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Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 1:13:43 PM permalink
I am deleting this thread. I have something that works for me and has recovered all my losses but every single reply since has stated that my post is dangerous and harmful to others by installing hope in gambling where there shouldn't be so I will respect the popular opinion and tear down the post. Sucks as those getting destroyed will not quit, they will continue getting destroyed. They have a shot of they try something different like what I'm suggesting but oh well, others have ruined that. I will be editing all my replies as well so there is no trace of this. Good luck to all.
Last edited by: Givemethemoney on Oct 31, 2016
tringlomane
tringlomane
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October 31st, 2016 at 1:21:49 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

I hesitated starting this thread. I knew that I would likely get flamed and have a ton of people coming out of the wood work calling me a liar and saying the games I play are unbeatable etc... Etc... Etc...



I didn't read your whole post. But you're going to be right. Flaming people for systems that have no solid mathematical basis is probably this forum's 2nd favorite activity behind arguing the election. Have fun reading the responses.

And "Don't Tip"? I bet the employees really love that one. If you are able to win over $100k+ per year on these games, you can't afford to tip??
JimRockford
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October 31st, 2016 at 1:22:57 PM permalink
Welcome to WoV, GMTM. Fasten your chin strap.
"Truth is ever to be found in the simplicity, and not in the multiplicity and confusion of things." - Isaac Newton
OnceDear
OnceDear 
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October 31st, 2016 at 1:46:55 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

I hesitated starting this thread. I knew that I would likely get flamed and have a ton of people coming out of the wood work calling me a liar and saying the games I play are unbeatable etc... Etc... Etc...

So you can chose to believe me or not. Frankly I don't care as I have nothing to gain from this other then to try to help people who like myself years ago was getting brutalized by the casinos and losing everything. I will outline exactly the method of which I play and how I win, after telling you my story of how I came to win.

First and foremost, I play only two games. Craps and Bacarrat. Both are negative expectation games, expected to guarantee a loss by the player over time.


HI GMTM,

Welcome to the forum.
I'm pleased to hear that you have had, and continue to have, a lot of good luck.
I'm not calling you a liar. If you say you won, I believe you. You described how you play. I believe that's true too.

I now wish you luck for the future, because your system of money management is pretty much unrelated to your good luck. It will do nothing to sustain your winning and as advice for any new players, it will do nothing to help them and potentially an awful lot to destroy them.
I know what it feels like to have significant good luck and to feel the indestructable winner. I later learned how to lose.... Just more of the same but without the luck.
Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is NOT a winning strategy: Pressing into trends is NOT a winning strategy: Progressive betting systems are NOT a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 2:02:40 PM permalink
Deleted this thread
Last edited by: Givemethemoney on Oct 31, 2016
djatc
djatc
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October 31st, 2016 at 2:07:28 PM permalink
Tldr cliffs
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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October 31st, 2016 at 2:42:35 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Thanks for the candid feedback. Could be luck, an incredible amount of it. If it is, I hope it continues. I am skeptical that it is though as I'm in the casino literally for hours just about every single day and have been for years now. My friend plays the same way as I do. We met at the casino, were losing our asses together and instituted allot of the principles we play by together. He plays dice exclusively, I play bac almost exclusively. I only play dice now to play with him. We both have been winning every year. Both of us playing as often as we do, winning as consistent as we do, is hard for me to chalk up as good luck. We tell everyone there we are getting destroyed and losing our asses because we dont want people asking us for money, to get them food, etc... I get asked multiple times a day and it's annoying.

I want you all to just think to yourself if you were ever up during your normal game play and if so how much on average. And if you keep records of those things, try to Work out the amount you would be up if you quit at or near that average "Up" point and instituted a stop loss 3-4 times that "Up" point. Does not require believing me to work those numbers out. You can all do them yourselves. That alone is 75-80% of my system. Just pure money management and power of pressure. Start tracking that for yourselves if you haven't already and I'm betting a good majority of you will see positive numbers over long periods of time in your logs. Don't believe me, please if any of you have this data, please post it. Dont try my system, just keep good records during the course of your normal game play and see if you would be in the profit or not.

You shouldn't be wasting your time here. You have something that according to you has the ability to make money 24/7 365 around the world. You should be upping your bets using the same system and making multiple times the amount per year.

I would stop posting immediately before the wrong people get involved. They can track your IP then hire investigators to watch and follow you. You wouldn't want to get added to Griffin or whatever. Your life could even be in danger.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 2:53:36 PM permalink
Deleted this thread
Last edited by: Givemethemoney on Oct 31, 2016
FDEAD3709
FDEAD3709
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October 31st, 2016 at 2:56:11 PM permalink
Why does my calendar say October 31 when it is obviously April 1 ?
Wino
Wino
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October 31st, 2016 at 2:58:39 PM permalink
Is it wrong to see someone going in the wrong direction and not warn them because you don't want to offend them? Are these posts even real?
Wanda Wilcox: “I can’t stand people. I hate them.” Chinaski: “Oh, yeah?” Wanda: “You hate them?” Chinaski: “No, but I seem to feel better when they’re not around.” Barfly, starring Mickey Rourke
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:16:49 PM permalink
Quote: Wino

Are these posts even real?

Rhetorical question?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:21:15 PM permalink
Deeted this thread.
Last edited by: Givemethemoney on Oct 31, 2016
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:49:38 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

I know that there is no mathematical function or subroutine that can accurately produce "random". So how are these simulators (note that I have not examined any of the source code for these programs) producing "random" dice rolls and such. This result is pseudo-random as it uses the same seed number or algorithm as a basis to make pattern based calculations of "random". So no such method exists in calculating "random" programmatically or mathematically meaning any simulation of the game of craps is false. Am I incorrect in that belief?

Yes, you are incorrect. More than 99% of the gaming outcomes in casinos worldwide are produced by software implementations of pseudorandom number generators. For example, nearly every video slot machine on the planet uses a PRNG, and so does nearly every online casino.

Moreover, PRNG algorithms have been "good enough" for producing gambling outcomes for at least 30 years. You can generate dice roll data using physical cubes or with a PRNG and, statistically, you'll never be able to tell the difference. Therefore, the results of a craps system simulation are equally valid when using physical dice vs. a correct PRNG implementation.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
AxelWolf
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:50:37 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

These posts are very real. I went from having nothing in the bank, all my credit cards maxed out, refinancing my place so I could gamble away all the equity, loans used exclusively for gambling, and even loans against my 401k to getting it all back in 5 years. I had dug a hole I never thought I could get out of. It's no joke. I was suffering. I was one of many in this situation and it was the most unbearable depression I've ever faced. I only want help others that are in the same position I was in. Not trying to get non-gamblers to see this thread and think they are going to retire living the good life off a simple system. They will likely fail cause I don't believe many posses the discipline to overcome gamblers psycology until they have lost everything and can't afford to lose anymore. This thread is meant for those gamblers pissing everything away looking for a way out. This system is no doubt better than the one they are using that has caused them to already lose everything and worth investigating.

I wouldn't even know what to search for, but there's been posts fairly similar to yours.

-EV Gambling should be viewed as entertainment only. Encouraging "those gamblers pissing everything away looking for a way out" to do anything other STOP is very irresponsible of you. You have probably been the luckiest man in the world during the last 5 years it just happen to coincide with your system. Perhaps tomorrow you'll start losing for the next five years. Considering it took you losing 500k, your wife, depression, debit and whatever else you lost or destroyed, it's really not all that impressive. I bet you would've been much, much better off had you just stopped after losing 10k or less. You said it yourself. "They will likely fail cause I don't believe many posses the discipline to overcome gamblers psycology until they have lost everything and can't afford to lose anymore." Your story will not help ANYONE WHATSOEVER. You're probably having the opposite effect on people.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Greasyjohn
Greasyjohn
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:54:56 PM permalink
The writing style reminds me of Bac.
OnceDear
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October 31st, 2016 at 3:57:48 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

These posts are very real. I went from having nothing in the bank, all my credit cards maxed out, refinancing my place so I could gamble away all the equity, loans used exclusively for gambling, and even loans against my 401k to getting it all back in 5 years. I had dug a hole I never thought I could get out of. It's no joke. I was suffering. I was one of many in this situation and it was the most unbearable depression I've ever faced. I only want help others that are in the same position I was in. Not trying to get non-gamblers to see this thread and think they are going to retire living the good life off a simple system. They will likely fail cause I don't believe many posses the discipline to overcome gamblers psycology until they have lost everything and can't afford to lose anymore. This thread is meant for those gamblers pissing everything away looking for a way out. This system is no doubt better then the one they are using that has caused them to already lose everything and worth investigating.



OK GMTM,
Rules here tell me that I may not, under any circumstances reply in a way that is likely to offend you. So I'll throw a few questions at you...
Quote: Givemethemoney

These posts are very real. I went from having nothing in the bank, all my credit cards maxed out, refinancing my place so I could gamble away all the equity, loans used exclusively for gambling, and even loans against my 401k


Do you concur that you were in a very deep hole financially?
Do you believe that raising all that debt to gamble with was 1) Wise, 2) Unwise, 3)Really rather stupid? 4)Stupid, but luckily you got away with it, in which case was it stupid?
Quote: Givemethemoney

I only want help others that are in the same position I was in.


And are you doing that by advising that they max out their credit and go all out, sh1t or bust to win back their losses?
Yeah. Sure. sounds like a foolproof plan!

Are you further advising that with your money management techniques, they will prosper by doing so?
Yeah. Sure. What could possibly go wrong. After all, you proved it can work.

I assert that your advice is dangerous and unwise to the highest level. Maybe even maliciously dangerous.
I assert that anyone taking your advice is very, very unwise, bordering on the certifiably stupid.

Finally, I assert that your being here and posting this thread is principally to stir up a hornets nest, stir up trouble. I'm not allowed to call you a troll. Therefore, I will block you and cease responding to you before I get admonished by the moderators.

Goodbye gmtm. I've encountered posts of this nature before. I know how this will pan out.

I DFTT
Beware. The earth is NOT flat. Hit and run is NOT a winning strategy: Pressing into trends is NOT a winning strategy: Progressive betting systems are NOT a winning strategy: Don't Buy It! .Don't even take it for free.
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 4:08:04 PM permalink
Thanks for the clarification.
MrV
MrV
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October 31st, 2016 at 5:01:50 PM permalink
OP:

I find it both annoying and telling that you deleted your post.

Rather than experience criticism you chose to delete it, with an apology.

An apology?

For what?

I suggest you seriously consider not posting here again if as it seems you are too thin-skinned to absorb any criticism.

Who cares what others think?

It's your ideas I wanted to read, and you took them with you when you slipped out under the tent.

Bad show.
"What, me worry?"
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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October 31st, 2016 at 5:43:50 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

I am deleting this thread. I have something that works for me and has recovered all my losses but every single reply since has stated that my post is dangerous and harmful to others by installing hope in gambling where there shouldn't be so I will respect the popular opinion and tear down the post. Sucks as those getting destroyed will not quit, they will continue getting destroyed. They have a shot of they try something different like what I'm suggesting but oh well, others have ruined that.

Nobody has ruined anything. While I'm happy you got lucky, you are making a mistake if you believe that changing your mental attitude has anything to do with getting lucky or getting "destroyed." The cards or dice don't know about which synapses are firing in your head. Unless you're telekinetic, which you aren't, your thought patterns and the dice or card outcomes are totally unrelated.

If you're an engineer with experience at Google, Facebook, and Cisco, you should already know that.

Know your limits, play within them, and above all, don't believe that wishing real hard will make you a winner.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 7:45:29 PM permalink
Not sure where you picked up anything in any if my replies that indicated attitude or synapses of the brain effect outcome of a roll of the dice or anything similar to that. Your clearly confused and need to reread my statements. arting to get the feeling that there are people on here with their finger so close to the Flame trigger they hit it before they even read or try to understand a person's post. Funny also how quick to discount something you don't understand. 5 years of luck for 2 separate people playing the same exact style might be worth looking closer into vs just flame and slam. This will be my last response. I'll let all you folks continue getting destroyed at the casino while I'll continue booking my small steady wins. Good luck.
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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October 31st, 2016 at 8:10:49 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Not sure where you picked up anything in any if my replies that indicated attitude or synapses of the brain effect outcome of a roll of the dice or anything similar to that. Your clearly confused and need to reread my statements. arting to get the feeling that there are people on here with their finger so close to the Flame trigger they hit it before they even read or try to understand a person's post. Funny also how quick to discount something you don't understand.

Oh, but I do understand. I understand that you believe your adjusted mental discipline has overcome what you call "gambler's psycology." You believe it's made you a winner and you believe it can make other people winners too.

It's not true, but it's precisely what you wrote.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
mrsuit31
mrsuit31
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October 31st, 2016 at 9:03:10 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Funny also how quick to discount something you don't understand.



I didn't get a chance to read your original post. But I just wanted to point out that one of the individuals you are arguing with about this is a VERY high lever gaming mathematician. I'm sure he very clearly understands what you have proposed....

Again no comment whatsoever on the betting system you proposed, but what to stop you from swallowing your entire foot in one sitting.
.
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
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October 31st, 2016 at 9:16:08 PM permalink
Is it just me, or have they been putting less and less effort into these lately? Seems Buzzard wasn't even amused.

Quote: MathExtremist

...<SNIP>...

...what you call "gambler's psycology." You believe...

...<SNIP>...

Congrats on accurately repeating the quoted phrase, exactly as it was in the original that the OP decided to zap. I didn't really bother to make heads or tails of whatever the gist of it was supposed to be, other than generally announcing "I have conjured the true formula! I'm a magical winner, abra-kadabra!" Yawn. Always a surplus of those. But in the middle of it "psycology" stuck out to me. Literally, that would probably have to be defined as "the rigorous scientific study of the Alfred Hitchcock movie." At least I'd prefer to hope so, rather than me just being a nit about a single ten-cent letter (not even an expensive vowel). And applied to gambling joints; how nice. That sounds like it could have lots of festive potential for the holiday. More so than the usual. And hey, you know it is the closest celebration on the calendar to April 1st in spirit, Buzz.
Suck dope, watch TV, make up stuff, be somebody on the internet.
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 9:20:02 PM permalink
Ok, I understand what your saying now. Let me ask you a question since your apparently what another poster is claiming as a beast mathmatician. Does a 1.06% house edge guarantee you will lose every day you go or increase the probability that you will lose? Does it also guarantee that you will lose in the long run as well? No it does not. Mathematicaly it drastically increases the chance that you will lose over time but it's not so cut and dry to predetermine your fate as a loser. And that's a fact. There is a very very small percentage of people that have slid by and won, even over a long period of time against a house edge. Highly unlikely to fall within that statistic but mathematically, those people can exist (I think most statistics have put this number between 2.5% and 5% depending on whether it's short term or long term but I could be wrong) and I have been doing it for 5 years. The system I was offering people, I was clear does not guarantee any win. But it's by far in my opinion the best betting strategy out there to help a player increase the rate of wins they book and decrease the amount of money they lose to something manageable. People aren't losing what the house edge has predetermined what they should lose. Maybe you haven't actually played in a casino before and seen what's really happening. You are aware that the house edge dictates what amount you should lose with an average bet of X over X period of time correct? Are you assuming that this final amount is finite and what is seen in reality for any given table game? With a house edge of 1.06% on bank bets and a bit higher on player bets in Bac, the average player is dropping multiples upon multiples beyond what they mathematically should be losing per the house edge. This is clearly seen in bac revenue rates and what I've seen/experienced first hand. Most of that is casino psychology. Players not quitting up when they could have, or losing allot more then they should have. Players pressing up when they are losing and pushing the hole downward. Very simple stuff they (players that actually at these other games that I'm assuming you don't play) all know to be true. So why the heck wouldn't I offer up something that's working for me and could help people at least not dump everything at the casino but either minimize their loss or (God forbid) book a few wins and even possibly end up in the positive like my friend and I were able to do. Some people really need to hear this stuff. They don't have to piss everything away. They can at least reduce what they are losing to something manageable. You assume because you play the strict math of every game that every player out there only does the same. Many many people are getting destroyed and are chasing and are betting wildly out of control and could really use some advise from someone that experienced the same thing as them and was able to stop the bleeding. Reading posts like mine can at least help them stop or slow down the hemoraging and allow them to float some but you can't allow that to happen. Your the brilliant mathmatician that has an ever watchful eye on all posts that don't work out to your liking and can't possibly be true as a result. You were even willing to discount immediately the math that is proven that small percentages of players Are winning despite playing games with house favored edges. Don't let your ego get the best of you dude. You could be wrong about me. There are people winning at the casino over long periods of time despite your inability to comprehend such blasphemy. We are out here whether you choose to believe it or not.

And I tried being an advantage player by the way while I was in my destruction years counting BJ for a period of time. I lost my ass doing so. Attempted KO system, wonging in and out, even got banned from a casino I wasnt even winning winning at. I read many systems on counting and I had the count down cold. Very simple to do but it just didn't bear fruit even though the edge was in my favor for my elevated betting ramp bets while count was positive. It worked out against me.about as often as it worked out in my favor except when it worked against me, I lost about 10 times more then when it worked out in my favor. Did everything the system called for including bringing 100 times minimum bet to avoid ROR. I still busted out twice in 8 months with that advantage. My point is the house edge is a very strong statistic that casinos can bank on but A player can still lose with the edge in their favor and they can still win with the edge against them. I know allot of people losing their asses counting BJ.
Last edited by: Givemethemoney on Oct 31, 2016
TomG
TomG
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October 31st, 2016 at 9:37:10 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Very simple stuff they all know to be true. So why the heck wouldn't I offer up something that's working for me and could help people at least not dump everything at the casino but either minimize their loss or (God forbid) nook a few wins and even possibly end up in the positive like my friend and I were able to do. Some people really need to hear this stuff. They don't have to piss everything away. They can at least reduce what they are losing to something manageable.



Many of us are grateful that you are sharing this information. Some of us would even be willing to pay quite a bit to learn more details that can help us win money at casinos.
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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October 31st, 2016 at 9:41:24 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Ok, I understand what your saying now. Let me ask you a question. Does a 1.06% house edge guarantee you will lose every day you go or increase the probability that you will lose? Does it also guarantee that you will lose in the long run as well? No it does not.

Sure it does, unless you have a different definition of "long run" than the casinos do. But we're not at the point where it even makes sense to discuss mathematics, because the rest of your post basically says "I tried to play +EV games, I couldn't win, then I got lucky playing -EV games. Therefore -EV games are better."

That's equivalent to saying "I invested in Google stock and it went down one day, then I invested in a company that sells mittens in Hawaii and that stock went up one day. Therefore, the Hawaiian mitten company is a better investment than Google."

The admonition commonly found in stock prospectuses is even more accurate for casino games:

"Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns."
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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October 31st, 2016 at 9:56:51 PM permalink
The thread must have jinxed you.
I am a robot.
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 10:12:05 PM permalink
Not what I was saying at all. I was making the point that playing against a house edge does not guarantee a loss. It increases the probability of a loss. You twist that into me making a recommendation to play -EV games over +EV games which is false. You have an inability to at least acknowledge that it is possible (improbable but possible) to win at which proves to me your desire to be correct outweighs your desire to be accurate.

I run into similar situations with folks in my field all the time. I work in high tech and the egos in this industry run very high. I'm assuming the same holds true in the field of mathematics.
Zcore13
Zcore13
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October 31st, 2016 at 10:27:55 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Not what I was saying at all. I was making the point that playing against a house edge does not guarantee a loss. It increases the probability of a loss. You twist that into me making a recommendation to play -EV games over +EV games which is false. You have an inability to at least acknowledge that it is possible (improbable but possible) to win at which proves to me your desire to be correct outweighs your desire to be accurate.

I run into similar situations with folks in my field all the time. I work in high tech and the egos in this industry run very high. I'm assuming the same holds true in the field of mathematics.



It is so almost impossible to win in the long run when playing regularly at a casino that in over 6 years I never saw one person come out ahead, without hitting a progressive, in any one year. Never even 1 person. Now I will admit that it was Blackjack and Carnival Games only, with Blackjack being at a 0.70 HE. But my experience and conversations with many other Table Games people is that you are either not playing regularly, therefor luck has been on your side for the short term, or you don't keep accurate statistics.

ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
MrV
MrV
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October 31st, 2016 at 11:03:45 PM permalink
I've no freakin' idea what your "system" is because you deleted your opening post before I stumbled across this thread.

But somehow I suspect your system and those touted by John Patrick might be cut from the same cloth.

Discipline, cautious play, accept small wins and never have more than a small loss (see: discipline).

Which is fine.

But what does the Big Cheese himself have to say on the subject?

Like they say, "Ask the man who knows."

Steve Wynn on winning
Last edited by: MrV on Oct 31, 2016
"What, me worry?"
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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October 31st, 2016 at 11:46:11 PM permalink
Quote: MathExtremist

Sure it does, unless you have a different definition of "long run" than the casinos do. But we're not at the point where it even makes sense to discuss mathematics, because the rest of your post basically says "I tried to play +EV games, I couldn't win, then I got lucky playing -EV games. Therefore -EV games are better."


The OP sounds like Rob Singer fan.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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October 31st, 2016 at 11:47:12 PM permalink
Your exactly correct. The same system you describe is almost entirely what I described in my post. I accept small wins and protect my wins month to month and limit my losses to 3-4 times my average win. I press up once if I lose a bet a fraction of my original bet and return to normal bet if I lose the second. It's pretty much entirely money management and it's got me ahead after 5 years of playing. Again, I have nothing to gain here. Only trying to help, so please take it easy on the flaming. There's nothing wrong with yet another good money management system to add to the regular players arsenal. I'm not claiming to hold some secret formula in the patterns of the bac cards or some crazy nonsense. It's all real world legit shit that I think any logical mind would agree with as being a good idea to implement if playing any -EV game. Why flame good principles to exercise when betting? I don't get it.... Your not hurting me, I'm gonna continue winning. Your hurting the guys getting destroyed who really should exercise better betting principles but don't know how or need to hear it from someone actually winning (or at least not getting destroyed) at the casino.
Last edited by: Givemethemoney on Nov 1, 2016
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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October 31st, 2016 at 11:57:41 PM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Not what I was saying at all. I was making the point that playing against a house edge does not guarantee a loss. It increases the probability of a loss. You twist that into me making a recommendation to play -EV games over +EV games which is false. You have an inability to at least acknowledge that it is possible (improbable but possible) to win at which proves to me your desire to be correct outweighs your desire to be accurate.

You shouldn't talk about accuracy when you're in the habit of making blanket generalizations. Those are almost always inaccurate. For instance, playing against a house edge does not necessarily increase the probability of a loss. The variance of a game dominates the edge for small numbers of trials. In many cases, a player is more likely to leave the casino ahead after an evening of slot play vs. an evening of baccarat play, even though the house edge for baccarat is far smaller than for slots.

You came here with a stated intent to help others do better. Generalizations about what's possible with a winning attitude aren't helpful. The typical gambler has enough of a hard time understanding randomness and probability theory without someone intentionally spreading falsehoods.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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October 31st, 2016 at 11:59:41 PM permalink
They're not being hard on you for how you play. They are because you seem to think it'll continue. It may but most likely won't. Good luck though.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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November 1st, 2016 at 12:10:32 AM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

I accept small wins and protect my wins month to month.... It's pretty much entirely money management and it's got me ahead at bacarrat over 5 years of playing and I live at the casino.

Neither your money nor the cards know when you've ended one session and started another. Money management is useful for betting or playing within your financial means generally, but it is not a viable technique to increase your overall profits. At the end of the year, if you make N bets, your bankroll results will tend to be the same whether you spread out your play over multiple sessions and over many months vs. one binge-gambling weekend.

But you shouldn't live at the casino. It doesn't matter if you've won recently and feel good about it. Someone who admits that they maxed out their mortgage and credit cards to gamble should not be gambling at all. Disordered gambling is not something to mess around with, and just because you're on a lucky streak in a -EV game doesn't mean you aren't an addict. Please seek help.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
Givemethemoney
Givemethemoney
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November 1st, 2016 at 12:22:04 AM permalink
Quote: MathExtremist

You shouldn't talk about accuracy when you're in the habit of making blanket generalizations. Those are almost always inaccurate. For instance, playing against a house edge does not necessarily increase the probability of a loss. The variance of a game dominates the edge for small numbers of trials. In many cases, a player is more likely to leave the casino ahead after an evening of slot play vs. an evening of baccarat play, even though the house edge for baccarat is far smaller than for slots.

You came here with a stated intent to help others do better. Generalizations about what's possible with a winning attitude aren't helpful. The typical gambler has enough of a hard time understanding randomness and probability theory without someone intentionally spreading falsehoods.



Dude.... Youve got a pretty strong ego man. Do you think advising others on limiting losses is bad? Do you think advising others to accept small wins is bad? Do you think advising others to practice discipline is bad? If someone asked you what a good money management system would be, what would you tell them? Is it the fact that I've won these last few years that bothers you? Maybe you don't believe it cause it doesn't fit whatever math your used to? Would you prefer that if someone does win, they don't share their story? I'm assuming you would flame anyone who gives advice to a player that plays any game that is -EV. Hell, might as well let them all drown themselves then give them solid advice that might be working for someone else. I have a very sneaky suspicion that you don't have allot of friends bro but thats just a guess. Also, I'm an engineer but far from being a master mathmatician. I've worked alongside some amazing math guys while I was at Google and Cisco. Those guys were incredible but had to be. Not sure what peddlestool some other posters seem to hold you on but a slot mechanic is hardly someone I would put in that category.
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
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November 1st, 2016 at 12:37:33 AM permalink
Quote: Givemethemoney

Do you think advising others on limiting losses is bad? Do you think advising others to accept small wins is bad? Do you think advising others to practice discipline is bad?

You told the story of how you pulled yourself out of gambling-induced debt by ... gambling more. If you're at the point where you've mortgaged your house to gamble with the equity, you should stop gambling altogether. If you can't do that by yourself, get help. You found yourself in this situation: "having nothing in the bank, all my credit cards maxed out, refinancing my place so I could gamble away all the equity, loans used exclusively for gambling, and even loans against my 401k" and instead of telling others how you quit gambling, your advice is to keep gambling just with a different strategy. Of course that's terrible advice.

I'm not kidding about getting help, either. By your own admission, your behavior presents as a probable pathological gambler on the South Oaks Gambling Screen:
http://www.ncrg.org/sites/default/files/uploads/docs/monographs/sogs.pdf
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
DeMango
DeMango
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November 1st, 2016 at 3:16:02 AM permalink
How come nobodies name is in red yet???
When a rock is thrown into a pack of dogs, the one that yells the loudest is the one who got hit.
discflicker
discflicker
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November 1st, 2016 at 3:39:35 AM permalink
The OP sounds like rushdl in that Don't/Do It To It thread a while back. In any case, he should listen the advice MathEX is trying to give him. If he believes he found a winning system, then why would he waste time teaching others about it? Does it make him feel good to show the experts that they're wrong? Does he feel bad for the casinos? No, I think this guy is rushdl, still trolling, kicking the geeks around. If not, then he needs help with his gambling problem. In either case, I think he needs to get a life... stop focusing on playing casino games and/or defending his "winning system".

If he is trying to lure people into buying his system, that violates the forum rules.
The difference between zero and the smallest possible number? It doesn't matter; once you cross that edge, it might as well be the difference between zero and 1. The difference between infinity and reality? They are mutually exclusive.
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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November 1st, 2016 at 8:08:48 AM permalink
Quote: discflicker

If he is trying to lure people into buying his system, that violates the forum rules.


I think we're all smarter than that.

I dunno who's more dangerous. The guys selling worthless systems for money or the ones that say they'll teach you them for "free."
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
Zcore13
Zcore13
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November 1st, 2016 at 8:11:21 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

I think we're all smarter than that.

I dunno who's more dangerous. The guys selling worthless systems for money or the ones that say they'll teach you them for "free."



Or the ones saying the forum rules are being violated when the OP has never offered or even hinted at selling anything.


ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. Former Table Games Director,, current Pit Supervisor. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
discflicker
discflicker
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November 1st, 2016 at 8:30:01 AM permalink
If you go back to that thread, you see him arguing about the fairness of random number generators, just like rushdl. You see him repeat the same tripe over and over, as if the dice have some sort of built-in memory, or maybe he's special, and the odds don't apply to him. Whatever... same guy or not, the argument is futile; this ain't rocket science, it is common knowledge and it is fact, and for him to sit there and belittle MathEX is too much to stand!

Z-core, nobody accused anyone, I'm am questioning why the OP is here making these arguments the same way you questioned me about advertising.
The difference between zero and the smallest possible number? It doesn't matter; once you cross that edge, it might as well be the difference between zero and 1. The difference between infinity and reality? They are mutually exclusive.

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