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EvenBob
EvenBob
Joined: Jul 18, 2010
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July 4th, 2021 at 5:06:17 PM permalink
I thought I would use my 25,000th post to start a new thread. What do you consider to be a winning system/method of play. Everybody considers card counting in blackjack be a winning system but I have never really agreed with that. I don't see how a method where you can go days and weeks and even months going further and further into the hole can be called a winning method. What I consider a winning method is you set a reasonable session goal and achieve that goal relatively quickly. I'm talking 45 minutes quickly. That would be about 20 spins of roulette, maybe 30 to 45 hands of Baccarat. Winning in the extreme short-term. For me, the ultimate system/method would be to have a goal of say $300, bet the $300, win and walk away. If you lose bet a few more times until you're ahead $300. The point is to leave as little of your DNA as possible at that table. Be gone before they even know you were there. You are not there to have fun, you are not there to entertain yourself, you are only there to reach your goal ASAP.

And that's my 25000th post in the same week of July that I joined this place 11 years ago. When The Wiz was in his mid-40s and still had the bloom of youth on his cheeks. Alas, those days are far behind us now
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
Marcusclark66
Marcusclark66
Joined: Mar 26, 2020
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July 4th, 2021 at 5:10:44 PM permalink
This was my first winning system of baccarat play.

1st Play Session:

6-16-21 total of 9 wagers

50.00 won
100.00 won
50.00 lost
150.00 won
75.00 lost
100.00 won (took 2 martys to win)
200.00 won

Profited $475.00

Game Style: EZ Baccarat, no Banker commissions charged

My wagering Theory last night on this particular shoe was waiting for four or five repeats in a row and then I waged on the opposite side and I stopped after one bet. Or I waited for 2 or 3 naturals in a row and again wagered on the opposite side. One of the wins did take me three times to do the 2 Martys to be able to Win it, the other ones I won on a single bet.

Thanks for Reading
Marcus Clark
Real Person; AKA MarcusClark66
Professional Casino Security Expert
Certified Company Firearms Instructor
Tic-Tac-Toe Expert & Mastering Chess
Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club
Mastering Cracking it. Bit-by-Bit, Piece-by-Piece Crediting Forum Members
Baccarat Winning Session Record: 3 out of 3 and 1 out of 1 Mini Session
Marcus Clark. Real Person; AKA MarcusClark66. *Professional Casino Security Expert. *Certified EMT *Certified Company Firearms Instructor. *Certified Gaming Regulations Interpreter for Corporate Applications. *Tic-Tac-Toe Expert (Real Competitive Versions) & Mastering Chess. *Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club. *Mastering Cracking it. Bit-by-Bit, Piece-by-Piece Crediting Forum Members. *Certified Casino Property Entry & Exit Point Analyzer *Baccarat Winning Session Record: 11 out of 11 & 1 out of 1 Mini Session. Baccarat Losing Session Record: 2 Losing Sessions.
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
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July 4th, 2021 at 6:57:38 PM permalink
The other night I was actually thinking of stepping into Circus Circus to whoop it up and take a break from all this high end action. The thought passed rather quickly. The thing is though, does any serious player ever really take a break? Down ten bucks or down ten thousand it becomes about leaving the table ahead. Then again after the smoke clears if it does end up a losing session ten bucks down feels a lot better than ten grand.

I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
OnceDear
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OnceDear
Joined: Jun 1, 2014
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July 5th, 2021 at 1:12:15 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I thought I would use my 25,000th post to start a new thread. What do you consider to be a winning system/method of play.


Oh Boy! I wonder how many members will get suspended from this thread, which I've moved to the betting systems thread, by the way.
Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
OnceDear
Administrator
OnceDear
Joined: Jun 1, 2014
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July 5th, 2021 at 1:26:53 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

What do you consider to be a winning system/method of play



Not applicable to table games per se:-

I could win pretty often if I could get some sucker to take bets on how long it would be before someone came to this forum suggesting that 'hit and run' is the way to beat the casino.
And of those unwise members how many would explain the role of their martingale variation in achieving their session win goal.

Heck I could even offer side bets on who would post next, but I got up late today.

Same excrement, different day!

EvenBob has done himself proud with this provocative thread.
Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
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July 5th, 2021 at 2:14:34 AM permalink
.................


regarding the reference to a pro blackjack player
if he is playing full time

with all of the details a mathlete can figure this out with exactitude

but what follows is just a an example - a very rough estimate - of what it would actually be and assumes he plays perfectly without error:


after one week he will be ahead 75% of the time

after one month he will be ahead 85% of the time

after one year he will be ahead 95% of the time




I would estimate that there are a few hundred in the U.S. who play BJ full time and earn close to $100K per year or more or more than double that

many travel overseas to reduce their facial exposure

a great many who have tried to do this have failed - the most common reason being they were undercapitalized


.
Last edited by: lilredrooster on Jul 5, 2021
"𝘣𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘷𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘧 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘯𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘳"______Edgar Allan Poe
ChumpChange
ChumpChange
Joined: Jun 15, 2018
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Thanks for this post from:
camapl
July 5th, 2021 at 2:50:28 AM permalink
I never got my July mailer after getting one June mailer. They must have cut off my comps, or lost my DNA because they wiped down wherever I went for COVID.
OnceDear
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OnceDear
Joined: Jun 1, 2014
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July 5th, 2021 at 4:22:39 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

.................

after one week he will be ahead 75% of the time

after one month he will be ahead 85% of the time

after one year he will be ahead 95% of the time
.

Pah!
Win rates like to that mean nothing. A well capitalised hit and run dollar martingaler betting red could smash those win rates, if he played each weekly session with a $1 dollar win goal 😀

Eg. With $1000 bankroll he would win $1 per session with probability of about 99% week in week out,,, but for him, the probability of being lifetime ahead diminishes with each session.

which of course is a really bad 'method'
Last edited by: OnceDear on Jul 5, 2021
Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is not a winning strategy: Pressing into trends IS not a winning strategy: Progressives are not a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
Dieter
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Dieter
Joined: Jul 23, 2014
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July 5th, 2021 at 5:19:00 AM permalink
There is a machine play that is growing in popularity. Those players would appear to have a winning system.

I'd consider it, but I don't like relying on magic incantations such as "Thanks for that five dollar superchat" and "Check out my patreon page for exclusive invitations and offers".

I'm sticking to the coin pusher at the laundromat for now.
May the cards fall in your favor.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
Joined: May 8, 2015
  • Threads: 187
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July 5th, 2021 at 6:34:41 AM permalink
Quote: OnceDear


A well capitalised hit and run dollar martingaler betting red




how about a 𝑮𝑹𝑨𝑵𝑫 𝑴𝑨𝑹𝑻𝑰𝑵𝑮𝑨𝑳𝑬

with a Grand Martingale the player makes more and more after each loss if he follows it with a win


example of a 6 stage Grand Martingale


bet $100 - if lose bet $250 - if you win you won $150 - if lose bet $550 - if you win you won $200 - if lose bet $1350 - if you win you won $300 - if lose bet $2500 - if you win you won $400 - if lose bet $5750 - when you win it you win $1,000.........

as every pro martingaler knows a player is very, very, unlikely to lose 6 times in a row so I didn't even put how much the loss would be if that happened

it pays to think positive

as you can see - the Grand Martingale is indeed 𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙮, 𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙮 𝙥𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙧𝙛𝙪𝙡 .....................


.............(~:\......... {: ......... {:




.
Last edited by: lilredrooster on Jul 5, 2021
"𝘣𝘦𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘷𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘧 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘯𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘳"______Edgar Allan Poe

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