In fact I have even ran a sim of it on some (not all) common table games and some slots.
The sim was inconclusive, because there is more work to be done (and countless games and variations of rules for the games to cover) before I can with 100% that this is the ultimate betting system. But, I would bet that my system is better than all others, and maybe would even pass the Wizard's test (I honestly do not remember the exact rules since it has been so many years since he had that available.
***(Update after finding an archived version of the old rules [See Below] I can say that this would not pass a sim requiring 1 billion Bets while only allowing play on Roulette , Baccarat , and Craps. So, sorry, I shot the gun with that claim, I would need Blackjack or certain slots or VP to be allowed.
https://wizardofodds.com/gambling/betting-systems/challenge/
)
But, the House always has a edge. (with some rare exceptions, like certain video pokers, and at certain points in the game during blackjack). But, for the sake of simplicity and the further cement the validity of this betting system, lets just stick with games and scenarios where the house has an edge, because technically all betting systems are +EV anyway if the player has a constant edge so no sims would be needed.
And, no I am not here to sell anything, just to distribute information for the betterment of the American Gambling Community. I will respond to all questions publicly on here (I actually ignore all PMs for system advice or requests for free slot play).
But, for the sake of this system and simplicity I am going to stick to slot machines for a basic run-through. (to be continued when I have time to type out the rest of the system).
Quote: GandlerBut, for the sake of this system and simplicity I am going to stick to slot machines for a basic run-through. (to be continued when I have time to type out the rest of the system).
Oh, you can save your breath; just type out a one paragraph summary.
Quote: MrVOh, you can save your breath; just type out a one paragraph summary.
Actually I cannot, because it varies based on games, even dates, and promos at various casinos that need to be factored.
-As such a lot of writing and research (to be up to date on publicly available promos) is involved.
Roulette: ALWAYS bet on black. Unless a red or a green is going to come up.
Blackjack: Bet high when you're going to get a good hand, bet low when you're going to get a bad hand
Three Card Poker: Can't be beat, don't play that.
Baccarat: Stab the dealer with a pencil, steal all the chips on the table. Security will respect your moxie and allow you to cash in.
Slots: Rub the screen gently in order to manipulate the RNG in your favor. If you keep losing, rub it more passionately.
(Note: Wheel of Fortune is an exception. You must yell out letters and clap very loudly in order to win a jackpot. if you keep losing, yell out better letters)
Big Wheel: Bet on 40 and 20. Bigger numbers means higher payrate.
Craps: Learn how to manipulate dice with your mind. It might take years, but that is the best system to win it big.
Video Poker: Hold the best 2 cards. It works exactly like Hold'em.
Hold'em: Snatch your opponant's hand when he's not looking. Tell the dealer you'll be playing it "Omaha style"
Bingo: Yell Bingo! really loudly after the 17th ball comes out.
Keno: Play the Lost numbers.
Pai Gow: No one really knows the rules of Pai Gow. Make them up and convince the dealer you've won. It works similarly to Mornington Crescent.
Quote: GandlerActually I cannot, because it varies based on games, even dates, and promos at various casinos that need to be factored.
-As such a lot of writing and research (to be up to date on publicly available promos) is involved.
If you are including promos then there certainly are ways to beat the house on otherwise -EV games. It is what the AP's do everyday actually. Among other things.
Quote: SOOPOOIf you are including promos then there certainly are ways to beat the house on otherwise -EV games. It is what the AP's do everyday actually. Among other things.
Exactly, designing a system that incorporates standard daily promos and loss rebates available to the public and match-plays as part of its betting strategy makes it actually pretty easy have a +EV betting system and can be worked onto almost any game, particularly games and machines that already have a low house edge .
Quote: GandlerExactly, designing a system that incorporates standard daily promos and loss rebates available to the public and match-plays as part of its betting strategy makes it actually pretty easy have a +EV betting system and can be worked onto almost any game, particularly games and machines that already have a low house edge .
That is an already estabñished AP move. Its my primary move
I can state there are so many pitfalls that it is too casino specific for most people to ever master. I have seen plenty of people try. Not tooting my own horn but trust me there are always unexpected hurdles in that type of ??? System??
According to the Wiz rules and Michael Bluejay if he is still giving the similar offer what you propose is not classified as a system that beats -ev games but as a strategy to outwit casinos that dont give proper thought to their promotions. As such your "system" does not match the Wiz requirements for the challenge
Quote: GandlerExactly, designing a system that incorporates standard daily promos and loss rebates available to the public and match-plays as part of its betting strategy makes it actually pretty easy have a +EV betting system and can be worked onto almost any game, particularly games and machines that already have a low house edge .
That’s comp/promotion hustling, which is a standard AP play, the bread and butter for machine players.
Calling it a system system implies that you can mathematically overcome the House edge long term by varying bets in a certain systematic way. And that is not possible reguardless of how hydrated you are.
Quote: darkozThat is an already estabñished AP move. Its my primary move
I can state there are so many pitfalls that it is too casino specific for most people to ever master. I have seen plenty of people try. Not tooting my own horn but trust me there are always unexpected hurdles in that type of ??? System??
According to the Wiz rules and Michael Bluejay if he is still giving the similar offer what you propose is not classified as a system that beats -ev games but as a strategy to outwit casinos that dont give proper thought to their promotions. As such your "system" does not match the Wiz requirements for the challenge
I know I already conceded that when I found his archived rules (and updated my main thread). As for Michael Bluejay, I have no clue who that is to be honest.
My system does not require match play or promo plays, but it did incorporate them. It is very easy to turn almost any game +EV when over 50% of your bets are made with not your money.
In my opinion any system that requires changing your bet or bet type (IE swithcing to promo plays) according to certain conditions should count as a betting system.
Quote: GandlerSo I think (well that is being modest, I know) that I have a winning system for all games.
you modified and qualified your claim so I give you credit for that.
every single credentialed mathematician since about the year 1700 has concluded that a house game with a negative expectancy cannot be beaten with a system of varying bet size or bet selection (without any physical bias such as an unbalanced roulette wheel.)
if you had actually done what you claimed in the first sentence that I quoted you would be a sure thing to win the Nobel Prize for Mathematics.
Quote: gamerfreakAnd that is not possible reguardless of how hydrated you are.
Hydration, probiotics and a high fiber diet: that's the ticket to gambling success in America today.
Would it work in a casino that offers no card, no promotions, no match plays, no rebates no nothing? Assume it's at Axel's Strip Club and Casino.
Quote: AxelWolfI'm confused. Does this system require using various extras offered by the casino?
Would it work in a casino that offers no card, no promotions, no match plays, no rebates no nothing? Assume it's at Axel's Strip Club and Casino.
Really Axel? You wouldnt hand out any freebies? Not even a complimentary lapdance?
Quote: BackgammonKid69Well well, at LAST!! A system to beat those naughty slots. And after a billion wagers, no less. Here's a suggestion: go and place your billion wagers, count up your remaining funds, compare them with the funds you started with, and let us all know how successful your method was. I know you called it a system, but I'm thinking 'method' sounds so much more doable.
No, I clearly said, my system does work with 1 billion wagers, since the system is designed around limiting as little exposure as possible (IE as few bets as possible, preferably most with not your money). Which why I updated my OP to say that I could not play the Wizard's sim, at least not based on his old rules. My peliminary sim would not qualify.
Quote: AxelWolfI'm confused. Does this system require using various extras offered by the casino?
Would it work in a casino that offers no card, no promotions, no match plays, no rebates no nothing? Assume it's at Axel's Strip Club and Casino.
It would, but the +EV is greater when you do not have to bet any of your own money. So if you can do the system with risking zero of your actual money, the results are far better.
Quote: GandlerIt would, but the +EV is greater when you do not have to bet any of your own money. So if you can do the system with risking zero of your actual money, the results are far better.
Is it. . . I'll gamble on your behalf and will just take a percentage of any winnings I make for you?
$:o)
Quote: OnceDearIs it. . . I'll gamble on your behalf and will just take a percentage of any winnings I make for you?
$:o)
That is actually a decent stratedgy if you can find somebody to agree to it (I have in the past).
NO SH*T, REALLY!!??Quote: GandlerIt would, but the +EV is greater when you do not have to bet any of your own money. So if you can do the system with risking zero of your actual money, the results are far better.
Actually, I would have lots of "good" -EV promos and fair odds/returns. Even a few break even games to attract Value players and AP's, hoping they get drunk, get distracted and make mistakes, and spend money on the girls (since I would be getting a cut of their money.) All the free drinks would be 3 fingers. Half of the promotions would be geared towards earning free lapdances and entries into the champaign room.Quote: darkozReally Axel? You wouldnt hand out any freebies? Not even a complimentary lapdance?
I would teach my employees how to spot legitimate players and people who have and spend money.
Bars around LV need to learn this concept, trusted bartenders should have the freedom to act like a host(obviously with restrictions). At the minimum, they should be letting the owners know who should be taken care of outside the normal free drinks and food.
I have seen it far too many times where someone is worthy of much more than the standard drinks and food and they need attention, meanwhile, some guy is scalping them on the free drinks. Some bars actually need a part-time host. You would be surprised how much money some people gamble at their local bar/ restaurants in the nicer neighborhoods. Some people play $1 and up denominations on crap pay tables for many hours every day.
Years ago, at a local upper middle-class bar hang out, we actually got taunted and received threats from the regulars for locking up 2 Very high VP progressives duing a double royal promo. It was a Doc holidays/Bounty Hunters.
Quote: AxelWolfNO SH*T, REALLY!!??
Yes, when the system factors for results, the less money of your own actual money, the greater the expected returns. If you can enter a scenario where you play the system using zero of your money, that is even more ideal.
WOW, Who'd a thunk it?Quote: GandlerYes, when the system factors for results, the less money of your own actual money, the greater the expected returns. If you can enter a scenario where you play the system using zero of your money, that is even more ideal.
JUST IMAGINE THE GIGANTIC EDGE YOU HAVE WHEN YOU MAIL IN YOUR ENTRY
whoopdee effing doo
Quote: lilredroosterPublishers Clearinghouse does not require any purchase to enter their Sweepstakes.
JUST IMAGINE THE GIGANTIC EDGE YOU HAVE WHEN YOU MAIL IN YOUR ENTRY
whoopdee effing doo
With the cost of a stamp, I'd bet it's -EV. Unless you can enter for free online.
Quote: IbeatyouracesWith the cost of a stamp, I'd bet it's -EV. Unless you can enter for free online.
Because I’m too lazy to google, where does the money from PCH actually come from?
magazine subscriptionsQuote: gamerfreakBecause I’m too lazy to google, where does the money from PCH actually come from?
Quote: IbeatyouracesWith the cost of a stamp, I'd bet it's -EV. Unless you can enter for free online.
It is online and 100% free and legit. However, the probability of winning a PCH prize of any sort even small ones (like 20 gift cards) are obscene. So you are -EV in your time unless you have absolutely nothing better to do than click through endless ads in hopes of them sending you a check or gift card one day..... The top prized are awesome (5K a week for life and similar prizes), but the probabilities are beyond fantastic. You are just as well off playing PCH once a year for 5mins than doing it everyday for hours, that is how little of a difference it makes as far as chances to win a prize of any significance. They make their money from ad revenue and referrals.
So, Whose money do you play with? Where can we recruit this sucker?Quote: GandlerIf you can enter a scenario where you play the system using zero of your money, that is even more ideal.
But where would you find enough strapping young men short on cash needing a place to crash.... OHHHHH you're opening it with ZK?!?!Quote: AxelWolf...Assume it's at Axel's Strip Club and Casino.
Quote: noy2222
Pai Gow: No one really knows the rules of Pai Gow. Make them up and convince the dealer you've won. It works similarly to Mornington Crescent.
How to win at Pai Gow Tiles:
1) Do whatever the Chinese guy next to you is doing.
2) Profit.
I will use your lingo.Quote: RomesBut where would you find enough strapping young men short on cash needing a place to crash.... OHHHHH you're opening it with ZK?!?!
JELLY?
Quote: AxelWolfI'm confused. Does this system require using various extras offered by the casino?
Would it work in a casino that offers no card, no promotions, no match plays, no rebates no nothing? Assume it's at Axel's Strip Club and Casino.
And you get free rides from your hotel in a red Miata.
I also saw a lot of comp whores while I was dealing. The most common was at the craps table where two buddies would offset each other with bets on the pass/don't pass & come/don't come. They'd get burned with the 12, off course, but clearly they thought the comps were worth it.
It sounds like your system is pretty complicated. I think this is probably a bad sign -- in all math, really complicated designs make it easy to hide mistakes that get you to impossible results.
I feel really weird about your comment that it requires blackjack and slots to be available because those games, if each round is independent, can be modeled the same way as roulette -- if you start with a bet of size N and play optimally, you come out on average with less than size N. Blackjack lets you double down and lose more than you started with, but for the purpose of expected value calculations, this doesn't matter. Since you inevitably do worse than the expected value if you deviate from basic strategy in blackjack or if you bet less than the maximum number of lines in slots, there are no meaningful choices to be made. Any strategy that works for blackjack or slots should theoretically work for roulette too.
(EDIT: Note that some slot machines have bonuses which mean that the payout percentage of each round is not independent. Some are even required to pay out after a certain number of rounds. Those machines, as they approach the point that they're obligated to pay out, or as the bonus accumulates, get more and more favorable to you the player. I suppose exploiting those slot machines would be a good idea, but I'm not sure I would call it a betting system, because that's just playing a different game with more favorable odds.)
Some casinos have promotions and it sounds like your system involves getting to play with somebody else's money so you keep winnings and they keep losses? Maybe you're talking about a promotion that changes degree of losses. If so, you really need to specify how you do that that, because that totally changes the payout percentage for the games, but in a way you haven't disclosed to us. If your system amounts to "if I decrease the house edge to 0%, my payout percentage is 100%" then there's no need for it to be complicated -- just play the altered version of the game according to the best strategy you know and you'll break even or better.
Please post more substantive notes about your system! I don't know if it's bad or not because I don't understand it, but I think you might have fallen into some of the traps I posted.