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PokerGrinder
PokerGrinder
Joined: Apr 30, 2015
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Boz
January 5th, 2020 at 6:19:48 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Quote: MDawg

Posting the same negative prattle over and over without anything to back up what you're saying other than theory proves less than nothing.


I went to high limit and went first to the DD BJ hit 17, but she said it was a brand new deck since noon that NO ONE had played. I have an aversion to brand new decks they usually end up either really good or really bad for me, and I didn't feel like testing this one out again after how it went yesterday with a brand new BJ deck.

So I went to the same Baccarat table as yesterday, 300 min. The first shoe was pretty awesome, the ties were coming in just where expected, one of them that I won was a complicated six card draw where banker started with one, I drew and was holding a nine, and player hit to zero, I flicked the last card down so hard just as the waitress was bringing me a tea that she jumped back startled. I had to calm her down.

"I didn't mean anything, I just get excited when I get a good card."

I startled the dealer a couple times too, with the way I slammed the winning cards down. I bet a $200. TIE ONLY that hit too, for $1600.

The moment I sat down she said, "Fendi?" referring to my sweater.

"How did you know?"

I don't like to wear stuff that has any kind of designer's name on it. I wear pretty much only designer clothing, but nothing with the designer's logo or name on it other than maybe, the Ralph Lauren polo, and that was in the old days I have been far above Ralph other than maybe his purple label for a long time now (and Ralph purple label does not have the polo player on it, has no insignia whatsoever).

"Oh," she laughed, "I just know."

The first shoe I was doing really well, great streaks, hitting ties, and I was barely betting much above the minimum, I am sure I was up a few grand at least without even trying. But then the last part of the shoe was unpredictably random and I should have taken the dealer's hint when she said, Do you want me to shuffle? but I kept playing. Anyway, by the end I counted 16 purples - the same eight grand I had started with.

You mean, you won, and I didn't? I thought to myself, as I looked at her stack of chips that she hadn't dropped yet. I had tipped out at least a couple hundred in match bets X 2 meaning she had won about four hundred.

Next shoe I played small again but as soon as I realized that I was up I just stopped. I was about even at the beginning of shoe, then losing, but nothing big. This shoe had this LONG sequence when the doughnuts predicted the next hand something like fourteen in a row without fail, I mean it was a PERFECT two bank one player two bank one player two bank one player for the LONGEST, and as soon as I detected that pattern I was ON it. The dealer next door kept cheering me on, saying, Well you know what to do next! Just follow the shoe! After that easy easy part I started to lose some, so this time, I just stopped, before I could give more back. After commission and everything I won 710. I paid off the marker and told her I'd be back later. She assumed I meant later today, but I meant...tomorrow. What's the hurry?

Is 710 anything? Actually no, it's nothing for a 300 min. table, but still - it adds up, and chances are one of these days I will hit a big run and win big, and in the meantime, the total win for the trip is around four grand. Anything in the plus column is all MDawg looks for.

Tomorrow have some business to attend to regarding our office building escrow. There's more to Vegas than gambling!

Is it hard for me to play just a little and stop? Hellll no.

I did have a conversation with the pit boss about how much TIME I get for playing Baccarat. I mentioned to him how most of the casinos give you an hour per shoe, whether you race through it or drag it out for hours.

"Well, no" he explained, "it depends on how many hands per shoe you play. If you play like ten hands a shoe, I'm not giving you actual time for your play. I'm going to give you more like two minutes per hand."

"Well, what about me?"

"You play almost every hand. I'm giving you actual time."

I was about to say, that's still not right, I play an entire shoe, betting most every hand in twenty to thirty minutes, I should get a full hour credit per shoe, but, I didn't say anything more. At least I know how this pit boss does it.

Along the way the dealer was commenting on the waitress.

"Isn't she beautiful?"

Of course I agreed. She was, in an innocent kind of way. I do like thin women, I've never been into any girl who wasn't rail thin. I also do like the more innocent looking types. But, I'm here to play Baccarat not flirt with cocktail waitresses. My wife blows away any of these girls. However I will say that Palms has some beautiful servers, while for the most part many of the other casinos seem to have gone downhill over the years as to their eye in picking beautiful ones. Does anyone agree with me on the decline? Is the decline because of a strong union that is keeping the older servers in their jobs, or simply because all the hot girls nowadays want to be...Instagram models so the pool of beautiful candidates for cocktail server jobs has diminished?

All good, now what to do with the rest of Sunday?



Maybe I'm the only person here who read this nonsense sequence of events? You claim to think there's a pattern to be discovered and bet on, you care about the flow of the cards, and yet you had a 9 in the first two cards, and hit the hand? And then you wondered why the shoe went away after you were winning. Wtaf, over. If you DO think there's a flow, you ruined it yourself by hitting your Natural. Nothing "complicated" about it. If it's just trolling nonsense you tossed in there, even worse.

And then you have the nerve to go on about women you think are ugly. Yes, nearly all food, drink, and certain other groups of workers in Vegas are SEIU. If they couldn't do the job, they wouldn't be there. Get over yourself, please.

For the rest of you, I suggest you read this stuff strictly for entertainment, because it sure as hell isn't a winning strategy. Just a lot of superstition and Gambler's Fallacy jumbled into an inconsistent and showy fake system.



You forgot the parts where he talks about how amazing and rich he is and how everyone he meets gawks at him in his expensive crap. You might be the most unappealing character this forum has seen in my 5 years here and that is saying something if you know anything about the Nathan saga.
You can shear a sheep a hundred times, but you can skin it only once. ó Amarillo Slim Preston
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
  • Threads: 14
  • Posts: 3366
January 5th, 2020 at 6:31:55 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Quote: MDawg

Posting the same negative prattle over and over without anything to back up what you're saying other than theory proves less than nothing.


I went to high limit and went first to the DD BJ hit 17, but she said it was a brand new deck since noon that NO ONE had played. I have an aversion to brand new decks they usually end up either really good or really bad for me, and I didn't feel like testing this one out again after how it went yesterday with a brand new BJ deck.

So I went to the same Baccarat table as yesterday, 300 min. The first shoe was pretty awesome, the ties were coming in just where expected, one of them that I won was a complicated six card draw where banker started with one, I drew and was holding a nine, and player hit to zero, I flicked the last card down so hard just as the waitress was bringing me a tea that she jumped back startled. I had to calm her down.

"I didn't mean anything, I just get excited when I get a good card."

I startled the dealer a couple times too, with the way I slammed the winning cards down. I bet a $200. TIE ONLY that hit too, for $1600.

The moment I sat down she said, "Fendi?" referring to my sweater.

"How did you know?"

I don't like to wear stuff that has any kind of designer's name on it. I wear pretty much only designer clothing, but nothing with the designer's logo or name on it other than maybe, the Ralph Lauren polo, and that was in the old days I have been far above Ralph other than maybe his purple label for a long time now (and Ralph purple label does not have the polo player on it, has no insignia whatsoever).

"Oh," she laughed, "I just know."

The first shoe I was doing really well, great streaks, hitting ties, and I was barely betting much above the minimum, I am sure I was up a few grand at least without even trying. But then the last part of the shoe was unpredictably random and I should have taken the dealer's hint when she said, Do you want me to shuffle? but I kept playing. Anyway, by the end I counted 16 purples - the same eight grand I had started with.

You mean, you won, and I didn't? I thought to myself, as I looked at her stack of chips that she hadn't dropped yet. I had tipped out at least a couple hundred in match bets X 2 meaning she had won about four hundred.

Next shoe I played small again but as soon as I realized that I was up I just stopped. I was about even at the beginning of shoe, then losing, but nothing big. This shoe had this LONG sequence when the doughnuts predicted the next hand something like fourteen in a row without fail, I mean it was a PERFECT two bank one player two bank one player two bank one player for the LONGEST, and as soon as I detected that pattern I was ON it. The dealer next door kept cheering me on, saying, Well you know what to do next! Just follow the shoe! After that easy easy part I started to lose some, so this time, I just stopped, before I could give more back. After commission and everything I won 710. I paid off the marker and told her I'd be back later. She assumed I meant later today, but I meant...tomorrow. What's the hurry?

Is 710 anything? Actually no, it's nothing for a 300 min. table, but still - it adds up, and chances are one of these days I will hit a big run and win big, and in the meantime, the total win for the trip is around four grand. Anything in the plus column is all MDawg looks for.

Tomorrow have some business to attend to regarding our office building escrow. There's more to Vegas than gambling!

Is it hard for me to play just a little and stop? Hellll no.

I did have a conversation with the pit boss about how much TIME I get for playing Baccarat. I mentioned to him how most of the casinos give you an hour per shoe, whether you race through it or drag it out for hours.

"Well, no" he explained, "it depends on how many hands per shoe you play. If you play like ten hands a shoe, I'm not giving you actual time for your play. I'm going to give you more like two minutes per hand."

"Well, what about me?"

"You play almost every hand. I'm giving you actual time."

I was about to say, that's still not right, I play an entire shoe, betting most every hand in twenty to thirty minutes, I should get a full hour credit per shoe, but, I didn't say anything more. At least I know how this pit boss does it.

Along the way the dealer was commenting on the waitress.

"Isn't she beautiful?"

Of course I agreed. She was, in an innocent kind of way. I do like thin women, I've never been into any girl who wasn't rail thin. I also do like the more innocent looking types. But, I'm here to play Baccarat not flirt with cocktail waitresses. My wife blows away any of these girls. However I will say that Palms has some beautiful servers, while for the most part many of the other casinos seem to have gone downhill over the years as to their eye in picking beautiful ones. Does anyone agree with me on the decline? Is the decline because of a strong union that is keeping the older servers in their jobs, or simply because all the hot girls nowadays want to be...Instagram models so the pool of beautiful candidates for cocktail server jobs has diminished?

All good, now what to do with the rest of Sunday?



Maybe I'm the only person here who read this nonsense sequence of events? You claim to think there's a pattern to be discovered and bet on, you care about the flow of the cards, and yet you had a 9 in the first two cards, and hit the hand? And then you wondered why the shoe went away after you were winning. Wtaf, over. If you DO think there's a flow, you ruined it yourself by hitting your Natural. Nothing "complicated" about it. If it's just trolling nonsense you tossed in there, even worse.

And then you have the nerve to go on about women you think are ugly. Yes, nearly all food, drink, and certain other groups of workers in Vegas are SEIU. If they couldn't do the job, they wouldn't be there. Get over yourself, please.

For the rest of you, I suggest you read this stuff strictly for entertainment, because it sure as hell isn't a winning strategy. Just a lot of superstition and Gambler's Fallacy jumbled into an inconsistent and showy fake system.

I thought he meant he had a 9 after the draw.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
coachbelly
coachbelly
Joined: Oct 21, 2013
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  • Posts: 1204
January 5th, 2020 at 6:36:07 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

you had a 9 in the first two cards, and hit the hand?



I didn't see where he wrote that...can you show where he did?

I didn't even know that hitting a 9 was allowed in Bacc...is it?
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
MaxPenOnceDear
January 5th, 2020 at 6:38:21 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

The other issue is, does MDawg really win at the casinos. YES, he does! Or else he wouldn't still be gambling after all these years, because MDawg is very against any negative cash flow events or behavior.



For any naysayers about MDawg, this should put to rest any questions about whether or not he has been successful winning money in the casino. Straight from the man himself. we now know for certain that MDawg really does win.
Boz
Boz
Joined: Sep 22, 2011
  • Threads: 155
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Thanks for this post from:
TDVegas
January 5th, 2020 at 6:41:33 PM permalink
Quote: PokerGrinder

Quote: beachbumbabs

Quote: MDawg

Posting the same negative prattle over and over without anything to back up what you're saying other than theory proves less than nothing.


I went to high limit and went first to the DD BJ hit 17, but she said it was a brand new deck since noon that NO ONE had played. I have an aversion to brand new decks they usually end up either really good or really bad for me, and I didn't feel like testing this one out again after how it went yesterday with a brand new BJ deck.

So I went to the same Baccarat table as yesterday, 300 min. The first shoe was pretty awesome, the ties were coming in just where expected, one of them that I won was a complicated six card draw where banker started with one, I drew and was holding a nine, and player hit to zero, I flicked the last card down so hard just as the waitress was bringing me a tea that she jumped back startled. I had to calm her down.

"I didn't mean anything, I just get excited when I get a good card."

I startled the dealer a couple times too, with the way I slammed the winning cards down. I bet a $200. TIE ONLY that hit too, for $1600.

The moment I sat down she said, "Fendi?" referring to my sweater.

"How did you know?"

I don't like to wear stuff that has any kind of designer's name on it. I wear pretty much only designer clothing, but nothing with the designer's logo or name on it other than maybe, the Ralph Lauren polo, and that was in the old days I have been far above Ralph other than maybe his purple label for a long time now (and Ralph purple label does not have the polo player on it, has no insignia whatsoever).

"Oh," she laughed, "I just know."

The first shoe I was doing really well, great streaks, hitting ties, and I was barely betting much above the minimum, I am sure I was up a few grand at least without even trying. But then the last part of the shoe was unpredictably random and I should have taken the dealer's hint when she said, Do you want me to shuffle? but I kept playing. Anyway, by the end I counted 16 purples - the same eight grand I had started with.

You mean, you won, and I didn't? I thought to myself, as I looked at her stack of chips that she hadn't dropped yet. I had tipped out at least a couple hundred in match bets X 2 meaning she had won about four hundred.

Next shoe I played small again but as soon as I realized that I was up I just stopped. I was about even at the beginning of shoe, then losing, but nothing big. This shoe had this LONG sequence when the doughnuts predicted the next hand something like fourteen in a row without fail, I mean it was a PERFECT two bank one player two bank one player two bank one player for the LONGEST, and as soon as I detected that pattern I was ON it. The dealer next door kept cheering me on, saying, Well you know what to do next! Just follow the shoe! After that easy easy part I started to lose some, so this time, I just stopped, before I could give more back. After commission and everything I won 710. I paid off the marker and told her I'd be back later. She assumed I meant later today, but I meant...tomorrow. What's the hurry?

Is 710 anything? Actually no, it's nothing for a 300 min. table, but still - it adds up, and chances are one of these days I will hit a big run and win big, and in the meantime, the total win for the trip is around four grand. Anything in the plus column is all MDawg looks for.

Tomorrow have some business to attend to regarding our office building escrow. There's more to Vegas than gambling!

Is it hard for me to play just a little and stop? Hellll no.

I did have a conversation with the pit boss about how much TIME I get for playing Baccarat. I mentioned to him how most of the casinos give you an hour per shoe, whether you race through it or drag it out for hours.

"Well, no" he explained, "it depends on how many hands per shoe you play. If you play like ten hands a shoe, I'm not giving you actual time for your play. I'm going to give you more like two minutes per hand."

"Well, what about me?"

"You play almost every hand. I'm giving you actual time."

I was about to say, that's still not right, I play an entire shoe, betting most every hand in twenty to thirty minutes, I should get a full hour credit per shoe, but, I didn't say anything more. At least I know how this pit boss does it.

Along the way the dealer was commenting on the waitress.

"Isn't she beautiful?"

Of course I agreed. She was, in an innocent kind of way. I do like thin women, I've never been into any girl who wasn't rail thin. I also do like the more innocent looking types. But, I'm here to play Baccarat not flirt with cocktail waitresses. My wife blows away any of these girls. However I will say that Palms has some beautiful servers, while for the most part many of the other casinos seem to have gone downhill over the years as to their eye in picking beautiful ones. Does anyone agree with me on the decline? Is the decline because of a strong union that is keeping the older servers in their jobs, or simply because all the hot girls nowadays want to be...Instagram models so the pool of beautiful candidates for cocktail server jobs has diminished?

All good, now what to do with the rest of Sunday?



Maybe I'm the only person here who read this nonsense sequence of events? You claim to think there's a pattern to be discovered and bet on, you care about the flow of the cards, and yet you had a 9 in the first two cards, and hit the hand? And then you wondered why the shoe went away after you were winning. Wtaf, over. If you DO think there's a flow, you ruined it yourself by hitting your Natural. Nothing "complicated" about it. If it's just trolling nonsense you tossed in there, even worse.

And then you have the nerve to go on about women you think are ugly. Yes, nearly all food, drink, and certain other groups of workers in Vegas are SEIU. If they couldn't do the job, they wouldn't be there. Get over yourself, please.

For the rest of you, I suggest you read this stuff strictly for entertainment, because it sure as hell isn't a winning strategy. Just a lot of superstition and Gambler's Fallacy jumbled into an inconsistent and showy fake system.



You forgot the parts where he talks about how amazing and rich he is and how everyone he meets gawks at him in his expensive crap. You might be the most unappealing character this forum has seen in my 5 years here and that is saying something if you know anything about the Nathan saga.



No doubt he is rich, but itís also as obvious he is a Lifelong LOSER in casinos.

Everyone of us on here, ok Iíll leave Coach out, understands he isnít beating the casinos and getting comped trip after trip.

Total respect for being rich, no respect for pushing a BS narrative that he has found a ďsystemĒ to beat Baccarat. He makes the Roulette biometric guys seem believable.

But he found an audience here and that is probably all he wants. Makes the losing seem better.
TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
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  • Posts: 2382
January 5th, 2020 at 6:42:19 PM permalink
Quote: DogHand

I hope you realize that in Baccarat both the Player and Banker bets are -EV.



This is not true. For MDawg to consistently win so much money over such a long term, it is very hard to believe he does not have an edge. Given the results, it is a virtual certainty the bets he makes are +EV
coachbelly
coachbelly
Joined: Oct 21, 2013
  • Threads: 1
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Thanks for this post from:
MDawg
January 5th, 2020 at 6:43:15 PM permalink
Quote: TomG

For any naysayers about MDawg, this should put to rest any questions about whether or not he has been successful winning money in the casino. Straight from the man himself. we now know for certain that MDawg really does win.



Quote: Eggharbor

Some of these people almost always just goofball responses not talking about gambling? If you don't like the guy why respond?

TomG
TomG
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 2382
January 5th, 2020 at 6:46:27 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

For the rest of you, I suggest you read this stuff strictly for entertainment, because it sure as hell isn't a winning strategy. Just a lot of superstition and Gambler's Fallacy jumbled into an inconsistent and showy fake system.



Gambler's Fallacy is a fallacy, because of the belief that certain negative bets can overcome the house edge. But MDawg has shown that he is able to overcome the house edge by winning lots of money over a long period of time. Therefore Gambler's Fallacy is not an issue with his betting at the casino

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
coachbelly
coachbelly
Joined: Oct 21, 2013
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 1204
January 5th, 2020 at 6:46:58 PM permalink
Quote: Boz

Iíll leave Coach out



Just as long as you don't leave me out of the meet-up, what's the number that gets you there?
MDawg
MDawg
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
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January 5th, 2020 at 6:47:52 PM permalink
Beachbumbabs: I will respond politely even though the manner in which you posted seemed to me to be insulting and hysterical.

I described a tie hand that ended up 0 - 0 , player hit to 0, I had a nine (in my hand) and flicked it down on the table hard to add to the total of 1 that was already there, to tie the hand. Until such time as she hit the player to zero, I was holding probably the worst draw possible, reducing my bank hand to 0, hence my great excitement when she opened her third card to hit the player to 0. On that particular hand I had bet bank and tie.

A two card draw hand. In case you don't know how this works, typically when there is a mandatory two card draw and all players are on the same side, or, as in my case there is only one bettor, dealer deals the two cards and leaves the one for the other side face down until the bettor has finished looking at his card, and says, Open.

There was another hand I won where I bet tie only, $200. On those typically the dealer opens all cards, but by request you may examine one of the hands even though you have no wager on bank or player.

Also in case you don't know, in the US Baccarat rules are fixed, there is no way to "choose" to draw and as you imply, ruin "it yourself by hitting your Natural" because this would be impossible!

If I was unclear in what I posted, that is my fault. But I think in general you tend to skim through my posts and draw what conclusions you want from them, such as in a prior post of mine where you seemed to think I was directing some statement or other towards the mods, when in fact whatever I said was not directed at any mods whatsoever.

As far as the rest of what you posted:
Quote: EvenBob

How would you know. You heard this somewhere
and are repeating it because you think it sounds
good. Have you ever played bac long enough that
you can verify what you're saying? That would be
years, BTW, not a couple weekends 10 years ago.

Last edited by: MDawg on Jan 6, 2020
I tell you itís wonderful to be here, man. I donít give a damn who wins or loses. Itís just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/

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