4th, 2023 at 9:04:44 PM permalink
I just can’t get enough of these MDawg adventures
It’s all about making that GTA
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 8:10:15 AM permalink
Again, Unexpected doesn’t mean Unknown. But you can’t tell DarkOz anything on most subjects.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 8:10:40 AM permalink
If you don't learn from it you're destined to repeat the past.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 8:10:52 AM permalink
Golden Knights looking strong against the Oilers. This could be the Stanley Cup this time!
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 8:11:27 AM permalink
Day 4 play.

DD Blackjack.

Middle range action. Pretty much as expected.

+4100

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 5th, 2023 at 8:17:42 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Again, Unexpected doesn’t mean Unknown. But you can’t tell DarkOz anything on most subjects.
link to original post



I am not saying the unexpected is unknown.

I'm saying YOU don't know when to expect it.

Earthquakes are well known.

A devastating earthquake in NYC is unexpected.

I'm not preparing for it.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
DRich
DRich
  • Threads: 89
  • Posts: 12798
Joined: Jul 6, 2012
May 5th, 2023 at 8:26:56 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Golden Knights looking strong against the Oilers. This could be the Stanley Cup this time!
link to original post



Tomorrow's game will probably be the key to the series. The Oilers have a much better offense but the Knights have the better defense.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
unJon
unJon
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 4808
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 9:51:39 AM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Quote: MDawg

Again, Unexpected doesn’t mean Unknown. But you can’t tell DarkOz anything on most subjects.
link to original post



I am not saying the unexpected is unknown.

I'm saying YOU don't know when to expect it.

Earthquakes are well known.

A devastating earthquake in NYC is unexpected.

I'm not preparing for it.
link to original post

Thankfully someone has planned for it and NYC has an emergency earthquake plan.

Nobody expects the Spanish Inquisition.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 5th, 2023 at 11:02:21 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: darkoz

Quote: MDawg

Again, Unexpected doesn’t mean Unknown. But you can’t tell DarkOz anything on most subjects.
link to original post



I am not saying the unexpected is unknown.

I'm saying YOU don't know when to expect it.

Earthquakes are well known.

A devastating earthquake in NYC is unexpected.

I'm not preparing for it.
link to original post

Thankfully someone has planned for it and NYC has an emergency earthquake plan.

Nobody expects the Spanish Inquisition.
link to original post



Well that is a good point.

Which means I am wrong that an earthquake in NYC is unexpected because someone in city government expects it could happen.

My argument is as soon as you prepare for something there is an expectation that it could happen therefore when it does happen it's not unexpected.

If there was an earthquake in NYC the mayor and governor can proudly say that event was not wholly unexpected because they prepared for it.
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
darkoz
darkoz
  • Threads: 300
  • Posts: 11901
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
May 5th, 2023 at 11:19:21 AM permalink
Anyway let's get back to MDawg unexpected losses :)
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 10:16:51 PM permalink
I did a session recently where I was playing solely to qualify for a $3000. gift card. I played blackjack at a public table with a small bankroll (few thousand dollars), just to test out a certain way of playing that I have read about online. I varied my bet at most by 12X and that was only once (won that hand). Rest of the time I was 4-5X.

The problem with such wimpy play is that you sit there for a very long time and maybe still not experience a count that is + enough to justify jumping the bet, and then when that comes up, you jump the bet only 3-4X? What a waste, that's no way to be and is not going to get you anywhere especially on short sessions. Which is why it's clear that trying to hit and run with such low X bet jumping is just a long drawn out process that could result in many many sessions without much results.

In the session in which I played, I was actually behind most all of the time, until towards the end I got ahead slightly and quit. My goal was just to earn the $3000. gift card, which I did, but it just goes to prove that the way I play is the way to do it: don't pussy foot around and jump the bet massively when the count is very high AND certain other factors (factors that people who just read about blackjack versus actually play don't know about) are present. I ended up playing over two hours, and that's not a hit and run session. If it had been a hit and run session I would've just lost.

And that is where reality and what you read only in books diverge. I deal only in reality.

Having a private table with negotiated rules that make the house edge .1X helps too.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8118
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
May 5th, 2023 at 10:17:22 PM permalink
Day 5 play.

DD Blackjack.

Almost like a mirror of the play I did at the public table just to qualify for a gift card, but in this session with a much higher bankroll.

+1850

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.

And this is the MDawg challenge.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
tuttigym
tuttigym
  • Threads: 10
  • Posts: 2053
Joined: Feb 12, 2010
May 6th, 2023 at 10:13:46 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

I did a session recently where I was playing solely to qualify for a $3000. gift card. I played blackjack at a public table with a small bankroll (few thousand dollars), just to test out a certain way of playing that I have read about online. I varied my bet at most by 12X and that was only once (won that hand). Rest of the time I was 4-5X.

The problem with such wimpy play is that you sit there for a very long time and maybe still not experience a count that is + enough to justify jumping the bet, and then when that comes up, you jump the bet only 3-4X? What a waste, that's no way to be and is not going to get you anywhere especially on short sessions. Which is why it's clear that trying to hit and run with such low X bet jumping is just a long drawn out process that could result in many many sessions without much results.

In the session in which I played, I was actually behind most all of the time, until towards the end I got ahead slightly and quit. My goal was just to earn the $3000. gift card, which I did, but it just goes to prove that the way I play is the way to do it: don't pussy foot around and jump the bet massively when the count is very high AND certain other factors (factors that people who just read about blackjack versus actually play don't know about) are present. I ended up playing over two hours, and that's not a hit and run session. If it had been a hit and run session I would've just lost.

And that is where reality and what you read only in books diverge. I deal only in reality.

Having a private table with negotiated rules that make the house edge .1X helps too.
link to original post


IMO, your "reality" is Kabuki theater. Allow me to be specific with my 4th grade arithmetic.

"Few thousand bankroll" = $5k?
"got slightly ahead and quit" = $200?

That likely scenario is a 4% return on your investment.

Now the following post shows an $1850 win, BUT your buy in or credit limit as you have previously stated is $250k

That return is less than 1%. Going forward and looking at past results posted from Jan. and Feb. of this year those daily returns were in the 2% to 7% range. So while, yes, the $$$ amounts were not insignificant, the actual returns were quite ordinary. What makes your results ("reality") laudatory is your DISCIPLINE of play and patience. Those two factors are why you can consistently, so far, leave the table a winner.

To put your results in my perspective, if I were to play craps with a $5k bank roll and quit after winning $350 or 7% of my investment, which I am pretty confident I can do, It would pretty much mirror your play and results, but nobody would be going ga ga over my "adventures."

tuttigym
  • Jump to: