Dobrij
Dobrij
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 220
Joined: Jun 6, 2012
April 12th, 2015 at 5:26:17 PM permalink
Hello to Forum ! : )

.

Mr Michael , Forum! my name is Jaroslav , I apologize for my English, and I apologize if my address is incorrect format .


I'm a fan streak bet! :)

- Question: return a single game - Session 5 spins

Imagine that we play only once five spins. If you bet on 1 Six-line (6/37) 5 consecutive rate: 1/2/3/4/5, it turns out:

. probability of losing 15 bets = 41%

. probability of winning rate of 25 = 59%


( if Bank loses = 1) >>> (41% * - 1) * (59% * 1.5) = 17.4% ... If you play 5 times as it is written, the return on risk = + 17.4%


Where is the mistake? : )

.
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
  • Threads: 117
  • Posts: 6271
Joined: Jun 22, 2011
April 12th, 2015 at 6:07:32 PM permalink
If you lose all 5 bets, you lose a total of 15.
If you win your first bet, you win 5.
If you lose your first bet and win your second, you win (2 x 5) - 1 = 9.
If you lose your first two bets and win your third, you win (3 x 5) - (1 + 2) = 12.
If you lose your first three bets and win your fourth, you win (4 x 5) - (1 + 2 + 3) = 14.
If you lose your first four bets and win your fifth, you win (5 x 5) - (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) = 15.

I don't see where "59% * 1.5" comes from in your calculation; the amount you can win is never more than the amount you could lose.
There's your mistake.
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