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YoDiceRoll11
YoDiceRoll11
Joined: Jan 9, 2012
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March 14th, 2012 at 11:28:37 PM permalink
DiceTrakkr,

If the odds bet isn't the bst bet on the table. What is???
DeMango
DeMango
Joined: Feb 2, 2010
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March 15th, 2012 at 5:13:03 AM permalink
You can just smell the John Patrick voodoo coming, in this case place bets. Wait for it.....
AlanMendelson
AlanMendelson
Joined: Oct 5, 2011
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March 15th, 2012 at 5:52:02 AM permalink
Quote: YoDiceRoll11

DiceTrakkr,

If the odds bet isn't the bst bet on the table. What is???



I HATE HATE HATE when people say the odds bet is the best bet on the table. The best bet on the table is the bet that is most likely to win. The odds bet might have no house advantage but is is not the most likely to win when the point is 4 or 10.

The best bet on the table is the bet most likely to win.
WongBo
WongBo
Joined: Feb 3, 2012
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March 15th, 2012 at 5:54:57 AM permalink
So odds on the don't is the best bet by probability, pass odds on six or eight would be next best.
Name another bet in the casino that has no edge and can be revoked at will.
In a bet, there is a fool and a thief. - Proverb.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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March 15th, 2012 at 6:04:05 AM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

I HATE HATE HATE when people say the odds bet is the best bet on the table. The best bet on the table is the bet that is most likely to win. The odds bet might have no house advantage but is is not the most likely to win when the point is 4 or 10.

The best bet on the table is the bet most likely to win.



You can't really believe this?
Simple example----
A. I'll give you 1000-1 odds on one roll of the dice for you to roll a seven.
B. I'll give you even money on one roll for black on roulette.

A is a better bet, by far, but B is more likely to win.

Read the Wizard's slogan at the bottom of his posts.
AcesAndEights
AcesAndEights
Joined: Jan 5, 2012
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  • Posts: 4274
March 15th, 2012 at 7:38:20 AM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

I HATE HATE HATE when people say the odds bet is the best bet on the table. The best bet on the table is the bet that is most likely to win. The odds bet might have no house advantage but is is not the most likely to win when the point is 4 or 10.

The best bet on the table is the bet most likely to win.


So the best bet would be making a Don't Pass after the point has been established...let me try that one next time I'm at the table.
"So drink gamble eat f***, because one day you will be dust." -ontariodealer
dallasboycow
dallasboycow
Joined: May 1, 2012
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May 1st, 2012 at 3:05:54 PM permalink
Quote: Triplell

you tested it on 20 sessions? Oh yes, o great one. If it worked 19/20 sessions, it must be full proof...



lol. well if you one 19 sessions in a row at $800, that's a $15,000 profit and if you just loss the once for $4500 that makes your total gain $12,000 so it certainly wouldn't hurt to continue with that strategy for at least a little longer.
budisan
budisan
Joined: Jun 20, 2012
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June 20th, 2012 at 2:03:13 AM permalink
I'm interested in your request, please contact me at: americancompany@cox.net
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
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June 20th, 2012 at 2:43:56 AM permalink
Quote: AlanMendelson

The best bet on the table is the bet that is most likely to win.



You should put that statement in your tagline.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
strictlyAP
strictlyAP
Joined: Jun 20, 2012
  • Threads: 116
  • Posts: 983
June 20th, 2012 at 6:43:15 AM permalink
the funny thing about all of this is some people will just never learn. I have a dear friend that used to own a major sports book so you would think that he new all about numbers. We are in a contest at a casino each week which is an absolute lock to win each week by basivally playing tables for thee hours each week. I explain to him that our expected loss each week is roughly 2 percent of our overall wager and in the end the ap is the money won in the contest but each week he feels we can win more by increasing out bets during the three hours and going on a streak- i have had literal fist fights with him trying to explain this concept but he just will never get it
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever

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